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Record #4953

Ken Paxton will defeat James Talarico in the November 2026 Texas U.S. Senate general election by more than 5 percentage points

Pending

Recorded occurrence

Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.

  1. Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #4953

    Bannon War Room · Episode 5401: Massive Victory In Texas By The WarRoom Posse

    Original quote
    I told Politico last night, I think it's a five plus win, but it's going to be very tough and the Democrats going to put in hundreds of millions of dollars.
    Quote begins at 09:02
Prediction time2026-05-27

Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.

Episode published2026-05-27
FirmnessLoose
TopicElections
Resolve by2026-11-03
Boldness58 · Notable

How the call settles

Certified results of the November 2026 Texas U.S. Senate election show Ken Paxton beating James Talarico by more than 5 percentage points

Our reasoning

Pending. It will be judged only by this stored rule: Certified results of the November 2026 Texas U.S. Senate election show Ken Paxton beating James Talarico by more than 5 percentage points Deadline or event: 2026-11-03.

Polling contextken-paxton

Margin -4.3 points · as of 2026-05-27 · Source