Record #3348

Ken Paxton will win the Texas US Senate seat in the November 2026 general election (beating James Talarico)

Dave Rubin: On The Rubin Report · Prediction made 2026-05-27

Pending

Recorded occurrence

Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.

Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #33482026-05-27
The Rubin Report · Zohran Mamdani Humiliated as Billionaire Responds w/ Warning of His Own
Original quote
will he be a decent senator probably yes will he win probably yes
Quote begins at 38:43
Full episode · 77fe9e48-8ca5-46a1-abbf-39417174e9da.libsyn.com

Prediction time2026-05-27

Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.

Episode published2026-05-27

FirmnessLoose

TopicElections

Resolve by2026-11-03

Boldness58 · Notable

How the call settles

Certified results of the November 2026 Texas US Senate race show Ken Paxton as the winner

Our reasoning

Pending. It will be judged only by this stored rule: Certified results of the November 2026 Texas US Senate race show Ken Paxton as the winner Deadline or event: 2026-11-03.

Polling contextken-paxton

Margin -4.3 points · as of 2026-05-27 · Source