Record #6357
A civil war will break out in Lebanon
PendingRecorded occurrence
Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.
Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #6357 The Young Turks · Trump Extends Ceasefire - April 21, 2026
Original quoteBut the civil war in Lebanon now is on the clock.
Quote begins at 39:18
Prediction time2026-04-22
Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.
Episode published2026-04-22
FirmnessFirm
TopicForeign Policy
Resolve by2027-12-31
Boldness70 · Bold
How the call settles
Sustained internal armed conflict in Lebanon between Lebanese factions is widely reported as a civil war by end of 2027
Our reasoning
Pending. It will be judged only by this stored rule: Sustained internal armed conflict in Lebanon between Lebanese factions is widely reported as a civil war by end of 2027 Deadline or event: 2027-12-31.