Imperium AmericanumIndependent intelligence · Public evidence
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Record #3743

US average gasoline prices will reach $4 per gallon following the Iran war oil shock

Correct

Recorded occurrence

Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.

  1. Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #3743

    MeidasTouch · Trump Panics over His Fatal Error in War!!

    Original quote
    So I oil surging 8% or more after hours, pushing $5 diesel has more likely and $4 a gallon gasoline, likely going to see that sooner.
    Jump to quote · 12:50
Prediction time2026-03-12

Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.

Episode published2026-03-12
FirmnessLoose
TopicEconomy
Resolve by2026-06-30
Boldness55 · Notable

How the call settles

EIA weekly US average retail price for regular gasoline reaches $4.00/gallon or higher by mid-2026

Our reasoning

YES on the research record because EIA’s weekly U.S. regular all-formulations gasoline price rose from $3.990 per gallon on March 30 to $4.120 on April 6, first reaching the $4 threshold within the frozen window.. Applied stored rule: EIA weekly US average retail price for regular gasoline reaches $4.00/gallon or higher by mid-2026.

Outcome evidence

EIA’s weekly U.S. regular all-formulations gasoline price rose from $3.990 per gallon on March 30 to $4.120 on April 6, first reaching the $4 threshold within the frozen window.

Outcome date: 2026-04-06

Verdict recorded: 2026-09-10

Basis: research

Correction history

  1. Outcome

    The previously published verdict has been withheld from public scoring because its semantic resolution date did not meet the public validation contract. No replacement verdict has been published.