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Record #4833

The US/Israeli campaign against Iran will shift from degrading Iran's military to striking Iran's civilian infrastructure (electrical grid and oil/energy infrastructure) aimed at total state collapse, by late April 2026

Incorrect

Recorded occurrence

Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.

  1. Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #4833

    Bannon War Room · Episode 5279: Countdown Till Judgement Day

    Original quote
    We're going from the decline, defanging, degradation of their military. Now to something I've been talked about, and what even the Israelis were talking about initially, which is total state collapse. That's we're going after the infrastructure.
    Quote begins at 20:15
Prediction time2026-04-07

Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.

Episode published2026-04-07
FirmnessLoose
TopicElections
Resolve by2026-04-30
Boldness55 · Notable

How the call settles

Public reporting confirms US and/or Israeli strikes hitting Iran's electrical grid and oil-export infrastructure (beyond military targets) by end of April 2026

Our reasoning

NO on the research record because No shift to grid-and-oil infrastructure strikes occurred by April 30, 2026. A two-week ceasefire began April 8; after the April 12-13 Islamabad talks collapsed the US imposed a naval blockade, and April/May US military action (Bandar Abbas, May 7 and May 25) hit missile sites and mine-laying boats. Kharg Island strikes explicitly avoided oil-export infrastructure, and the first confirmed US strike on an Iranian powe.... Applied stored rule: Public reporting confirms US and/or Israeli strikes hitting Iran's electrical grid and oil-export infrastructure (beyond military targets) by end of April 2026.

Outcome evidence

No shift to grid-and-oil infrastructure strikes occurred by April 30, 2026. A two-week ceasefire began April 8; after the April 12-13 Islamabad talks collapsed the US imposed a naval blockade, and April/May US military action (Bandar Abbas, May 7 and May 25) hit missile sites and mine-laying boats. Kharg Island strikes explicitly avoided oil-export infrastructure, and the first confirmed US strike on an Iranian power plant came on July 18, 2026 (Kish Island).

Outcome date: 2026-04-30

Verdict recorded: 2026-07-30

Basis: research