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Record #3327

The 2026 mid-decade redistricting wave will net Republicans roughly 10-11 US House seats (Democrats down about 10)

Pending

Recorded occurrence

Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.

  1. Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #3327

    The Rubin Report · New Polls Show How Much Worse It Just Got for Dems as Spencer Pratt Surges

    Original quote
    It's going to be more like 10 or 11, I think, after all of this, because not only do you have the Virginia case, you've got Louisiana redrawing, Tennessee.
    Quote begins at 46:16
Prediction time2026-05-11

Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.

Episode published2026-05-11
FirmnessLoose
TopicElections
Resolve by2026-11-03
Boldness55 · Notable

How the call settles

Standard analyst tallies (e.g. Cook/Sabato) of the net partisan effect of the 2026 redistricting cycle show a net Republican gain of about 10 or more seats on the maps used in the November 2026 midterms

Our reasoning

Pending. It will be judged only by this stored rule: Standard analyst tallies (e.g. Cook/Sabato) of the net partisan effect of the 2026 redistricting cycle show a net Republican gain of about 10 or more seats on the maps used in the November 2026 midterms Deadline or event: 2026-11-03.