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Record #3216

The US/Israeli bombing campaign against Iran will continue roughly another one to two weeks, into late March 2026

Incorrect

Recorded occurrence

Each quote retains its own speaker, episode, publication date, timestamp when available, and full-source link.

  1. Occurrence 1 of 1 · source record #3216

    The Rubin Report · 'Shark Tank' Legend Notices Something in Iran War Others Refuse to See

    Original quote
    But I think that the broad point that Bill was making there is right. Another week or two of degrading all of the military stuff and then some meeting somewhere.
    Quote begins at 15:19
Prediction time2026-03-11

Exact speaking time unavailable; using the official episode publication date.

Episode published2026-03-11
FirmnessLoose
TopicElections
Resolve by2026-03-25
Boldness55 · Notable

How the call settles

Sustained US/Israeli strikes on Iran continue roughly 7-14 more days past March 11, 2026 and then wind down

Our reasoning

NO on the research record because Strikes did not wind down within 7-14 days of March 11: a new aerial campaign over the Strait of Hormuz began March 19 and full-scale operations continued roughly four more weeks until the Pakistan-brokered ceasefire of April 8, 2026, well past the ~March 25 window. | NEAR MISS (review 2026-08-08): Narrow timing miss: he called continued strikes for another 1-2 weeks followed by a wind-down, and the campaign in fact.... Applied stored rule: Sustained US/Israeli strikes on Iran continue roughly 7-14 more days past March 11, 2026 and then wind down.

Outcome evidence

Strikes did not wind down within 7-14 days of March 11: a new aerial campaign over the Strait of Hormuz began March 19 and full-scale operations continued roughly four more weeks until the Pakistan-brokered ceasefire of April 8, 2026, well past the ~March 25 window. | NEAR MISS (review 2026-08-08): Narrow timing miss: he called continued strikes for another 1-2 weeks followed by a wind-down, and the campaign in fact paused at the April 8 ceasefire - exactly 14 days past the ~March 25 window, at the edge of the two-week tolerance.

Outcome date: 2026-03-25

Verdict recorded: 2026-07-29

Basis: research