Record #6612

After the Iran conflict is wrapped up, the Trump administration will move militarily/aggressively against Cuba

Tim Miller: On The Bulwark · Prediction made 2026-05-25

Pending

Recorded occurrence

Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.

Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #66122026-05-25
The Bulwark · Bill Kristol: Trump's Iran Disaster Is Also a Defeat for the U.S.
Original quote
I think that the end of the Serran thing, if you just think about it from a psychological perspective, they're going to feel like they need a cleaner win and they're going to try to move into Cuba. That feels inevitable to me.
Quote begins at 30:11
Full episode · audioboom.com

Prediction time2026-05-25

Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.

Episode published2026-05-25

FirmnessFirm

TopicForeign Policy

Resolve byopen

Boldness70 · Bold

How the call settles

U.S. military action or an overt regime-change operation against Cuba is launched following the resolution of the Iran conflict

Our reasoning

Pending. It will be judged only by this stored rule: U.S. military action or an overt regime-change operation against Cuba is launched following the resolution of the Iran conflict Deadline or event: open.