Record #6551
US ground troops will go into Iran (contrary to the developing consensus that they will not)
PendingRecorded occurrence
Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.
Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #6551 The Bulwark · Robert Kagan: We’re Transitioning to a Post-American World
Original quotethis goes to the potential troops question, which I think you're still, I think there's been a kind of a consensus developing that troops aren't going to go in. I'm skeptical about it.
Quote begins at 38:24
Prediction time2026-04-03
Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.
Episode published2026-04-03
FirmnessLoose
TopicForeign Policy
Resolve byopen
Boldness55 · Notable
How the call settles
US ground forces conduct combat operations on Iranian soil beyond isolated special-forces raids
Our reasoning
Pending. It will be judged only by this stored rule: US ground forces conduct combat operations on Iranian soil beyond isolated special-forces raids Deadline or event: open.