Imperium AmericanumIndependent intelligence · Public evidence
All sections

Record #3218

The Iran-Israel-US conflict will not end by March 15, 2026

Pending

Recorded occurrence

Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.

  1. Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #3218

    The Rubin Report · 'Shark Tank' Legend Notices Something in Iran War Others Refuse to See

    Original quote
    The Iran-Israel-US conflict ends by 4% say by March 15th. That's next week. So that's probably not happening.
    Quote begins at 16:10
Prediction time2026-03-11

Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.

Episode published2026-03-11
FirmnessLoose
TopicElections
Resolve by2026-03-15
Boldness55 · Notable

How the call settles

Hostilities between Iran and the US/Israel are still ongoing on March 15, 2026 (Polymarket 'conflict ends by March 15' resolves NO)

Our reasoning

Pending. It will be judged only by this stored rule: Hostilities between Iran and the US/Israel are still ongoing on March 15, 2026 (Polymarket 'conflict ends by March 15' resolves NO) Deadline or event: 2026-03-15.

Correction history

  1. Outcome

    The previously published verdict has been withheld from public scoring because it did not meet the research-only evidence contract. No replacement verdict has been published.