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Record #4694

John Cornyn's side will have spent $100 million on the 2026 Texas Republican Senate primary by March 2026

Incorrect

Recorded occurrence

Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.

  1. Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #4694

    Bannon War Room · WarRoom Battleground EP 944: Texas Wants To Freeze H1B's; Escaping Sharia For Christ

    Original quote
    this guy's going to spend $100 million before March 30. He's already spent 50 to 60.
    Quote begins at 08:57
Prediction time2026-02-10

Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.

Episode published2026-02-10
FirmnessFirm
TopicElections
Resolve by2026-03-31
Boldness70 · Bold

How the call settles

Reported spending by John Cornyn's campaign plus allied outside groups in the 2026 Texas Senate primary reaches $100 million by the end of March 2026

Our reasoning

NO on the research record because AdImpact reported pro-Cornyn spending (campaign plus allied groups) at $64-69M through the March 3 primary, out of $88-95M total on the Republican side. Total runoff-period ad spending by all candidates from March 3 through May 26 was only about $21M, so Cornyn's side was nowhere near $100M by March 31, 2026.. Applied stored rule: Reported spending by John Cornyn's campaign plus allied outside groups in the 2026 Texas Senate primary reaches $100 million by the end of March 2026.

Outcome evidence

AdImpact reported pro-Cornyn spending (campaign plus allied groups) at $64-69M through the March 3 primary, out of $88-95M total on the Republican side. Total runoff-period ad spending by all candidates from March 3 through May 26 was only about $21M, so Cornyn's side was nowhere near $100M by March 31, 2026.

Outcome date: 2026-03-31

Verdict recorded: 2026-07-30

Basis: research