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Record #4495

Ken Paxton will defeat John Cornyn in the Texas Republican U.S. Senate primary runoff (scheduled for May 26, 2026)

Correct

Recorded occurrence

Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.

  1. Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #4495

    The Megyn Kelly Show · Fraud Crockett's Defeat, Michelle Obama's New Racial Complaints, and Trump's Iran "War" Question, with Glenn Greenwald | Ep. 1265

    Original quote
    And frankly, I think it's going to be Paxton. I just I feel like Texans have had enough of the Neocon Cornyn, like they're ready for something new.
    Quote begins at 26:09
Prediction time2026-03-04

Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.

Episode published2026-03-04
FirmnessLoose
TopicElections
Resolve by2026-05-26
Boldness55 · Notable

How the call settles

Certified results of the Texas Republican U.S. Senate primary runoff show Ken Paxton defeating John Cornyn

Our reasoning

YES on the research record because In the May 26, 2026 Texas Republican U.S. Senate primary runoff, Ken Paxton defeated incumbent John Cornyn with 63.8% of more than 1.38 million votes — the first primary defeat of a sitting Texas U.S. senator since 1970.. Applied stored rule: Certified results of the Texas Republican U.S. Senate primary runoff show Ken Paxton defeating John Cornyn.

Outcome evidence

In the May 26, 2026 Texas Republican U.S. Senate primary runoff, Ken Paxton defeated incumbent John Cornyn with 63.8% of more than 1.38 million votes — the first primary defeat of a sitting Texas U.S. senator since 1970.

Outcome date: 2026-05-26

Verdict recorded: 2026-07-30

Basis: research