{"format_version":2,"generated_at":"2026-09-10T19:15:22+00:00","release_id":"sha256:d774fadaa5c63e933abfe81d1758d1cba3f0f1d369f295cdd8ddb6d894969311","fields":["raw_quote","timestamp_in_episode"],"rows":[["So if I were to sort of game this out, I would suspect that Republicans hold Texas, hold Maine, hold Michigan, take Michigan and probably hold Iowa.","42:47"],["Like, I think that Michigan is going to be an uphill battle for the Democrats because the more people find out about Abdul Elsai, the less they like him. ... I would suspect that Republicans hold Texas, hold Maine, hold Michigan, take Michigan and probably hold Iowa.","42:40"],["In Maine, Susan Collins is, in fact, a survivor. So if I were to sort of game this out, I would suspect that Republicans hold Texas, hold Maine, hold Michigan, take Michigan and probably hold Iowa.","42:47"],["So if I were to sort of game this out, I would suspect that Republicans hold Texas, hold Maine, hold Michigan, take Michigan and probably hold Iowa. So I'm a little bit less catastrophic about all this.","42:47"],["Angie Nixon is a nut. She is a Democratic socialist American nut job. There is no way she wins this race. She gets destroyed by Ashley Moody. Ashley Moody could not wish for a better opponent.","34:57"],["Again, he is going to win. Byron's gonna win the race. And it's not just that Byron is going to win the race. The person who's running against him, we had him David Jolly used to be a Republican. I mean, this is a very red state.","31:55"],["The, this woman, in my view, Andrew has zero chance of beating the Republican, Ashley Moody, not just because she's a socialist and she seems to be kind of militant, which is going to be a turnoff to more moderate voters. But because she's a loon when it comes to cultural issues, just like most of these DSA types","12:41"],["So the House is in danger. It's probably going to fall to Democrats.","14:02"],["Senator John Asaf of Georgia, a Democrat who's on the short list for possible Democratic candidate for president, though he denies he's going to do it, but he's totally going to do it","1:02:28"],["Who do you think is on the top of the list? I think probably it's Elena Haba.","29:39"],["But we are watching Florida results coming in today. We expect Byron Donald's to take it.","16:35"],["This is why President Trump, we got to stop yammering about the Save America Act. It's not going to happen. You know why it's not going to happen? Because John Thune and the donors don't want to happen.","33:43"],["My guess is Haba, if Trump wants this biggest spectacle, Kelly would be for stability and Jennings, if Trump can persuade him to surrender his lucrative TV work.","25:17"],["It seems like Donald Trump is going to cost the MAGA Republicans, not just the House of Representatives, but the Senate and most of the key Senate races, including in some of those, once thought of as ruby red seats","02:33"],["now what does it mean South Korea has to choose we get a nuke, which is very likely now in my opinion, in the next decade, I think they'll have a nuclear weapon","38:34"],["Trump knows they're getting cooked in the midterms. He's already done this whole redistricting thing. It has helped to mitigate the losses, but they are still very much on track to lose the House and possibly the Senate as well.","25:26"],["Now, I assume the news will dribble out and dribble out, and there'll be another allegation and other allegation, and none of the Democrats will care.","33:56"],["I'm not looking for reasons to criticize the vice president. I really am not. He's likely to be the Republican nominee, which means that I'm likely to vote for him.","53:39"],["apparently 8.5% of people think that Candace Owens is going to be arrested this year. I disagree, by the way. She's not going to be arrested because as said earlier, there's no evidence for the idea that she's wearing herself on street corner. So I don't think that's going to happen.","20:08"],["...when the Democrats take control of the House of Representatives after the midterms, Democratic Congress member Garcia, who's now the ranking member of the House oversight committee, who will soon become the chairman of the House oversight committee, has made it clear that you will be one of the first people to get a subpoena.","00:14"],["Magamike is panicking as he realizes. Time is up. Magamike getting ready to lose his job come the midterms, and it'll probably lose all leadership positions in the Republican Party thereafter.","02:00"],["Come on, let's make the bet. See how it turns out. I think that I could read polls better than you can. I think that the underlying numbers are clearly showing that up dual [Abdul] is going to win. Even though currently he's not winning.","1:17:59"],["i'm gonna what wager? You twenty? Bucks Ben, BAD i didn't say, FIVE i said, Twenty, okay twenty. Bucks Nannis kanter never plays one minute in THE. Wnba","12:50"],["their commissioner came out and they, said, well these questions are very, complicated which which MEANS i think it is one hundred percent they are gonna block. THEM","11:57"],["Pretty much everybody, at least a huge majority of people in the calcium markets, which, again, a sponsor of ours, believe that she is going to announce a presidential run before the actual presidential season starts next year. Again, I find it hard to believe that she wouldn't.","27:28"],["I actually think there's a decent probability following a Hunter Biden interview that Tucker Carlson becomes a Democrat and actually advocates for moderate sane Democrats in the 28th cycle.","26:23"],["I predict they're not going to entertain the draft paperwork for Ennis Cantor and Royce White.","01:27"],["Kansas. Roger Marshall's the incumbent. He's a good friend of mine. He's a good man. I think he's going to win.","38:59"],["In Florida next week, the Republicans have a primary. They have a gripper white nationalist candidates, James Fishback. He is likely to lose. The candidate is likely to win Byron Donald's former congressman.","24:22"],["where there is no risk that a Republican is going to win the governorship there. Like, the chances are very, very low. Yeah, to my great sadness. Michelle Tafoya is very unlikely to win that gubernatorial race because Minnesota is fairly deep blue at this point.","45:35"],["And this is why they can scream all they want and cry. They want to throw their toys out of the pram. But this is going to happen.","26:09"],["Watch, she's going to be cutting a deal. She don't want to go to federal prison.","39:44"],["we are now in a protracted, in my opinion, years long conflict. I do not think that this will end by the time Donald Trump is present. It ends his presidency.","13:45"],["and I'm pretty confident Democrats will take control of the Senate","17:35"],["when Democrats take control and Democrats are going to take control of the House","17:33"],["AOC can't win because she's a woman.","09:20"],["And Egypt's likely going to be joining. And by the way, the foreign minister of Qatar and the foreign ministry of Qatar today said, we respect that alliance.","37:44"],["Let's talk about what went down in the Oval Office, but first let me show you what Senator Bill Cassidy, Republican from Louisiana, who is no longer gonna be the Senator after the midterms because Donald Trump didn't endorse him and his career is over because of Trump.","33:57"],["But the potential to end Trump's presidency in practice simply by taking the house, which seems more likely than not, no matter what happens in the Senate, we don't know by what margin, but by some margin taking the house, this is going to send Trump for a loop.","07:55"],["I think this is going to happen for years. I think it will literally, I mean years.","25:31"],["He believes that will lead them to give up concessions at the negotiating table. I think it is far more likely that it leads them to escalate. I think that is a much more likely outcome here.","24:20"],["Real surrender is going to be, here's your money, reopen the strait, you get to charge your tolls, we walk away, and the Saudis and everybody else will phase out our bases over time. That's actually what's going to happen eventually.","18:41"],["I think it is one hundred percent they are going to block them. I don't know how, because their ideology is incoherent.","33:46"],["But now the heir apparent to Bernie Sanders announced, she was running for president in 2028. She did so not by announcing formally but by doing two things.","02:11"],["The groundwork that Trump is laying is coming from the reality that he probably can't win this war by any real definition. He's going to walk away seemingly with no nuclear deal.","00:54"],["Now that, that's what could be the end result of the choking strategy of the blockading strategy. Uh, but I don't think that happens in three months. It's not going to happen before the election.","40:15"],["They're going to take North Carolina, so that's probably a relatively done deal.","20:18"],["So Trump's not going to get a peace deal in Gaza.","03:08"],["But the bigger question actually is whether he's going to win. That's honestly the more interesting question. I probably would bet on him right now.","27:37"],["I just think the American consumer has been hammered twice. COVID was a total disaster, and now gas prices which today I just looked four dollars a gallon on average. That seems to be the status quo. Because I was reading in the Wall Street Journal, we didn't get to this with Trita, that the Trump administration seems to think that they can live in this this status quo with Iran, this like we're you know, no war, no peace because gas is quote only four dollars a gallon, which we both know is just so devastating, not just for the inputs of everything that needs to be trucked, etc. Like all that, but really it just just eats away at any of the disposable income that people have. And it's about to get cold. So when it get cold, demanded all that stuff, it's going to go up hurricane season. That's all you need, and then next thing you are looking five dollars.","38:35"],["It's going to be impeachment. They're not going to try it or not going to bring it to a head for a year. They're way to the middle of the primary season in 2018, but they're going to start right out of the box in 2017, 2027, excuse me, and they're going to quite intensely turn the White House into Fort Apache.","50:31"],["So now they're saying, okay, well, the Lincoln may leave and it could be replaced by the Teddy Roosevelt, but the Teddy Roosevelt won't be ready. I think it's in Hawaii. I think so. That won't be ready at least until Christmas.","08:52"],["The deal between Iran and Oman that's going to take place will have Iran control these Strait of Hormuz","03:28"],["I would put that likelihood closer to twenty five percent.","47:58"],["Philopatric, I think it's what, by election day, we're going to be at $40 trillion.","10:22"],["Todd Blanche now is going to be confirmed and hopefully sworn in, sworn in ASAP and get to work.","08:08"],["He's very Obama-esque. He's got charisma, man, but I don't think he can win. I don't think so. I think he's, uh, going to lose.","1:49:35"],["I think that Abdul Elsaid is going to pick up a ton, not a little bit, but a shocking amount of independent votes in Michigan and going to win the general election easier than he won the primary.","15:22"],["The judge set for March. I think there's going to be a settlement.","1:10:11"],["ultimately, I believe the Supreme Court will affirm the decision that has been made by the DC Circuit Court of Appeal and they will block the construction or what's left of the construction.","04:01"],["Perhaps she votes no, but then there's likely chance that Cassidy votes. Yes. And he gets through","1:09:37"],["Also they're going to vote on a CR that still has the spending of Biden and Pelosi and kick the can down the road to right before Christmas where they're going to have omnibus.","08:56"],["And meanwhile, we're gonna go and win these races. And Abdul's gonna win that general election. And it's gonna make a huge difference.","30:11"],["Tucker's is like better run for president as I am to move to India and start my cricket career. I just don't think it's going to happen. Just disagree. Just don't think you might do it as a lark. But as a credible campaign, I don't believe it. I don't believe the support's there for it.","1:23:26"],["So we'll have to see how all of this plays out. My guess is that the DOJ will take this up and we'll play that process out.","1:00:00"],["So now the judge said, and I want to see the privilege log, which once that gets produced and that can then open up what we all suspect, you think they're ever going to turn over the privilege log? You think Blanche is ever going to turn over? No, they never going to.","44:49"],["And you could have James Tallarico as the senator from Texas. Those are all possibilities.","02:23"],["On that night too, you could have Abdul as senator in the industrial heartland and the railhead of the defeat of the Axis in Imperial Japan from Detroit mass production. Abdul could be the United States senator from there","02:01"],["I said that, look, hey, it's not a zero probability. In fact, it looks like it might happen unless the grassroots jump in and can defeat Abdul in Michigan and Tallarico in Texas. That on the evening before midnight strikes, on the evening of three November in the year of our Lord 2026, essentially 90 days away from this barcast right now, that a Ugandan Marxist jihadist named, Mom Donnie will be the mayor in total control of the greatest city in American history, New York City","00:59"],["And yes, Paxton's going to win.","17:48"],["And Tallarico, who is a freak, is the Senator from Texas.","37:19"],["Abdul is the Senator in Michigan, the great industrial powerhouse of Detroit and the Henry Ford and mass production and what that meant to victory in World War II.","36:23"],["Francesca Hank is likely to be the Democrat nominee to be governor of Wisconsin.","25:35"],["But I think they're mistaken. I don't think the Republicans are gonna pick Rubio at all, but we'll see.","1:33:27"],["So that's a house candidate in Colorado. She won an improbable victory in the primaries. She's likely going to be the next Congresswoman from there. Her name is Milat Kros","58:40"],["So she's a total psychotic, and that's the person Democrats are going to choose to run for governor in Wisconsin.","16:38"],["Francesca Hong is, of course, the Wisconsin gubernatorial candidate who is a part-time bartender, part-time chef, and full-time moron. And she is unlikely to become Wisconsin governor, but she could.","15:43"],["We've been reporting first on the Midas Touch network that we believe the decision was already made to fire her or to have her resign. I'm sure we will hear that very soon that she has gone. Bye-bye Janine.","05:08"],["I do think ultimately he was he is going to have to at least drop out of his reelection campaign. Maybe not resign, but even Republicans are turning on him.","19:16"],["Coach Tubberville, the great senator from the state of Alabamaho's going to be the next governor of that state, and we're sad to lose them from the Senate","18:45"],["So even though you are likely doing Republicans in this seat, He's going to go for it in the off chance that he can hold on, because what else are you going to do with his life?","28:59"],["President Trump's administration is if it is to end, either this November when these Marxists take the house or in 2028, if he determines he's not going to run for another term, you're going to have missed a golden opportunity because nothing's going to change.","10:56"],["That election is tomorrow. Make sure if you're in Michigan, you're voting. You could vote today too early voting has begun. And if you know anyone, friends or family in Michigan, make sure to let them know to vote because that election is America versus Israel. Abdul Al-Sayed represents America and we need that win badly. And I think we're going to get it.","1:56:20"],["This woman, Hong, again, she's probably going to win the Democrat primary for governor in Wisconsin today. Then she'll have to face off against a Republican for the actual job. But this is who the Democrats are likely to put up for for the post.","13:53"],["Well, that lady is likely, according to Calche, to be the nominee in Wisconsin.","20:57"],["So as much as I like to ship both SpaceX, if I were to make a bet, it would be that it will be a significant pop because of all the short selling and the anything but bad news will result in a short squeeze that sends the stock up temporarily.","25:34"],["She chickened out. She folded like an umbrella. And we believe that she will either be forced to resign or be fired at any moment now.","01:16"],["He could just create another order tomorrow. And he's going to, we all know what he's going to do.","33:14"],["So that's what Donald Trump's going to do. He's going to let Iran and Oman do the deal. They were always going to do no MOU.","03:33"],["I think it is now relatively obvious that Senator Mitch McConnell is never coming back to the United States Senate. Now, of course, his name might stay attached to the seat until January. Formally are strictly speaking, he will be one of the two senators from Kentucky. His staff may keep putting out written statements supposedly dictated by Mitch McConnell or whatever. We may even get another carefully staged picture. But in every meaningful sense, like in the sense of is he going to be acting as senator in his capacity to represent the Kentucky people? Of course not.","01:29"],["All right so if we move on from this it's primary day obviously all eyes are on Michigan I don't even know why we're looking at Michigan I seems to be like a four one conclusion that Abdul L. say it is going to win that race against Haley Haley Stevens.","20:46"],["We're in the dog days of summer officially, and schools get back in. But man Murderer's row DSA Murder's row is coming from Michigan. We have the long awaited for primary on the Democrat side and it happens tonight, and we are expecting l Sayed to win that. But let the voters decide in Michigan.","01:27"],["And that's that's why we show the Byron Donalds thing, I mean, very likely to be the next governor of Florida.","13:32"],["One of the I think primary test cases for this is Francesca hun who looks set to dominate the Democratic primary for Wisconsin governor. That race happens next week.","24:21"],["You've got Donovan Kinney who is against an incumbent Democrat, and again, looks very much like he's going to be able to prevail there.","08:59"],["Now they're going to go and recess. Now we're going to go back to run for reelection. Now you're going to have a lame duck and nothing's going to get done to codify this.","36:05"],["You've got also the Save America Act. They're not going to get to that. They have no interest in doing it.","47:00"],["President I think will sign it and make him the permanent Attorney General on Saturday at the latest.","45:53"],["They'll vote along party lines basically. So he will be confirmed probably on Thursday or Friday.","45:46"],["Tonight in Michigan, you're going to have a Marxist-Jihadi when the Democratic primary for the Senate.","11:47"],["you can see some change tonight cousin in michigan a marxist your hottest is about to win i think he's going to blow out the other progressive","27:21"],["because this fight is going to come down to in control of power i think it's going to come down to i don't know a dozen to maybe fifteen sixteen house seats in various parts of the country there are the razor's edge right now","18:02"],["I think that Abdul will probably win.","1:14:19"],["And then you have Thomas Massey, who is sitting there looking free of the congressional life because he's basically given up on life, except for his quixotic presidential run, which he will certainly make in the next few months.","45:49"],["But again, Abdul Al-Sayed, who may very soon be Senator from Michigan.","23:32"],["And already the US bond market is terrible. I mean, the 30-year treasury yield, I mean, I'm not being hyperbolic. I could hit 5.5% soon.","14:29"],["Let's not forget about Abdul l sai Ed who is in Michigan. It's probably gonna be this Democrat senator. There was a candidate for Senate from Michigan.","44:12"],["named Francesca Hong. She is a radical, looney tune lefty who is likely going to be the Democrat nominee for governor.","36:13"],["this war, it appears that we are approaching an actual full withdrawal from Iraq. As bases in the Kurdistan region face attacks from Iran and their proxies, Patriot air defense systems that detect and shoot down incoming missiles and drones have already been removed.","30:20"],["soon the Supreme Court is going to side with Calcium, almost one hundred percent sure of it, and this will be absolutely nationwide legal","44:45"],["it'll be voted out uh and probably by saturday he will be sworn in by the president and then be the permanent attorney general","36:34"],["committee tomorrow straight party line vote not one democrat will vote to support uh to support tard uh it'll go the floor","36:26"],["The this is going to come down to a handful of house seats and the razors edge on that or the gaps on that are going to be in the hundreds, maybe the thousands of votes. So this is going to be as tight as you can ever imagine just to hold serve and holding serve ain't great, right?","45:47"],["So now it's obvious. She likely is going to lose her bar license. She's going to get fired.","13:41"],["It appears that Janine Piero is about to be fired. Expect her to either resign or be fired. This upcoming week, all hell, is breaking loose right now within the Trump cabinet.","00:45"],["Japan is expected to announce on Monday that it coordinated with the US to intervene in currency markets to support the yen after it fell to a 40 year low.","24:18"],["based on him going public, I worry that he will probably be forced out or fired like many of the other top generals and admirals that the Trump regime has pushed out","00:40"],["But it's also personal money, right? Now he's probably gonna keep the jet anyway.","1:36:52"],["Hey, good news. We've got to deal with Hamas. That's gonna actually liberate Gaza. Bad news, it involves Israel so there's no chance it's going to happen.","28:03"],["You gave the UAE the top classified chip and UAE is just going to give it to China, man.","24:39"],["Russia is going to do a massive winter offensive. The Russian Duma just said this war is going to only escalate and get much more violent until we take over all of Ukraine. And what Russia is going to use now that they know that Ukraine doesn't have the interceptors. They're going to lead with these ballistic missiles.","08:22"],["The whole world is in a war right now, whether it's Russia strikes on Ukraine and Kyiv killing at least nine people. I think it'll probably be closer to 15 to 20","15:05"],["donald this is what donald trump's gonna do he's just gonna be relentless do nothing in writing and he's gonna continue just to say approve him approve him and he's never gonna agree to put anything in writing here","12:07"],["Hopefully this can be resolved by Tuesday, and you know, it's not going to be resolved by Tuesday because Donald Trump doesn't want to put it in writing that the waiver of his tax liability and him not being audited by the IRS.","06:42"],["Donald Trump's buddy, Gianni Infantino is likely going to lose his job as the FIFA President.","03:15"],["I believe we're going to get into we're going to do a CR. They're already talking about a government shutdown.","16:26"],["my assumption, I don't know this, but I actually assume on this contempt finding, I think all fifty three Republicans would would vote to hold him in contempt","31:04"],["my my full expectation is that that vote will be party line. That that that that uh, that committee has an eight to seven Republican majority, So I'm assuming all eight Republicans will vote for it, and I assume all seven Democrats will vote against it","27:35"],["announcing this like oh it's gonna be great come on you're gonna end up with egg on your face because the palisinians are not gonna or or the israelis maybe maybe they'll break the ceasefire someone's gonna throw a rock and so i'd if guys and be like blam you know like that happens all the time too","1:05:39"],["i love your optimism don it ain't gonna happen i don't i mean i i don't buy it for a second that that that humus is actually going to disarm","1:04:15"],["Ain't no Senator is going to be able to get this thing over the line. It's just that the votes aren't there.","1:05:15"],["He's up for reelection. He will be primary.","1:02:39"],["I don't think this is what's going to happen here, but there is a blue wave scenario where Republicans drop five seats in this election cycle.","1:01:53"],["Roy Cooper is almost certain to take the Republican Senate seat in North Carolina.","1:01:27"],["Now listen, I think Paxton wins that race because it's still Texas","58:03"],["Francesca Hong, who's likely to be the Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial nominee.","36:50"],["This thing gets rebranded or negotiated or shrunk to a much smaller Kushner-optic scrub version before September 19th","1:02:15"],["This is, this is why I think we're going to win the, the seat in Maine or when I say we Democrats","55:52"],["Well, at least with Tillis, it seems pretty clear that Tillis is going to be replaced by former Governor Cooper. And you'll have a Democrat in that seat now in North Carolina.","1:03:10"],["I've talked about that, but this is not a plan that is going to boost manufacturing jobs in the United States.","46:39"],["If he doesn't, which he's presenting none, he is undermining an election because he wants an excuse if voters reject him, which they almost certainly are going to do.","25:33"],["Cruz is probably going to run. So keep that in mind.","38:04"],["Now I'm going to make a bold prediction here, a bold prediction. Nothing will happen.","06:09"],["Likely Byron Donald's is going to be the next governor.","54:22"],["Watch what's gonna happen. The Houthis surely will be attacking more refineries in Saudi Arabia and other infrastructure. Wait for that. I'm sure I'll be reporting on that this morning.","12:38"],["We'll have more strikes in Yemen.","1:01:09"],["The US I'm sure will strike Iran. Iran will strike back.","1:00:58"],["So over the next few hours, maybe even right now, I haven't seen it, the US I'm sure will strike Iran.","1:00:51"],["So what I expect to happen shortly is the Houthis, obviously, part of the axis of resistance with Iran will now strike more refineries in Saudi Arabia. So I expect that to happen.","08:51"],["And I think Trump will drag on these discussions. Okay, with the licenses coming, the licenses coming, don't worry, we'll get you the interceptors. And then I think that never actually arrived.","05:57"],["Paxton's going to win, but it's going to be a struggle because he had $225 million of negative ads put on top of him by Coron and Coron wants payback.","45:44"],["It does not look like this war is going to end tomorrow. There's not like an off ramp they're looking for for right now.","27:39"],["I've also predicted I think Mandami will be the next Democrat Senator from New York.","19:54"],["I believe it is one hundred percent that Chuck Schumer cannot win another primary in the Democrat Party in New York, and I think he's gradually coming to realize that.","19:22"],["I personally don't think that is what is something that we can look forward to. I think the war will continue.","05:37"],["But Netanyahu is showing up. He will not be arrested.","1:08:41"],["However, we do have a gubernatorial election coming up and 99% chance it will be Byron Donald's who's Congressman from Southwest Florida.","50:55"],["Yeah, he'll probably won't lose his government pension. I think it's about 400 grand a year. He probably won't lose that.","12:23"],["I don't think Anthony Fauci is going to end up in jail here. I really do not.","12:02"],["So I think Trump will just move further and further into all out war right now.","10:09"],["I also reported earlier that China is providing multiple, you know, hundreds and hundreds and hundreds of those man-pad shoulder missiles that will be going to Iran.","18:14"],["That's why I still expect the price of oil to hit 125, 150.","14:32"],["Both the Strait of Hormuz and Bob L. Mondob are going to be locked down in tolling systems.","14:19"],["There's a chance that the independent wins that Senate seat in Idaho as well. And a Republican can be, can lose their seat right there.","18:20"],["Is Iran likely to succeed in assassinating Melania or Barron Trump? I think the answer is no. Both are protected by the Secret Service.","49:06"],["Alex Jones is just furious over the Iran war and he says the administration is preparing to reinstate the draft and launch this massive ground invasion. I don't think they're about to reinstate the draft.","11:13"],["Food prices projected to rise another 3.1% this year, another 3.1% next year. Now, I always say, hold elected officials accountable to their promises. Trump said grocery prices would come down while also saying the entire concept of grocery affordability is a scam. But he said the prices would come down and instead they're going to go up.","02:45"],["You have another heated battle between Peggy Flanagan and Angie Craig, Angie Craig being the establishment pick in Minnesota. It's looking very much like Peggy Flanagan is going to be able to win that battle.","50:32"],["And it's going to happen in five different areas creating food deserts which again I'm not making up.","25:16"],["The government run grocery store will then run out of goods and not be able to restock fast enough. You will then get massive lines out the door with shortages in the only grocery store within five miles.","25:04"],["The Bodega's can't compete and even if they lose five percent of their business they go out of business. What's going to happen is in the surrounding areas people are going to choose to go to the government location instead. It's going to cause the Bodega's each to lose a small percentage but enough for them to go under.","24:48"],["And then you can see, as Peter points out, that then the store that's struggling to compete right now with those razor thin margins, they're going to look over there and be like, oh, these guys are working with the government. We can't really do this anymore. They're going to flee the city.","08:41"],["Fauci is now under subpoena to testify under oath on Capitol Hill this Wednesday. After years of media worship and institutional protection, the man who helped shut down the country is finally going to have to answer questions under penalty of perjury.","06:03"],["No one is going to build new houses or new apartment buildings in New York, under Zormam Mamdani.","07:25"],["I personally think it would be a good move at this point for these guys to self-age gate. Say we're not letting anyone on the platform. I think they're gonna do that. They're gonna do it the night before it's about to pass and congress is one.","42:43"],["I think I'm gonna go on a limb and say this deal doesn't happen. The steel doesn't happen.","23:05"],["I do think the merits of this case or the lack thereof will result in a judge saying, okay, this is going to close.","17:41"],["They want to get it this fall. It's not going to happen this fall. The judge is going to set this schedule. This judge doesn't seem in any rush.","14:29"],["I think he's going to say some appropriate remarks at the funeral of Lindsey Graham. Not saying it's a eulogy, but I think the president will give remarks there at two o'clock.","04:13"],["But now it looks like that escalation is on hold. And I am not dumb enough to think that it's over. Trump realizes we've depleted our military assets and as a result, maybe we should just call it a day and walk away. I think that this war will continue.","41:19"],["I don't I'm not holding my breath for that health care plan. I hope you aren't either.","28:09"],["Maybe they will retain the house, probably not. Maybe they will retain the Senate, probably. You know, there's uncertainty to elections.","46:27"],["now they've been able to assert control over the Strait of Hormuz, very likely guaranteeing themselves as sort of endless stream of revenue from cargo ships, transiting the Strait of Hormuz","21:52"],["he just announced that they're slapping tariffs on generic drug imports, which is going to increase, logically increase the cost of those generic drugs, which are the less expensive alternatives to brand names here in the US","38:32"],["There's no end in sight and those economic indicators are just going to continue to decline. You know, we're going to have higher, even higher grocery price.","34:12"],["which is why at this point, I think she's, I hate to use the betting market odds, but she's like 80% favored to win the Democratic primary","58:54"],["So what he's saying is, because you didn't save America, that's what's caused 1929 Great Depression. I had it all figured out. I was going to fix it. We had the greatest year ever.","1:09:57"],["What he's doing right now is he doesn't care when there was an economic Great Depression, which is coming.","1:09:11"],["you may be able to cause some more damage to Iran. You're not going to accomplish regime change or anything that you've thought you can do far from it.","12:43"],["So now they're going to blow up the pipelines that try to do any end run around these straight of hormones while also choking off the Red Sea through the Babel Mandab Strait.","16:40"],["My guess is recess, not my guess. 