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Record #4875

Five of the seven Indiana state senators targeted by the Republican establishment/consultant-backed primary effort will win their 2026 primaries

Incorrect

Recorded occurrence

Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.

  1. Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #4875

    Bannon War Room · episode 5318: Send Lawyers, Guns, And Money Virginia's Hit The Fan

    Original quote
    They're on the cusp of getting humiliated in Indiana. I think that five of the seven they've targeted are going to win. It looks like they're going to win now.
    Quote begins at 25:58
Prediction time2026-04-22

Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.

Episode published2026-04-22
FirmnessLoose
TopicElections
Resolve by2026-05-31
Boldness55 · Notable

How the call settles

At least five of the seven targeted Indiana state senators win their 2026 Republican primary races

Our reasoning

NO on the research record because In the May 5, 2026 Indiana primaries the targeted senators were wiped out, not saved: Trump-backed challengers unseated six incumbents (Travis Holdman, Jim Buck, Linda Rogers, Dan Dernulc, Rick Niemeyer, Greg Walker), each winning at least 56%, and a Trump-backed candidate also took the seventh (open) seat. Far fewer than five of the seven survived.. Applied stored rule: At least five of the seven targeted Indiana state senators win their 2026 Republican primary races.

Outcome evidence

In the May 5, 2026 Indiana primaries the targeted senators were wiped out, not saved: Trump-backed challengers unseated six incumbents (Travis Holdman, Jim Buck, Linda Rogers, Dan Dernulc, Rick Niemeyer, Greg Walker), each winning at least 56%, and a Trump-backed candidate also took the seventh (open) seat. Far fewer than five of the seven survived.

Outcome date: 2026-05-05

Verdict recorded: 2026-07-30

Basis: research