Record #6644
The UK will go through yet another prime-ministerial turnover after Keir Starmer's successor — six prime ministers in 12 years, i.e. by roughly 2028
PendingRecorded occurrence
Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.
Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #6644 The Bulwark · Bill Kristol: Call the Pool Police
Original quoteMy guess is that they'll probably end up with six prime ministers in 12 years. I guess it's where I'm coming around to this. I don't think that the replacement's going to solve their problems.
Quote begins at 39:44
Prediction time2026-06-22
Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.
Episode published2026-06-22
FirmnessLoose
TopicElections
Resolve by2028-12-31
Boldness55 · Notable
How the call settles
By roughly 2028 the UK has seen a sixth prime-ministerial departure since 2016 — i.e. Starmer's immediate successor has also left office
Our reasoning
Pending. It will be judged only by this stored rule: By roughly 2028 the UK has seen a sixth prime-ministerial departure since 2016 — i.e. Starmer's immediate successor has also left office Deadline or event: 2028-12-31.