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Record #3377

Iran will not possess a nuclear weapon for at least the next two and a half years (i.e., not before roughly the end of 2028)

Pending

Recorded occurrence

Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.

  1. Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #3377

    The Rubin Report · This 'The View' Argument Took a Turn Nobody Expected

    Original quote
    Now at least they won't have one for two and a half years until you guys are empowering him and then you're going to build one for him.
    Quote begins at 47:55
Prediction time2026-06-25

Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.

Episode published2026-06-25
FirmnessFirm
TopicElections
Resolve by2028-12-31
Boldness70 · Bold

How the call settles

No credible public confirmation (IAEA, US intelligence, or Iranian announcement) that Iran has a nuclear weapon on or before Dec 31, 2028

Our reasoning

Pending. It will be judged only by this stored rule: No credible public confirmation (IAEA, US intelligence, or Iranian announcement) that Iran has a nuclear weapon on or before Dec 31, 2028 Deadline or event: 2028-12-31.