100% recess will not be canceled. I won't be on the grid to find out, but there is no way they will cancel recess.","1:03:10"],["Here is Zarmam Donny calling for the protest, prepare for some violence over the next few days in New York, probably.","35:38"],["Well, Rahm Emanuel, who's trying to run again a quixotic presidential campaign, he's not going to win a single primary","29:28"],["I mean, whatever the possibility of doing that was five months ago and it didn't work and I don't think Trump was ever going to do quite enough. Well, I'm not sure he could have, honestly, but I don't think he's going to do it now.","21:02"],["But we're going to get that money and make sure it goes where it belongs, which is to maritime domain awareness.","16:51"],["Now, will those efforts succeed? Probably not. Elections are administered by states. Presidents can't cancel them.","51:20"],["Now James Comer is not going to pursue this. Of course, House Republicans have no appetite for investigating anybody connected to Trump.","25:09"],["Beshear has suggested maybe he will challenge that, but that would open up a legal fight, very uncertain. I highly doubt it leads to an automatic Democratic appointment, probably not before the next person is sworn in.","29:11"],["I'm very skeptical of this possibility of new negotiations because I don't think that the landscape for Trump has really shifted. He is not going to be willing to accept what the Iranians are willing to give at this point.","19:38"],["I also really want to caution people about this pause. It could definitely, right now there's a lot of deliberation and guess who's coming to town today? BB, all right? So I wouldn't bet against him.","11:06"],["I have been advising or I shouldn't say advising, arguing when they win in November because they will win. They shouldn't be seated.","47:18"],["And these two, these two groups are going to go at each other and Syria is going to get into it because you know what? It's just the way it is.","46:51"],["well yeah i mean of course they fell flat in front of this crowd which is probably why trump won't do it again because they're not in good humor about themselves","1:13:59"],["so I imagine he's going to be feeling foot loose and fancy free and expecting all of his media buddies to cover for him that's what I think because I remember when James Comey testified to the House Oversight Committee 245 times he said I couldn't remember he didn't know or it was outside of his expertise so I that's what I think he's going to do","22:43"],["Scott, I thank you for your time. I will wish you luck, although I have a feeling you're not going to need it that much luck.","14:12"],["Today, they have 100,000 registered members. By the end of the year, they'll probably have 500,000 registered members.","10:58"],["massy is no longer going to be in congress as of january 3rd","1:55:01"],["there's not going to be any amnesty i don't care how you but you know how you put lipstick on that pig","51:44"],["this is why they're already working on a CR to kick the can down the road to lead to an omnibus that continues on with biden and plosse spending","30:27"],["in fact Dave Bratt who's been silent for about a year I think will be confirmed next week and be headed to Australia as the ambassador in a long line","20:38"],["And it's going to be a major effort. And it's going to happen. This is never going to be allowed to merge the industrial bases of the United States.","31:28"],["You take a look at the 30-year fixed rate mortgage. 6.85%. That'll be over 7% in no time.","03:48"],["And gas will be on average $5, $6 a gallon.","02:07"],["I think the price of crude will be $150 a barrel at this rate.","02:02"],["Well, wherever he is, he's going to be subpoenaed soon and he's going to sit under oath and he's going to have his deposition taken and some serious questions are going to be asked to Baron Trump","01:51"],["you're seeing the market in an AI buy for Kate and to German automobile. My high price, high margin companies that won't be as relevant as the Japanese or the low cost manufacturers, which will be Chinese AI.","46:17"],["And I think under all is going to be probably the IPO of 27.","52:50"],["I think the biggest show on television from Netflix or someone else is going to be a 60-minute compilation of two and three-minute videos similar to what you see on Reels or TikTok.","46:39"],["I think it's a $30 stock.","42:10"],["They'll come up with new products and it will trade, I think, at 70 to 80 percent less than it's trading down on the stock market.","40:51"],["I think this is going to sweep over Europe.","35:50"],["This is a worldwide trend, and it will be coming here at some point, and relatively soon.","32:41"],["It'll either be Gavin Newsom or TBD. America likes to fall in love with someone they don't know well before Fox destroys them. It'll be a Democrat.","08:03"],["Well, I think in the end, given how the Israelis feel about this deal, it's unlikely to actually come to fruition.","1:25:58"],["My assumption, my assumption is the teachers' unions will oppose it."],["Well, to some degree, Republicans are realizing that bill is going to go over like a lead balloon with a lot of people and is realistically only going to drag down Republicans in November. They don't want anything to do with it. At least some of them. But Trump is losing patience. Well, I think Trump is simply going to have to wait.","45:24"],["because it does seem like an actual ban on Kimmy K three is coming sometime soon if these companies have their way","17:54"],["we're like very likely to hit one hundred dollars a barrel today","07:17"],["This would be an insane thing, and it looks like it's going to happen. Trump is now saying that Republicans should add Iran to the Russia sanctions bill.","50:20"],["that we're seeing is that they are building up for some larger attack","10:33"],["It is abundantly clear now that this air campaign only approach is not going to get him anywhere."],["I think if you just play this thing out, that they do turn on each other, right? They do turn on each other.","42:36"],["By the way, when I got Jim Rickards talking payloads, I kind of get a feeling it's going to be a kinetic weekend.","47:00"],["And their messaging has been no signs of foul play, boys are all cooperating. I'm pretty sure we're going to get a diagnosis of accidental death by drowning. That's where my money is.","33:13"],["it's obvious to Iran, it's obvious to anybody that this full scale US invasion that will make the initial stages of epic fury look small is happening any moment is happening any moment right now","55:00"],["because this is not an isolated incident. This will not be an isolated incident.","49:42"],["Pete Buttigieg is not going to be the candidate. If you think Pete Buttigieg is getting through South Carolina, you got another thing coming.","38:15"],["I guarantee you the United States will be at war with Saudi Arabia somewhere down the line. I guarantee it. I guarantee it.","56:52"],["It seems like this is going to happen, that the escalation is going to happen, and then maybe they'll be willing to make a deal."],["They have such an enthusiasm gap. They're going to get blown out because people just not going to turn out. They're not going to canvas and go door to door and money's not going to save you.","48:51"],["I just don't see any path forward with tuning these guys going out of the way to block it.","03:42"],["i think he's laid the predicate for a national security emergency about the elections in the midterms no people don't want to hear that but it's a reality and i think we're coming very close to taking that predicate and taking action upon it","27:53"],["Finally, Jack Smith got a criminal referral. I think this is the first of many.","11:42"],["I don't think the bombing is going to stop. No word of any real discussions they were trying to have a 10 day reprieve for some sort of 10 day, you know, interim cease fire. They're going to do, I think that's kind of overcome by events right now.","10:27"],["And the next step will be to get the ruling that boys may not be allowed to play in girls sports because of title nine, because girls are legislatively entitled to have a safe same sex only athletic environment in which to play sports. That's what's coming next, Megan.","1:33:28"],["And maybe they're going to win in New York City. I get it. They might win. I don't think they're going to win in Michigan, but they, I could be wrong.","23:21"],["So MBS has made it very clear he's never joining the Abraham Accords.","26:26"],["a hundred dollars a barrel hundred and twenty dollars a barrel a hundred fifty dollars a barrel market will continue to tank each and every day so it's going to happen","1:22:22"],["they're not being destroyed they're not being obliterated they don't want to make a deal they have every incentive right now there's no deal to be made with trump","1:22:08"],["you look at his polling data latest pew research poll his approval is at 34 percent you know he'll be in the 30s he'll be in the low 30s soon","1:13:06"],["so he'll escalate further and further we'll run out of munitions Iran will feel further emboldened","1:22:01"],["We have the 10 year Treasury note yield approaching 5%. We have the 30 year Treasury yield already well over 5%, which ultimately means interest rates going up, up, up, up, up, your mortgage rates going up, up, up, the cost of borrowing going up, up, up","12:28"],["You have the price per barrel of oil right now at over $100 a barrel. And I think that's going to very quickly escalate to $150 a barrel pretty soon.","12:14"],["Don Lemon is not running for president. Nobody likes Don Lemon. He is utter joke. He is ridiculous.","1:08:55"],["I'll throw down $100 on saying that the daily show will get canceled. It probably won't, but if I can do anything to nudge the good people of America in that direction for this...","16:17"],["A key provision would have American companies build a uranium enrichment facility in Saudi. If a joint US Saudi study determines such a step would be warranted. Now, I assume that that joint study will never assume that that step would be warranted long term.","47:42"],["So I think this is the first thread we pull on and I believe this is going to indicate there are going to be many others improperly registered to vote who are not eligible to vote","08:37"],["So I think in the next few years, the probability of a large scale kinetic conflict with China is highly probable.","48:59"],["And then tomorrow, the House is set to vote on the NDAA in total, like basically to pass it. And it does look like it's gonna work.","1:51:35"],["but you need to know that I don't see a path that this actually gets to pass in the Senate take sixty votes. Given that I don't know of a single Democrat supporting this bill, and there may be Republicans opposing this bill, the math doesn't work."],["So I said, listen, it's a simple math. If you lose all the Democrats and if you're losing some Republicans, I don't see how this passes.","33:16"],["And then Pheelly, though, is going to be very tight. So CD one is going to be very tight."],["that's that's Andy Biggs. That's your next governor of the state of Arizona."],["They're going to try to, already I told you months ago, they're going to do a CR that's going to take us from September 30th, the end of the fiscal year through the end of the year and then you're going to get jammed up with an omnibus.","53:38"],["as crude oil only has maybe a few weeks to even be left. Like we're already at a tank bottom portion, but soon there'll just be no crude oil left in the US supply. We're already at the lowest inventory in 45 years.","08:12"],["Again, the idea here is that he's going to get Trump to block the extradition. He's not going to get Trump to block the extradition.","37:14"],["this company Netflix has almost been cut in half. And I like a bottoms evaluation. It's trading in its lowest PE in a while. I think the company is a buy here","53:58"],["At the end of the day, maybe California gets some consolation or they have to spin something, but this goes through.","59:02"],["But what gets missed is that many, if not the majority of these plants will be off grid, empowered by natural gas.","41:14"],["It doesn't matter because across the globe, China will own the markets everywhere, like they do with EVs.","35:00"],["It's much more likely this stocks at 70 than 280.","30:13"],["it's probably a pretty safe prediction that they may spend a decent part of the rest of their life. In jail","12:49"],["I'm willing to bet Bill Mar votes Republican in 2028. I'm willing to make a gentlemen's bet on that one.","02:09"],["Republicans are going to put these clips everywhere. People seem crazy when they see this stuff and they are going to take, abolish the police and abolish borders and abolish prisons and play them on a loop for six months.","46:45"],["We now need to deal with the unfortunate reality that Donald Trump appears to be preparing to declare an emergency in advance of the November midterm elections.","00:00"],["but in any case he's probably safe when he comes to New York City","28:27"],["what Russia is going to do to eventually, in my opinion, win the war"],["that's why it's hopeless that we're going to be able to secure some sort of decisive victory here. It's a fantasy.","18:56"],["So a resumption of the war with Israel, all behind the scenes, seems incredibly likely."],["Obviously, ten day ceasefire does not have, in my opinion, a very very good chance of coming forward."],["I've said from the beginning of the fiscal year, I think it's going to be two trillion, so it's going to be one eight to two.","32:29"],["you're gonna see polling come out to show that the maggers sitting there going, hey, we gotta prioritize things in endless wars in the Middle East. Eternal wars in the Middle East are not a priority, not at this time.","02:13"],["And they're still pushing this narrative that the Persians are just all set to overthrow the regime. That ain't happening. Not unless you break them a financial, and that's going to take a while.","17:25"],["The probability that Hezbollah is going to turn over weapons, which is going to be the probability that Hezbollah is going to turn over weapons without big-time fighting is zero.","24:09"],["They're in now and they're going to do what I have warned about from the beginning. They're going to go back to the summer 2025 and they are going to block the entrance to a very tight entrance worse than her moves to the Red Sea that leads up to the Suez Canal for Europe.","12:42"],["that you're going to be actively engaged, actively engaged with kinetic operations for the foreseeable future. And I mean way past, forget the midterm elections. I mean into 2027, deep into 2027.","12:12"],["well it's gonna come out i have no doubt of that there's no privacy interest that justifies keeping this uh confidential at this point","1:04:19"],["whatever body he petitions next is going to say no and they're going to say no quickly","1:01:14"],["We're at that stage right now where we're at a tank bottom stage. We'll soon be at a stage where there's no more, but it's this sludgy type of material now at the bottom that's harder to refine.","1:13:53"],["Donald Trump has taken away healthcare from millions of Americans and millions more will lose their healthcare after the midterms because the way that disastrous budget bill phases in and mostly hits after the midterms as well","45:26"],["This isn't going to make Canadian say, how can we do a deal with you, sir? It's going to make Canada say, what can we do more to hurt you more?","1:03:29"],["No, you bomb them more, and Iran has been very carefully climbing the escalatory ladder, responding. No, Iran will respond. They're not going to want to do a deal.","13:29"],["My gut suspicion and you know nobody wants to be in the prediction game is that Texas will not fall for it.","41:09"],["I'll give you my prediction unless we can accelerate it with this guy. It's going to be the day before the election and he's going to be on CNN going, you know, I've said a lot of things about the Democrats and they are pretty kooky, but you know, Trump and Republicans, scary, fascist, something, something, and then he's going to encourage all of the people who are on the fence, who are about to break, he's going to encourage them to go the wrong way.","10:31"],["I'd say, yeah, I think I actually think Democrats will win the House on the Senate.","52:01"],["Michigan's the one that the one Senate seat the Democrats hold. It's at risk that I think less so if Haley Stevens wins, which I think she will in a couple of weeks.","51:41"],["So I feel pretty good about Maine and North Carolina. Those two look like pretty quite likely pickups.","51:35"],["So I feel pretty good about Maine and North Carolina. Those two look like pretty quite likely pickups.","51:35"],["I think the generic closed a little, but it has correlated, as you say, with Trump having a slight uptick, assuming he goes back to a slight down tick. And even if he doesn't, I think the natural momentum will be the generic to open up a little bit here in the last few months, as often the way it goes.","45:29"],["yeah, they're up already like 13 points this past week. And I think going to go up another 15 points this coming week, just because that's already baked into the wholesale prices.","22:06"],["And I'll tell you look that at the end of the day, it was a bad hearing for the Democrats because none of them laid a glove on Todd Blanche. And I think he's going to end up being confirmed quickly."],["Will grants go to organizations campaigning against government's Trump dislikes? Will the money go to media outlets that are aligned with the candidates Trump supports in other countries? The answer is almost certainly yes.","56:07"],["And I can imagine a scenario where, I mean, listen, it seems increasingly unlikely, but maybe the Iran war really does end by August 15th and then Republicans have something a little more positive to spin for their midterm convention","35:22"],["It is increasingly looking like a blue wave bloodbath for Republicans in November.","35:50"],["Unless Trump dies, he'll be president the next two years. We can't change that.","13:40"],["this is probably I would put dollars to donuts here, Blake, that we're going to find out this was a DSA guy or some radical leftist anarchists, ANTIFA, somebody that's inspired by radical left wing ideology"],["I think most of them you're probably going to get off in a court of lot just because of the extraordinary deference that police get in law enforcement shootings. Not this one, definitely not.","19:16"],["even if we do get out of this, we're just all going to be paying three point fifty a gallon for forever, I mean, at this point, for the rest of Trump's presidency","56:47"],["Even if you did it and there's discussion out there that, hey, they're going to go to August break. When they come back, they're going to have some solution for the Save America Act, and they'll debate it. They're not back until I think September 14th. So they'll debate it when they get back. That's just not going to wash because you can't implement after it's debated, even if it was to pass.","10:40"],["actually a fact about an agriculture bill that gives amnesty to agricultural workers. Don't think that's gonna happen, but we're gonna talk about it.","52:18"],["I just don't think that Jay Clayton's going to make the change. He's going to be confirmed and he's going to be the next DNI. It's just about when that happens.","36:47"],["Brashir is running for president in 2028. He's presenting himself like Cooper.","35:12"],["We get a CR and then we'll get the holiday situation. You'll get omnibus. It'll bake in these massive deficits and this ever exploding debt.","26:53"],["We know CR is coming because they've already said they're going to have a CR they need to pass before September 30th. That covers the time from October 1st to the end of the year. So we're going to get another one of these.","26:41"],["Guess what? We're getting ready to pass a CR to take us to the end of the year. I've seen this before. Another CR with no cut, now one penny cut in federal spending, not one fact increase, massive increases.","45:15"],["causing the price of oil to surge crude up now over $90 a barrel. That's going to hit $100 a barrel soon.","11:20"],["i think we will get a public return from him pretty soon","1:10:28"],["There's basically a $12 billion budget gap in New York City right now and it is only going to get worse. And we all know that.","16:06"],["It's obviously going to be the biggest movie of the year.","05:14"],["This obsession with 2020 is going to sort of culminate tonight with a prime time, if nine p.m. Eastern is prime time speech from the president, where we don't know exactly what he's going to say. But it seems as though it is going to be based on the false claim that he did win in 2020.","13:49"],["bombing Iran more is not going to make them want to do a deal at all. It's going to make them totally have no desire to ever do the MOU ever again.","16:16"],["We're learning that further escalation is probably likely the MOUs a pike dream. There's not even a thing anymore. We ain't getting back to there at my opinion anytime soon.","17:50"],["as soon as the midterms are over. We're going to see millions and more people get kicked off of Medicaid and millions and more people lose the insurance that they have that's coming soon","06:38"],["But with this escalation, we can expect that to go up into the 90s and perhaps even higher, we'll see where that lands later today when the futures market opens","05:00"],["the first nine months this year, $1.4 trillion deficit spending, it'll go up to two","01:22"],["Now our sponsors over at Calchey, they suggest that actually not particularly high chances that Congress is going to pass the Save Act. It's currently at 7.5% on Calchey, which seems about right because, again, not a lot of Democrats going to sign on to the Save Act. And you don't have enough Republicans who want to nuke the filibuster full scale on behalf of this thing.","14:02"],["Sierra is going to be acquired and Brett Taylor by open AI and Brett Taylor is going to be installed as CEO.","58:48"],["So my prediction is that OpenAI is going to buy Sierra and make, install Red Taylor as CEO.","54:39"],["I think it's going to blow out well beyond what people think the blowout's going to be.","54:30"],["because I think a third to half of these things aren't going to get built, but I still want those revenues.","50:20"],["And then I think the next shoe to drop, where I think we're going to start to see weakness in the infrastructure players, specifically in videoing in later part of this year, beginning and next year.","48:39"],["So everyone shuffled into anthropic thinking it was the enterprise market. I think that's the next one to come from a trillion down to 100 billion.","48:17"],["The second thought I had was I'm going to buy Sonos stock. I think Sonos is going to be acquired.","37:50"],["Yeah, I think Ken Griffin is probably running for president by the way.","11:02"],["Now it's in the hands of Wisconsin D.A. to decide whether to pursue charges. I'm doubting they will.","10:24"],["we've had some national security sources friends of the show say they believe that the u.s will be at war in the next few years a major war with china i believe it","23:21"],["calling on the american people to call your senators call your members of congress good but i don't think it's going to do anything","1:32:03"],["Some speculate. I would speculate. He's going to say, hey, China interfered. Thank you and have a nice day. And I don't think we will get anything substantive other than what we already know.","01:48"],["Yeah, I hope my prediction that we probably won't go into Cuba is right.","1:36:45"],["No, he's gonna do something wild and rash and terrible, and likely put in ground troops. And then after we suffer terrible consequences, then likely he'll run. That's my estimation of how it'll go.","28:12"],["Yeah, so I tend to think that the Carg Island things have left that they're going to go and try to put ground troops around the Strait of Hormuz and try to control the Strait and they keep talking about it.","23:47"],["So I diverge from here. I don't think that we're going to get to any kind of peace deal, not in the beginning at all.","24:22"],["So if he's just trying to push through the say that that's fine. It's not gonna make it through it. It's gonna get filibustered.","11:19"],["And when he tries to separate himself from Trumpism, if he inevitably runs for the nomination in 28, maybe against JD Vance, we need to have the scaffolding to remind people","1:09:36"],["My prediction is that there are no charges ever, at least in so far as Trump's narrative holds or doesn't hold about all of these crimes being designed to hurt Donald Trump","20:52"],["And no matter how hard Trump and MAGA try, we are going to show up and vote and win by margins too big to rig in November. I believe it's going to happen.","12:28"],["This is a person that fundamentally hates America, wants the destruction of the West. This is something that she said in the past, and she's now going to be a seated member of Congress most likely.","45:05"],["Yeah, no, it wouldn't be in time for the midterms. So in Blake's right, there'd be court challenges and things like that. But even the states that are willing to implement it, namely red states, it wouldn't. There wouldn't be enough time to implement it, at least fully in any meaningful way.","53:08"],["I happen to believe we're heading towards a national security emergency about this, because obviously, our election process is a complete and total joke.","02:17"],["the new plan is to put $10 billion in back of parts of Save America and actually go as supplicants to the blue states and say, pretty please will you volunteer? You know that's going to be zero.","20:54"],["The Save America Act has got many great things in it. It should have been passed a long time ago. I just don't think you're going to see these old bulls in the Senate cooperate with us.","45:01"],["it's just a matter of time before somebody sues Brad Parscale and or Yal Yakobi and starts getting to the bottom of exactly who's paying whom for what?","1:00:50"],["he's going to pardon Maduro to be like, yeah, Donald, it was Venezuela, Donald, okay, Donald, that's what he, you know, he's going to do this.","12:01"],["inflation is going to be rising again while the markets are going to be crashing","1:04:26"],["we're not going to be able to do an MOU again","57:33"],["the next moves are Iran strikes infrastructure. I'm sure that's what I'll be reporting soon.","16:12"],["the prices are going up we're heading back to four dollars a gallon","57:12"],["That means we're going to hit fuel shortages soon. That means there's going to be lines at the gas station.","09:18"],["I think we can expect now, Iran to escalate shutting down the Bob El-Mondob straight in the Red Sea.","02:35"],["But if he could get all 53, the bill still wouldn't pass.","34:50"],["Argentina is going to win. I got proof. You ready for this? I got proof right here.","1:48:22"],["Here's my prediction. It's a waste of time. Nothing's going to happen. He's going to say very little. He's going to go China did it. Thank you the bad. Nothing's going to change.","46:31"],["And actually, I feel pretty good, to be honest, because I think Trump's going to win. I feel like the Republicans are going to win November large because no one cares about anything.","11:23"],["It's a pretty depressing state of affairs. He's going to make it through.","19:09"],["Okay, let's say it's not 25%. But I mean, they are all desperately trying to get to fire 10%. So 10% unemployment is a near guarantee at this point.","50:03"],["there was an article out this morning that barrel of oil is going to go to $105. It's currently at 90 and at 90, it's already causing worldwide economic downturn, enormous energy prices, energy shortages in Asia and in Europe. And that's at $90. It is definitely going to $105.","44:43"],["I'd be shocked if the Democrats held the line, but I'm already shocked that they did the right thing in the Senate in the first vote.","44:12"],["And thus, he will ask or roll out something related to the midterms and November.","49:32"],["But it seems as though it is going to be based on the false claim that he did win in 2020.","49:27"],["We're not going to be sending one hundred hundred fifty thousand ground troops into a rum. It's just not going to happen. There's no will on our side to do it politically or militarily."],["do I think there will be another fake memorandum of understanding? Yeah, because inevitably you have to write like oil has got to flow eventually"],["This is the first night with some revelations. I believe they're going to come out regarding a foreign interference and regarding the intelligence community.","13:40"],["this is the first of a series of revelations that will come as more declassifications take place","26:31"],["you knew after the midterms, especially if and when Democrats take control of the House and maybe the Senate, you know, we'd go, I knew he'd be back to war then","1:03:02"],["This past year, we've added about $3.5 trillion in debt. Just think about that. The debt is going to hit 40 trillion soon.","1:06:41"],["I've seen prices out here in California. It's back over $6, North Carolina over $6. The national average is about to be $4 again.","14:19"],["I think he's going to try to say, you know, China created a bio weapon. And then they worked with they worked to undermine our election. So the 2020 election was invalid.","07:27"],["I think Donald Trump's speech tonight, which nobody should cover live. I think he's going to try to say, you know, China created a bio weapon.","07:20"],["One of the things I've warned about as well is the natural move that Iran is going to make is they're going to work with the Houthis in Yemen and they are going to work to shut down the Bab al-Mondab Strait.","04:01"],["what I think honestly he's gonna go on tv he's gonna say it's really bad bad for our country our elections are fraud thank you goodbye nothing happens","26:40"],["she's compromised and she should resign it's not gonna happen though because i think it's because people are just it's ego she's a supreme court justice she can't leave","1:55:18"],["And I don't know where it stops. I'd be shocked if we didn't get to 12% unemployment.","1:37:03"],["What do you think that happens when all the companies do that? So we're going to hit 10% unemployment super easy and super quick.","1:36:53"],["And this reinforces my belief that Donald Trump plans to announce some very serious voter suppression techniques.","1:09:07"],["New York State is making a move that other states are probably going to follow, which is to to refuse to allow the placement of AI businesses in their state","55:19"],["Kathy Hochl, the governor of New York, running for reelection this year, desperately trying, although she really nobody thinks that her rival, though he's actually a really good guy Bruce Blakeman, is going to prevail here","53:52"],["I don't think he's going to do it. And I'm very sad to think that he's not going to do it.","22:38"],["Rokana is going nowhere in the presidential race. You will never be president.","34:10"],["Personally, I don't believe that. I think I've taken the under on this one","55:20"],["I think it's going to close.","45:39"],["I think you're right. I think they're going to have to replace him. I do.","38:32"],["And this is my prediction for next for later in the week. The device is never going to happen.","34:40"],["And eventually, my guess is, and this is a bold prediction and saying it on day one of the reemergence of the third section of the Iran war, that eventually will lead us to cutting off our alliance with Israel entirely.","1:38:03"],["That's it, there's no more negotiations. Iran is never gonna get tricked back into the negotiation table.","1:33:15"],["So he became persona non grana there while everyone pretends that it's not connected to Israel and that Israel doesn't control Washington. The minute anybody voted for that, they instantly, as you know better than anyone else, became toxic in Washington. So there's no chance that they will support her."],["So almost certainly, almost certainly, Donald Trump is preparing to challenge the legitimacy of the midterms.","38:36"],["So it seems that this prime time speech is going to somehow relate to election security and the fear of course, and what we should be anticipating is that Donald Trump is going to announce some horribly authoritarian initiative to clamp down on voting rights further before the midterms","36:48"],["Now, I hate to ruin the suspense and titillated anticipation for many people in my audience. Donald Trump is not going to resign.","33:16"],["He's he's concerned that, you know, with Platiner being pulled in the messiness, et cetera. But I just think she was able to hang on for a long time based on just person only knowing people in the state. I just think partisan like hardening has gotten to the point now where that is not going to be sufficient, and almost no matter who they nominate.","1:19:50"],["that's the true nightmare scenario if things were to go that way. I still don't think they will. I don't think I don't think he's gonna win, but things like this, he has raised tens of millions of dollars.","1:05:41"],["It's a very obvious ploy too, because I mean, do we really think he's gonna seize that. I mean, look, I just honestly don't think so. I think it will be a massive in kind donation to the Assoff campaign and to the One campaign.","23:03"],["This strategic Petroleum Reserve near its minimal operating levels. It will dip below that within the next week or two, which will lead to some very interesting conversations."],["John Thune in the Senate, taking orders from Mitch McConnell, tree President Trump as a lame duck, they have no intention of bringing a save America. And if they had any attention, it would be too late.","27:10"],["We're going to have a CR. The appropriations bills are not done.","31:00"],["Guess what? It's 1.4 trillion. For the first 9 months, I think it's going to go to 2 trillion, but who knows? At least 1.8.","17:29"],["Then you'll see the oil go from $80 a barrel to $120, $130 a barrel to $150 a barrel, you know, very, very quickly.","53:50"],["You want to control the Strait of Hormu? Oh, God, your bombing is as this time, we are submitting. That's just that's not going to happen. Period.","48:16"],["And now gas prices are going back up to $4. And if you look at our strategic reserves, they're being depleted.","08:19"],["I think his testimony is going to reflect what's referred to in economist jargon as a hawkish tilt of raising interest rates I think he's going to be talking about that","1:09:02"],["You have this escalation which appears to be prepping for an inevitable ground invasion whether that's special forces plus additional troops or just special forces will will see but I foresee I'm just giving you my opinion there that the setup is happening for that","1:00:34"],["the gas is about to go average over $4 a gallon right now","22:24"],["That's of course, evanescent because inflation can start, you know, oil prices, they're already up from 65, a barrel to 75 or 80 a barrel just in the last week.","10:29"],["I suppose there could be new negotiations for a new MOU, though I doubt it given the way Trump is talking.","09:38"],["But the risk premium of stripping oil through the Strait is not going to go down in the very near future, I shouldn't think.","27:43"],["But Trump, of course, doesn't mention it. And I'm sort of dubious that things are going to go anywhere.","16:24"],["And I think both of us are sort of focused on the fact that it's kind of unlikely I'll be defeated on a possible but unlikely, but very important to weaken him and to weaken Trump","21:43"],["I think we're kausky, we'll vote against Blanche. And so they have to pick up Collins and