Imperium AmericanumIndependent intelligence · Public evidence
All sections

Record #6149

The US will go to war with Iran

Correct

Recorded occurrence

Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.

  1. Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #6149

    The Young Turks · Buyer's Remorse - February 3, 2026

    Original quote
    So I think we're almost definitely going to go to war.
    Quote begins at 09:30
Prediction time2026-02-04

Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.

Episode published2026-02-04
FirmnessFirm
TopicForeign Policy
Resolve by2026-12-31
Boldness70 · Bold

How the call settles

The US conducts acknowledged military strikes on or armed conflict with Iran during 2026

Our reasoning

YES on the research record because On Feb 28, 2026 US and Israeli forces launched nearly 900 strikes on Iran in 12 hours, killing Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei; the war ran 40 days with Iranian retaliation against US bases and shipping until a ceasefire took effect April 8, 2026, and further US strikes on Iran resumed in July 2026.. Applied stored rule: The US conducts acknowledged military strikes on or armed conflict with Iran during 2026.

Outcome evidence

On Feb 28, 2026 US and Israeli forces launched nearly 900 strikes on Iran in 12 hours, killing Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei; the war ran 40 days with Iranian retaliation against US bases and shipping until a ceasefire took effect April 8, 2026, and further US strikes on Iran resumed in July 2026.

Outcome date: 2026-02-28

Verdict recorded: 2026-08-09

Basis: research