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Record #3749

The Strait of Hormuz will not reopen to normal commercial shipping in the near term after mid-March 2026

Correct

Recorded occurrence

Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.

  1. Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #3749

    MeidasTouch · Trump’s Health Crashes as he Cracks Under War Pressure!!

    Original quote
    but as I was telling everybody, it's fraud, he's lying, the war's not ending anytime soon, the Strait of Hermose is not opening anytime soon
    Jump to quote · 11:51
Prediction time2026-03-12

Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.

Episode published2026-03-12
FirmnessFirm
TopicElections
Resolve by2026-05-31
Boldness70 · Bold

How the call settles

Commercial transit volume through the Strait of Hormuz has not returned to normal pre-war levels by the end of May 2026 (per shipping trackers/UKMTO reporting)

Our reasoning

YES on the research record because The Strait of Hormuz stayed closed through May 2026: CNN reported on June 2, 2026 that it had been '94 days of paralysis' with traffic still choked off, and in early May open transits were near zero per day versus ~138 vessels daily pre-war, with 1,550+ ships stranded. It only began reopening after the mid-June US-Iran deal.. Applied stored rule: Commercial transit volume through the Strait of Hormuz has not returned to normal pre-war levels by the end of May 2026 (per shipping trackers/UKMTO reporting).

Outcome evidence

The Strait of Hormuz stayed closed through May 2026: CNN reported on June 2, 2026 that it had been '94 days of paralysis' with traffic still choked off, and in early May open transits were near zero per day versus ~138 vessels daily pre-war, with 1,550+ ships stranded. It only began reopening after the mid-June US-Iran deal.

Outcome date: 2026-05-31

Verdict recorded: 2026-07-30

Basis: research