Imperium AmericanumIndependent intelligence · Public evidence
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Record #3748

The US-Iran war will not end in the near term after mid-March 2026

Correct

Recorded occurrence

Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.

  1. Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #3748

    MeidasTouch · Trump’s Health Crashes as he Cracks Under War Pressure!!

    Original quote
    but as I was telling everybody, it's fraud, he's lying, the war's not ending anytime soon, the Strait of Hermose is not opening anytime soon
    Jump to quote · 11:51
Prediction time2026-03-12

Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.

Episode published2026-03-12
FirmnessFirm
TopicElections
Resolve by2026-05-31
Boldness70 · Bold

How the call settles

No ceasefire, armistice or declared end to US-Iran hostilities takes effect by the end of May 2026

Our reasoning

YES on the research record because A US-Iran ceasefire brokered by Pakistan took effect on April 8, 2026 — well before the end of May — and Trump extended it indefinitely on April 21, 2026. Although it was repeatedly violated and later collapsed on July 8, a ceasefire did take effect inside the window. | RE-ADJUDICATED YES (ceasefire-rule review 2026-08-08): Rule 2 case: graded NO because the April 8 ceasefire was treated as ending the war, but it co.... Applied stored rule: No ceasefire, armistice or declared end to US-Iran hostilities takes effect by the end of May 2026.

Outcome evidence

A US-Iran ceasefire brokered by Pakistan took effect on April 8, 2026 — well before the end of May — and Trump extended it indefinitely on April 21, 2026. Although it was repeatedly violated and later collapsed on July 8, a ceasefire did take effect inside the window. | RE-ADJUDICATED YES (ceasefire-rule review 2026-08-08): Rule 2 case: graded NO because the April 8 ceasefire was treated as ending the war, but it collapsed July 8 with fighting ongoing, so 'the war will not end in the near term' was correct.

Outcome date: 2026-07-08

Verdict recorded: 2026-08-09

Basis: research