Porter to others.","17:46"],["It's not going to be Nancy Mase. That's who it's not going to be.","24:04"],["And I assume that John Thune will get him sworn in tomorrow.","17:21"],["But I think Governor McMaster will appoint an interim senator replaced Lindsey like today.","17:15"],["This Trump's fantasy give the Save America Act not going to happen because you've got Mitch McConnell maybe alive, but certainly not in the Senate voting."],["you know, there was that other you remember, I think I was off that whole Alito resigning thing, which might have been happening. Yeah, it's not gonna happen now because you can have that confirmation battle's he's got to wait till the next","1:03:40"],["This is part of the reason why no member of the South Carolina delegation is going to get it from the House of Representatives because they can't afford the margin."],["So anyways, zooming out the race to replace Lindsay Graham, it will be a Titanic one. I'm gonna call it. I'm calling Nikki Haley, that's my call. I think she's gonna make a deal with Trump.","1:01:10"],["also put this in your pipe and smoke it we're not going to have any appropriation no appropriations bills we're gonna have another cr","37:35"],["also put this in your pipe and smoke it we're not going to have any appropriation no appropriations bills we're gonna have another cr","37:35"],["and the rate right now we're going to get to two trillion dollars by the end of the fiscal year or close to two trillion dollars as we've said","37:29"],["the Democratic Socialists, these Marxist, Jihadists that have won these primaries in New York and will win the general election, they should not be seated in Congress","17:53"],["There very soon will no longer be a safety buffer to protect the world from further losses out of the strait because that strategic petroleum reserve feeds into the entire global oil market.","05:52"],["We remain hopeful that the DOJ will grant this request and demonstrate a commitment to justice for these survivors. I don't remain confident in that, but that's how it ended.","05:03"],["Like we haven't had a formal declaration of war in a long time, but like something and obviously Democrats won't will not give him that.","16:41"],["So there's now going to be a race for that sentence seat. I think it's pretty assured that a Republican will take that seat","19:35"],["They're not going to get Democrats to come across on this thing, but they can do it by simple majority if they have the wherewithal to do it.","1:08:28"],["But he's just not great. And he's a Jew. So there's no chance in high hell he's getting nominated by the Democrats.","1:11:44"],["I mean, you are, I think, looking to see, I mean, more likely than not raising interest rates and it'll be fascinating to bring down inflation.","02:46"],["There's going to be every every homeowner will be underwater. It's going to be like 2008.","31:12"],["One of my predictions on this is that they say by 2032 social security goes, goes tits up. It is insolvent.","41:14"],["So is this going to lead to Democrats secretly working with the Republicans to deregulate this industry while they're pretending to be on your side? Yes, that's what it's definitely going to lead to.","1:04:21"],["I think there's a real possibility, affected a likelihood, that these so called independent commissions will not have bipartisan commissions. I think going forward you're going to see commissions like the FTC, the FCC, potentially the FEC, the various commissions that are bipartisan."],["You're not going to get to a signed document.","03:22"],["if they're meeting down there in Oman, trust me, the pirates that control the Hormuz, I don't think are coming out with a, okay, fine. Everybody goes, we're not going to charge because they're pirates.","20:08"],["The first nine months of this year, $1.4 trillion deficit. That's the count of Treasury. Money good from Treasury, $1.4 trillion. It'll be over two trillion by the end of the fiscal year.","16:52"],["okay folks here's what's going to happen there's going to be a cr we're probably going to get it jammed into as i think before the august recess but they may come back and be cute and do it afterwards","43:50"],["Is it obvious to you what he's doing? Do I need to spell it out anymore? What the heck he's doing? He ain't leaving.","16:36"],["And now they have a full path to sue, make hundreds of millions of dollars, which the Trump regime will probably pay them.","15:55"],["they can now file a lawsuit against the federal government for hundreds of millions of dollars, which they're going to do","14:45"],["even cash Patel is basically on the verge of being fired by the Trump regime","12:03"],["I don't think this is a great move. And I think they'll roll it back. That's my feeling.","48:24"],["I think that you're going to see massive declines in social media usage and everything else among young people.","59:46"],["It is going to be filed. I know a lot about this. They've been in touch. It's politically untenable to not file at this point.","09:22"],["What happens? What's going to happen tonight or midnight? The bill is going to become a law.","21:50"],["I love that prediction, Stuart Stevens. That's good podcasting. Jade advanced Trump ticket. That feels right.","19:25"],["I was gonna say Senator is, but they're not gonna pick the next Senate. They're gonna pick the next person who's gonna lose to Susan Collins.","1:21:46"],["We're gonna get it done. I believe we will get all seventy million auto enrolled.","29:36"],["In very short order, you're going to see trillions of dollars invested in Trump accounts for kids.","14:31"],["Unfortunately, I don't think that's going to happen. I think we're gonna have to wait till September first for Tyler Robinson actually issue a plea","15:30"],["Yeah, it's D-O-A. I never got to sign anything. Trita told us months ago, they're never going to sign anything. It's the Persians. They're going to negotiate about the rugs for years. So you're not going to get a sign.","47:45"],["get ready for it, folks. We're going to get a CR. No appropriations bills have been passed.","27:50"],["We're 1.4 trillion. We're going to be two trillion. Come September 30th.","18:32"],["Maybe we should go back into a ground invasion, not going to happen. Ridiculous.","11:19"],["And this is even with Michigan, but Maine probably going our way.","11:56"],["Utah's different. Utah's full of Christians, Mormons, their law abiding, their lot of red state voters there. And I just think that's our best chance because I don't think they're going to be moved by the sob story.","1:43:07"],["Unfortunately, we will not be getting a decision today on the obvious conclusion that there is probable cause to hold Tyler Robinson over to trial in the case of Charlie Kirk's assassination.","01:59"],["Now it will automatically become law if he doesn't veto it later. So you know, it will become law","12:36"],["Donald Trump's going to say, well, look everybody, they attacked us. So now we need to invade Iran and we need to attack Iran.","07:52"],["where he's going to put the blockade on again and try to bait Iran into attacking these aircraft carriers, these super carriers","07:38"],["we're 10 days, 11 days now or so from hitting the emergency area where the whole system may just like shut off","23:57"],["And Vance now has this in his, you know, in the file of what it is that he is going to have to defend when he runs for president in 2028, that he said this jaw-dropping thing about Iran that was patently disproven by Iran's behavior about three seconds after he said it.","22:09"],["is going to create a real problem for us next year if they are in control of one or both of the houses as I think, you know, it was a 90% certainty that they will have at least one of the houses","49:02"],["The guy that they have read pill to the extreme right now is the one who won't be the next mayor of Los Angeles Spencer Pratt.","18:17"],["You would figure that they hate the Jews the most, they would fire at Israel. Nope. They're not going to do that because they're afraid of what Israel would do in response.","49:07"],["Now, Ossoff is also going to pick too early. He's going to go away too. The idea that they're going to nominate a Jewish Democrat, uh-huh. No, that's not happening because the party is not going to allow it. They will not allow it.","30:53"],["Roy Cooper in North Carolina is very likely to win that sentencing that is currently held by Tom Tillis over North Carolina and flip a seat.","29:57"],["I do have some bad news for Trump. Things seem to be looking worse and worse for the Nobel Peace Prize that he wanted.","14:26"],["I mean, look, if Trump wants to keep oil prices down here in the United States by preventing the international trade of the oil and natural gas that's produced here in the US, I mean, that would be a choice. I don't think he's gonna do that though.","39:56"],["But for now, I want to get back to economic issues because Trump's little tiff with Spain is likely to cause issues with our allies, but unlikely to really amount to anything real.","46:48"],["Iran is not going to let go of their control of the Strait.","37:51"],["But it's a very real question right now because it's increasingly seeming like Mitch McConnell cannot return.","22:41"],["half the states in the Union, and probably the two thirds of the US population in the next five years","48:52"],["I predict twenty twenty eight you will see mass freezing and or elimination of property tax in I'm gonna call half the states of the youth, half the states in the Union"],["No, I mean, Mike Rogers, like, I'm sorry, you're cooked in a wave election year","26:35"],["Whoever decides they're going to run, they will be hit with a negative ad the day that they get announced, and then it's just going to be blanket the entire state.","44:38"],["We all know he's not going to take over carg Island.","17:35"],["I think what's unfortunate is we all know he won't invade.","17:32"],["You're going to have a government shutdown, which I say bring it.","27:19"],["would just take your number two personal and write this down. We're going to a CR.","26:51"],["And I think Maine is now, you know, it's Collins's to lose.","14:37"],["None of it though, cast any doubt upon who did it and the fact that Tyler Robinson has so much information, including confessions, repeated confessions against him that he's going down for this.","2:36:33"],["He's sorry. He's sorry that he did it. Great. It's not going to spare his life.","2:09:04"],["And here's what the Future House Oversight Chair, Congress member Robert Garcia had to say","16:08"],["It would be much higher right now if there were interest rates cuts and not interest rate increases, which is going to be taking place.","13:27"],["He doesn't have the votes for that in the United States Senate either","03:46"],["I believe that Donald Trump knows that number $350 billion when you combine it as well with what else he's asking for, which is his voter suppression act called the Save America Act is something that the House of Representatives is not going to be able to pass.","03:30"],["But it's obvious an air campaign isn't going to do it.","49:02"],["it looks like it's going to be this guy Troy Jackson who until this morning I had never heard of","36:31"],["You're never going to hear from this guy again. Mark my words in a political sense. You will never hear from him again because he is a completely interchangeable part.","22:47"],["Okay, but he's not going to formally withdraw. I don't think he will. I don't think he will.","45:18"],["Then this will not end and it will not get better and believe you me, right around the time of the election, the Iranians will shut the strait to screw Trump right before the midterms because they know that the Democrats will be far friendlier.","27:23"],["And it looks like Trump is going to sell some F 35s to Turkey. And Israel's not happy about it.","1:13:33"],["Now Platner flat out denies the allegations, but it clearly looks like he is going to eventually drop out of this race because every person who endorsed him has now turned on him.","05:06"],["The most obvious choice would be Janet Mills, the Democrat governor who ran against Platner and lost, although Mills has said publicly that she's not running for Senate. Although that's the kind of statement I am not currently running for Senate is not the same thing as I would turn down the nomination. If I were to guess, I would cynically say that's who they pick because they think she would have the best chance of winning.","27:43"],["Look, the chances that Bernie Sanders apologizes, as John Fetterman called on him to do, I think are zero point zero percent. Bernie's not gonna apologize."],["No, he's a Marxist. He'll drop out. He'll drop out this week. It'll be by the thirteenth. They'll replace him.","04:45"],["As you and I are recording it Tuesday night. He has not yet dropped out, but he will drop out before July thirteenth.","00:44"],["It does appear all signs currently point to him dropping out, but we're not entirely sure yet."],["There's a witness who's going to take the stand effectively by video, his lover, who we believe is going to point the finger squarely at him and talk of his confession.","1:15:28"],["So do I think he will do something? I suspect he will and I think these things are mostly about timing right now.","18:37"],["followers are providing the basis for a Tyler Robinson reasonable doubt claim that probably won't work because there is no reasonable doubt here.","03:48"],["I suspect there's going to be a movie of the wedding. I suspect that's coming for all of us.","06:05"],["I believe ultimately he is going to step down. I would be surprised if he didn't, and importantly, he has six days to step down while still allowing a different person to be made the democratic nominee.","05:17"],["the video will be resubmitted as evidence. The only question is and it will make it into evidence. It's only a matter of question of in what form will it be? The raw original form or will they because they're gonna resubmit this, this video as evidence when the court's back in session tomorrow morning.","24:07"],["Taking the weekend and pulling it together to come back Monday because the whole world is watching this trial.","55:25"],["I don't see how they get through by Friday","1:00:48"],["This is going to take at least all week.","21:04"],["His lawyer may be able to spare him some penalty here or possibly in his best case scenario, even a finding of guilt though I doubt it.","2:31:19"],["Straight's going to be closed. Iran's never going to open. Do you think they're going to do a deal again? The MOU's done.","1:11:48"],["What that means is that we're heading for a great recession, which most Americans are already in.","1:38:33"],["Gas prices are going to go through the roof. Inflation is going to continue to soar. Markets are going to crash right now.","1:16:21"],["Inflation is going to continue to soar.","1:16:21"],["Gas prices are going to go through the roof.","1:16:21"],["I expect oil to be $90 to $100 again per barrel very soon.","1:28:03"],["I think even potentially at the United States, air base in Saudi Arabia. I think in the United Arab Emirates as well.","58:20"],["I think even potentially at the United States, air base in Saudi Arabia. I think in the United Arab Emirates as well.","58:20"],["I think that we will soon be seeing Iran strikes in Qatar even, but definitely Bahrain definitely in Kuwait.","52:58"],["I think that we will soon be seeing Iran strikes in Qatar even, but definitely Bahrain definitely in Kuwait.","52:58"],["So then that's going to happen. And then Donald Trump's going to strike Iran","23:36"],["I can surely predict the Strait of Hormuz will soon be shut down.","58:03"],["we should have zero faith. I don't even want to use the word faith when it comes to Donald Trump in the same sentence that this memorandum of understanding with Iran is actually going to result in anything durable","14:46"],["Plattner will likely drop out. But now what? Democrats have a record, of course, of swapping candidates out who won primaries without benefit of the public knowing that they've done so.","05:18"],["I'm sure Trump will bluster on spending money and complain about the lack of support in Iran, but unclear what like tangible might come of it.","18:50"],["I mean, if I had to bet, I'd bet on her defeating. I'll say eat in the primary","32:42"],["And in fact, I'm going to predict Chuck Schumer won't run for reelection."],["Pat and I spoke about this on the bonus show last week and whatever needs to happen. It doesn't seem like he's coming back to be a Senator anytime soon.","36:11"],["Do I expect anyone to go to prison for this? No, I don't. I haven't been sleeping under a rock for the last 10 years.","15:03"],["They're gonna lose Georgia by three or four points.","08:32"],["I care about being very factual in our coverage of what happens out there both this week and when as I believe it will be held over for trial, we get to trial.","05:38"],["And they're preparing. They see blood in the water for them to take over leadership when Magamite cost the Republicans, the House of Representatives in the meantime, in the midterms.","02:36"],["And I fear that the escalation trap is still there and that Trump's going to keep falling right into it.","16:37"],["if you look at the memorandum of understanding, it says that Iran controls the Strait of Hormuz along with the Arab nations decide on the future transit that it is an Arab nation decision, not a United States, but the Trump regime will continue to violate the MOU try to open up that route in Oman","20:29"],["And I got to admit, I'm very skeptical that there are any prosecutors in Minnesota willing to hold the corrupt Democrats in charge of that state accountable."],["Look, and I would assume we're going to see civil litigation of people fire filing lawsuits and and seeking compensation for this","10:17"],["And now he's going to be ambassador Australia. His group confirmation doesn't come up. I don't believe until the end of July.","25:25"],["that's why I told you Nikki Haley is impossible. She's never going to win anything because she's so such a suck-up in so many ways.","27:42"],["I think he's probably leaving, right?","47:37"],["I think it's not Trump that's going to pay for this because I think he's going to die before we can get to him. But I think his children and the children of a lot next and the rest are going to get it.","1:11:50"],["I'm telling you, a bailout is coming.","1:01:41"],["So what's the prediction? All eight or 10 of those companies, a basket of them, down 20 to 40% in the next 12 months.","1:11:17"],["I'm rooting for Senegal. I think it'll be France because they're just stacked."],["As we all know, it's easy to propose legislation, especially when you know that that legislation is unlikely to go anywhere. And this legislation is unlikely to go anywhere.","1:55:19"],["And so you could betray America, I don't mind, in a thousand different ways. But if you don't do exactly as Israel orders, I'll vote with the Republicans. So he's gonna vote with them if they need the voter and even if they don't need the vote.","1:04:49"],["So I'm gonna predict you that yes, they will get the funding that they want. $87.6 billion or something along those lines in that ballpark.","1:03:55"],["He's winning the Republican nomination. He will almost certainly lose to the Democratic nominee.","55:41"],["I think Abdullah's on track for victory."],["And no, he can't run. He's not going to run. Doesn't mean that he's not the kingmaker on the democratic side.","26:53"],["I know this will be a big story in five, 10, 15 years from now because also my background as a litigator, although I did not handle asbestos litigation, I work with lots of lawyers who did handle cases where people got mesothelioma from asbestos contact.","39:13"],["Tucker has no intention of starting a third party. That is not his actual game. He's not going to do that. He's too lazy. He has another game that he has in mind.","13:44"],["Well, I think we're going to win the whole World Cup.","1:55:51"],["I assume that we're coming up on the weekend. We'll probably do some shooting back and forth again once the markets are closed for the holiday.","36:13"],["Well, it certainly looks like Kamala Harris is serious about running for president in 2028.","27:47"],["it's going to become a problem because it appears as though, especially today and into tomorrow, there are going to be more blackouts because of the extreme heat and grids that cannot handle it","1:15:06"],["I predict copious copious medical emergencies.","30:43"],["the reason we don't have brat on here people don't realize but day brat is going to be confirmed very shortly as ambassador","07:22"],["my understanding is that there's information coming out about vena's willa and this country information coming out about china","23:23"],["his group confirmation doesn't come up i don't believe until the end of july i think it'll be almost a year"],["they have huge power there in texas they want in colorado big i think they're going to win the primary michigan","00:24"],["But wait, back on the Travis Kelsey Taylor Swift marriage. I agree with you. Unfortunately, I don't think it will last. I just think there are too many complicating factors.","18:03"],["Say, you know, you know, they're going to be like, oh, that was a democratic vandal. That was a communist vandal who did it. That's who actually did it.","28:46"],["By the way, Trump's social media company owns a lot of Bitcoin. And you'll see, I believe in their next quarter, massive losses, paper losses","45:12"],["Like, do you think Tallerico, who is a far-left nutbag, is going to win in Texas, the Senate race? I don't think so, but we will see.","54:13"],["And by the way, you think they're not going to arm those drones? You think those terrorists aren't going to arm those drones and start murdering civilians at a more efficient pace? Come on, they're vicious religious lunatics. Of course they're going to arm them.","53:37"],["But what's going to happen when the Uniparty shuts all of this down? And then an economic calamity hits, because that's guaranteed.","41:08"],["It hasn't passed yet, but places filled with traitors, Congresses, most of them, like I said, work for Israel. So they'll be happy to pass this.","28:48"],["Rashida Tlaib, in fact, she's pushing for a war powers resolution in regard to Lebanon. I don't think it's gonna go anywhere. I think they're gonna block that as well.","23:05"],["There are twenty seven states that have protected girl sports and women's sports. Those laws are now constitutionally sound and they are extremely unlikely to be struck down on litigation."],["I think the consequence of this decision as you're not going to see minority commissioners from the party out of power. You will see the independent agencies operate much like the rest of the executive"],["The amendment has to be approved by two thirds of the House and the Senate. That is not going to happen.","12:57"],["if, if I were just taking a bet, I would bet that the Republicans win both of those","1:07:22"],["if, if I were just taking a bet, I would bet that the Republicans win both of those","1:07:22"],["day will be um um confirmed i think in a month with other ambassadors day brats going as ambassador","07:36"],["And I'm sure he will get scooped up by some TV show or some movie producer and given another chance because he's a leftist gay black man","1:17:59"],["The only reason it won't happen is because she's a leftist at a leftist news organization and all these other leftists like Paul Farhe and Peter Baker are very quick to run cover for her.","44:17"],["even if you were in the position that I've been in for the past six months, or I do have very good reason to believe that Alito is going to be the next to go","30:33"],["So these house races are in these deep blue districts. We are going to get five or six new DSA congressmen to join the squad and they will then make up a fifth, five percent of the Democratic caucus.","44:11"],["But now, like, now actually these people have to win, obviously, in several districts. There's no question that they will win. The Brooklyn seats are not... And there's no chance that a Republican is going to win. Any of the Brooklyn seats","02:43"],["But he's still going to try everything possible, this say-back that's not going to pass President Trump. It's not. It's not happening.","44:31"],["This is what's going to happen in the next six months. This is going to be the great exit from cost. This is going to be the great reduction in spending and CapEx commitments by open AI. They are going to massively decrease their expenditure and CapEx commitments.","28:01"],["if when we look back on the gray drawdown, that will be AI valuations that is, I think can happen in the next 12 months, this will be seen as a real crack","26:13"],["I believe the anthropic is still going to get out.","24:51"],["California is actually going to likely ban ID requirements.","43:26"],["Trump is pushing the save act saying this is our only chance now to remedy what the Supreme Court has done. But it's definitely not going to happen.","43:17"],["So they're likely going to say a Chinese national who flies to Guam, gives birth to a baby, and then a day later flies back to China, that child raised under the Chinese Communist Party can then fly to the United States 30 years later, and they do have to live in the United States for 15 years, can then be president of the United States despite not speaking English and being adherent to the Chinese Communist Party. I guarantee you that's what she's going to rule on because she is terrified and cowardly.","11:52"],["I guarantee you going forward, she'll be like, I'm now doing new. Yes, of course, I will endorse these people.","1:40:43"],["Now, another thing to keep in mind, Cenk, is that it is very likely that following the destruction of US military bases in these Gulf countries, the US will probably end its presence in these Gulf countries.","08:32"],["It hurts Trump and it'll probably send him for another truth social tirade.","1:14:09"],["If I'm realistic, I don't think this changes a damn thing for your average Trump supporter.","1:13:01"],["meaning that that $5 million judgment against Trump now stands and she will get the money","1:08:10"],["You can go through the process of trying to get a constitutional amendment. I don't think they'd be able to do it because they simply wouldn't be able to build support for it","08:10"],["You could get both, And that is kind of where I am leaning as a likely outcome of this thing. I think it is definitely a bubble. I think it is going to crash.","29:44"],["Probably likely to on birthrights as citizenship. I mean, most scholars who looked at that one were like, not a chance. This one is very unlikely to go the way the Trump administration wants.","10:18"],["My understanding, and it'll be revealed probably next week, that they're unearthing dramatic evidence about foreign interference in the 2020 election.","02:30"],["And my understanding and I don't have any access to this classified information But my understanding is that they're going to be real revelations about the stealing of the 2020 election","31:45"],["Well, and that's my information. And I have a very, very solid source that Alito, that he is going to step down, but we don't know when we don't know. I mean, and like in the not too distant future","48:43"],["That's, that's the where it's going to go because President Trump will play hardball on this. He's shown that in response to the tariff rulings that he doesn't just accept, oh, I lost. Okay, it's over. He's going to find another way of narrowing this field.","33:46"],["But what I think you will see, mark my words, is that today you're not going to have a whole bunch of conservatives and Republican screaming, pack the court, destroy the court.","1:03:52"],["The other guy who obviously is going to run, who's lived his whole life for it, is lizard person Gavin Newsom.","50:43"],["And that'll be before they start actually seizing property from some of these landlords. So that's, that I think is already baked in.","13:32"],["Okay. That's who she is probably going to win in Colorado.","34:49"],["I do believe the number of Republicans insisting on this crap will decline when Trump is gone from office.","1:07:52"],["My guess is he won't apologize because he never does.","59:59"],["Nevertheless, I do expect that to be a narrow ruling in keeping with the cacharacter of this court trying to say, hey, this statute, this Congress can redefine it whatever"],["but it's probably not going to go our way. That's every indication that I've heard."],["Pennsylvania is about to have two of the most left wing congressional representatives in the country. Chris Rabin Philly in summerly is already there in Pittsburgh"],["So very likely we hit yet another global temperature record this year, with more you know, excess deaths and more fallout from the extreme climate."],["Later today or tomorrow, but you're going to get another wake-up call. You're going to get another wake-up call. And that's on birthright citizenship.","10:32"],["They will not be allowed to stay. We will not be encouraging them to apply for permanent residency.","51:57"],["And I think that'll go our way and I agree with you, birthright citizenship will not.","27:38"],["And I think that'll go our way and I agree with you, birthright citizenship will not.","27:38"],["It has now become sort of Israeli policy that they are weaning themselves off of the American military assistance over the next two or three years and there will be none left.","49:54"],["And if you look right over here, it's going to decrease to where it was before this MOU was signed. We're going to go down to 10 ships, five ships. I've been warning about this every day. That's where we are headed right now.","13:48"],["And again, all this is going to lead to is the strain of her moves being shut down and the US being dragged back into war. That's just the objective reality.","16:24"],["Iran has issued a warning. I think it's very close to closing down the Strait of Hormuz again.","05:33"],["I'm going to make another prediction in this show. Decision will be reversed."],["Why are we paying out now? $80 billion is just a down payment, the first phase of the war.","06:54"],["that's what I mean that this is an issue that will also be an escalatory issue that's going to lead to more violations of the MOU and more attacks","15:58"],["they're never going to do an agreement in 60 days as I've calculated before there are 15 and a half more 60 day cycles until Trump's term is over","16:11"],["They know Donald Trump's not going to commit ground forces.","12:49"],["I have long thought that social media is going to decline rather precipitously, especially among young people","27:55"],["I think it's acute and adorable and it's going to die of slow death.","54:57"],["I think this company will have the largest pop of any internet tech IPO of the month.","42:03"],["you're going to see polymarket and Cal sheet basically show the kind of numbers they get Goldman and JP Morgan saying we're ready to go public","07:20"],["Can any jurisdiction count ballots after election day? Oh, I would say no. And it seems it seems very likely because of the oral argument, Supreme Court's going to say, no, you cannot.","1:36:32"],["Houses are going to be worth nothing in like 10 to 15 years.","23:06"],["So that is, this will be the last we'll see of Susan Collins.","14:21"],["there's a reality where Trump's 80, he can't run again unless he changes the Constitution, which I don't think he's going to do","27:45"],["The Supreme Court, I doubt will side with Trump, but they are going to try something. There is no question about it.","50:27"],["Trump is not going to be installed as president indefinitely because of what they do with California's results in November in November or the primary. That's not going to happen.","50:19"],["Listen, I think it is almost certain that there is going to be more dirt coming out against Graham Plattner.","48:32"],["I assume it gets dropped, but if it doesn't, that discovery is going to be fascinating.","15:31"],["I'm the most optimistic, I think I'm the only voice out there has said, we're going to hold the house and we just get it together and tighten down. We can hold serve by a seat or two. It's not going to be big and it's going to be trench warfare. Come down to a handful of seats.","21:28"],["I assume now we're going to get these on Monday and they're going to make a break for the border.","37:09"],["hey, we can hold serve in the house. Don't believe these 20 or 30 seats. We can hold how we can hold it. I've seen the grassroots. They will get motivated.","18:23"],["Also, we're going to have the, I think, mail-in ballots and we should today mail-in ballots and birthright citizenship.","08:19"],["Also, we're going to have the, I think, mail-in ballots and we should today mail-in ballots and birthright citizenship.","08:19"],["my only question is as you know whites head into the minority because we will be in the uk and here in the next 15 years or so","1:05:26"],["So he's not going to sign the thing in short. In 10 days, it automatically becomes law based upon the fact that it's a veto proof.","54:34"],["the Fed's going to probably have to raise interest rates a few times where we're heading","43:37"],["And that continues to rise, as I've said, will probably hit 5%, 6% soon.","05:54"],["Similarly, Hakim Jeffries will be in November, if all goes the way we think it's going to go, the first African American speaker of the House.","37:37"],["In Maine, a dude with a literal Nazi tattoo will likely end up in the Senate as well.","03:33"],["In Michigan, a terrorist supporter will likely be elected to the Senate.","03:30"],["She's going to go to Congress in January 3rd, winning the primaries effectively winning because it's a Democrat district.","1:20:06"],["He's not going to get the Save America Act. But in a weird way, I'm going to talk about this tomorrow, is also impacting this housing bill where Trump is having a temper tantrum over that as well.","39:31"],["They want to topple that regime or create a failed state. Now, that's not going to happen.","1:15:38"],["Because right now as we speak, Iran and Oman are formalizing their plan for how they'll charge for transit through the Strait of Hormuz. So I don't think toll free transit is in our future anytime soon.","1:14:57"],["I don't think that we're going to get some sort of deal with Iran to open the Strait of Hormuz anytime soon.","1:22:10"],["And of course, the White House hasn't yet come out and denied any of this reporting. I'm sure they will, of course.","56:02"],["which by the way, doesn't have the support to pass the House and Senate. It's not going to