Record #4233
Shipping flows through the Strait of Hormuz will not return to pre-war normal, with Iran retaining control of passage, through the end of 2026
PendingRecorded occurrence
Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.
Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #4233 MeidasTouch · Trump Loses it as Ceasefire Scam Fails
Original quoteThe probability of normalized flows is therefore almost zero. I agree. I don't know why people are treating this like it's going to just go back to normal before the war.
Jump to quote · 06:05
Prediction time2026-06-25
Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.
Episode published2026-06-25
FirmnessFirm
TopicElections
Resolve by2026-12-31
Boldness70 · Bold
How the call settles
As of 2026-12-31, Strait of Hormuz transits still require Iranian/IRGC coordination or remain below pre-war (pre-February 2026) normal volumes
Our reasoning
Pending. It will be judged only by this stored rule: As of 2026-12-31, Strait of Hormuz transits still require Iranian/IRGC coordination or remain below pre-war (pre-February 2026) normal volumes Deadline or event: 2026-12-31.