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Record #4411

Trump's job approval rating will fall into the low 30s (from 34% in the latest Pew poll) in the coming months

Correct

Recorded occurrence

Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.

  1. Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #4411

    MeidasTouch · Thursday Afternoon Breaking Updates with Ben - 7/23/26

    Original quote
    you look at his polling data latest pew research poll his approval is at 34 percent you know he'll be in the 30s he'll be in the low 30s soon
    Quote begins at 1:13:06
Prediction time2026-07-23

Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.

Episode published2026-07-23
FirmnessFirm
TopicElections
Resolve by2026-09-30
Boldness70 · Bold

How the call settles

A major national approval poll or polling average shows Trump job approval at 32% or lower by end of September 2026

Our reasoning

YES on the research record because A Quinnipiac national poll released 2026-07-29 put Trump's job approval at 32%, a new low, and AP-NORC released 2026-07-30 put it at 33% (down from 37%). The criteria threshold of 32% or lower in a major national poll by 2026-09-30 was met on 2026-07-29.. Applied stored rule: A major national approval poll or polling average shows Trump job approval at 32% or lower by end of September 2026.

Outcome evidence

A Quinnipiac national poll released 2026-07-29 put Trump's job approval at 32%, a new low, and AP-NORC released 2026-07-30 put it at 33% (down from 37%). The criteria threshold of 32% or lower in a major national poll by 2026-09-30 was met on 2026-07-29.

Outcome date: 2026-07-29

Verdict recorded: 2026-07-30

Basis: research