happen","05:51"],["A lot of people are thinking that decision was going to come down this morning. It did not, So we're looking at probably maybe next week, the week after, right, that's kind of what we're aiming for."],["There's a reason they're not getting rid of the filibuster. They like it in place.","03:45"],["is something far in the future. It's just not going to happen, particularly running these deficits","36:16"],["tomorrow, if it happens tomorrow, I think it'll happen tomorrow or Monday. But I assume it's going to be tomorrow. This massive decision about about birthright citizenship","30:39"],["This woman is going to be our next Congresswoman. She's going to win the general very clearly.","1:18:43"],["Coming soon lose the midterms due to historic unpopularity.","07:49"],["The probability of normalized flows is therefore almost zero. I agree. I don't know why people are treating this like it's going to just go back to normal before the war.","06:05"],["I said, this is what's going to happen. And it's going to happen quite frequently.","04:39"],["Yes, the Trump regime will still try to fight it.","43:19"],["But still, I think likely that Republicans hold on to the Senate.","56:33"],["Republicans expect to lose in the midterms. That's not even necessarily all Trump's fault, although some of it is going to be Trump's fault. But they're going to lose in midterms.","47:16"],["but I think Trump wants a contested convention. I don't think he's going to endorse anybody right out of the gate when he's getting ready to go off into the sunset.","1:04:09"],["Now at least they won't have one for two and a half years until you guys are empowering him and then you're going to build one for him.","47:55"],["So communist has just won the primary and she's in a district she's not going to lose. So she will be what we have another another communist entering Congress.","1:29:36"],["I think that the Republicans are going to stop spending money in either Georgia or North Carolina or both by the end of the year. I think they're going to give up on both of those races in the Senate.","42:18"],["People are going to go pay to live in Mars or Saturn. No, they're not. In our lifetimes, that's just made up marketing gobbledygook.","1:45:07"],["You're going to get lost in that speculation. You're going to lose very badly as you did in 2008.","1:47:39"],["I'm going to make another prediction in this show. Decision will be reversed."],["I think Shapiro and Bashir have zero chance, zero point zero chance of being the Democrat nominee because they don't want moderate, they don't want reasonable"],["I think Shapiro and Bashir have zero chance, zero point zero chance of being the Democrat nominee because they don't want moderate, they don't want reasonable"],["Andy Basheer, the governor of Kentucky, I think he's going to run in a general stage."],["And so another prediction, Josh Shapiro probably runs by the way."],["By the way, we are also very quickly heading to a world. I believe we're maybe a couple of years away from a world where zero Democrats will accept a dollar from APAK.","08:20"],["And Mandami will beat Chuck Schumer for the Senate. Both of those predictions, I think you can take him to the bank.","05:38"],["AOC will run for president, and Mandami is going to run against Chuck Schumer for the Senate."],["I believe AOC will run for president, and she will be a top tier candidate because that's where the base of the party is."],["He's gonna be the backup d H in the All Star Game. By the way, because Shoe O Tony's got like two point five million votes, he's the top vote game.","48:19"],["She is the first Palestinian Muslim woman elected to the New York State Senate. She's in the primary at this point, but she's gonna win.","08:49"],["If they are to take the house, it'll probably be by a couple, like if we hold it. I'm saying if we hold it through some miracle redistricting and just hard work, it'll be a cedar tube. Maybe. If they take it, I think it'll be a cedar tube.","13:14"],["And I get it almost all of his party wants the SAVE Act passed, but it has zero chance of passing","33:45"],["Now, if she's elected as she is expected to be in her deep blue district, they're not going to go with it Republican in the general.","05:41"],["Brian, for the next two years, Trump is going to keep this 60 day. Maybe it's 90 days. Maybe it's 30. Iran closes the straight. It reel. This is what's going to happen. I mean, it's pretty clear. This is what's going to happen for the next two year.","09:02"],["It's June 2026. He will not be president January 21, 2029.","1:05:00"],["it's more likely than not that JD Vance will be the nominee of the Democrat of the Republican Party","1:05:57"],["what we should presume is that the nominee of the Democratic Party is not going to be some middle of the road, schlep governor or whatever they call middle of the road. It is more likely that it will be a person that emerges from this unholy and evil stew of anti-Semitism, socialism and anti-Americanism that is the DSA stew.","1:05:18"],["The three candidates that he championed and sponsored are will end up in Congress in November because there will not be an incredible republican party counterweight to them in these overwhelmingly democratic districts.","02:05"],["even if it doesn't mean something is going to happen to Fauci, which of course nothing's going to happen to him, at least it might shed a little bit more light on the deep, deep corruption of NIH that he led","53:12"],["I think the only stock in all of these that I would buy right now is Amazon","46:16"],["because one in eight Americans is on this drug at this point. I think it's going to be one and two.","47:17"],["And if I could go long, any category, it would be a GLP ones.","46:42"],["If I could go short, any category right now, it would be a basket of the secondary AI players.","46:36"],["Except that Iran will then develop a nuclear weapon.","14:41"],["And the only thing that's going to come out of this, besides Trump's incompetence and JD Vance, having about as long a presidential run as Senator Gillibrand","11:17"],["The Strait of Hormuz would take to keep it open would take two carrier strike forces, paratroopers and Marines on the ground on Iranian soil. That is not going to happen.","12:10"],["See, I know I'm predicting it now and I think it's actually going to happen. They're going to get in. They're going to throw dead animals in claim they died.","44:06"],["So are we going to play prediction market odds on when Tucker and Joy Reid do a show together, laugh, smile, and just bash Israel the whole time and completely agree? I give it by the end of July.","1:00:29"],["dan goldman is running tonight in the primary in in new york he's gonna get he's gonna get his ass beat by brad lander which is democracy that's how democracy works","57:53"],["anyone that's rational knows that Israel's never leaving Lebanon.","40:21"],["I have no doubt that the kinetic action, the war is gonna restart again.","39:08"],["But the truth is that when the rubber meets the road, we all know Tucker will almost certainly support Republicans in forthcoming elections. Whether it's 26 or 28, he will stick to this.","58:19"],["Ben, you know that the English team is just gonna end up disappointing you and breaking your hearts again, right, I mean, you see where this is going.","40:14"],["it looks like in these three key rulings, two of which have to do with like, you know who you can hire and fire, and the other one is the birthright citizenship thing, it looks like in two out of the three they're going to go against Trump."],["I mean, I could be wrong. I mean I know him. I don't think you would run.","43:49"],["And there's no piece of paper that can convince me that they will ever agree to anything and live up to it.","27:26"],["Now, eventually he's going to merge this with Tesla. There's no doubt about that.","41:32"],["Now, that's going to get reversed in the Justice Department there.","51:08"],["And he's entitled to that appeal. It's not going to go anywhere.","04:08"],["Iran's got $12 billion of it right now. And every day they're going to be making $3 billion to $5 billion and become one of the wealthiest nations in the world. Right? That's just the reality.","1:02:05"],["instead, he sends messages like this, which the likely outcome is going to be a return to war, a return to the Strait of Hormuz being closed, a return where we are","11:23"],["instead, he sends messages like this, which the likely outcome is going to be a return to war, a return to the Strait of Hormuz being closed, a return where we are","11:23"],["Trump's approval rating hit a new low 30%. It'll be in the 20s, very soon.","32:36"],["I predicted would steadily climb by the end of this year into the fives on the CPI range into the sevens on the PPI range and that's the reality.","20:34"],["I predicted would steadily climb by the end of this year into the fives on the CPI range into the sevens on the PPI range and that's the reality.","20:34"],["Inflation will probably hit by the end of Trump's term 10 to 12% maybe more. They're not being hyperbolic.","20:14"],["Inflation is surging right now and I would not be shocked. The Fed is going to have to step in. They'll probably, as Bank of America says, have to raise interest rates two, three times maybe more at this point when they were supposed to do interest rate cuts.","19:49"],["Then the likely successor Andy Burnham will not guarantee, but likely Andy Burnham gave a very, you know, nice message about the dignity and grace and the service with which Starmer served.","1:22:34"],["it seems pretty clear to me that on 60 days, there's, they're incapable of doing an actual full deal. So what'll happen is 60 days, 60 days, 60 days, 60 days.","55:53"],["I believe the guy. I for one believe the guy. So we're going to send people in. Is Trump pacing this a little bit? Does it happen right before the midterms or after the midterms or what? But I believe that they will do it","43:23"],["My guess is that they'll probably end up with six prime ministers in 12 years. I guess it's where I'm coming around to this. I don't think that the replacement's going to solve their problems.","39:44"],["it gets to the point of let's say it all goes smoothly over the sixty days. Seems unlikely, but let's say it all goes corner and plan. At the end of sixty days, we announced some deal arounds getting their sanctions of relief where you know, straight hoh hormons is open, oil is flowing, like things in the economy go relatively back to normal."],["They're waiting for the price to come down to be able to continue, but they will have to do it, you know, sometime in the next month or two."],["Now it looks like we're trying to arbitrate that and these two groups are going to go at each other and Syria is going to get into it because you know what? It's just the way it is.","20:07"],["We got this, the quote unquote, deal, which I think now we're bound and determined to give the Persian $6 billion of cash money on pallets. Maybe somebody can be talked out of that at the last second.","14:16"],["So they haven't changed their tune, which is again, why Kamala Harris will not be president again.","57:04"],["We don't actually think at the end of the 60 days, Trump and Mochte Baham in air are going to sit down together and sign a document. At the end of the 60 days, we're going to get another 60 days and another 60 days until after November","38:47"],["They are going to blow up that mountain in southern Lebanon. They're going to blow it up. It's going to happen. I don't know when, but it is going to happen","20:45"],["I believe Donald Trump will do everything that he can over the course of the next two and a half years to make sure Iran abides by whatever is signed and that they won't get nukes under him.","08:34"],["Right now, the Democrats are leading in the polling for the governor's race. I think Rick will win. I think Rick will keep Georgia red.","20:55"],["Right now, we can hold the house by, I think, one or two seats in a slog. Hand-to-hand political combat, I think we can do it because of Alex deGrasse and the redistricting efforts led by Alex deGrasse and others","03:27"],["You get Mondami in New York, but in D.C., even a more radical than Mondami, one the other day as mayor or one the primary, which means she's going to be mayor because it's the Democratic primary.","01:53"],["And then if and when the deal falls apart, which again is extremely likely because the chances of the MOU ever turns into the framework for a permanent deal are slimmed to none, given the fact that Iran and the United States don't agree on the basic deal points in the MOU.","22:45"],["But I think Bill is right, the retail investors will be left holding the bag when it comes to pass that a few earnings in.","48:13"],["the person or the entity that's going to impose that discipline will be an activist that comes in and buys five to 10% of the company and says, get shut this down or spin it. I think you're going to see that.","59:47"],["This is the beginning and the end of Snap is an independent company.","50:51"],["In terms of American politics, what this means is the following. JD Vance will not be president.","23:12"],["They said, Trump wanted an agreement and they said, we'll give you a memo of understanding because we know you're on your way out. This will not be enforceable.","21:39"],["And if they say you cannot, you cannot send ballots before election day, and you can't collect them after election day, which I think they're going to rule, it is the end for Democrats as we know it","11:50"],["here's something that he said in 2020 that's going to be on TV screens in Texas this fall","47:30"],["But will it have that effect? It probably will, because I think Washington is grossly underestimating how much this country hates Israel.","1:05:47"],["I guarantee it, you could write it down in stone. Israel is going to hit Lebanon so hard that it's going to get a response from Iran because it's designed to get a response from Iran.","1:36:03"],["It has momentum now going to the Senate floor. I think it's going to pass on the Senate with a big bipartisan vote, and it's going to go to the House and President Trump is eager to sign it."],["Bill Palti is in and he and Solomon are going to get their hands on it and you're going to have to live with it. American people are going to see the receipts.","19:56"],["So just that very basic point, I'm going to say he's probably lying about in taxpayers. My guests are directly paying for it.","13:49"],["like just keeping up with the humiliation strategy of Trump, if that continues, which I expect it will","1:06:01"],["And it's going to be gone in three or four years, if not sooner, because obviously the cost of it, the rhetorical cost of it is not worth it.","1:02:12"],["Because here's the thing. None of this is going to actually become a full agreement. None of this will become a full agreement. This is most likely to end up like the Gaza peace deal.","17:15"],["I genuinely believe the US is going to claim that aliens exist at this point. This is this is a no brainer.","1:26:55"],["I don't buy it. I don't believe that there will be a war in 29 with China.","24:24"],["this just is like on Friday when Israel hits his Lebanon again and Iran fires missiles back and then all of a sudden we realize yep nothing changed","12:39"],["I agree. I agree. I think this is it. I think this is it. Like why would Iran keep negotiating? Trump doesn't want to. Trump's going to move on.","31:14"],["I will be so shocked if Trump actually follows through and pushes for a real peace deal.","55:26"],["So it's very likely that there will be a fight.","1:39:31"],["you shouldn't have hopes that interest rates will be cut at least this year","1:56:22"],["it's still very likely that Iran will charge a toll, which they've rebranded as like an environmental protection fee","1:31:48"],["This is just a prediction based on my own speculation. It will go nowhere","1:21:18"],["So I have no doubt that Israel will continue striking Lebanon.","06:58"],["This goes back to one of the ever shifting supposed goals of this war, which was to eliminate Iran's ballistic missiles capability, which obviously they're not going to be able to do.","21:18"],["It's good, the gas price is going to go down, it probably won't go back down to where it was, and people are not going to forget one hundred days.","02:49"],["I just think they're in a lot of trouble mark. I predict this gets settled.","1:28:30"],["They'll definitely have hundreds of billions of dollars that they didn't have before.","03:12"],["So my money actually is on Trump refusing to go back in there, refusing to resume the bombing. He says he will. I don't think he actually will.","02:30"],["I still think that this memorandum of understanding as flimsy and as probably not durable as it is, because it's not actually a deal and all of these things, of all of the options that we have, given the regime in the United States that's running, this is the best option.","25:47"],["Even if you effectively put it through a nano bubbler filtration system and the algae will come back and it will spread and it will spread quickly because that's what happens when you have a shallow reflecting pool in a swamp, especially over the summer.","44:48"],["I believe Trump will turn on BB in the next 30 days","1:03:56"],["Now, the question here is, is the U.S. funding this thing or is it going to be Gulf states? Trump is saying we're not going to. Gulf states are saying maybe they will. My guess is ultimately it'll be a little bit of both.","32:51"],["I'm telling you right now, Trump is going to want a contested convention. He's not just handing it to JD.","54:14"],["I should mention at this point, our sponsors over at Cal Xi suggest that 42% of people believe that there will be some sort of nuclear deal before October 48% before November, 53% before December. I'm going to go with 0% on this, by the way. I think the chances of a long-lasting nuclear deal with the Iranians, very, very low.","15:33"],["Clearly, the Iranian regime is nowhere close to falling.","1:57:15"],["And they're gonna try to ruin this peace deal.","13:26"],["They're gonna open the Strait of Hormuz, increase the flow of oil and natural gas through the Strait of Hormuz since it's been open and the blockade has been lifted. And then probably get back into it. That is my prediction.","16:42"],["Right now, the Democrats are leading in the polling for the governor's race. I think Rick will win. I think Rick will keep Georgia red."],["So I think that in this case, the whole idea of rally around the president, if we're at war, let's not change horses midstream. Number one, Trump's not actually on the ballot in November. It's about the Republican Party. And number two, I think there will be voters seeking to punish the Republican Party, not reward it for this war.","29:36"],["You're going to go right back to bombing on August 19 and destroy your part. Guarantee the destruction of your party in the midterms. By all means do it. But I don't think that he's going to.","09:22"],["First of all, they say they're going to move up to signing of this. I think to tomorrow.","01:22"],["because Poulty's showing up on Friday, and he's going to be the acting D&I director for at least a couple of months","24:25"],["He's my guy. I won an official three or four months and Pulte's going in on Friday, whether you're like it or not.","19:20"],["And this is why Bill Polte is going in for at least three or four months as the acting director of DNI","13:28"],["they have to get j clayton in as uh... dn i next week i think i know why","21:01"],["I predict there's going to be a third kind of candidate. And I think the person will probably run as a Republican. And I think it's going to be a Tulsi Gabbard, a Joe Kent. Yeah, even like a Tucker Carlson, somebody who represents the more isolationist wing","31:03"],["Truly, this guy is my least favorite politician or soon to be American, US Congressman. He's going to win Nancy Pelosi's old seat.","1:31:30"],["This agreement point one includes Lebanon, includes the idea of immediate cessation of all hostilities, quote, including Lebanon. I don't think BB Netanyahu can agree to this.","16:31"],["I will take Trump's word for it that while Donald Trump is president, Iran is not going to get nukes.","20:46"],["let's say Trump has two and a half more years left, my guess is the Iranians will basically abide by it. Whether they mean it or not, they'll basically abide by it because they know Trump is a little bit of a loose cannon and who knows what he's going to do.","19:15"],["So do I think a long term deal is in the offing here? I am, I am very, very skeptical.","09:34"],["it'll, it'll probably result in the administration putting all sorts of restrictions on like Chinese open weight models trying to come into the US","46:05"],["I also believe that this entire sector is going to have, not a collapse, but a pretty serious drawdown when people after two or three earnings calls are forced to justify anything resembling a future that involves the kind of earnings built into this thing.","31:51"],["Most of them are very much focused on the debt and the math and the situation. I think they'll have to make enormous cuts.","15:21"],["But it's going through and it'll be really interesting to see what the first moves are or ramifications of this consolidated company.","15:02"],["Scotland has so much momentum. You heard it here first. I think they're going to beat either Morocco or Brazil.","03:08"],["But they're like we'll sign on Friday and I'm like how much you want to bet in like Wednesday Iran starts bombing somebody and he's like it deals off","1:39:00"],["the real test will be whether or not Trump is willing to put Israel in its place when it inevitably begins carpet bombing Lebanon","08:13"],["I want to be clear, there has been no indication that Iran will give up control of the strait. They will maintain control of the strait","43:41"],["Now, does Trump have the cajonas to do that? No, he doesn't.","11:23"],["this is existential because, by the way, five years from now, who's going to have a larger GDP, Iran or Israel? Guess","13:16"],["So when you consider, you know, how will these midterms compare with what was a very negative midterm result for them in twenty eighteen, I think all the signs are there that this will be an even bigger way for Democrats."],["And I think at this point, I think Democrats will take the House.","43:14"],["We should begin to see gas prices come, which is good. You know, we're going to see it's still about four dollars a gallon nationally. They'll probably normalize around three point fifty or so."],["I believe you definitely should be nominated for the Academy Award. I think you're going to see him nominated for the Academy Award.","45:48"],["since the Save America Act looks like low probability will be passed, Mike Davis?","23:16"],["What they did is next Friday, next Thursday or Friday, they're going to confirm Jay Clayton as DNI, waving every role in the Senate","28:08"],["he may have had some sort of a criminal history when it comes to drugs, but not in terms of hurting anybody. That judge is not going to let him out.","1:21:32"],["and he'll do more blowing up of boats off the coast of Venezuela and in the Pacific also, and engage in more war crimes there. He can't help himself.","46:00"],["where's his mind gonna go next? Invade Cuba, right? That's the next one, I'm sure. And we've already been talking about Cuba invasion, but I'm sure, you know, soon he'll be doing the Cuba invasion, you know, talk again and ramping up there","45:42"],["and again, this memorandum of understanding doesn't really create certainty, doesn't do anything, I think it's gonna fall up, I hope it doesn't though","50:06"],["They bring it like the pool guys in. And the algae is just gonna come back. The algae is just gonna come back. Even if you do the hydrogen, you're just gonna, the reflecting pool is now gonna be a hydrogen peroxide pool.","35:50"],["Gas prices are already coming down. You're gonna see that straight of horn moose open more and more in the next two weeks"],["The approval rating is in the toilet, The midterms are going to be a total blowout for Republicans. The writing is on the wall"],["they're moving heaven and earth to make sure polity doesn't take over as acting DNI next Friday, they're gonna wave every waiver they've got on Capitol Hill to make sure they can jam in Jay Clayton","05:05"],["They're trying to operationalize this and they're going to do it in the blue states first in the in the sanctuary cities.","32:17"],["I'm not so sure anything's ever really going to get signed.","17:34"],["We're talking about MOUs, 300 billion dollars on what we're going to do. And Israel is going to continue the war up in Lebanon.","39:32"],["Is he going to go take Greenland? He's not going to go take, you know, what he'll do now is every now and then he'll blow up some drug dealer","37:55"],["Okay, he is being humiliated. He will be a loser, and he is going to sign the JCPOA.","26:43"],["You're gonna give $25 billion to Iran. It's kind of an undisputed term. And probably when you add up all the other investments and loans that are being promised, that number could be close to $300 billion.","08:10"],["which i believe the only conclusion is as i described the supreme court will have to rule that you cannot have universal mail-in voting","52:35"],["watson v rnc is poised to be ruled upon in the next week or two","52:35"],["I would assume we're going to see civil litigation of people filing lawsuits and seeking compensation for this, and that litigation could well be successful.","18:40"],["If you become governor, you'll probably have a very hostile Republican controlled general assembly.","12:10"],["you can see from what the system did with not taking the polity as, as DNI and getting rid of Tulsi Gabbard and confirming Jay Clayton in five days when the system wants something, the system is going to get it","08:54"],["we now learn that the UAE already gave them three billion dollars likely we'll give them a 20 to 30 billion dollars","12:58"],["the US likely gonna put billions into some global or into some Middle East renovation fund which is a way to funnel money to Iran","13:03"],["I've reported on this before and I predicted this was gonna happen algae infested already dove course it's gonna be infested with algae the water source is still the Potomac basin","08:55"],["SpaceX will mint today probably 4000 millionaires, people down to the janitor who actually own stock in SpaceX because one of the ways when you have a startup company to get people to work for you is to give them stock.","27:19"],["So, the SpaceX IPO is today. It has been long awaited. It will be the biggest IPO in all of human history. Again, the pre-market valuation is likely to be in the $1.77 trillion range, according to the Wall Street Journal.","02:42"],["the simple one is sure about to see revenues at the 100 biggest podcast go up 20 to 30 percent","54:28"],["I think social media is going to decline more than you think. I think that's my prediction.","54:08"],["I actually think it probably closes though because I talked to an economist this weekend and he said it doesn't really fit the whole way for a monopoly.","44:44"],["And so I think Epstein remains a bearing wall of this presidency. And he cannot get away from it.","39:14"],["So I think we agree that it should be an issue. I don't think it will be.","37:33"],["I'm not convinced it's not only going to pop out of the gates, it'll close first day up","18:34"],["we might see somewhere between like 20 to 30 million in the next five years of boomers moving on. Like this is what's going to happen.","1:33:30"],["They're going to run out by 2023 or 2033. They're going to change. So that way they're going to cut everybody's benefits by 25% or 24%.","1:30:09"],["I hope it's true, but I really feel like he's going to come out tomorrow and be like, actually, no, it's not considering Iran already said, nah, we're not playing.","02:21"],["And I believe them when they say that they're going to go after treaty Parsi.","1:49:19"],["So still, prices will likely surge as oil inventories decrease.","1:35:51"],["Clearly, a peace deal is not on the horizon.","1:34:45"],["And similarly, while I do not believe for a second that my citizenship will ever be taken from me, I think that just by messing with me and saying they're going to try to do it and making me lawyer up, they could make me have a pretty miserable few months or even longer.","51:29"],["And this is why a lot of people do not believe that Trump's challenge to birthright citizenship is going to succeed. I don't believe it's going to succeed.","50:00"],["if I were a betting man, my bet would be Jamie Raskin does not get expelled. It is far more likely Trump gets impeached than it is that Jamie Raskin is going to get himself expelled from the House of Representatives. Not going to happen.","14:41"],["And so I continue to believe that Donald Trump is going to serve out the full remainder of his presidential term.","07:52"],["Carmelo, Anthony's probably gonna be out in parole. Let's say in ten years. Okay, you got thirty five year sentence. He's not gonna serve all that."],["Well, I don't know, President Trump cares about the money. He ain't gonna give, he's not gonna downstroke a 12 billion dollar check. I don't see that happening.","43:20"],["I don't think he's getting on a plane to go to Geneva to sign a deal that they won't amidst the deal, sir.","48:53"],["I believe almost immediately, this is going to go into the indexes. Which means that the percentage of your pension fund is going to go into this stock.","04:17"],["my understanding is going to be a 20-year, some sort of 20-year agreement that they're prepared to make, because they understand it will take them that long to kind of reconstitute it","38:24"],["If you think that he is going to get into the files on the stolen election of 2020, you're kidding yourself. It's not going to happen.","50:25"],["He's going to sit in that confirmation hearing live on national TV at I think noon on Wednesday next week and they're going to vote on Thursday to confirm him. By the time our five o'clock show comes on Thursday, Jay Clayton will be the Director of D&I.","47:30"],["Is Trump going to go back to war? He's basically made it clear he's not going to go back to war. They can act with impunity during the 60 day period","12:14"],["As Steve Hilton, who is running for governor in California. Again, Steve is wonderful. His chances of becoming governor of California are very low because it's a heavily, heavily blue state.","1:03:44"],["And if it is expected, the Supreme Court will end vote counting after election day. That's the narrow ruling.","38:23"],["It's going to be ruled on in a couple of weeks.","38:20"],["We're gonna evaluate the mergers, yeah, sure, whatever, I don't buy it. The merger will go through, the Zionists will have their way","1:21:50"],["And may I add, they've also been pretty clear about how they intend or are pushing for US boots on the ground, which I don't think is gonna happen, but would be disastrous if it would.","19:58"],["meaning that the food being grown at higher cost, much of it, depending on the growth cycle and the seasonality of it, is not yet in the grocery stores, meaning food prices are going to get even more expensive.","15:42"],["They're not going to to it. Twenty fifth amendment, Donald Trump. They're not going to impeach and convict Donald Trump. It's not going to happen","09:15"],["Now, if I'm totally honest with you, I don't expect to be coming to you and saying, hey, we're in week 64 of Trump's three to four week war. I do believe that at some point, there is going to be a deal made, even if just out of sheer exhaustion on either or both parties.","08:32"],["So then consider our own federal Reserve, where the current traders on Wall Street are betting that they're going to increase interest rates here, so we're going to have high interest rates, high inflation"],["And that's why he's two now. He's going to be one next week.","36:55"],["they're going to, they're going to rush the nomination through","22:58"],["Now they will call him back to try to get this thing put in next week, but it expires on Friday.","26:19"],["including I'm sure Sullivan and Cromwell is working on this massive transaction on SpaceX, the largest public offering I think in history, is going to take place on Monday","12:56"],["I don't think we will have a deal signed in 72 hours.","00:42"],["she's not going to represent Dallas long either.","57:49"],["I think forever. Forever, at least for the foreseeable next several decades. Canada, Europe, Asia, they're all going to see the US as not reliable.","20:39"],["So it's definitely market manipulation. It's probably not going to happen.","13:27"],["Iran will never agree not to support Hezbollah and the Houthis and its militia groups in Iraq. That's always a non-starter. So that's not going to be in there.","13:05"],["We can expect that wholesale inflation next month to be around 7.2. I mean, a seven handle right there.","07:27"],["So we're going to finish this year close to 6% inflation.","06:42"],["So yeah, again, I don't think that election is going to go great for James Tallarico. Although he is pulling pretty well again, Ken Paxton.","1:20:11"],["Democrats are currently running in New Jersey, a man who testified on behalf of a guy convicted in the 1993 World Trade Center bombing and went to Bosnia to affiliate with an all-kind of front group. That guy is going to be elected to Congress in New Jersey in all likelihood.","38:41"],["You said, Alex, that we might get a vice president, AOC and a Gavin Newsom. The reason why I say I don't think so is because California has been shocking to the conscience for a lot of Americans.","1:18:20"],["Nick Fuentes, I believe when he's in his late 30s, will probably be worth $100 million.","1:14:21"],["SCOTUS is likely going to rule in favor of the defendant, which is that you cannot count votes after election day.","1:18:39"],["I think we're not going to I think there's not going to be riots on this.","19:16"],["I think it'll be 40 years.","32:05"],["But at the same time, the voters see what's happening to their own pocketbooks. They see the rising price of fuel. They're not gonna be happy about this. That's gonna hurt them and that's going to discourage them from reelecting some of these Republican lawmakers way more than anything else that the Trump administration is up to.","11:37"],["And and I got to admit, I'm very skeptical that that that there are any prosecutors in Minnesota willing to hold the corrupt Democrats in charge of that state accountable.","29:16"],["Look, and I would assume we're going to see civil litigation of people fire filing lawsuits and seeking