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Record #4763

The April 21, 2026 Virginia congressional redistricting referendum backed by Gov. Spanberger will pass overwhelmingly

Incorrect

Recorded occurrence

Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.

  1. Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #4763

    Bannon War Room · WarRoom Battleground EP 957: Sharia Law Spreads To Idaho; Pre Game To Corpus Christi

    Original quote
    If spam burger and I think right now all systems looks like she's going to pull it off overwhelmingly.
    Quote begins at 43:40
Prediction time2026-02-27

Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.

Episode published2026-02-27
FirmnessLoose
TopicElections
Resolve by2026-04-21
Boldness55 · Notable

How the call settles

Certified results of Virginia's April 21, 2026 referendum show the redistricting measure passing by a wide margin

Our reasoning

NO on the research record because The April 21, 2026 Virginia redistricting amendment passed only 50.7%-49.3% out of about 2.5 million ballots — a roughly 1.4-point margin, not an overwhelming or wide margin. (The Supreme Court of Virginia then struck the amendment down on May 8, 2026.) | NEAR MISS (review 2026-08-08): Core call held — the Virginia redistricting referendum did pass (50.7%-49.3%); only the 'overwhelmingly' margin qualifier was wrong.. Applied stored rule: Certified results of Virginia's April 21, 2026 referendum show the redistricting measure passing by a wide margin.

Outcome evidence

The April 21, 2026 Virginia redistricting amendment passed only 50.7%-49.3% out of about 2.5 million ballots — a roughly 1.4-point margin, not an overwhelming or wide margin. (The Supreme Court of Virginia then struck the amendment down on May 8, 2026.) | NEAR MISS (review 2026-08-08): Core call held — the Virginia redistricting referendum did pass (50.7%-49.3%); only the 'overwhelmingly' margin qualifier was wrong.

Outcome date: 2026-04-21

Verdict recorded: 2026-07-30

Basis: research