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Record #5061

Dave Brat will be confirmed by the Senate as a U.S. ambassador within about a month (by roughly early August 2026)

Incorrect · near miss

Recorded occurrence

Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.

  1. Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #5061

    Bannon War Room · Episode 5486: Next Man Up 2 Year Anniversary Today; Live Coverage From North Dakota

    Original quote
    day will be um um confirmed i think in a month with other ambassadors day brats going as ambassador
    Quote begins at 07:36
Prediction time2026-07-01

Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.

Episode published2026-07-01
FirmnessLoose
TopicElections
Resolve by2026-08-05
Boldness55 · Notable

How the call settles

Senate roll call confirms Dave Brat as a U.S. ambassador on or before roughly early August 2026

Our reasoning

NO on the research record because The Senate confirmed Dave Brat as ambassador to Australia on August 7, 2026, two days after this prediction's August 5, 2026 resolve_by date, as part of a bulk 74-nominee confirmation vote ahead of recess.. Applied stored rule: Senate roll call confirms Dave Brat as a U.S. ambassador on or before roughly early August 2026. Approved near miss: Brat was confirmed on August 7, 2026, two calendar days after the August 5, 2026 resolve_by date.

Outcome evidence

The Senate confirmed Dave Brat as ambassador to Australia on August 7, 2026, two days after this prediction's August 5, 2026 resolve_by date, as part of a bulk 74-nominee confirmation vote ahead of recess.

Outcome date: 2026-08-05

Verdict recorded: 2026-08-12

Basis: research

Near-miss context

Brat was confirmed on August 7, 2026, two calendar days after the August 5, 2026 resolve_by date.