Record #3226
US energy prices will not spike dramatically because of the Iran war
CorrectRecorded occurrence
Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.
Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #3226 The Rubin Report · Host Shocked When Rubio Says What No Other Politician Will Admit
Original quoteenergy prices are going to go crazy and all these none of this is going to come to pass. That isn't to say there won't be a little bumps here and there in the market
Quote begins at 11:32
Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.
How the call settles
US national average retail gasoline price stays below $5.00/gallon through mid-2026 (versus the $3.86 average at the time of the claim)
Our reasoning
YES on the research record because The US national average gasoline price peaked at $4.55 on May 21, 2026 (up from $2.96 pre-war) and never reached $5.00, falling back to about $3.81 by July - satisfying the stay-below-$5.00-through-mid-2026 criteria despite JPMorgan warnings it could top $5.. Applied stored rule: US national average retail gasoline price stays below $5.00/gallon through mid-2026 (versus the $3.86 average at the time of the claim).
Outcome evidence
The US national average gasoline price peaked at $4.55 on May 21, 2026 (up from $2.96 pre-war) and never reached $5.00, falling back to about $3.81 by July - satisfying the stay-below-$5.00-through-mid-2026 criteria despite JPMorgan warnings it could top $5.
Outcome date: 2026-06-30
Verdict recorded: 2026-07-29
Basis: research