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Record #4956

Ken Paxton will beat James Talarico in the November 2026 Texas U.S. Senate election by at least three to five points

Pending

Recorded occurrence

Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.

  1. Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #4956

    Bannon War Room · Episode 5403: Fight Is Just Starting In Texas The Threat In Our Backyard

    Original quote
    And I think it's going to be a three to five point plus blowout of Tallarico.
    Quote begins at 04:35
Prediction time2026-05-27

Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.

Episode published2026-05-27
FirmnessLoose
TopicElections
Resolve by2026-11-03
Boldness58 · Notable

How the call settles

Certified November 2026 Texas U.S. Senate results show Paxton beating Talarico by 3 points or more

Our reasoning

Pending. It will be judged only by this stored rule: Certified November 2026 Texas U.S. Senate results show Paxton beating Talarico by 3 points or more Deadline or event: 2026-11-03.

Polling contextken-paxton

Margin -4.3 points · as of 2026-05-27 · Source