Record #4809
Trump's stated plan to hand responsibility for keeping the Strait of Hormuz open to Japan and NATO will not happen
PendingRecorded occurrence
Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.
Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #4809 Bannon War Room · Episode 5238: Markets Shift As Talks With Iran Begin
Original quoteI do think the one thing that became evident, it was already evident, but I think it's pretty evident now, is that President Trump's at least his stated goal of turning it over to the Japanese and to NATO to keep it open is just not going to happen.
Quote begins at 21:11
Prediction time2026-03-23
Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.
Episode published2026-03-23
FirmnessLoose
TopicForeign Policy
Resolve by2026-12-31
Boldness55 · Notable
How the call settles
No NATO- or Japan-led naval mission assumes responsibility for keeping the Strait of Hormuz open to navigation during the 2026 Iran conflict; the U.S. retains that role
Our reasoning
Pending. It will be judged only by this stored rule: No NATO- or Japan-led naval mission assumes responsibility for keeping the Strait of Hormuz open to navigation during the 2026 Iran conflict; the U.S. retains that role Deadline or event: 2026-12-31.