compensation for this, and that litigation could well be successful.","28:43"],["And it appears as though few, if any of those people are actually going to be there.","26:52"],["They're not going to stick around over August.","1:01:14"],["they've essentially announced they're going to get a CR. We're going to get jammed this year. They're not going to stick around over August. There's not going to be any appropriations bills.","1:01:10"],["that's why I'm saying she's not confused. She is just going with the race thing and pandering her careers over. She's got to just got to serve out her term, but she's in, you know, redistricting has done her in.","47:49"],["There's just no chance in my mind that they are not going to find him guilty, Carmelo Anthony. I could be wrong. Juries sometimes do surprising things, but I will be shocked, shocked if this is anything other than guilty on the murder count.","01:56"],["And so now basically Tallarico, who is the Senate Democratic candidate in Texas where Democrats are going to waste an awful lot of money trying to defeat Ken Paxton and they're going to lose anyway.","05:35"],["I think Elon and his banks will probably create enough artificial scarcity to manufacture a pop.","45:06"],["There will be some sort of government backed debt offering or backstop for AI companies who can't afford the infrastructure spent.","49:48"],["you're also probably going to see a decline in the larger market for tech stocks because I think so much capital is going to be sucked up by these guys","44:25"],["I think space X is about to hit a 10 year high on the minute. It goes public, meaning it'll be all downhill from there.","43:30"],["I think SpaceX is multiple will deflate dramatically as revenues grow","40:24"],["there's more shoes about to drop. I hear about everything. And so it's going to be a continuing leak, leak, leak.","26:52"],["And she's pulled ahead of him in the LA mayoral primary and is probably going to stay there.","09:47"],["probably the attorney generals will file a sue while we're taping this, um, against the, to slow down the merger and it will slow down the merger","21:23"],["I think he's getting locked up.","1:50:24"],["If the Supreme Court, likely they will, strikes down extended ballot counting after election day.","37:53"],["Carmelo Anthony is going to prison. This dude's getting locked up.","05:55"],["So it's kind of hard for me to see the next losing the series, but there's a part of me with my Trump derangement syndrome that does want to see four straight Spurs wins","1:13:31"],["So congratulations LA. It looks like Nithia ramen is likely to win. And I'm not happy about it. But it is what it is. I'd rather have Karen Bass reelected than have Nithia ramen elected.","1:00:26"],["No US aircraft carrier Delta Force team is going into North Korea to go and kidnap him. He's going to die in his own bed whenever he wants to."],["these big fights we're going to get a cr while we're going to get a cr the democrats won't be reasonable on any budget cuts","39:37"],["the governor's race, I guess the governor's race is going to go to a runoff. I don't see any of any of the candidates right now, unless there's a miracle getting to 50% because there's so many","21:15"],["less some massive jury nullification happens There's going to be a conviction here the proof was overwhelming","1:28:52"],["the markets will continue to plummet","29:35"],["The American people will now see gas prices continue to go up","29:39"],["we will be hitting that point, as I've been saying now, every damn day, where the oil prices will be $160 a barrel, $200 a barrel. We're just moving towards that.","29:43"],["And then I'll tell you what's gonna happen. Some Democrats going to win the president and it's gonna be a wipe out","23:46"],["Then you get into this catastrophic never ending situation in Iran, which frankly, let's be very clear, this ain't ending in Donald Trump's term.","23:23"],["Watch what the inflation report's gonna be tomorrow and this week. It'll be 4%, it'll be maybe 4.1%.","24:57"],["So let's see, and what Trump's going to argue, there's no standing to sue. There's no standing.","1:12:37"],["Since we started filling up strategic reserves, since literally the idea of a strategic reserve was created, we're about to soon have less in our strategic reserves than day one of filling up strategic reserves.","11:46"],["Now if the president does cut that crappy deal, that would be a huge, huge historic error of massive proportions. I don't think the president is going to do that. He keeps saying he's not going to do that. So I have faith that he won't. But if he does cut that crappy deal, let's just be clear. He is listening to all the people who hate him. He's listening to all the people who have been yelling at him this entire time. He'd be listening to the Tucker Carlson's and the Candace Owens's and the Megan Kelly's and all those people. If he cuts a crappy deal, it allows Iran to rebuild its nuclear weaponry, allows Iran to rebuild its ballistic missiles, allows Iran to rebuild its terror axis.","42:17"],["I think Alaska and Ohio are toss ups. I think Iowa, I would have leaned towards the Republican in the Senate, Ashley Henson and the Democrat and the governor's race.","54:37"],["I think Alaska and Ohio are toss ups. I think Iowa, I would have leaned towards the Republican in the Senate, Ashley Henson and the Democrat and the governor's race.","54:37"],["But I think one thing that will happen over the next several months, I wouldn't be surprised to see the administration turn against Israel. And then you really have an interesting moment, right, for MAGA and for the Republican Party, I think.","04:27"],["Is that it is both a bubble and it is going to be extraordinarily transformational. I think it's both"],["I think we're going to have good news to report in the next day or two on the book revolution. I think if you look at the trends, it should be in the top one or two of the New York Times best-selling list.","30:18"],["The reason California and the mayor of Los Angeles, the reason Spencer Pratt ain't in the race in November is because we've known this in Georgia in Arizona, but particularly in Pennsylvania","13:20"],["Our Navy, you're gonna see another carrier battle group have to get deployed back over there to keep that.","04:51"],["They both hate each other. Both sides think they're winning. The Israelis are going to continue to disband in Lebanon.","41:32"],["it's not going well for the defense. And I predict that Carmelo Anthony will be found guilty.","1:12:36"],["Now I have a feeling that no matter what happens here, it probably won't hurt him because all they want is power and they don't really care about women.","55:34"],["So I think it seems to me that they're going to disconnect. Israel will deal with Hezbollah and hopefully the Iran thing will calm down.","1:13:25"],["So the point on all of this is it seems to me that Trump will be able to get the Israelis and Iranians to pretty much stop shooting at each other.","1:12:52"],["By the way, who will win that? My guess is Nithi Ramen will because the base will end up going to her","09:15"],["And it's unclear whether Iran's football federation president, Medi Taj, will be banned as well, but it seems likely that he will be, although we're following this up.","04:25"],["I honestly believe Tucker will be a Democrat and support the Democrat nominee in 28.","24:54"],["How does the city get so broken that Spencer Pratt has to run against an extremely crappy sitting mayor and she will still probably get reelected despite her failure to deliver for the city's citizens on every single front?","02:11"],["And let's hope we get our American back, but we probably won't because it's Israel. And so it appears they are above the law.","43:31"],["Apple will show up late, charge 40% more and take 80% of the profits here.","47:46"],["So, I have a feeling Apple's going to come right up the back up the middle and take it all.","45:21"],["you're about to see alphabets already announced it. The next will be Amazon.","53:37"],["So my prediction is more boring. I think you're about to see the mother of all capital front running.","53:25"],["And I predict Dolly Parton will prevail here and the money will get to this group.","52:14"],["it doesn't even look like they're going to be able to flip Maine with Graham Plattner being being ripped to shreds by the corporate press","47:16"],["But I mean, it's not going to stop Elon from getting a trillion. And that his situation is insane.","25:15"],["Spencer Pratt is going to lose that LA mayor.","51:01"],["I also unfortunately don't think that his proposal is going to go anywhere.","1:17:44"],["In other words, the minute Netanyahu loses in a couple of months, they're not finally Bennett is just like Netanyahu. He might be even more right-wing than Netanyahu.","1:05:39"],["I know and you're right. Trump is very likely to veto it. If you ask me, that's my prediction. Of course he's going to veto it.","37:52"],["The support we're seeing is really significant, and I think we're going to see I hope and believe, a big bipartisan vote in the Senate behind this bill.","12:40"],["But obviously looks like it's going to be enough to knock Spencer Pratt online phenom out of the top two","1:19:27"],["It's not going to happen. We will never allow this to happen. Not to the United States of America, not going to happen.","04:09"],["Number one, Todd Blanche is going to be nominated by President for very quickly to be attorney general.","24:22"],["I don't think, I don't see the Fed doing a rate cut, which I know President Trump wants. I don't see that happening.","17:26"],["It's a very tough haul for him. I really think it should have worked on a plea. I don't see a good outcome coming his way.","1:21:20"],["If that happens, I'm going to eat this packet live on the air. But that is not going to happen legitimately.","30:45"],["That's just, I don't think it's going to happen. I think Steve Hilton will be, you know, one of the final two, but I don't trust these people.","06:42"],["And I know I keep raising this red flag, but we're like a week and a half away from really running out of the kind of threshold number in our oil reserves, where all of a sudden you then see a dramatic spike.","05:57"],["I maintain my position. Chud the Builder is going to get locked up forever.","1:22:11"],["Nithya is a progressive challenger to Karen Bass. Seems likely that she is going to pass. Pratt.","43:51"],["The current batch of charges against Santos come as lawmakers grapple with how to properly regulate prediction markets, which I'm sure they'll fail to do for two different reasons.","1:47:29"],["Yeah, of course, but will they? No, they won't. The US will not arrest Netanyahu, regardless of what the ICC says about him or regardless of what kind of warrants are out against him. That's just the fact of the matter.","51:03"],["I think that they're going to get crushed in November.","32:53"],["it will almost certainly not survive significant court challenge"],["As we all know, demining the strait will take literally months because even if Ron knows where they are, not that easy to go and get us mind sweepers"],["because LA is overwhelmingly democratic and Republicans are losing in places like Texas and Ohio. You think you're going to win in LA in this year, Like it's not happening"],["the ballot trends show that it is almost impossible for Steve Hilton to maintain that first place that he stands in right now"],["These are massive public offerings. The scale of this musk is orders of magnitude, the biggest public offering that's ever ever occurred.","14:01"],["Let me talk about one of the best humans on earth, Mike Lindell, the next governor of the great state of Minnesota","50:59"],["are trying to do a blitzkrieg and roll this thing up and we've stopped them every time. And guess what? We're going to stop them again.","47:20"],["Now they're going to get Bolton to roll on other people. I'm sure that's part of the deal. He's going to become a government witness.","41:21"],["You're going to see arrests. You're going to see people that have been funding this.","51:44"],["The Todd's now going to be put in to be confirmed and he will get confirmed as attorney general.","46:02"],["It won't be independent media. I guarantee you, he thinks that's beneath him.","1:22:49"],["My prediction would be next move will be like PBS, you know, like a frontline type program. That'll be his ride off into the sunset.","1:22:43"],["And so I guess here we go again with another deadline, another fake deadline. Make a deal with us by Friday or else. Okay, we've done that before. You've said that before. That's not how Iran negotiates.","43:56"],["At least $150 per barrel into the $200 per barrel for the futures market.","29:39"],["And it causes the price to literally be $8 a gallon, $10 a gallon, $12 a gallon.","29:27"],["It's probably not tomorrow. It's probably closer to 7 to 14 days.","28:12"],["I said, we'll hit. We'll be very close to 5% inflation by the end of this year.","26:49"],["And in 10 years, nobody in America is going to be obese.","1:14:37"],["chuk you're done anyway man like you you're just on the the slowly sinking ship and they're going to take you out","41:36"],["So basically short of him like having a body in his closet. I'm pretty sure they're gonna stick with him.","03:36"],["It takes California about a month to count. We'll probably know by about the Major League All-Star game, who the other person is going to be run off.","31:07"],["But it seems like it's probably going to be Spencer Pratt in the Mayors race in LA and Steve Hilton, the British, the little British fella and the governor's race.","31:16"],["But it seems like it's probably going to be Spencer Pratt in the Mayors race in LA and Steve Hilton, the British, the little British fella and the governor's race.","31:16"],["And finally, Rokana of course, in Silicon Valley and he should coast of victory. But make sure you go on vote for one of the very, very few Americans left in Congress.","1:34:57"],["But it's a beautiful win and it also portends Republican losses in the midterms, so it's doubly good news.","1:40:32"],["Yeah, all right, well, interesting. I guess Matt Walsh's days are numbered because Ben Shapiro, war we're gonna find out does Ben Shapiro completely run daily wire or does he not?","1:17:18"],["And we said gas prices were definitely going to go up. And I'll tell you right now, gas prices are going to continue to go up.","1:23:26"],["And so I said about 80% chance. Now I've moved it to 95 because we've restarted, right? But cooler heads can prevail. But if they don't prevail over the next couple of days, then we're off to the races and the dominoes will fall.","1:52:58"],["And Hilton looks like he's going to make it through as well.","17:21"],["Andy Biggs, you should know, is on a roll to be the next governor of Arizona. Hobbes is, this is going to be a throw down with Hobbes and Biggs.","43:25"],["President Trump is not doing away with the income tax. He would like to, but this is, I say, aspirational, and particularly when we're running these types of deficits.","47:11"],["Scott Wiener is sick. He's sick and he's going to win that seat","41:09"],["it does at least look like Steve Hilton's going to make it into the final two for the gubernatorial race and Spencer Pratt is holding his own","02:03"],["and they're going to raise all this money and waste Democratic money chasing eyes bigger than your stomach, chasing a result in Iowa that is almost impossible to achieve rather than spending that money judiciously elsewhere","25:55"],["Mike Rogers, who is running, who will be the Republican nominee almost certainly for the Republican for the Michigan seat","13:58"],["But this is a district that will go Democratic in November.","03:05"],["and I suspect as we roll into the midterms they will go down again right trump will make sure that happens","59:36"],["so this will go to a runoff too and it looks like because it's two guys that will be in the runoff it will be hilton versus the democrat bessara","30:17"],["So that means because neither of one of them will get to 50% in this that there will be a runoff election it's the top two candidates so it will be Bass and it will be Spencer Pratt","06:23"],["So here's what it doesn't look like, a traditional military loss. It doesn't look like thousands of American troops dead, for example, because that's not going to happen.","1:01:04"],["Now, by the way, Pratt is likely to at least end up in the final two.","57:13"],["If I could go short AI and long GLP1, that would be my investment thesis for the next decade.","54:03"],["I think at some point, these drugs are going to be less than $100 a month and maybe even lower than that.","52:38"],["I think anthropic is the only one of these three that has a reasonable shot at trading above its IPO price 12 months out","35:50"],["one or more of these stocks is going to be about 40 to 70 percent and it's going to send the US and the global economy into a recession","34:35"],["one or more of these stocks is going to be about 40 to 70 percent and it's going to send the US and the global economy into a recession","34:35"],["And I don't think the US fund, I don't think Israel funds gets funding from it from the United States in 10 years.","1:33:27"],["There is no reality where Thomas Massey wins a presidential race in 2028. You can bet on it.","34:18"],["But if because Israel said shut up America, you're gonna go back into the war and we go back into the war, which is I have at about 98% chance","1:43:53"],["Sorry, there is no military option here. There is no regime change in Iran. The US got played and the entire global community is suffering as a result of that.","28:39"],["because of the fact that the diplomatic talks are completely off and there are also talks about a different straight that Iran might block, oil prices are likely gonna go up to $160 per barrel","27:43"],["If you just ask me straight up, who do I think ultimately wins? I think Paxton's favored.","43:11"],["there will be more billionaires in twenty twenty seven than any time in human history","46:01"],["I believe that the SPR will reach its lowest level ever by next week","18:27"],["Trump did hold back on those strikes. However, we all know it's just a matter of time before anything like that happens. Again","12:06"],["we are four minutes, five minutes, six minutes away from knowing if the Speaker of the House, your competitor is going to break her promise and get back in this. I'm a bet man. I'm going, I'm taking the over that she's in against you, sir.","48:58"],["after we had the expeditionary force from, of the B2s and the Navy submarines hitting it with Tomahawk missiles obliterated the nuclear program, at least for any time in the foreseeable future, right, the next couple of decades","39:57"],["Well, so are we all in agreement that Carmelo Anthony's got a very difficult task in front of him. That lawyer, like the odds are overwhelming, like that he's going to be convicted.","1:07:17"],["So that's going to play out at some point, but I don't think it's going to happen in front of this judge.","43:58"],["I do predict Blake Lively is going to be severely disappointed on this one and it's looking like yet another big loss for her.","44:06"],["What basically will happen is he'll probably be just serving as an acting DNI for the statutory period, whatever that is several months. And then he'll be withdrawn.","44:05"],["there ain't going to be no deal with Iran for years and years and years","11:23"],["pay attention to the fact that Prime Minister Carney is signaling that he's about to buy triple the amount of Swedish greepins from Saab over the F-35s from the United States","1:18:07"],["Inflation by the end of this year will be close to 5% if not higher than 5%. That's not me being hyperbolic. Just follow the trends, it increases 0.2% every month. We're at 3.6%.","1:13:27"],["no matter how brilliant a race Spencer Pratt runs or Steve Hilton runs, there just aren't enough people to vote for them in that state of whatever it is, 38 million people to overcome the organized Democratic Party's machine","1:06:52"],["Even if Steve Hilton, the Republican candidate gets into the governor's race, he probably can't win.","1:05:40"],["I mean, in this case, I would say respectfully, Mr. President, it's not going to end in eternity because there are terrorist organizations committed to the destruction of Israel and who have already taken over Lebanon for all intents and purposes.","39:43"],["A lot of people are calling on Barry to just get rid of Scott Pelly now. I don't know that she'll go that far","37:16"],["Again, I do not think that Spencer Pratt is going to win this race because I do not trust people in LA to be smart enough to do that, but good for him, good for him.","55:36"],["Nithya Raman, who is the third place finisher likely in these primaries, she has been defending tents near schools for years.","50:57"],["But I think the blue state, governors, secretaries of state, attorneys of general are on top of this. So I don't think he's going to succeed.","21:17"],["I've sort of assumed that Ron would accept a deal now intending to sort of monkey with it and semi violated and target three, six, nine, 12 months from now","07:51"],["but they did on tariffs and they will do on birthright citizenship","15:19"],["So yeah, I've been slightly on the side that they probably at the end of the day want to get to a deal and Trump certainly wants to get to a deal. So they'll get to a deal.","04:50"],["Torture prediction for the thirteenth. You think they will. I think there's a very good chance.","18:41"],["He'll appeal. It'll be a mess.","17:27"],["His face on a $250 bill, it's not going to happen. If I were a betting man, I would say it doesn't happen.","27:39"],["The health care bill has been two weeks away since July of 2020. Not going to happen.","27:06"],["They found this prosecutor in contempt. I don't believe that that will mean that he'll be removed from the case, but he has been found in contempt for violating said gag order."],["So we again will almost certainly tomorrow have some video of just absolutely apocalyptic scenes out of Beirut as Israel's military will pound the country of Lebanon.","05:20"],["So no, I don't think it will hurt him whatsoever in terms of his polling, and if anything, will have a Trump like effect of making people feel like they're out to get him"],["I have a feeling voters in Mayne are going to shrug this off like they've shrugged off all of the other things that we're supposed to be disqualifying. For Graham Plattner","24:32"],["By the way, the Iran deal has completely fallen apart. The ceasefire may be off. That's been blown to smithereens. Israel continued to bomb Lebanon. Qatar is involved. It's, it's a fucking mess. And I don't think it's got any chance of ending soon.","1:07:05"],["What if Karen Bass gets over 50%? I don't think so unless Nithia Raman drops out","1:06:03"],["She will not succeed in this position. It will not be held long term. And you can see it.","1:31:05"],["All right, this, this June 9th primary is going to happen and he's going to win that.","02:02"],["And then you'll be seeing $6 $7 $8.00. You'll be seeing gas lines. We're very close I've been warning about this the exxon executive finally said it","11:12"],["Democrats are right to say that their sole purpose now is to is to block Trump's efforts. That is politically correct and advantageous and is going to be the thing that wins them in 2026.","1:01:30"],["Iran is going back to war. And so I guess we're going to go back to war because what choice we have.","08:31"],["Trump is endorsing him and he likely will win.","49:12"],["What we expect the Department of Justice to argue is what they argued when Ro Khanna and Thomas Massey saw it as special master. We believe the Department of Justice is going to say the Epstein Transparency Act provides no cause of action or no remedy and nobody can do anything.","09:50"],["Trump will not arrest you. Trump will not stop you. Trump will not invoke the insurrection act.","12:02"],["I just don't see that he's going to be writing checks or somehow, finally, $1 billion to what's left of this regime.","29:03"],["as the cost of AI go way down, we're going to find more uses for it. And we're actually going to end up hiring more programmers","49:55"],["you are about to see the mother of all increases in philanthropic giving in the Bay Area","1:01:51"],["What probably we will do in the short run is it'll probably take the S&P down because so much money is going to come from every corner of the earth to participate in these things.","1:00:56"],["My prediction is these three companies, especially AI, are going to go through a pretty serious reprising, not a collapse, like a 2000 collapse, but a reprising.","59:29"],["You're about to see one of the biggest brand failures in history.","56:21"],["The US is going to make a move on Cuba.","1:36:54"],["You just said it. They're gonna take 70% of Gaza. They've already taken over 60% of Gaza.","32:49"],["Grocery prices are never going back. They probably aren't even going to come down overall, but they are definitely never going back to the prices that there are people still waiting for.","31:45"],["It is not going to happen. Trump's face will never be on the currently non-existent $250 bill.","23:29"],["But I am being told credibly that no, we cannot overturn the current core ordered congressional redistricting map for twenty twenty six. I don't know if that's a legal issue or a timing issue. You could expect that those will get redone for twenty twenty eight, though, and so it's too late for twenty twenty six for whatever reason."],["But think about Tillis is going away, probably replaced by a Democrat, so that's not super helpful, but at least he's going away.","1:00:29"],["The Treasury is going to have a tough time rolling over the debt refinancing. They'll get it done. But I believe they'll get it done at higher rates.","11:10"],["And I certainly don't see President Trump agreeing to some $300 billion.","01:14"],["I just don't see President Trump down stroking a $12 billion check for the pleasure of dealing with these guys.","13:46"],["President Trump, the aspiration is to do away with income tax. That's going to be, I don't know, decade in the future. It's not going to happen today.","43:55"],["He ruled on something, obviously going to go to the Appella Court. We think it's going to go on bank. This will go to the Supreme Court, but it's got to happen quickly, I believe.","36:27"],["Sadly, Katie Porter is now in fifth at 7%. I don't know what's wrong with people. Why don't they keep it fun for the rest of us? It doesn't look like she's going to be able to pull it out.","1:08:46"],["Really hope Chad Bianco gets out with all due respect, Sheriff, respect your work, but we got to get a Republican over the line and it's not going to be you.","1:08:56"],["Tallarico is worried. I agree with you. He is not going to win. There's no chance that these Texas voters are going to vote for Tallarico.","46:22"],["What does that make October? 4.9. 5. So when I'm here saying I think we're going to hit 5% PC or CPI, I don't want to, and when we hit it, people are going to be like shocked","08:35"],["They are still doing their reevaluation of the F-35s where I think Canada is moving closer to getting the Gripen, which is the fighter jet that competes with the F-35.","1:08:41"],["Also, Pam Bondi said to testify on Friday, although we don't believe she will be testifying under oath or on video camera, but we'll see about that.","02:10"],["Also, Pam Bondi said to testify on Friday, although we don't believe she will be testifying under oath or on video camera, but we'll see about that.","02:10"],["The more I read about the Democrat James Tellerico, the more it seems absolutely science fictional to me that he can actually make it into the Senate.","1:00:42"],["I mean, there is no way on earth that the Congress of the United States is going to authorize or appropriate three hundred billion dollars of American taxpayer money to reconstruct Iran, a country that we have basically deemed our enemy","12:00"],["And honestly, the image of Trump sitting courtside at Madison Square Garden while New York Democrats melt down about it almost feels inevitable at this point.","04:56"],["Again, I think that Ken Paxton is a worse candidate than John Cornyn on a statewide level. That does not matter. And I think that the Republican is going to swap Tallarico in Texas.","24:38"],["So I think there's a strong probability of a spoiler third party run from Gabbard Massey, Kent or otherwise that polls default lives","46:10"],["Tellarico's got the charisma of a stink bug. I mean, let's just be real. I don't see the dude winning","24:14"],["Remember the promises that they made and every single time I said to you, it is not going to happen. It is simply not going to happen.","11:30"],["So you really think things are going to go back down to fifty Like, No, I don't think so, it will remain elevated."],["And I think even the White House at one point honestly said, yes, gas will not be below three dollars a gallon for like a year. Yes, I think that's correct.","25:38"],["And Trump is coming in said, no, there's not going to be any Omani control. There's not going to be any Iranian control. It's going to go back fully to the way that it was. There is no way that Iran is going to accept that.","08:59"],["I think it's still early days for this to be central in twenty twenty six, but I fully expect AI to be central to the debates in twenty twenty eight","36:12"],["I don't know. I see some very tough elements of that that just can't see President Trump agreeing to.","06:15"],["Texas is not going to like that guy. It's not going to happen.","13:38"],["Enbanc means the entire appeals court in DC, and I believe that will definitely have to happen.","24:25"],["That's gonna be a big deal and get to the Supreme Court. I think on the emergency docket pretty quickly.","24:19"],["But the Arab nations aren't going to join the Abraham Accords. They made it very clear they're not joining the Abraham Accords.","09:41"],["He's scared. He's going to sit for a deposition. He ain't going to sit for a deposition. I'm too busy. I can't do it.","1:06:07"],["She's probably not going to do it under video camera just like Howard Lutnik.","1:02:32"],["Pam Bondi's deposition is tomorrow but she's probably not going to do it under oath.","1:02:25"],["I believe that will be at 5% inflation. PCE by the end of this year. I think it's about a point two to point three increase every month.","1:01:01"],["It's not like, is it a chance? No, it's a zero percent chance. It's a negative percent chance of this happening. It will not happen. Period, full stop.","32:30"],["Then you had James Comer, head of the House Oversight Committee, or soon to be ex-head of the House Oversight Committee.","18:01"],["And in fact, Donald Trump's going to unfreeze more funds and have less controls than former president Obama did.","01:16"],["I'm going to advertise there, if you will, to the Gripen purchase that I think is going to happen soon. Maybe there'll be a little bone thrown to the F 35s, but I think Canada is going. Gripen","07:51"],["it's probably all going to come to nothing and it's going to all, you know, crash and burn before it's ever implemented","1:03:48"],["But the establishment candidates are going to be Kamala and Pete Buttigieg.","22:06"],["assuming that Josh Appeara won't run, which I do because I think it would be crazy for him to run as a Jew and an increasingly anti-Semitic party","22:01"],["Guess what? I think there's a strong probability not necessarily Hassan himself, but people in this fear are going to start going to jail.","26:38"],["I'm going to tell you, I think Hassan Piker is going to just be like, you tell me what you want and I will give you everything.","04:01"],["I'm going to say this. I think Republicans are going to win in November. I don't, it's not a guarantee. I'm not saying it's 100%. I'm saying right now it leans in their favor. And I think that is the more likely outcome.","18:33"],["And I think we assessed that he's the underdog still with Paxton.","03:04"],["But it's buried under the facilities we destroyed. It might take months to take it out. When you say I needed out on day one, you're saying the war is not going to end for months.","27:03"],["it is easy to say it's Texas, it's red, We're gonna win, and I believe we are gonna win"],["the odds are precisely one hundred point zero percent that we will see millions and millions of dollars of attack ads in the general election, bringing up every one of those personal attacks and going after him viciously"],["I think when you tally the runoff, it will end up being well north of one hundred and fifty million dollars spent in this primary"],["we now know with absolute certainty that come January I am going to be serving with a new senator from the state of Texas"],["And I think if I'm, if I'm honest and I always am with you, Texas is probably still leaning Republican in this raid race nationally, state wide is what I mean.","17:21"],["I think it's good that Marco is back because I don't think this is going to be quick. I think the president realizes it's not going to happen quickly.","20:06"],["There's not going to be any Persian Gulf maritime authority that goes that monitors and handles shipping.","19:40"],["And I think it's going to be a three to five point plus blowout of Tallarico.","04:35"],["We need 24 billion, but we're going to need 12 billion down as a down payment. I just don't see President Trump doing that. I don't think, I don't see him putting down a down payment to bring this thing to a conclusion.","45:55"],["I told Politico last night, I think it's a five plus win, but it's going to be very tough and the Democrats going to put in hundreds of millions of dollars.","09:02"],["I'm going out there. I'm saying it on the record. It's not going to happen. I think I think Paxson is going to win. He's going to win easily.","17:34"],["we've had two impeachment since of Trump. We're going to probably have another one in 2019.","22:23"],["And Josh Shapiro, for all of his skills, for all of his record, for the fact that he is going to most likely win a very whopping reelection, this Democratic party nominating Josh Shapiro in 2028?","51:21"],["What we have, Plattner and Maine who did win, he's going to win the nomination because Mills dropped out of the race.","41:13"],["will he be a decent senator probably yes will he win probably yes","38:43"],["Kevin has it knows we're not going to have 6% GDP growth. He knows it.","59:53"],["and then a few more people are talking about Don Jr. although I don't find that particularly likely","15:34"],["It's not going to be JD. It's not going to be any