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Record #4765

The Texas Republican U.S. Senate primary on March 3, 2026 will go to a runoff, with no candidate winning a majority

Correct

Recorded occurrence

Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.

  1. Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #4765

    Bannon War Room · WarRoom Battleground EP 957: Sharia Law Spreads To Idaho; Pre Game To Corpus Christi

    Original quote
    but it's a hotly contested Senate primary that looks right now may go to a run off
    Quote begins at 49:18
Prediction time2026-02-27

Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.

Episode published2026-02-27
FirmnessLoose
TopicElections
Resolve by2026-03-03
Boldness55 · Notable

How the call settles

Texas GOP Senate primary results show no candidate above 50%, triggering a runoff

Our reasoning

YES on the research record because In the March 3, 2026 Texas Republican Senate primary, John Cornyn took about 42% and Ken Paxton about 41%, with Wesley Hunt at 13%; no candidate cleared 50%, sending the race to a May 26, 2026 runoff that Paxton won.. Applied stored rule: Texas GOP Senate primary results show no candidate above 50%, triggering a runoff.

Outcome evidence

In the March 3, 2026 Texas Republican Senate primary, John Cornyn took about 42% and Ken Paxton about 41%, with Wesley Hunt at 13%; no candidate cleared 50%, sending the race to a May 26, 2026 runoff that Paxton won.

Outcome date: 2026-03-03

Verdict recorded: 2026-07-30

Basis: research