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Record #4884

AI systems will achieve recursive self-improvement (artificial general intelligence / superintelligence perfecting themselves) before the end of calendar year 2026

Pending

Recorded occurrence

Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.

  1. Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #4884

    Bannon War Room · Episode 5335: Supreme Court Invalidates Louisiana's Congressional Map

    Original quote
    This thing of artificial general intelligence and super intelligence in the machine actually starting to perfect themselves is not five years out, it's not 10 years out. It is here and now. It will happen, I believe, within this calendar year.
    Quote begins at 07:38
Prediction time2026-04-29

Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.

Episode published2026-04-29
FirmnessFirm
TopicElections
Resolve by2026-12-31
Boldness70 · Bold

How the call settles

By 31 Dec 2026 a frontier AI lab publicly announces, and the field broadly credits, an AI system that improves itself recursively without human engineers in the loop

Our reasoning

Pending. It will be judged only by this stored rule: By 31 Dec 2026 a frontier AI lab publicly announces, and the field broadly credits, an AI system that improves itself recursively without human engineers in the loop Deadline or event: 2026-12-31.