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Record #4711

Jasmine Crockett will win the Texas Democratic U.S. Senate primary (March 3, 2026)

Incorrect

Recorded occurrence

Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.

  1. Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #4711

    Bannon War Room · Episode 5142: Embracing The Grassroots To Change The Course Of The Country; Civil War In The Texas GOP

    Original quote
    I think right now, Jasmine Crockett could be odds on favorite to win the Senate primary.
    Quote begins at 37:32
Prediction time2026-02-13

Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.

Episode published2026-02-13
FirmnessLoose
TopicElections
Resolve by2026-03-03
Boldness55 · Notable

How the call settles

Texas Democratic U.S. Senate primary results show Jasmine Crockett finishing first (winning the primary outright or advancing as the leader to the nomination)

Our reasoning

NO on the research record because In the March 3, 2026 Texas Democratic U.S. Senate primary, James Talarico won outright with about 52.5% to Jasmine Crockett's 46.2% (margin ~145,000 votes), avoiding a runoff; Crockett conceded the next morning.. Applied stored rule: Texas Democratic U.S. Senate primary results show Jasmine Crockett finishing first (winning the primary outright or advancing as the leader to the nomination).

Outcome evidence

In the March 3, 2026 Texas Democratic U.S. Senate primary, James Talarico won outright with about 52.5% to Jasmine Crockett's 46.2% (margin ~145,000 votes), avoiding a runoff; Crockett conceded the next morning.

Outcome date: 2026-03-03

Verdict recorded: 2026-07-30

Basis: research