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Record #4625

Trump will not resume the US bombing campaign against Iran despite saying he will

Incorrect

Recorded occurrence

Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.

  1. Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #4625

    The Megyn Kelly Show · Trump's Reality-Based Iran Approach, Tyra Banks Sues Netflix, and How To Be a Great Dad, with Eiglarsh, Aronberg, Branca, and Berenson | Ep. 1342

    Original quote
    So my money actually is on Trump refusing to go back in there, refusing to resume the bombing. He says he will. I don't think he actually will.
    Quote begins at 02:30
Prediction time2026-06-18

Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.

Episode published2026-06-18
FirmnessLoose
TopicElections
Resolve byopen
Boldness55 · Notable

How the call settles

No US military strikes on Iranian territory occur after the June 2026 memorandum of understanding while Trump is in office

Our reasoning

NO on the research record because The June 2026 US-Iran memorandum of understanding broke down and the US resumed bombing: strikes hit more than 80 Iranian targets on July 7, 2026, continued for at least nine consecutive days, and further US and Iranian strikes followed on July 13 and July 20 after three US service members were killed. Trump said the MOU was 'over.'. Applied stored rule: No US military strikes on Iranian territory occur after the June 2026 memorandum of understanding while Trump is in office.

Outcome evidence

The June 2026 US-Iran memorandum of understanding broke down and the US resumed bombing: strikes hit more than 80 Iranian targets on July 7, 2026, continued for at least nine consecutive days, and further US and Iranian strikes followed on July 13 and July 20 after three US service members were killed. Trump said the MOU was 'over.'

Outcome date: 2026-07-07

Verdict recorded: 2026-07-30

Basis: research