Record #6348

Haley Stevens will not win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary

Cenk Uygur: On The Young Turks · Prediction made 2026-04-21

Correct

Recorded occurrence

Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.

Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #63482026-04-21
The Young Turks · Strait In Chaos - April 20, 2026
Original quote
So now we all know, and hence she's getting booed by almost all the Democrats in Michigan. And now she has no chance of winning.
Quote begins at 1:37:14
Full episode · podcasts.apple.com

Prediction time2026-04-21

Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.

Episode published2026-04-21

FirmnessFirm

TopicElections

Resolve by2026-08-04

Boldness70 · Bold

How the call settles

Certified results of the 2026 Michigan Democratic US Senate primary show Haley Stevens losing

Our reasoning

YES on the research record because In the August 4, 2026 Michigan Democratic US Senate primary, Abdul El-Sayed defeated Haley Stevens by roughly 48.5% to 47.5%; El-Sayed advances to face Republican Mike Rogers.. Applied stored rule: Certified results of the 2026 Michigan Democratic US Senate primary show Haley Stevens losing.

Outcome evidence

In the August 4, 2026 Michigan Democratic US Senate primary, Abdul El-Sayed defeated Haley Stevens by roughly 48.5% to 47.5%; El-Sayed advances to face Republican Mike Rogers.

Outcome date: 2026-08-04

Verdict recorded: 2026-08-09

Basis: research

Polling contexthaley-stevens

Margin -5.0 points · as of 2026-04-21 · Source