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Record #3350

Ken Paxton will win the Texas U.S. Senate general election in November 2026

Pending

Recorded occurrence

Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.

  1. Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #3350

    The Rubin Report · Bill Maher's Crowd Stunned by His Brutal Message to Democrats

    Original quote
    Trump is endorsing him and he likely will win.
    Quote begins at 49:12
Prediction time2026-06-01

Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.

Episode published2026-06-01
FirmnessLoose
TopicElections
Resolve by2026-11-03
Boldness56 · Notable

How the call settles

Certified Texas U.S. Senate results show Ken Paxton defeating Democrat James Talarico in the November 2026 general election

Our reasoning

Pending. It will be judged only by this stored rule: Certified Texas U.S. Senate results show Ken Paxton defeating Democrat James Talarico in the November 2026 general election Deadline or event: 2026-11-03.

Polling contextken-paxton

Margin -1.5 points · as of 2026-06-01 · Source