Record #6210
The United States will go to war with Iran (put at roughly 85% likely)
CorrectRecorded occurrence
Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.
Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #6210 The Young Turks · Oh, SNAP! - February 27, 2026
Original quoteIf you had asked me before the Margaret Brennan breaking story, like I said, it was about 99% that we're gonna war, especially based on what Huckabee said. Now I've got it all the way down at 85%.
Quote begins at 25:35
Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.
How the call settles
The US launches a military campaign against Iran
Our reasoning
YES on the research record because The US launched Operation Epic Fury, a joint campaign with Israel against Iran, on February 28, 2026 — within the 2026-03 window. The opening salvo killed Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and triggered hundreds of Iranian retaliatory missiles.. Applied stored rule: The US launches a military campaign against Iran.
Outcome evidence
The US launched Operation Epic Fury, a joint campaign with Israel against Iran, on February 28, 2026 — within the 2026-03 window. The opening salvo killed Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and triggered hundreds of Iranian retaliatory missiles.
Outcome date: 2026-02-28
Verdict recorded: 2026-08-09
Basis: research