Imperium AmericanumIndependent intelligence · Public evidence
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Record #6393

The United States will re-enter the war with Iran and resume military strikes

Correct

Recorded occurrence

Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.

  1. Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #6393

    The Young Turks · Promises Of War - May 11, 2026

    Original quote
    So what's gonna happen to that market, hear me now quote me later, is when we go back into the war, cuz Netanyahu just ordered us back into the war, and then Trump ripped up the peace deal. And Trump just said today, there's only a 1% chance we don't go back into the war. Markets didn't go down and all, they're like, no, the war's almost over. Bye, bye, bye, okay? It's going to be a spectacular crash.
    Quote begins at 53:03
Prediction time2026-05-12

Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.

Episode published2026-05-12
FirmnessFirm
TopicForeign Policy
Resolve byopen
Boldness70 · Bold

How the call settles

The US resumes large-scale kinetic military strikes on Iran after the current ceasefire

Our reasoning

YES on the research record because The U.S. resumed large-scale strikes on Iran after the ceasefire: strikes on June 26, 2026 following alleged Iranian ceasefire violations in the Strait of Hormuz, then the July 8 collapse of the ceasefire and MOU followed by nearly two weeks of sustained U.S. bombardment (including a July 15 strike on a tanker bound for Kharg Island) before a pause announced around July 27.. Applied stored rule: The US resumes large-scale kinetic military strikes on Iran after the current ceasefire.

Outcome evidence

The U.S. resumed large-scale strikes on Iran after the ceasefire: strikes on June 26, 2026 following alleged Iranian ceasefire violations in the Strait of Hormuz, then the July 8 collapse of the ceasefire and MOU followed by nearly two weeks of sustained U.S. bombardment (including a July 15 strike on a tanker bound for Kharg Island) before a pause announced around July 27.

Outcome date: 2026-06-26

Verdict recorded: 2026-08-09

Basis: research