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Record #4073

Iran will not give up its control of the Strait of Hormuz in any deal with the United States

Correct

Recorded occurrence

Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.

  1. Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #4073

    MeidasTouch · MeidasTouch Full Podcast - 5/22/26

    Original quote
    They're not giving up the Strait of Hormuz.
    Jump to quote · 1:12:51
Prediction time2026-05-22

Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.

Episode published2026-05-22
FirmnessFirm
TopicForeign Policy
Resolve byopen
Boldness70 · Bold

How the call settles

No US-Iran agreement is concluded in which Iran cedes control/authority over the Strait of Hormuz

Our reasoning

YES on the research record because The only US-Iran agreement concluded, the June 17, 2026 Islamabad MoU, did not cede Iranian authority over the Strait: it waived tolls 'for 60 days only' and deferred 'future administration of the strait' to Iran, Oman and other Gulf states. Iran subsequently re-closed the waterway on June 22 and the truce collapsed July 8, with the US reinstating its blockade on July 14.. Applied stored rule: No US-Iran agreement is concluded in which Iran cedes control/authority over the Strait of Hormuz.

Outcome evidence

The only US-Iran agreement concluded, the June 17, 2026 Islamabad MoU, did not cede Iranian authority over the Strait: it waived tolls 'for 60 days only' and deferred 'future administration of the strait' to Iran, Oman and other Gulf states. Iran subsequently re-closed the waterway on June 22 and the truce collapsed July 8, with the US reinstating its blockade on July 14.

Outcome date: 2026-06-17

Verdict recorded: 2026-07-30

Basis: research