Record #4597

Ken Paxton will defeat James Talarico in the November 2026 Texas U.S. Senate general election

Megyn Kelly: On The Megyn Kelly Show · Prediction made 2026-05-27

Pending

Recorded occurrence

Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.

Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #45972026-05-27
The Megyn Kelly Show · Ken Paxton Dominates Cornyn Ahead of Race Against RADICAL Talarico, with Tom Bevan, and SHOCK Prince Andrew Stories | Ep. 1326
Original quote
I'm going out there. I'm saying it on the record. It's not going to happen. I think I think Paxson is going to win. He's going to win easily.
Quote begins at 17:34
Full episode · siriusxm.com

Prediction time2026-05-27

Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.

Episode published2026-05-27

FirmnessFirm

TopicElections

Resolve by2026-11-03

Boldness73 · Bold

How the call settles

Certified results of the November 2026 Texas U.S. Senate general election show Ken Paxton receiving more votes than James Talarico

Our reasoning

Pending. It will be judged only by this stored rule: Certified results of the November 2026 Texas U.S. Senate general election show Ken Paxton receiving more votes than James Talarico Deadline or event: 2026-11-03.

Polling contextken-paxton

Margin -4.3 points · as of 2026-05-27 · Source