Record #3763
Trump's Iran war will push the US and global economy into a recession, if not a depression
PendingRecorded occurrence
Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.
Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #3763 MeidasTouch · Trump Goes Mute On Sunday as War Cripples Us
Original quoteDonald Trump has sent our country and sent the world essentially into a great recession, if not a depression. That seems to be where things are headed.
Jump to quote · 06:01
Prediction time2026-03-15
Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.
Episode published2026-03-15
FirmnessLoose
TopicForeign Policy
Resolve by2026-12-31
Boldness55 · Notable
How the call settles
NBER (or equivalent official designation) dates the start of a US recession in 2026, or the US posts two consecutive quarters of negative real GDP growth in 2026
Our reasoning
Pending. It will be judged only by this stored rule: NBER (or equivalent official designation) dates the start of a US recession in 2026, or the US posts two consecutive quarters of negative real GDP growth in 2026 Deadline or event: 2026-12-31.