time. It's not going to be Don Jr.","1:15:05"],["Trump's not going to prison. No, Trump's not going to prison.","07:14"],["So I don't think that they're going to go after Obama for that reason.","11:41"],["I just know that I think in the long run, I hope it gets banned, and I think eventually it will, maybe ten years or so from now, But the gap of the damage that will be brought in the interim, it's immense."],["They're going to win from what I understand, because of the way that they have defined the CFTC gets a broad amount of deference whenever it comes to derivatives contracts regulation. Especially with the current composition of the US Supreme"],["So how are you going to establish some sort of deal with parties that have negative trust without any sort of face to face conversations seems pretty unlikely."],["The president would like to deal with income taxes sometime in the future with tariff revenue, all that. It's not going to happen anytime soon.","28:31"],["let me be very clear the chance of Saudi Arabia Pakistan guitar entering into the Abraham Accords is zero it's negative negative 800 percent they are not doing it","14:25"],["It's exactly what he's now going to be doing with Taiwan. He's going to deprive Taiwan of military assistance.","1:16:05"],["And it's not even under a consideration. It's not happening. It's never happening unless and until there's a full two state solution that's reached, they made that clear.","40:39"],["right now, Democrats up 7.4. That's a new cycle high in this latest RCP generic ballot. And you contrast that to 2018, which was a wave-like election there. Democrats were only up four points at that time. And I think we're going to see this number continue to rise there.","30:25"],["And Trump endorses Paxton and Paxton is likely to win and thus give the Democrats the first real chance they've had to have a Senator from Texas since Lloyd Benson.","44:27"],["that seems to me if there's a red line here, it's leaving them with any nuclear material or capabilities. I don't see any which way that Trump can walk from this thing.","39:33"],["Look, we wanted a certain amount of people wanted the Iranian people to rise up and take over from the moles. It doesn't look like that's going to happen.","36:00"],["I guess tomorrow is the Texas primary. We'll see Paxton defeat corner.","39:21"],["I think that the end of the Serran thing, if you just think about it from a psychological perspective, they're going to feel like they need a cleaner win and they're going to try to move into Cuba. That feels inevitable to me.","30:11"],["The prices don't go down to where they were because of the risk factor in the straight.","10:30"],["So six weeks from now, after everything is settled down, the Iranians will deny passage to someone or, you know, find an excuse to do something to remind people that they have control.","10:20"],["I predicted that, and I think I still predict that by tomorrow, the Trump supporting hawks will 80% be Trump supporters","07:19"],["But at the end of the day, he wants out. And I guess he'll get out.","04:58"],["having seen this guy's like daily drip of APO between now and November is going to be interesting because because I guarantee you there's a lot more coming","33:51"],["I think we will see additional countries come into the Abraham Accords"],["I'm optimistic we hold and grow our majorities in both the House and Senate.","26:45"],["But in terms of how we will we see oil, oil and natural gas resume normal flow through the strait over the next thirty days, I don't think so."],["Yeah, by the end he'll be a laughing stock. And I think that he'll probably be driven from office. He'll be so unpopular.","1:05:47"],["Okay, no, he's lost enough popularity that he can't pull that off.","18:42"],["I think you can expect a deal between US and Cuba in the coming months.","1:02:58"],["you're going to see a 70% to 95% decline in the value of one or more of these companies","32:00"],["I think $2 trillion is a real stretch for here and it's going to price below that","1:02:48"],["But I think by the end of the year, it's well below a trillion dollars.","26:20"],["They will manufacture scarcity. Goldman and everybody will tell him, okay, this is what it looks like. Put out press releases saying you're 30 times ever subscribed. It'll get a pop and then get out","27:28"],["if nothing changes, we don't have the votes to secure our border, and it is unacceptable, it is untenable. It is impossible to imagine that we will not fund border security."],["Here's what's going to happen, Ben, There's gonna be some change to this judgment fund. I don't know what it's gonna be, but it will be something that the White House and the Department of Justice agrees on. They're going to announce it","22:51"],["we'll be back on June first. We're gonna vote on border security","22:05"],["it is one hundred percent that next year Bill Cassidy will not be a senator in the United States Senate"],["So I don't think that they're going to go after Obama for that reason.","1:03:57"],["Now, this article, and I kind of buy this, says that they don't think that he'll switch to being a Republican because he relishes being like the you know, pissing in the punch bowl of the Democrats basically"],["Now, come twenty twenty eight, when his term is up, like, I can't see any political he is definitely going to lose a Democratic primary. I think he'd lose a Republican primary, because it's one thing when you're the Democrat who's like saying the thing that Republicans won"],["We're going to announced deal in hours, you know, in different leaks that are coming out from various outlets. Of course, we've both seen the US position, we've seen the Iranian position. They are not in the same galaxy. There seemed to be no points really where they have come to anything approximating in agreement, So that seems highly unlikely to me.","08:52"],["Plattner's up six. Plattner's going to win. It's going to win going away.","12:50"],["You're going to be held accountable, Cornyn. You're going to be humiliated on Tuesday.","06:48"],["He actually could have his hands slapped. I don't think it's going to do much.","1:57:04"],["I don't think the defense is onto something here. I don't think the judge is going to allow this, but, you know, it's a very high profile, very sensitive case.","1:51:39"],["I guarantee you, we are T minus like two hours from him putting out a statement or doing a hit.","50:25"],["The Islamic Republic is going to stay in power.","1:12:57"],["They're not going to transfer any nuclear material to the United States or to another country.","1:12:53"],["They're not giving up the Strait of Hormuz.","1:12:51"],["here we stand, by all accounts, the Strait of Hormuz, no, not going to be opening up anytime soon","1:12:20"],["The Quinnipiac poll has Donald Trump's overall approval at 34%. When you look at his approval on the economy in total free fall, just 33% to prove while 64% disapprove. Folks this number looks like it will be heading into the 20s in no time.","01:22"],["The guy that I think is the dark horse who if I had to guess will be the nominee is Pete Buttigieg.","56:11"],["I think Trump is going to want a broker and convention, mark my words. I don't think this thing's being handed to JD.","53:47"],["LA's got to go Spencer Pratt, but the numbers just are really tough. You know, the idea of a Republican running that city.","33:46"],["he's working on getting rid of property taxes right now, which we likely will do, it's already passed the house, he's got to get it to referendum","28:24"],["Jim's Fishbeck is about to get crushed by Byron Donald's down here.","30:32"],["And I do think that that move reopened the possibility that Republicans could take the house. So I think it's still a long shot.","26:48"],["Yeah, I think it was a mistake. Paxton was going to win. A poll came out yesterday or two days ago that was in the field before the Trump endorsement. And Paxton was up eight.","24:01"],["Iran has the cards, they won the war. They control the Strait of Hormuz, they're never gonna let that go.","1:39:17"],["And you know what? I think they're going to get away with it. It pains me to acknowledge that.","40:30"],["The median base case on Wall Street is that oil will remain over one hundred dollars a barrel for at least the next year. So what's that about four bucks a gallon something like that. So, yeah, good luck, We're all going to be paying that for quite a long time."],["Sherrod Brown's going to be in the Senate from Ohio.","33:14"],["Collins is going to get beaten.","21:59"],["Watley's going to get beaten in North Carolina.","21:59"],["Asap's going to win in Georgia.","21:55"],["The Senate, I think it's gone.","21:50"],["Like, I'm sure he's going to launch a podcast or do something in the independent lane and it'll probably do quite well because he has some following there, not enough to justify paying him $15 million a year on air at CBS.","07:29"],["I said, it's going to be 5%. It's going to be 5% year over year. That's what it looks like. It's heading towards.","31:41"],["they ain't giving up the Strait of Ramuz. Okay, let's be very clear. They ain't giving up the Strait of Hormuz.","29:43"],["We are now seeing probably the same thing in the House. We'll probably shut down shortly also.","03:52"],["That's been stripped out of the reconciliation bill for good. Bye bye to all of that.","23:02"],["Now Donald Trump still has the ability to veto it and he probably will veto it, but it will be sent to his desk and it will become very clear that the American people as represented in both the Senate and the House want this war done.","02:34"],["So on all of these fronts right here, war powers, I believe you're going to have the House and the Senate both coming together today, blocking that will keep you posted.","22:45"],["my guess is it's going to be another way it's hard to imagine that Raoul is just going to hop on a plane or a boat and be like let's let's roll we probably will have to go in and get him","46:49"],["assuming it's going to be military there's going to be some military something one way or another it's not going to be a forever war it will be that we are going to go in take out whatever is left of the regime","43:50"],["It turns out that a woman who is very likely to win her house Democratic primary in Texas, a woman named Maureen Glindo, she is now announced that she would like to set up internment camps for quote unquote American Zionists","35:32"],["Bottom line is Trump endorsed Ken Paxton, and that's basically all she wrote. That's the end of that Senate primary, which is slated to take place next week.","29:34"],["Now listen, Paxton is a less attractive general election candidate than Cornyn would have been. Cornyn has won several terms in Texas. He has some crossover appeal Paxton has none, but it's a red state. He's very likely to win.","29:00"],["What I bet on it is that the most likely outcome. Trump is a kingmaker and that the cult sticks with him and that he, you know, anoints whoever he wants to be the next nominee.","07:31"],["We are going to use American ground troops. That's what Israel's going to order and Israel is going to get it because they just eliminated another American from Congress.","2:05:46"],["So the loser pathetic servile servant of Israel named Ed Galerin. We'll vote with Israel every single time. And by the way, more war is coming. So Donald Trump will attack Iran again, because Israel has ordered it.","2:04:58"],["But on top of that, that's it. The Epstein files won't be released.","2:03:30"],["my guess is well over fifty million dollars will have been spent in the runoff. So I think all told, this will be over one hundred and fifty million dollars in a primary."],["the challenger who beat Massey will win the general election"],["either Fleming or Letlow will be the next Senator from Louisiana, but it will not be Bill Cassidy"],["He's not going to be in the runoff, so he will not be a senator next year.","05:16"],["Endorsing Paxton, Paxton will probably win the primary.","40:52"],["Ed Galrain now winning the Republican primary will go to the general in November for the Kentucky fourth district and almost certainly is going to win because it is a very red district.","03:32"],["He had a big night, gonna go to the runoff, I would expect him. He's probably gonna mop up there."],["So Andy Barr is gonna probably run away with this and be the next Senator from state of Kentucky."],["He's gonna end up winning the general by six to ten points. That's my prediction."],["come together around Collins and get serious about this because dooley, no shot that dooley's going on. He's, that's not that, it doesn't have the skill set.","26:50"],["The one I thought maybe Tucker Carlson would be, I don't think he's going to do it.","56:54"],["Thomas Massey is going to run for president. That is my prediction. Thomas Massey is going to be the horseshoe candidate for president.","56:48"],["I don't think an amphibious assault of Taiwan is feasible","1:27:56"],["I think a soft economic blockade is coming for the following reasons","1:28:18"],["my prediction is Ken Min and Matsu Islands are going to be invaded in the next 24 months or seized","1:27:44"],["I think Bass has started to acknowledge the problems is saying all the right things. It's likely she'll win","1:09:16"],["Trump probably is going to walk away. Let's be clear. Unfortunately, getting our hands on him is going to be pointless, anger filled. Let biology take care of him.","40:34"],["It's only a matter of days before you see AOC and Bernie Sanders at these sites whipping people up into a friend.","33:56"],["But my guess is that, I mean, look, this is I don't think it's gonna happen to be honest and maybe I'm wrong. The reason, but here's why my theory is why this isn't gonna happen. Because Israel doesn't want us to do anything that isn't for them.","1:20:27"],["And I think it's 100% likely that Israel will beat the world and get it exactly what they want no matter what anyone else on the planet wants. I have it at about 95% chance.","10:32"],["Now, will there be any consequences for this? How quaint, how naive? No, there will not. There will be no consequences for this.","1:04:28"],["the most critical element here is not whether Trump is going to be removed. I don't think he is.","37:19"],["And by the way, I think he's going to win the general I think he's going to run away with it. I think minimum of four points, but I think he could end up winning by like six seven.","41:39"],["I don't personally see a way out of it. And it's proven now that stock markets can be at all time highs. That's irrelevant matter. What needs to matter is on inflation and on gas."],["they don't have agreement on a single point, and they're light years away from each other on basically every really consequential point, so that seems really unlikely."],["And you're about to have Democrats have some power in the House and potentially also the Senate. I think very likely at this point that they're going to take both the House and the Senate.","10:05"],["it looks like at least the senate republican primary is going to go to a runoff and this is what they're going to do","21:21"],["you're gonna hand asaf they're gonna hand asaf the the easiest target we should have had in this cycle should have been asaf in Georgia given the demographics given uh what we've done with assigning folks up it looks like asaf right now could win by three points or more","21:46"],["I think north carolina is going. He's just not going to get the grassroots","22:51"],["I just don't think I think george is gone.","22:51"],["I don't think they'll do one for the rest of the year. Look, I'm not a guy that forecast rate cuts. I'm just looking at the math.","24:14"],["The Persians understand they're going to, they're going to, with their partners, the CCP, they're going to stretch this out. They see a way to end Trump and end the Trump revolution. And they see that in the midterm elections.","1:15:14"],["The President says, hey, you got to attach it now to must pass legislation like FISA and all these other must pass piece of legislation. Thune hasn't done that. He's not going to do it.","14:34"],["because I think we're going to hold the house because of the great work of you and Alex DeRas on, on being bomber command and doing these redistricting","12:08"],["and by the end of next year we could be at 6% 6.5% that's where we're gonna be","1:08:18"],["I want to talk about how it does appear that open hostilities in Donald Trump's unlawful war in Iran seem like they will be resuming shortly. My suspicion is that it will resume next week.","00:35"],["Inflation continues to surge at this pace. We're looking at the consumer price index hitting 5% by the end of this year.","06:07"],["i'm going to guess that his reign of terror is not going to last very long","40:38"],["Graham Plattner is the main Senate democratic candidate who's running against Susan Collins. I think he will lose there because I don't think that the people of Maine are ready to elect a Nazi tattooed socialist to high office.","14:26"],["And you know, presidents can step down if they're getting too old for the job and getting ill. And JD Vance, their favorite guy is there. It's number two. It's not as if the Democrats have to take over if Trump steps down. But of course, he will never will.","49:59"],["As I understand it, well, it is balanced. I think it's going to become law basically.","1:01:01"],["I think probably what happens is he loses close, but you know, even a close loss, it's kind of a puric victory.","13:00"],["So I think the degree to which Trump at 37 means a good Democratic year this November, and that can't be overstated.","08:01"],["Trump could bounce back some of the 37. I expect these trends never go entirely in one direction for 10 months, you know, they'll be some uptick one month of a point. But it just is likely he'll be lower than 37","08:10"],["And the gas prices are not getting any better. So this is going to be something that Americans have to contend with through the election.","09:47"],["we have to be very realistic about within the Republican Party, I just don't think that there's an appetite for this."],["We're saying absolutely no sanctions relief, We're not going to unfreeze your assets. That's going to be a hard no from the Iranians."],["And I fear that that logic is going to be compelling to him.","16:31"],["even if the war ended now, gas is not going below three fifty a gallon period at least for I don't know, maybe a year."],["There is just no there's no universe in which this even can come together.","12:07"],["It does seem to fit with all of this clock is ticking, some of these exchanges of negotiations, all of which have failed. And we'll get into some of the details, but it does seem real, basically inevitable.","03:37"],["Just think about it, when Jack Keene's sitting there going, hey, they're getting ready to go kinetic, they get a big, mean National Security they've already announced tomorrow, you should take that as, almost not totally but almost money good.","30:57"],["But the Persians have been doing it, the Persians have been doing it for 2,500 or 3,000 years. So they've got a long history of this. They understand that they're going to drag this out past the midterms and the Chinese Communist Party is going to help them","25:38"],["Cuba is not about to attack us. These are lies.","03:48"],["overall it looks like by the time we get to the midterms, the Republicans will get 10 extra seats nationwide because the Democrats have just tried to push something that most people know is kind of nonsensical","07:53"],["And at the end, I guarantee you, the very rich is people in the country. The oil companies, etc. Will say, we need a bailout.","1:26:38"],["But at the very, very end though, which is, this is one is nearly guaranteed. After we've depleted our military, we've wasted tens of billions, maybe hundreds of billions on this war. Israel's gonna turn around at the end and say, well, I lost a lot of weaponry there and we got hit a bunch of times. America, you now owe me more and you need to help me rebuild this, that and the other thing. You owe me tens of billions of dollars.","1:26:55"],["I think us attacking Iran again is imminent. It could be as early as tomorrow. And I would be really surprised if it wasn't within 10 days."],["Yeah, so I think that oil is gonna go past $150.","1:18:25"],["This is why we picked up. We're going to pick up at least a net 10 seats on redistricting because of the fight of you guys.","30:59"],["I bet Jensen Huang is about to write a $300 million check to somebody.","50:30"],["my prediction is that the initial pop, this company, which I think is actually a fairly mediocre chip company trading at 78x revenue is not going to sustain","1:02:05"],["So there's not going to be a rate cut.","43:52"],["Yes, I think it'll be allowed and because they've allowed it everywhere else.","35:59"],["In any case, I have a feeling it's going to be quick, but we'll see. It would be a real shocker if you won.","30:55"],["But again, a year or two from now, Baldur's Gate 4, you're going to say GTA seven and it's going to auto render it.","1:19:21"],["So YouTube OG dead. A year from now, we're going to have full movies. Or at least TV shows because CDNs 3 can already do TV shows.","1:17:33"],["Finally, there is a 28% prediction probability that the US will confirm aliens exist before 2028. I do not believe it.","49:06"],["I'm in the minority here, but I don't know that China is going to move on Taiwan militarily because of the economic cost of doing so.","29:05"],["So they would have to flip Alaska with a three term incumbent that's not going to happen. You are not flipping a Republican state.","16:19"],["In the end, Republicans turned what was supposed to be historically a Democrat opportunity into an effective toss up. So it seems, Republicans probably going to win.","02:26"],["I do think that like just on the pure politics of this, it did happen late enough. I think that a lot of these southern states like don't have their shit together in time to do the maximum damage.","19:05"],["So Massey said the race is within the margin of error. I think it's going to be close. I really do.","1:39:58"],["we passed it unanimously through the Senate Judiciary Committee. We'll get it on the floor, we'll get it through the House and once again, the President's going to sign"],["We got this through the Senate Judiciary Committee. The next step is to move it on the floor of the Senate. Then we'll move it through the House, and I'm confident President Trump will sign it to law.","08:29"],["right now, divided government filibuster, we're not going to get those big cuts we want. We're not going to get those that balanced budget that we need."],["this is going to resolve itself. We're not going to have to fight any sort of a hot war, and you know that's that's good.","26:35"],["And so I fear that this logic will have some purchase with Trump because it's hard to imagine him taking the ego hit that would be required to walk away right now."],["The 30 year, which is really tied to the mortgages, went over 5.1% around 5.1%. That means that 30 year mortgage is going to kick up.","17:56"],["In the Iran situation, folks, I think the Persians are going to sit there and just drag it out through the midterms. Any kind of fantasy people have, I'm going to get an off ramp and get out of here. I think it is going to be very tough because these people are savvy enough to know they feel, and that's the thing they do, but they feel they have us.","21:57"],["And even if he receives credit for good behavior, the most likely outcome is that he'll be in prison until his late 80s.","1:32:19"],["We will pass 4% CPI consumer price index, the inflation that you're paying by the end of this year in my opinion, at least 4%. I think that will continue to go up.","44:40"],["I speak as somebody who believes that they're there are probably terrible, incredibly corrupt things going on with his family and the Whitcroft family and the Lutnick family. I don't like any of this. And I think a lot of it is going to come out and people are going to go to jail.","54:41"],["Look, it's pretty clear he's not going to take a bad deal. I don't even be, you know, he is not going to assent to a bad deal because if he was, he could have done it already and gotten himself out of it and he just rejected yet another deal.","1:02:32"],["We're looking to secure an indictment on grounds that he participated in events that led to the murder of Americans, which means that we're going to Maduro him. We're going to fly into Havana and arrest him.","23:40"],["We're talking about this, by the way, the day after we now have every indication that one of the world's most enduring communist regimes is about to collapse.","22:19"],["I don't know that China's going to endure in the form that we see now. I mean, I would suspect that it probably won't.","17:32"],["That being said, we're going to have Mississippi and Georgia redistricting for the next cycle after 2026.","01:46"],["And I don't know, man, I just I have a feeling Randy Fine's going to win reelection, which is so devastating.","1:59:13"],["This is the first of about three meetings, so don't expect this huge cords to be reached at this meeting. This is sort of an opening act, all right, everybody just hold their horses, let this process play out.","22:46"],["we're screwed in Iran and we're hoping that China's going to bail us out and they're not going to, by the way."],["he'll certainly be able to spin some sort of a victory narrative out of here."],["But bottom line thus far is because of the weak position that we come in with, there doesn't appear to be a lot that is going to come out of this."],["The national average of diesel today is five sixty six gallon, and the all time high is five eighty one. So give it what a week and we'll probably be there."],["Gas is six fourteen a gallon in California, it'll probably be seven.","12:15"],["We can expect for sure we're going to have problems because of the issues with fertilizer and the increased cost there for farmers.","11:32"],["Ruby is saying right now it hasn't been a big deal. I think it will be a big deal in the closing meetings.","43:21"],["That's going to go to run off. They vote on Saturday, but right now doesn't look like Ludlow, who's the endorsed Trump candidate, does not look like she'll win in the first round.","33:39"],["I don't think we're getting a rate cut in June, but we can soldier through this.","30:59"],["And the reason those numbers are going to go down is because of the softer touch, because we seem to be returning to de facto amnesty.","1:32:30"],["If you add all the Democrat numbers together, it's an easy Democrat win in the general.","11:33"],["Okay. So there's no question that that answer will be cut and will wind up in ads by all Democrats opposing any Republican going into the midterms and maybe beyond, right?","48:31"],["So that 6% gives you directionally where you're 3.8% of your CPI is going by looking at your PPI. You see that kind of stuff there directionally always like 3.8 is going to get to 6.6%. It starts looking like 8% and 3.8 will probably look like 4.2% by the end of this year.","26:24"],["Then we will likely resume open hostilities. I wouldn't be shocked if that's next week, if it's the week after, but I expect that the only reason it didn't happen is because Trump wanted this meeting with Xi Jinping to take place, and he knew it would be canceled.","07:34"],["his book came out yesterday, Suicide Lempathy, which I'll share is going to be the number one book of the year","20:19"],["The Nate Silver just dropped this morning, like his latest average of the polls and Trump's at his lowest approval rating ever, lower than after January 6th. And I think we got a ways to go.","51:36"],["So is Dana Bash going to come out and apologize and say, I'm so sorry, I misled you, 0% chance of that.","1:37:52"],["So no, it's not gonna be 29 billion. It's gonna be 10 or 100 X that. And they're gonna make all of you pay for it every single nickel.","1:17:35"],["So now we were going to get cuts at the Fed for on interest rates. We're not getting that anymore. In fact, they'll probably raise interest rates, which will then hurt the economy even more because inflation is already out of control.","50:10"],["So now we were going to get cuts at the Fed for on interest rates. We're not getting that anymore. In fact, they'll probably raise interest rates, which will then hurt the economy even more because inflation is already out of control.","50:10"],["And on top of that, he's going back in. So that's why he's saying, yeah, oil is going to go up to massive numbers. The market is going to crash.","50:59"],["So okay, guys, here's a marker for you. Me versus all of Wall Street. And I'm going to tell you right now, all of Wall Street is dead wrong. And that market is going to crash like we haven't seen in our lifetimes.","51:24"],["I've been saying for a long time. I believe the only real way Trump leaves a day early is if he is dead or incapacitated","07:18"],["This is one of three planned meetings, I believe, so don't necessarily expect sweeping accords to come out of this meeting in China. It's more likely to be the first volley in a series of meetings coming up."],["I'm going to make a prediction here that the view of Iran in the world is going to surge because they've come off looking much more like the reasonable party in this war."],["The fact is is that you know, Russia is going to have at least a portion of Ukraine.","43:42"],["between this and the Iran War, North Korea is never ever giving up their nuclear weapons."],["We are going to strike a Japan style deal with China where yes, we will allow their goods in our market, but they have to build them here."],["there continues to be a lot of warm feelings towards her, you know, in certain parts of the party, but I'm not personally that concerned with that translating into Kamala Harris primary"],["Yeah, but it's not going to be a deal now. The Persians understand that. They're going to draw this thing out.","19:43"],["there's still five or six seats left on the table with the redishing fights. We're ramming this people are up on the ramparts. We're going to pick up two or three more","37:21"],["It's unlikely to, it'll be watered down.","57:07"],["that will be that hands down will be on Netflix within 24 months","1:07:10"],["the Trump phone, which Scott and I both said was never going to happen is not going to happen, people","44:23"],["he's absolutely going to take capital. He was investing in Manhattan and move it to Florida and Texas.","59:57"],["I think they're going to shit can Siri and license it to someone else for tens of billions of dollars.","31:17"],["my thesis is that London is going to boom over the next three years","05:57"],["Likely, I think nothing's going to happen. I think it's exceedingly rare.","1:16:02"],["Donald Trump wants to make Venezuela the 51st state. I guess it's not going to happen, but it's funny anyway.","04:05"],["So what's gonna happen to that market, hear me now quote me later, is when we go back into the war, cuz Netanyahu just ordered us back into the war, and then Trump ripped up the peace deal. And Trump just said today, there's only a 1% chance we don't go back into the war. Markets didn't go down and all, they're like, no, the war's almost over. Bye, bye, bye, okay? It's going to be a spectacular crash.","53:03"],["So what's gonna happen to that market, hear me now quote me later, is when we go back into the war, cuz Netanyahu just ordered us back into the war, and then Trump ripped up the peace deal. And Trump just said today, there's only a 1% chance we don't go back into the war. Markets didn't go down and all, they're like, no, the war's almost over. Bye, bye, bye, okay? It's going to be a spectacular crash.","53:03"],["I don't see a way out of six dollars gown.","38:40"],["They will almost certainly be built here. But that is the deal that they're going to strike with with Trump because he loves the he loves the you know, the investment"],["and there will be within five years there will be b wide cars on the road in the US. That's my prediction"],["An army of trained volunteers will be at the ballot boxes this November. Take that to the bank. That's a dead certainty.","14:23"],["So now, so she will get her attorney's fees.","1:59:21"],["the fact that interest rates are not going to be reduced, the fact that our debt will continue to increase","47:11"],["then there will be Operation Sledgehammer. And then this will be yet another catastrophic invasion of Iran.","02:48"],["They believe that the ceasefire is likely going to collapse. I don't even think the ceasefire is even real right now. And when the war resumes, which I believe is likely going to take place, as soon as Donald Trump's trip to China, which is sure to be an absolute disaster, when that is done","02:33"],["And you say there were 50,000 eligible people who were interested and it was going to bring in $5 trillion. Is that going to happen? No.","12:23"],["what's the science if you paint a blue well, it's going to attract more of the heat, which is going to lead to more cracks. It's going to cause more algae formation. If it's bright blue, you're going to eventually see all of the algae. It's going to ruin everything.","10:20"],["my sense is he either goes private sector for a couple of years and then a comeback","37:04"],["But Cuba will be more free by the end of Donald Trump's presidency than it was before.","33:14"],["I think there is going to be a contested convention. I think there's going to be a fight, but regardless of who I like the most","25:03"],["I would be rather surprised if Elliott Page were playing Achilles in The Odyssey.","1:03:13"],["I think it is likely that the president will continue to maintain current American positioning with regard to Taiwan","45:42"],["He certainly shouldn't make concessions to the Chinese on AI. We're dominating them. And President Trump is not going to make concessions on AI.","30:28"],["and Tiss basically saying, once we deal with this one, we're on to the next something to that effect about pushing towards Cuba. So that seems inevitable at this point.","21:12"],["So no, I don't think that's going to happen. Probably shouldn't happen.","33:26"],["Because I do think that while the House seems tougher today than when we taped on Friday, the Democrats are still favored to take it.","36:29"],["I remain pretty optimistic. I actually don't, I mean, I think it's going to be a very big blue wave.","27:50"],["But of course, Putin's terms are not going to be acceptable to Zelensky. Putin wants to keep probably 20% of Ukraine that they have. And that's not going to happen. So I'm dubious that there'll be an agreement.","19:11"],["Every year there are about forty thousand