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Record #4723

President Trump will not carry out a two-to-four-week sustained bombing campaign against Tehran/Iran

Incorrect

Recorded occurrence

Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.

  1. Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #4723

    Bannon War Room · Episode 5150: Middle East Edges Closer To War; Counting The People Voting Is Just As Important As Hand Counting Ballots

    Original quote
    I can't imagine the president's going to want to go, will want to go two, three, four weeks of bombing Tehran, sir.
    Quote begins at 13:24
Prediction time2026-02-18

Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.

Episode published2026-02-18
FirmnessLoose
TopicElections
Resolve by2026-12-31
Boldness55 · Notable

How the call settles

No US bombing campaign against Iran lasting two weeks or longer is conducted in 2026

Our reasoning

NO on the research record because Trump authorized Operation Epic Fury on Feb 27, 2026 and US strikes on Iran began Feb 28, 2026 and continued in sustained weekly phases through roughly April 7, 2026 (about six weeks) before an April 8 ceasefire; a renewed US bombing campaign resumed July 8, 2026 and ran seven-plus consecutive nights.. Applied stored rule: No US bombing campaign against Iran lasting two weeks or longer is conducted in 2026.

Outcome evidence

Trump authorized Operation Epic Fury on Feb 27, 2026 and US strikes on Iran began Feb 28, 2026 and continued in sustained weekly phases through roughly April 7, 2026 (about six weeks) before an April 8 ceasefire; a renewed US bombing campaign resumed July 8, 2026 and ran seven-plus consecutive nights.

Outcome date: 2026-03-13

Verdict recorded: 2026-07-30

Basis: research