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Record #6337

Catholic voters will not give Republicans the ~55% share they gave Trump in 2024 in the next national election (the November 2026 midterms)

Pending

Recorded occurrence

Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.

  1. Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #6337

    The Young Turks · Faux Ceasefire Exposed - April 16, 2026

    Original quote
    So 55% of Catholics voted for Donald Trump in the last election. I suspect that's not going to be the case.
    Quote begins at 1:13:29
Prediction time2026-04-17

Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.

Episode published2026-04-17
FirmnessLoose
TopicElections
Resolve by2026-11-03
Boldness55 · Notable

How the call settles

National exit polling for the November 2026 midterms shows the Republican share of the Catholic vote below 55%

Our reasoning

Pending. It will be judged only by this stored rule: National exit polling for the November 2026 midterms shows the Republican share of the Catholic vote below 55% Deadline or event: 2026-11-03.