people who are killed in car accidents. Within the next decade, we're going to see that number drop to nearly zero."],["So they've been wrong before, but most importantly, it's not really plausible given how the economy of the United States works.","28:14"],["You can't win on that. You're going to get crushed. You're going to lose the house.","07:15"],["But here's the bottom line. Do not panic. This is an inefficient human to human spreader. This is not COVID two point zero."],["I remain skeptical too because it's California. I mean, what are the odds? They're going to do the right thing.","1:15:17"],["we are moving into a new phase of the war. So epic fury is over. Economic fury is ongoing, but it's not actually a kinetic war. It's a economic, you know, it's a war by other means, as somebody once said, and we are clearly going to be reengaging.","27:48"],["It expires in 28. There will be some deal that comes after it.","37:58"],["Just got married to a woman which is a very exciting thing that leads us to believe he'll run for president.","57:37"],["It's going to be more like 10 or 11, I think, after all of this, because not only do you have the Virginia case, you've got Louisiana redrawing, Tennessee.","46:16"],["when we finally get to the end of this, whenever that is, when their peace deal is signed or whatever, or ceasefire is officially taken hold and everything else, there will be peace deals","39:02"],["Trump's not going to get impeached. Like the likelihood of getting impeached goes down every single day.","34:33"],["The only thing that can happen is this goes down. All of the redistricting war stuff we're seeing is favoring Republicans.","28:40"],["Democrats might win the House, but as of right now with this major shift we've just seen there, there, I'm going to call them underdogs.","18:44"],["Well, Sharon, it looks like there isn't anything we could do. They're just gonna win this one. And so yeah, we can appeal, but it's the same dirty court. They're not, we're gonna lose.","1:02:49"],["So I don't think they're going back to cable news. They're doing perfectly fine in online media","38:20"],["It will come down to seven or eight seats, I think. And I think you're going to see $50 million because think about it. The entire House of Representatives, which obviously has immense power, particularly in this regard, because they're coming for Trump.","13:16"],["Very likely this is upheld","50:11"],["I don't think it'll happen. Although I don't know why it shouldn't because they have a lot of companies to go up against these tech companies.","29:48"],["I think you're going to see in the next 12 to 36 months someone pulled us off where they say, hey, who wants to buy Estee Lauder?","1:05:17"],["I predict the government is going to lose that idiotic case against the New York Times about the hiring, the DEI","1:07:03"],["this should, and I believe will be a first round fucking knockout","47:52"],["There's no aliens. No aliens are coming guys. It's not real. This is all fake.","1:29:01"],["And they've carved up the state and the two biggest cities of the state will not have representatives that reflect, you know, their values","27:14"],["And I'm going to predict you ahead of time. They will never say that. They will not say it on cable news.","2:02:21"],["And by the way, you will find out a couple weeks or a couple months from now that our ship got hit badly, okay? It had to turn around our warship and abandon the project.","36:41"],["So look, guys, we've talked a lot about this. Lagging indicators are prices that oil effects and aluminum and helium and fertilizer effects, because those are among the top commodities that are blocked. And so that pain is coming, whether the war is over or not, because it's just a matter of time before it hits you.","13:07"],["And I think that the shellacking is definitely going to come because one thing that Americans absolutely loathe is paying too much for gas.","03:30"],["and you heard it directly from the Indiana State Senators elect. I think they're gonna be the future Indiana State Senators."],["and you heard it directly from the Indiana State Senators elect. I think they're gonna be the future Indiana State Senators."],["That's actually not true. It's probably going to go to a black Republican woman in Tennessee.","14:33"],["And guess what? We're going to have controls because you people are not to be trusted with artificial intelligence. Full stop.","43:31"],["And now they're going to go state by state, these MAGA states doing emergency sessions to eliminate all black representation, all minority representation, just kind of fully eliminating","35:59"],["We may run out of oil soon. Like we're heading towards a position where there's going to be actual shortages.","26:13"],["I had the Democrats, I think, are still going to take control of the House.","26:57"],["We have no idea that that's where this is going, by the way. In fact, I think it's at 70, 30 odds that it goes in the way that I would prefer it to go.","06:37"],["if Cali is going to purge people in New York's gonna purge people well they're gonna lose representation and we're 2.3 million people have moved to Florida since 2020 fact ultimately that's gonna get us more represent representatives","27:32"],["I suspect they're going to get her. I just have a feeling this one there's just enough there and it's too damn obvious.","16:56"],["you would think that maybe if they had the slightest bit of honesty within them, they might come out and say, you know, maybe we did drop the ball on that one because now we are further screaming. But that probably is not going to happen, Nick.","08:32"],["Well, like most other Biden wins, it turned into a complete failure because spirit's gone and prices obviously will now rise. Less competition.","05:49"],["Is there any chance that happens to know that's all just wish casting fake news? I think that's really, really unlikely. I think there's a possibility that he'd flip to independent.","48:44"],["So basically, I'm rooting for all of the underdogs, all of the underdogs, because I think that it will end up being Becerra.","47:00"],["Well, because there are things like the Iran war, all the things that we're covering, a weaponization of everything is competing for number one. So I think that the administration is likely to pardon them.","36:01"],["So they'll run up numbers in particular cities. And that's why they'll have more net votes, but they won't net as many seats.","25:33"],["So a citizen level, I think in the upcoming election, the Democrats will net receive more votes","25:23"],["Tennessee likely will succeed","23:29"],["Maryland, probably going to happen as well","02:23"],["there is now likely going to be a redistricting effort in Indiana as well","02:34"],["it's that house of cards house of cards slow to react to the reality but then over reacts to the reality later so get ready for that because that crash is coming","1:24:15"],["I think he's gonna finish his term the fantasies about him being forced out or anyone invoking the 25th amendment I just I have no faith or trust in our government","1:07:44"],["But will Lutnik be the next official to get the boot from the Trump administration? I doubt it. As long as he was being evasive, Trump will be happy with him.","43:58"],["So it's also unclear how such an operation would end the war or accomplish what people like Ben Shapiro actually want what they really want, which is regime change in Iran. And look, they're not gonna get that.","04:49"],["A Pakistani government official told MS now that the prospect of a proposal to end the war is very likely in the coming days. But I don't really think so.","07:05"],["So I don't believe that this is a panic over the Hantavirus segment. The World Health Organization is being clear about that unless something changes dramatically with its transmissibility between people. I don't believe that that is going to end up being the story.","15:49"],["I don't know what their strategy remains and or is, and I think it'd be very hard to get to a point where they're actually can just give up all the uranium fuel. It would shock me."],["Seriously, it died in Congress and then oops, turns out that it's never actually going to happen, or maybe it will someday, but in the immediate term, it's not.","01:52"],["You could have a guy like Asaf who should be easily beatable. Looks like right now could win Georgia by two or three points.","33:12"],["i believe you're going to see indictments on people in the media that are inextricably linked to this whether it's the uh... the russian collusion all that","09:44"],["i guarantee if we get it today thirty days from now we're not signing along for a deal","37:04"],["Now, the Trump regime is saying, wow, we have room for 80,000 people on the ellipse. First of all, it's going to be very hot Washington DC around that time period. But also, they're just going to what claim general tourists in the area as people who attended who attended this fight.","42:15"],["And also the CIA assessments that Iran had months, months of before there was any significant or material impact on its oil facilities caused by the blockade. So I think it can go months","12:53"],["if you watch my videos on it i'm sure i was saying the exact same thing like pouton not a great guy ukraine likely has to give up some sort of territory here","55:50"],["So Rahm Emanuel, who wants you run for president. Again, that that's going to be an unsuccessful run.","24:51"],["You'll notice that he is wearing a half zip for James Fishbeck, the Florida candidate for governor who is going to clock in well below 10% in the Republican primaries.","13:14"],["Republicans will win the midterms on on procedure, not popularity","09:16"],["So I think they're gonna go beyond Southern Lebanon. I wanna be very clear about that, just based on the evacuations that they've already announced.","56:44"],["But they regrouped and they've made a final decision. They're definitely going to continue on Lebanon, and they want us to definitely continue in Iran.","21:54"],["So I guarantee like an economic oblivion by the end of Trump's term, okay?","26:35"],["Graham Platner, the lunatic Democrat nominee or likely nominee, almost inevitable nominee in Maine for Senate, who is a self described communist"],["But at the end of the day, she will always be a supporter of Donald Trump's.","57:42"],["And we still have an income tax and it's not going away.","25:48"],["I want to welcome Mike Collins, congressman out of Georgia, who's going to be the next Senator from the great state of Georgia, and I believe he's got one of the best pickup opportunities around nationwide."],["He's going to go in court and try to slow this down or stop. It's not going to happen, but that's the way they play.","31:20"],["which will supposed to be a bridge that will lead to deeper and longer talks about a definitive deal, although I don't think that will ever happen because I don't think you can get there with the Persians","03:16"],["The only way I see for you is having your husband produce your next movie. There's just no way the next movie won't either be produced by him or a favor to him because there's no audience for Blake Lively.","1:35:08"],["Gas prices are coming down and we'll continue to come down.","17:05"],["there's going to be some peace deal signed before the midterms. I guarantee you","16:02"],["We'll probably have to do at some point another kinetic action against missile facilities that have been uncovered over the course of the last few weeks.","1:04:55"],["I think he's going to be out. I have this feeling.","50:59"],["And I bet it will be Claude. That's my guess.","49:31"],["Anyway, I think they buy something. I don't see how they can't.","46:39"],["I think you're going to see far more than that spent by the pro AI lobby.","33:26"],["There's no way they can do this.","12:33"],["Democrats are going to lose perhaps 12 seats as Republicans gain about 12 seats before the midterm","02:10"],["I think it's going to be more and more in the news as the Democrats tick over the House of Representatives most likely next year","41:38"],["Like not five seats. I'm thinking 20, 40, or 50 seats.","53:23"],["I hope that you're wrong, but I suspect that you're right. So yeah, because he is a socially and economically he's he's way left. You know, he always has been right.","33:52"],["So we have to sort of bake into the pie here that young people are going to go the other way here in this this election.","30:41"],["Again, I don't think he has a chance in hell of getting re elected as a Democrat.","41:16"],["then you've got North Carolina. I think it's pretty much a lot for Roy Cooper.","47:34"],["You've got Maine with grim Plattner looking very good that Susan Collins won't be able to hang on this time."],["Oh, I think Democrats are still going to take the House. I just think it will be a smaller mom.","1:16:12"],["even if this catastrophic war were to end right now today, not in the next six months, not next summer, perhaps next September, not this September, maybe September, 2027, maybe probably into 2028 is when you'll start to see prices potentially go down","15:55"],["they're not going to allow Bondi to have her deposition taken. On May 29th, it's just going to be a transcribed interview, not under oath.","34:25"],["I'm glad he made such a ridiculous statement that completely undermines the case and on that basis alone and many others. The case will be dismissed.","1:04:33"],["So let me be clear, Pambondi will never be sitting for an under oath deposition so long as Republicans control the House. That's not happening.","37:57"],["you make a movie about him and despite his horrible monstrous life story that movie's gonna make a billion dollars","27:57"],["we're waiting to see when or how the war with Iran will restart since it seems inevitable that it will restart","00:45"],["this lunatic Nithya Raman, who's like the mom, Dami of LA, who probably is going to win","36:49"],["Steve Hilton, who he's a great guy, probably doesn't have a chance to win, but we'll see.","35:32"],["and now the Florida map is redrawn and Florida will gain four seats. So this is now becoming good for Republicans.","06:06"],["The vague drama swarming is very likely to be the next governor of Ohio.","10:18"],["Trump's proposing $1.5 trillion defense budget, which is, I don't know, 40% increase some insane increase, just the number they made up and is totally unmoored from reality. I suppose they're not going to get it. They'll get something though.","36:52"],["the public is a little ahead of the economists now and seeing that inflation is going back up, and it's certainly not going to come down soon","33:29"],["And the Fed's not going to raise rates. I don't think to reduce inflation. This Trump's going to pressure them to cut rates some more.","33:38"],["It is small communities losing the air travel that was going into and out of those communities, and it is less competition, which means ticket prices will rise."],["I believe Comey will never, never be convicted on this.","10:59"],["I think it will be like thousands of dollars. Like I think the idea of an economy ticket being one to two thousand, which I still think was you know, high compared to where things were before. I think you could potentially start to see, you know, real economy seats, not premium economy seats, be like three hundred and thirty five hundred four thousand dollars in the middle of peak summer.","41:54"],["And what in Maine concerns me too, because this Graham Plattner, who's now going to be the Democratic nominee, even Tucker was like praising him somewhat on that New York Times interview","1:14:48"],["Now that's if things wrap up today, today, but they're not going to wrap up today. So the longer this goes on, the longer the pain goes on because these energy prices remain spiked","59:23"],["He needs to be able to say at the end of this process that we have done what is necessary to make sure that Iran will never have a nuclear weapon. If that means we have to get our hands on the fissile material, that's what that means if it means that we can declare with credibility that we have destroyed every possible way for Iran to restart its nuclear program and that whatever is there is buried forever and that they'll never be able to build another centrifuge or whatever. Maybe that'll be it, but until he gets there, he is not done.","13:30"],["So there will be a place built in Texas that has Sharia law outside of the Constitution of the United States.","1:09:22"],["congratulations everybody. Your airline prices are about to go up.","17:49"],["So she's going to get sued and I think she's going to lose","30:50"],["there's a two state solution in Gaza with Qatar and the Turks it's going to happen","49:14"],["I want everybody to get a copy of the book. I think this book's going to be a New York Times bestseller.","53:09"],["Right now, we're just kind of people are held up with this thing because the robotics of it aren't that great, but that that's coming in the next two years too.","27:12"],["Susan Collins is going to retain this seat. I'm just, that's my prediction.","49:43"],["So total numbers, red states are likely to gain eight to 10 congressional seats by 2030.","27:56"],["Right now, Kamala Harris is the most likely candidate to win the Democratic nomination.","12:12"],["The ascent is over and Intel is going to be one of the worst performing stocks in the tech sector over the next six to 12 months.","1:01:18"],["I do think the Devil Wars prod is tracking to be like a $200 million movie its first week.","55:40"],["I think Elon's either going to drop the case or lose.","40:23"],["The FCC is going to lose in court.","08:50"],["They are going to redraw their maps in the 11th hour to give the Republicans two more seats","02:44"],["Saudis are pulling the plug. Live tour is about to go under.","56:37"],["wait a minute, this thing is not snapping back this summer. Like we have created an economic calamity that is going to reverberate at least through the year, maybe longer.","11:35"],["So we said that Plattner was more likely to win the primary and more likely to win the general election.","03:53"],["So the massive unemployment is around the corner and the rest of the economy is showing it.","2:00:06"],["But I'll guarantee you a couple of things right now. We're gonna have an economic collapse.","1:59:43"],["this is what the now almost certain to be democrat nominee for Senate in Maine, this is in his own words, word for word, what he said","21:44"],["Now, I, I doubt that this proposal from Lindsey is going to pass. Certainly not as proposed. I don't know that it would pass the house anyway.","20:44"],["And all of it should mean more of a price increase, no price decrease.","03:37"],["if some of these House seats Ryan was predicting about at least seven congressional districts will be able to get flipped as a result of this in time for the midterms, I think that's probably right. I looked into it last night."],["I don't think Trump is anywhere close to swallowing the humiliating defeat it would require to actually do some sort of war ending deal."],["There is a full bore investigation of Fauci that will lead to multiple indictments on Fauci in many years in prison for Fauci.","54:43"],["There is a full bore investigation of Fauci that will lead to multiple indictments on Fauci in many years in prison for Fauci.","54:43"],["But the IRS is not going away.","33:58"],["I don't think President Trump is right based on all the economists I've listened to that as soon as the war is over, it instantly goes down. That's not true. The rolling inflation that's coming our way as a result of what's been happening in the Strait is coming like a tidal wave, no matter whether the war ends tomorrow or not.","40:12"],["Yeah, but the White House correspondent's dinner is never happening in the White House ballroom.","21:06"],["And so Newsom is just going to go hard on discovery. Think about, we know that Donald Trump talks to reporters and text messages because we see that Newsom is going to get all that stuff.","1:24:43"],["I don't think that they are backing down to Donald Trump's naval blockade, but Donald Trump told us they were going to be blown up and destroyed anyway by Wednesday. That didn't happen.","02:22"],["and that war is over but another war is about to start","44:05"],["Israel is going to achieve total energy independence because of its ability to frack in two fields one in the Mediterranean and possibly one on on Israeli soil","12:00"],["when they redraw this, there will be no Democrat districts in Louisiana","12:54"],["The gas prices increasing that we're seeing this week, particularly in the upper Midwest is pretty alarming. And there's a lot worse to come on that front.","07:14"],["So that's where it's going to be grand platinum versus Susan Collins. We'll obviously be covering that race a lot","06:18"],["But my guess is it's going to fizzle out unless Todd Blanche is being honest. I doubt it.","1:54:42"],["I know. And it's only going to get worse. I really do sadly have to tell you that.","28:20"],["President Trump is planning for race for impact an extended blockade of Iranian vessels, which means one thing. The Strait of Hormuz will remain closed indefinitely.","32:30"],["And if you look at a gas price chart, you can see that it is going vertical. It is going to take a while for that to peak and to come back down","13:04"],["GDP will go down because of higher gas prices, because people will have less money to spend on everyday goods.","10:10"],["It's not seeming to me as we are now into week nine and close to week 10 of Trump's three to four week war. It doesn't seem to me that Iran is going to cry uncle.","28:01"],["we're going to do our whole segment about who's gonna cry uncle first, Like I'm putting my money on us actually, because I don't even want to be paying what we're paying right now."],["I just do not believe that the Iranians could withstand three months of blockade without a resumption of hostilities.","25:18"],["By the time June and July hits, there will be no surcharge because there'll be no flight."],["It will be four to fifty probably by the end of the month, and it'll be five within two months."],["It will be four to fifty probably by the end of the month, and it'll be five within two months."],["We're going to get a come-along, a U.S. Navy or Air Force come along to get their attention.","35:45"],["13 seats. They're there for the taking and we're going to take them.","52:52"],["so then the democrats are going to have to respond where the democrats can't unilaterally disarm and in states that have constitutional amendments that prohibit political gerrymandering that's going to have to be amended there's going to be referendums put on","52:08"],["but in 2028 we're now going to see all of these republican states or these state legislatures they're no longer going to feel constrained by section two and they're going to do racist maps and so and they're just going to say it was political gerrymander","51:50"],["And so Trump said that was going to happen by Wednesday. And so that didn't happen, of course. And we know that's not going to happen.","12:56"],["But the spot price is, meaning what is it actually cost right now to buy a barrel of oil? It's like $250 a barrel of oil right now, and that's translating into higher prices for you. And it's only going to get higher and higher.","07:03"],["Yes, Donald, you managed to kill live. And now you're bragging that the live golf tournament will be playing at your Virginia club when live right now is about to go bankrupt.","11:15"],["I can't even imagine next year. I think if anything, interest rates will likely be raised next year.","02:46"],["where he said no interest rate cuts also and certainly doesn't seem that there's going to be interest rate cuts anytime this year","02:37"],["He will then obviously become the Democratic nominee for the Senate","02:04"],["So what you're saying is if we remove race from districting, Republicans will win more. My guess is that's probably true","40:19"],["And yes, DeSantis will likely sign this thing today.","46:14"],["I guarantee you right wing personalities are going to start putting out generic statements in exchange for cash that this pro communist anti capitalist movie is in fact worth watching","1:49:59"],["China principally, in a few days, will have to go into emergency distribution levels","47:24"],["I'm going to say right now that I fully expect Republicans to lose","1:05:59"],["The gas and food prices are going to be up at least through the fall already, even if they even if this magic affects tomorrow because of the disruptions of supply chains and all that.","41:40"],["Jet fuel prices are going to be going up this summer, so may is a good time to go on vacation.","01:52"],["It's weakening a key provision that is going to eliminate at least a seat here in Louisiana that was for a majority minority district, which would obviously end up yielding a Republican white man instead, almost certainly.","00:59"],["It's weakening a key provision that is going to eliminate at least a seat here in Louisiana that was for a majority minority district, which would obviously end up yielding a Republican white man instead, almost certainly.","00:59"],["And Jordan, I literally can't imagine it at $140 per barrel, which is going to probably happen soon.","2:01:29"],["Secondly, is Israel going to lose a vote at any point soon? No, there's absolutely no chance.","1:24:44"],["not only is the Strait of Hormuz closed now, we've now gotten to a point where it appears we're going to see that we just cannot reopen it","40:12"],["Okay, so he's already eliminated. Vance, you don't have to worry about him. Okay, like nobody's going to vote for that.","35:35"],["This race is over. That is why the Democrats have stopped wasting their money trying to bury him with propaganda and fake ads and horse crap.","19:21"],["Now, Tallerico has taken the lead in Texas. We'll see if he can hold it, but I believe he can, okay?","16:39"],["I will point out also that other Blue states are coming. California is coming. I have every reason to expect, and indeed, I've been told by senior officials in the administration California is even worse than Minneapolis has been."],["I've told my audience, I don't expect the 25th amendment to be invoked and I don't expect impeachment and conviction to take place.","41:36"],["I've told my audience, I don't expect the 25th amendment to be invoked and I don't expect impeachment and conviction to take place.","41:36"],["I don't think a jury ever convicts on this. Getting a grand jury to return an indictment is one thing. Getting an actual jury to convict James Comey on this. I'm not a betting man, but if I were, I bet that there is never a conviction.","21:54"],["This thing of artificial general intelligence and super intelligence in the machine actually starting to perfect themselves is not five years out, it's not 10 years out. It is here and now. It will happen, I believe, within this calendar year.","07:38"],["So what this is going to encourage all states to do is draw the most racist maps imaginable and just say political, political and they're going to cite this case.","17:29"],["And now they're trying to use rail. But rail is not going to work because Iran's own senior rail transport experts are saying there are only two rail corridors to China. They have never been used for petroleum. They have very limited capacity and zero bulk crude infrastructure.","45:56"],["Iran has just informed us they are in a state of collapse and want us to open the hormones straight as soon as possible as they try to figure out their leadership situation, which I believe they will be able to do.","41:49"],["My initial reaction was that Musk has more to lose than that he'll settle right as the trial is beginning or right after it starts","25:56"],["and then in 10 years there will be no steering wheel because there will be no emergencies","2:03:02"],["There will be a shortage of food across the globe as well as a result of this.","41:58"],["So look guys, this war is very far from over.","33:16"],["So I will let you know if I get a notice and you know what? If they deport me to Argentina, we proved a couple of weeks ago I can do the show from there. I don't think it'll come to that. I don't think it will, but it is doable.","55:00"],["He's campaigned with Abdul what is it say ed or what sayed in Michigan, who's probably going to be a senator from the state of Michigan"],["And again I think it looks increasingly likely, certainly possible, if not likely, that we will go back into some level of hot conflict because you've got Rubio and Trump both signaling that they do not find this limbo to be satisfactory."],["And if that's the case, then six dollars gas in California, very. Very easy to see. Within the next week or so period, it's already at five ninety two a gallon."],["And look, I don't expect this to actually become policy, but there are real questions that have always this state around the IDF and US citizens serving in the IDF."],["They've charged in multiple gun crimes, attempted assassination of President Trump. Very likely he's looking at life in prison. That's probably what he's going to get.","15:47"],["But that tells you, you see today that they have an overall theory of the case on this conspiracy, really a coup against President Trump and I believe that Obama is going to get wrapped up in this too given the meetings they had in the White House after President Trump won, sir.","46:36"],["In the superseding indictment, we asked Mike Davis about this last show, last hour, the superseding indictment, which is clearly going to come. What type of charges do you think we'll see in that George Papadopoulos?","39:54"],["And Paxson will beat him, but it's going to be- we're going to have to put our shoulders to","13:18"],["let's say, General Paxton, in this very hard run-off, is going to beat corner and release leads him right now. He will face Tallarico.","11:22"],["Once we get this passed and they're going to get it passed and it's going to stand up to court challenges","01:44"],["he put an aggressive, which I love because it's all read 24 to 4. Once we get this passed and they're going to get it passed and it's going to stand up to court challenges","01:30"],["Don't know about that, but there'll definitely be other charges. Look, I'm all for, I think they ought to go for the death penalty. Could you put the stop this nonsense, but who knows if they're going to get to that level, but there will be a super seating indictment. They'll lay a bunch more charges on the sky. No doubt.","26:00"],["I mean, I can keep going. There's a long list of people they've hurt, but they're going to get away with it here because they like what he said.","42:25"],["And they're going to lose this criminal case. What's going to happen? You're going to have James Comey show up. Sir, what'd you do? What'd you do? I posted photo of seashells.","09:14"],["don't you see that this is a path that likely leads to Iran getting nuclear weapons just like Kim Jong-un","38:38"],["I don't know if he's going to pass it. My guess is yes.","12:14"],["But I don't think that what happened over the weekend is going to do anything to arrest his political decline. Maybe let's them buy a couple of news cycles, whatever nonsense they want to push about the ballroom, et cetera.","32:43"],["I think the house will happen now, especially if Virginia gets upheld in the courts here, which I think is likely.","45:25"],["I think the Senate is doable. I would still, you probably live under 50 50, but it's not, you know, 90 10 either anymore.","44:56"],["I just don't see President Trump to say, fine, we'll just open up, let you open up our moves. We'll remove the blockade and the fleet, and we'll come back in a year, come back in six months and talk about the nukes.","23:02"],["I'm sure President Trump's going to at least turn that down, but maybe work it around the edges.","45:31"],["So we'll see balls in your court, ABC, you're not going to be able to ignore this. You are not going to be able to ignore both the president and the first lady.","1:57:08"],["I don't think this moment of detente with the press will last Tom Bevin. And unfortunately, I don't think, and I don't think it'll last on either part. I don't think the press will be any nicer to Trump. And I don't think Trump will be any nicer to the press. And I think we will devolve back into the very low level name calling situation within hours.","1:11:43"],["Like he's not raging like a madman. Like he's not going to get away with an insanity defense. This guy's cooked.","19:25"],["my guess is they will keep campaigning with this guy and he will keep showing up","37:27"],["i guarantee you trump's right two to three months we'll see and they'll be saying this was staged and their crisis actors and all the rest of it","1:02:08"],["And as we talk about and get set for looks like a military operation to open up her moves since the blockade is working and putting young American citizens, men and women in harm's way","22:31"],["Now, the reality, of course, is that the Lebanese government is insanely weak. They've never been able to disarm Hezbollah. So the reality will be Israel disarming Hezbollah with presumably the help of the Lebanese government. That's the only way a deal actually works here.","44:59"],["it doesn't matter. These shares are going to jump.","48:41"],["I suspect it'll get through, but it's going to be a lot bumpier.","58:36"],["I think here and now Tucker Carlson is the most likely GOP nominee for president in 2028.","08:46"],["I think I absolutely know what's going on here. He's running for president care.","08:07"],["I think the next 20 years it's going to be nuts in politics. Yeah, like civil war guys, the divide between the there are variables that change this, but the divide between left and right right now is so extreme that when these people get into politics, someone's going to get cained in Congress.","1:53:31"],["I just don't believe it to be the case. All the prediction markets are basically saying the same thing. It's not going to get passed.","50:16"],["More than 50% believe the increase in gas prices will last six months or longer. It'll be longer, my friends. I apologize, but it's just true.","21:13"],["And as you noted in twenty twenty eight, Clarence Thomas will become the longest serving Supreme Court justice in the history of America."],["So let's not get everybody on a tizzy, there's going to be a peace thing, this because they can't deliver a peace deal, they don't want to deliver a peace deal, they think they're winning.","18:23"],["So it's unlikely if they allowed the vote to take place, now that it took place and in democracy it function and the people voted that the Virginia Supreme Court is going to block the