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Record #6236

US public support for the Iran war will fall below 41% to a lower level than any previous US war

Correct

Recorded occurrence

Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.

  1. Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #6236

    The Young Turks · More Troops Wounded - March 10, 2026

    Original quote
    So the minute we start taking significant casualties, which we now have reports that 150 Americans have been wounded that just dropped right before the show. That's a big number that they were hiding, let alone the seven dead, etc. And the gas prices continue to go up. This is going to go from 41 to a number we've never seen, right? So this is a disaster in the making.
    Quote begins at 20:22
Prediction time2026-03-11

Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.

Episode published2026-03-11
FirmnessFirm
TopicForeign Policy
Resolve byopen
Boldness70 · Bold

How the call settles

National polling shows approval/support for the US war with Iran falling below 41%, to a record low relative to prior US wars.

Our reasoning

YES on the research record because A Reuters/Ipsos poll released 2026-07-31 found just 33% of Americans approve of the US war on Iran versus 62% disapproving - below the 41% threshold and the lowest of the conflict; Military Times contrasted it with roughly 70% early support for the Iraq war and about 90% for Afghanistan, making it a record low for a US war.. Applied stored rule: National polling shows approval/support for the US war with Iran falling below 41%, to a record low relative to prior US wars.

Outcome evidence

A Reuters/Ipsos poll released 2026-07-31 found just 33% of Americans approve of the US war on Iran versus 62% disapproving - below the 41% threshold and the lowest of the conflict; Military Times contrasted it with roughly 70% early support for the Iraq war and about 90% for Afghanistan, making it a record low for a US war.

Outcome date: 2026-07-31

Verdict recorded: 2026-08-09

Basis: research