Record #6408
Israel will get what it wants and the US will restart the kinetic war against Iran despite worldwide opposition
CorrectRecorded occurrence
Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.
Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #6408 The Young Turks · Clock Is Ticking - May 18, 2026
Original quoteAnd I think it's 100% likely that Israel will beat the world and get it exactly what they want no matter what anyone else on the planet wants. I have it at about 95% chance.
Quote begins at 10:32
Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.
How the call settles
The US resumes large-scale military strikes on Iran rather than reaching a peace deal
Our reasoning
YES on the research record because Rather than a peace deal, the ceasefire/MOU collapsed and the US resumed large-scale strikes on Iran from July 7-31, 2026 — 13 consecutive nights hitting dozens to ~140 targets per night, including 90 targets on July 8 after Trump declared the deal over.. Applied stored rule: The US resumes large-scale military strikes on Iran rather than reaching a peace deal.
Outcome evidence
Rather than a peace deal, the ceasefire/MOU collapsed and the US resumed large-scale strikes on Iran from July 7-31, 2026 — 13 consecutive nights hitting dozens to ~140 targets per night, including 90 targets on July 8 after Trump declared the deal over.
Outcome date: 2026-07-08
Verdict recorded: 2026-08-09
Basis: research