map that they've already basically approved through prior litigation.","53:26"],["And as a result, congressional representation is going to go 91% to Democrats, 9% to Republicans. Obama's hailing this as a victory for democracy. They've just disenfranchised half the voters in Virginia. And I don't think anything's going to happen to fix it.","29:05"],["For example, there was a California gubernatorial debate the other night and Katie Porter, who is going to lose.","25:36"],["So this inflation is going to be really rough, terrible for people.","1:26:07"],["But will Trump be able to step away? And the answer to that is unequivocally no.","21:37"],["I believe there is a blue wave incoming in November. If we all get out and vote, that may be unlike anything we have seen for decades.","48:02"],["So I don't think that many of this will show up in the market data or some sort of a crash. I just think it'll be like a continued, long, slow grind for everybody's pocketbook","1:00:12"],["I don't see a way where we are not going to have rampant and persistent high supply side inflation.","59:20"],["That is going to mean that down the road, when those costs also get incorporated into food prices, prices are going to continue to go up."],["And now you have this announcement of further escalation from the American side. The Iranians are not likely to just sit back and take that."],["It used to be the battleground state. It hasn't been under President Trump because the spreads have been very big, although coming up this fall, I think it's going to be much, much tighter.","06:51"],["My own personal take is this is definitely going to be dismissed.","1:14:59"],["And energy prices are going up. It's already happening in Europe and elsewhere. And it's coming to a city near you. The delay in pain is just that a delay. It will come our way because the economy is connected.","03:02"],["This whole thing backfired. This was a dummy mander, a dummy mander on Donald Trump. And Democrats will now pick up more seats and potentially even more because Democrats have been overperforming.","16:50"],["Donald Trump is working with James Comer to get Gilean Maxwell a pardon. I know we knew that was coming, but it's very, very much coming.","56:11"],["we know that this lower court blocked it, but we think Virginia's Supreme Court is going to allow the referendum. And it's like, why is it even a question?","13:22"],["this bill which I assume most democrats are going to oppose could be a long lasting poison in their system","42:12"],["I remain extremely optimistic that we are going to win this war","44:02"],["I do think she's going down one way or another.","1:07:01"],["Obvious common sense, which is likely why he will not be governor of California, because they don't seem to want that.","31:42"],["That matches my understanding, particularly with the Alito chambers. But I do think there's a possibility that there will be a retirement still. We have three Republican appointed justices in their 70s.","54:55"],["There is a very, very good shot that sometime in the next six years, Democrats will be in control of the House and the Senate.","37:43"],["So Tucker is not going to win the Republican primary.","1:25:07"],["Yes, is going to take this one.","45:00"],["Tulsi was out in the nominating category because she's against the war and she's going to be fired","1:00:45"],["it seems like a bad bet to me that it's going to be the Iranians that are going to be the ones that cry uncle over economic concerns","07:32"],["First of all, Iran won't agree to taking all of the nuclear material out of the country. They would never do it. That's a red line.","14:52"],["But the civil war in Lebanon now is on the clock.","39:18"],["Guys, this isn't ending anytime soon, which means that the economy is gonna devolve more and more until we enter a global depression.","17:17"],["I'm worried oil is going to double and we're gonna land ground troops and the Iranians have said a thousand times we've laid traps for you.","22:10"],["There is no keep going, okay? We're at war. The war will continue.","19:18"],["And when they find out that didn't happen, we're going to 120 maybe 150 maybe $200 per barrel and you have no idea the economic devastation that's going to happen.","11:42"],["So William O. Douglas right now has that record. Clarence Thomas will surpass that record in twenty twenty eight.","08:18"],["This is very bad for cash Patel and it increasingly looks like he will indeed be fired.","15:56"],["Now Ken Paxton's, you know, surging in the polls, it's probably gonna win that that primary race for Senate in Texas.","33:44"],["They're on the cusp of getting humiliated in Indiana. I think that five of the seven they've targeted are going to win. It looks like they're going to win now.","25:58"],["don't believe all the hype that President Trump's doing with the taxes. That's an aspiration. That's many decades away, reality.","17:15"],["This is just an opening salvo. They're a whole lot more. They're gonna find out in a lot more indictments, a lot more of these demons going to prison.","18:16"],["the latest AP, Nork poll has Donald Trump's overall approval at 33%. His approval on handling the economy has tanked to 30%. I expect both of those numbers to be in the 20s soon, which is truly unprecedented territory.","04:42"],["the latest AP, Nork poll has Donald Trump's overall approval at 33%. His approval on handling the economy has tanked to 30%. I expect both of those numbers to be in the 20s soon, which is truly unprecedented territory.","04:42"],["they'll take over the House and they'll impeach him, but the Senate won't deal with it","22:51"],["It's not looking like because they're going extreme in some of these primary battles, it's not looking like they're going to get there.","23:39"],["it seems to now be a pretty much open and shut case that Republicans are going to lose the House","22:21"],["No one is getting drafted. We're not going to nuclear war and no one's getting drafted.","58:07"],["No one is getting drafted. We're not going to nuclear war and no one's getting drafted.","58:07"],["Now, again, she's doing pretty well in the Democratic primary polls mainly because people still remember her kind of she's not going to win the nomination, though.","56:50"],["anthropics going to get out at a trillion dollar plus valuation because it is executing like no one's business","39:05"],["It is so easy to predict. Nothing is going to come out of this.","15:27"],["Oh, Patel's out. But I've thought that for a while.","11:09"],["that there's about a 70% chance that Trump is impeached by January 1st. So these markets are saying these markets are predicting that the wheels are coming off the bus here, which I find really unlikely here","10:50"],["right wing mag a podcaster clay Travis challenged me to a $1 million bet that gas prices will be lower next April than they were before the war started. And I feel like I would win that.","21:17"],["I think there's an excellent chance he's going to pardon her.","1:59:16"],["Josh Shapiro, obviously going to run for president, he's been doing a tour.","1:41:20"],["So now we all know, and hence she's getting booed by almost all the Democrats in Michigan. And now she has no chance of winning.","1:37:14"],["For now though, I wanna explain why, even if the war were to end today, gas prices are not gonna come down. What you're paying at the pump is not gonna come down anytime soon","56:29"],["I think that it is more likely that we're going to stay in the war.","22:09"],["And based on the latest developments over the weekend, we're likely to jump right back into war. At least that's my read.","02:54"],["And so I am increasingly of the mindset that cash Patel was going to go. It's a matter of when, how and what sort of off ramp they allow him to have.","36:58"],["Donald Trump and Republicans are panicking about what is happening today in Virginia because he and they are realizing that the Republican Party is barreling towards a humiliating and massive blue wave defeat in November in the midterms, which will effectively end the presidency of Donald Trump.","08:17"],["Now, listen, I'm not gonna cheer. I'm not gonna sugarcoat this for you. The odds are against us, as they often are because our people are unenthusiastic about showing up right now."],["We already know that well almost certainly a'll have higher food prices six months to come. And that's if everything ends today, even right now.","35:42"],["If I had to bet sometime this week, people will sit down."],["If I had to bet, I wouldn't bet on a total war resumption like immediately."],["if which looks very likely Iran is able to maintain a new status quo that is profitable for them where they control the straight of horror moves. I mean, that is the new reality.","43:55"],["The Kim regime will survive long after I am dead. I am firmly planting that flag right here."],["I'm sure they're meeting about this very topic right now, but it looks like there's not going to be any negotiation in this Loma Bot.","44:19"],["the Cook report has now put the Senate in play. I just don't think it's in play. I think it's really in play. I think it's long odds now for the told the Senate because they recruited Thune.","16:51"],["And this guy's going to get confirmed. He seemed pretty milk toast today at his confirmation hearings. There's I haven't heard any rumblings of he's not going to get confirmed.","48:32"],["But the point I'm making is we're now in the two week loop, right, which never ends. Two weeks, two weeks, two weeks, two weeks, two weeks, we'll see you later in two weeks. And then two weeks he extends it.","31:12"],["and thomas massy will likely lose his seat","1:12:29"],["no Jew is getting elected in this party in 2028 it ain't going to be rama manual","56:39"],["and then proves to be unexpectedly strong on election day and beats the people who are supposedly going to beat her rather comfortably which i expect would be the case with grand platinum as well","44:13"],["grand platinum of course with the nazi tattoo and the and and and all kinds of stuff uh is clearly on a glide path path to winning that nomination against the governor janet milles","43:45"],["right now if you had to bet you would bet that obdul saiad is going to win the nomination","33:48"],["So what is likely to happen next year is that Iran is likely to remain in transition.","21:09"],["So the lawyers, I know are all like, he can't prosecute the gays and they don't have a case and it's not going to go anywhere. It's not going to work. But you never know. You get some jury, the wrong judge or jury in Florida, but probably won't work.","34:55"],["maybe it pressures him though to does he tie one more spasmodic use of force, kind of go out with a Nixon kind of 72 Christmas bombing, showing he's a tough guy. I wouldn't put it past him. But then if he does that, you know, then of course you're into a situation where you can't, you don't know how Iran reacts, et cetera. So I don't know, I don't know. And the one last spasm feels Trumpy to me.","16:25"],["I assume they're going to ultimately agree to something and we're going to agree to something since we're full fledged desperate desperation for an agreement mode.","07:14"],["and by the way we're about a week away from Iran having to shut in wells. And if and when Iran shuts in wells, the consequences"],["It's coming very soon. It's just going to be a couple more weeks until Trump's new healthcare plan is made law. We've only been waiting since July of 2020 when Trump said 22 weeks from now, we will have a brand new healthcare law that will replace Obamacare. We've been waiting a long time. Does anyone believe that it's coming soon? I struggled to believe it.","44:03"],["So is it possible that we will see a successful impeachment of Pete Hagg Seth? Almost certainly not.","21:35"],["My prediction is that that lawsuit goes nowhere.","05:42"],["And guess what the sad truth is that it's probably the Supreme Court is going to rule against us. That's probably the sad truth. I pray I'm wrong."],["a bunch of GOP house members thought it would be a good idea to extend TPS and definitely apparently for Haitians, well that's dead on arrival. Okay, that's not gonna happen."],["I don't think there's any possibility that Iran is going to accept some Gaza style approach to be imposed upon them. That's not that's not reality."],["Of course, the Apple is Senate is gonna probably cough it up too because of Stephen Law and the Senate Leadership Fund and the fact that Thune hasn't done anything.","26:05"],["I think we're a ways away. Just throwing it out there. When we can't find out who to negotiate with.","16:44"],["I'm not so sure the Persians agree with you, sir. I don't think the Persians think they're on their knees. I think they feel they're in pretty good shape. They're no and they're no hurry to say, hey, we're on the next flight to Islamabad.","27:45"],["So he will be a witness at this trial and the two of them will be in the news in a very negative way for who knows how long the trial will take two months.","1:09:42"],["And Alito certainly would not retire in October with the midterms, you know, one month away because the Democrats could win control of the Senate and there's no way he's going to retire thinking the Democrats have a shot at stymying Trump's choice for his replacement.","11:57"],["I don't really think the Senate is in jeopardy in the midterms. It's just, it suddenly could be given what's happening with the Iran war.","16:22"],["there's a guy named Graham Plattner and he's running as a democrat and it appears that he likely will win","39:37"],["there's only going to be five of them in all the boroughs and I'm going to guess that basically one of them will even ever come to fruition","31:05"],["I don't think he can win a Republican primary kissing Israeli ass.","1:03:53"],["So this ceasefire has 0% chance of holding.","24:15"],["Iran is not going to do a deal where they give up their entire enrichment program.","14:51"],["Actually, the more I talk, the more I make it 5545, then we're likely to attack.","19:54"],["She has the Ethics Committee, which is bipartisan, declared her guilty on twenty five out of twenty seven ethics charges from stealing up to five million dollars of FEMA money. So she is likely going to jail for stealing millions of taxpayer dollars.","09:19"],["American soldiers aren't going into Iran and collecting nuclear material with Iranian soldiers. Like what world? What are you talking about? What does it even mean? It's not happening.","18:41"],["So Hamas, for example, no forward capacity at this point. They're stuck in a small section of Gaza. They may be trying to rebuild. Won't matter. Israel will go in and blow them up again.","06:47"],["New bird, if you will, what I call new bird will soon be no bird.","55:31"],["But you're going to see a dozen of these things announced in the next 90 days.","56:36"],["I suspect the Trump administration is going to start dropping that soon enough","27:20"],["But this seems like something that would be dead on arrival. I don't see it.","42:23"],["They're going to do away with that ridiculous fucking nonsense from I.O. That was the stupidest acquisition of 24 or whatever it was. That's going to be a $6 billion right off.","34:51"],["My prediction was going to be anthropic IPS before open AI, but that's boring and I've already talked about anthropic.","54:17"],["It'll be the biggest IPO of of 26.","25:16"],["and then they're going to offer Amazon Prime Plus, which will offer you a phone and lightning fast connectivity into your home","22:12"],["Amazon is going to launch a phone","22:06"],["They're not going to fire Powell. They're not. They're just not.","18:43"],["you are going to have several Republican senators find their testicles and come out in favor of Chairman Powell remaining on the Board of Governors","18:10"],["January 3rd is when the new Congress gets sworn and the expectation is Democrats will win. That's why he can't be impeached before that happens.","1:46:30"],["Donald Trump's not going to be running again, which means you're going to have Republican and Democrat primary.","1:13:03"],["I'm not going to advise anything, but I will just say if he was in West Virginia, he might be safe, but in Maryland, they are going to arrest him and ship him off and he is going to be paraded.","12:00"],["So 55% of Catholics voted for Donald Trump in the last election. I suspect that's not going to be the case.","1:13:29"],["There is no end to this war. If Israel wants to keep fighting, we will continue sacrificing our soldiers and using up our resources for their war. That is what's happening. That is my interpretation.","32:22"],["But I doubt that they're gonna stop. Israel never honors a single ceasefire. They always continue bombing.","48:40"],["So he would actually have to significantly obstruct federal law enforcement. If he just tweeting it is not a crime. If he actually did it, that would be criminal. I don't think he'd do it.","24:13"],["unless Trump dies or is physically incapacitated and dragged out, he will be president until until January of 2029","58:05"],["it's the Democrats that are concerned about the prospects there of having a splintered field that you could result in theory in two Republicans. I think that's less likely now that Swawell has dropped out."],["it is hard for me to imagine AOC because she hasn't put in the time in the reps really holding up under that scrutiny, and the few glimpses we've gotten of her under pressure have not been great. So it makes me very skeptical of her chances"],["So God forbid he gets any sort of a short sentence when he's found guilty and then ultimately possibly gets out, which will be in the distant future since it's Florida.","46:40"],["I don't know what Eric Swallow's future holds, but at this point he'll be lucky if it doesn't include criminal charges.","51:12"],["I don't, I don't think President Trump will do it. I certainly hope not. I don't think that we're going to get past the Senate.","22:17"],["who wants to replace Justice Thomas or Alito if they retire at the end of this term, pay attention this summer. Remember this podcast where I said that could be happening","1:09:47"],["this deal doesn't really exist just as Lebanon doesn't exist because it depends on the Lebanese government that doesn't exist and the Lebanese armed forces that don't really exist in the form doing things to enforce the ceasefire that they won't be able to do","28:48"],["we are on the path to victory without question, but not a victory that is going to be universally acknowledged as such","02:27"],["the United States has is and will likely secure what is an astounding military victory over the regime in Iran","01:44"],["We get a wrap up of the Iran war and expansion of Abraham Accords. And I bet you something's going to happen on that over the summer.","30:14"],["then all Trump has to do before the midterms is one way or another, get them low, which I think will happen","29:08"],["And they do want to put a wealth tax on there. That wealth tax is scaring the bejesus out of everyone. Everyone in California has any level of wealth. Truly, the wealth tax is terrifying. Anyone with any real level of wealth in a company, for example, they're all going to leave. And it looks like it's going to pass, which is crazy towns.","21:33"],["The next step, of course, and you know this is coming, will be to lower the threshold from $5 million to $1 million and so on, and then the final step will be to broaden this out so that a new tax just applies to anyone who owns in New York. It's not going to stop with second homes","14:10"],["I would argue that maybe a month or two, they're planning on a full invasion, military operation into Cuba.","07:45"],["Yeah, I think he's too big of a coward to actually do the worst tariffs, which is to put them on China.","26:26"],["And his solution is banning gasoline exports to other countries, which is kind of like not nationalizing our gas. No, it's not gonna happen.","1:08:08"],["So the Guardian estimated just how much in extra profit the top 100 companies would make if the price of oil remains at $100 a barrel for the rest of 2026. So it is likely that the price per barrel is actually going to go up higher than that.","1:02:17"],["Inflation was 4% in March. You felt it, I felt it, we all felt it, 4% in March. And it's going to keep going up despite the cope that we just heard from various Fox News anchors.","59:03"],["Ken Paxson is going to win and win big in the fall, but it's going to make it harder","13:40"],["And that's why you're going to see, they're going to come back with reconciliation, I think, and give us a poison chalice.","25:41"],["if DeSantis is successful down here and he will be successful, right?","25:32"],["And I think it will go to trial. Like they are so dug in on their positions, even though her case has largely been gutted, her sexual harassment case was thrown out.","1:28:53"],["It'll, it'll result in domestic terror. Americans will get killed as a result of this because we create jihadis and more extremists.","38:57"],["And I think it's a bigger story that Saudi Arabia is announcing that it's not going to be funding live anymore, which basically means the live golf tournament. The live league is basically destroyed at this point.","45:16"],["I think you're going to find a trend of not just Saudi Arabia, but Abu Dhabi and the UAE and Qatar and all of these countries that would invest a lot of money saying, yeah, we're not going to do it. We're going to look to China. We're going to look to Europe. We're going to look to Canada. We're going to look elsewhere where possible.","49:29"],["I'm sure, although it won't be admitted, China and Russia, whether it's through the Caspian Sea or otherwise, are going to start giving them weapons and intelligence.","1:02:14"],["I'm sure, although it won't be admitted, China and Russia, whether it's through the Caspian Sea or otherwise, are going to start giving them weapons and intelligence.","1:02:14"],["So Iran's going to use this to build up. They're going to repair the stuff that's been broken. They're going to keep building their drones.","1:02:23"],["And he's not intending to leave the White House. So he's building a military installation for himself when he doesn't leave office at the end of his term.","40:29"],["And the real answer probably is closer to what Europeans and what the Gulf States are saying that this could probably take about six months on the low end in terms of actually coming up with a deal.","10:33"],["if you're dumb enough to run for president in 2028, thinking that you're going to make it to that platform and wherever the convention is at the head with balloons falling on you and your grandfather came over from, or great grandfather came over from Lithuania, I got another thing coming for you, buddy. It's not going to happen.","1:00:41"],["But we are likely to have won a war before July 4th. Our war against Iran, we will have won.","37:42"],["Anyway, so this is going to be rubber stamped","28:51"],["It won't be built before the 250th anniversary.","29:09"],["what will happen is first off, you're going to drive down the prices of those homes","42:30"],["yeah she's got to be out the door","1:07:11"],["We are choking China and choking Iran. Thus Iran will have to come back to the negotiating table","09:21"],["my suspicion is he will be a Republican soon enough. I actually think he'll make the full conversion.","16:07"],["There's no concern at all now about China going after Taiwan because they don't have the energy to do it.","1:13:14"],["And it appears that Thomas Massey based on the polling is going to win the primary race for his congressional seat, despite all that money that the Israel lobby along with Miriam Adelson funded for his opponent.","1:51:17"],["I mean, look, Trump hates to admit loss and he's not going to admit loss. So he's desperately trying to find a way to spin this, get out of the war and spin this as victory.","59:11"],["At this point, regime change war is a fantasy. Well, the war is not fantasy, but regime change is a fantasy.","59:40"],["But honestly, I think that what we've seen with Trump, his threats about the Strait of Hormuz and all of that, it's just bluster. He's bluffing.","37:49"],["Now the other thing that's important to keep in mind is that these direct talks between the Lebanese government and the Israelis will resort in no progress.","05:58"],["and there's a very real chance right now. It's substantially more likely than not that we will lose at least the House in November.","22:07"],["By the way, September thirtieth budget funding is going to expire again right now, the Democrats are going to force another shutdown. One hundred percent. I will wager in some money right before the elections they will force a shutdown."],["But I think where Democrats are right now is I think they will never ever ever vote again to fund Ice. Their base just hates Ice, and this is an open border's, pro violent criminal party, and I think from their perspective, they will vote against funding ICE forever","11:00"],["He is now unemployed and I think there's a good likelihood he'll be facing criminal prosecution."],["We'll see what happens with the FED two rights high inflation. How are you going to affect rates? Almost certainly not going to cut rates."],["So you put all those together, the machinery of this, it can't happen in two weeks, maybe even in three weeks.","10:11"],["it's very unlikely usually, you know, to not have to have all these forces and not use them. You could say it is a deterrent effect, and it certainly has been in US history. But with this president, when the troops are there, he tends to use them."],["what they're I think going to do is what they always do is just fall back to some omnibus and try to jam it","43:25"],["I just want to give speaker Johnson the people working on this heads up that's not gonna work you're gonna go down to another epic defeat","48:51"],["I'm just going to go ahead right now and say it's going to come out that Ruben Gallego knew everything. You can just tell. This is my opinion.","49:23"],["I think Trump is going to win this war and he'll win this war and the Vance will be associated with the victory because he's his vice president.","1:02:30"],["a huge diplomatic development that likely will not bear that much fruit if the purpose is to get to some kind of an agreement between Israel and Lebanon that would lead to a ceasefire","06:54"],["I can't imagine that Swalwell is going to be cooperating with the FBI on this stuff","38:26"],["Whatever happens with Cali likely still will just go the wrong way","38:36"],["Although I don't think Joe Biden will be running again.","51:38"],["when the Iran thing ends and it is going to end. Maybe it'll take to the summer, but it is going to end","10:40"],["So will Iran come back to the table? The answer is likely. Yes","06:42"],["soon we will be removing property tax","03:11"],["Will there be full investigations? I assume that the DOJ isn't just going to leave this alone. And if there's violation of law, there will be prosecutions that follow.","13:01"],["Slow going. They'll eventually get it through.","48:23"],["I think it's Tom star. I think she will endorse him.","29:32"],["I think this probably is going to make Tom star governor.","29:08"],["And as I predicted last year, by September, another high profile assassin.","1:28:28"],["But I have a feeling it's never going to go to criminal prosecution. This is just a political maneuver to stab the men in the back.","03:41"],["Well, unfortunately, Michael, I think Trump's going to take both of them down with them and it's going to end up being so beneath and worse.","1:03:29"],["Right now, Shorcott's gaining and is about to take over first place. The primaries in June 2nd, why on God's screen Earth has an AOC endorsed him?","1:51:34"],["So when Trump says that, that means it's gonna be higher. He knows it's gonna be higher. If he thought it was gonna be lower, he'd be like, it's gonna be the lowest price he've ever seen in your life.","18:35"],["And he knows that as fertilizer prices are up, food prices are going to go up even more.","25:45"],["I've said, I don't think the Epstein files are going to be dispositive in determining the course of these forthcoming midterms. I think it's going to be primarily the economy.","42:20"],["my best guess right now is that in a public facing way, Trump will say it's over sometime before the summer","40:35"],["I also think there will be mass nuclear proliferation in the next twenty five years, not only as a result of Iraq."],["And by the way, blockade is, of course an act of war which needs to be authorized by Congress. Congress is actually back in session. Are they going to lift the finger? Probably not."],["But I do not believe you're going to see any climb down from the president about this blockade, which we know already.","01:43"],["is he helping to commemorate the 250th anniversary of the nation that's done more for religious liberty than all the nations on earth combined for all time? Well, no, he would not be. He's going to be down that island right off of Italy","06:42"],["I believe we will see that the Republican Senate, because they hate Trump. They hate Maga. They hate America first. And not going through with your confirmation will be one of the biggest mistakes of the second term.","07:52"],["He's gonna get lit up like a Christmas tree on Thursday. I think he goes to the house budget. The Democrats are just gonna come all over him.","47:08"],["So I think when we talk about this kind of total capitulation, if you will, by the Trump regime to the demands of Iran, that seems to be where this is headed","02:25"],["I think in my opinion, it will definitely get dismissed again.","1:19:35"],["He will refile a new complaint against the Wall Street Journal, he'll ask for multiple extensions and he'll try to drag this out another six months.","1:19:30"],["the Iranians aren't going to get the bomb","1:04:53"],["my guess is he's gonna ease up on deportations just because of optics for now","59:50"],["What exactly was it that the United States wanted from Iran? Again, the list of demands is just be normal. That's it. One, an end to all uranium enrichment is according to Fox to dismantling all major nuclear facilities, three, retrieving highly enriched uranium, four, accepting broader regional peace and de-escalation framework, including regional allies, five, stop funding proxy groups, including Hezbollah, Hamas, and the Houthis, and six, fully open the Strait of Hormuz. That's it. Act like a normal country and all of the stops. And they won't. And they won't.","16:47"],["God knows who will end up with the nominee without Vance. I don't think it's going to be Ruby.","44:25"],["he's now in popular again, and they're going to have a big defeat, I think, in 2026, assuming it's a fair election","18:12"],["She has the Ethics Committee, which is bipartisan, declared her guilty on twenty five out of twenty seven ethics charges from stealing up to five million dollars of FEMA money. So she is likely going to jail for stealing millions of taxpayer dollars."],["That ghost fleet will not be able to travel through the Strait of Hormuz, will not be able to carry any Iranian oil. It means there's going to be no Iranian oil being sold, no money coming in."],["this summer you'll pay even more for gas than you already are because trump is raising up blocking the straight of hormones","47:01"],["i think it will affect him directly in the sense of making republicans lose in november and throwing his final two years of the presidency into complete and utter disarray","57:41"],["And I do not trust local authorities to do this the right way. This would probably end up with a slap on the wrist."],["four dollars gas is now going to be ever present in our lives, at least for the next couple of months, absent a serious and shocking event","11:43"],["so much of the domestic pressure is going to be on net Nyahuo to go back to war, which is something he wants to do and very likely, you know, to drag us back in as he did before"],["this is just the top of the first inning on this, because the President's going to give as good as he gets on this one","41:19"],["So first of all, I think there's more coming.","2:26:45"],["They need four net seats in the Senate, which is a tall order and still is not the best outcome to bet on. If you're putting money on it, you'd still have to vote on the Republicans keeping the Senate, but it's less likely by the day.","1:19:53"],["And what's happening now is not only are we increasingly, I mean, it feels very much like the house is gone.","49:42"],["A Chinese ship starts coming in, they start coming down the Strait of Hormuz and they want to make port at an Iranian port. Pull in, I guess I'm not a boater. My husband is, pull in an Iranian port. We're not going to stop them. I don't think we're going to stop.","29:38"],["He should apologize, which is something he never ever does. But he doesn't care. He won't. He's not going to apologize because he's not sorry.","17:09"],["It's actually never going to happen that they are going to agree to not enrich any uranium for all sorts of reasons.","03:45"],["And Republicans are clearly going to get kicked to the curb in 2026.","1:00:58"],["And you know more is going to come."],["Yeah, and my guess is he's not going to die, but my guess is he's going to end up in handcuffs kind of like Maduro.","39:33"],["Likely the next governor of Florida when Ron DeSantis is done with his second term.","38:47"],["So when they start flooding Hungary with immigrants, which likely they will do because they'll want to make a statement.","1:00:19"],["It's looking like the Harry like the Harry Potter show might might bomb it. I don't think it's actually going to happen anymore at this point.","2:03:57"],["But I thought 33% was kind of almost an unbreakable barrier. But I think it's going to be broken and I think he's going to get into the 20s.","2:01:25"],["And I am a gambling man. I will guarantee you this by the year 2028, Tucker Carlson will be infinitely more popular in the Republican Party than Donald Trump, infinitely, okay?","1:52:45"],["So we have to know it. Otherwise, it's a national security threat. But of course, they're not going to be released either.","19:00"],["reinforces the war room's position is that the deal, any deal that has any meaning at all will be cut between the president of the United States and she president, she in a room in Beijing sometime during the state visit of President Trump in mid May","11:59"],["Again, this could all be over tomorrow if they give up their nukes and control of the Strait. The question is whether they're going to do that. Europe is offering them an offer app to do that. Maybe they'll take it all likelihood they won't.","16:54"],["speculation is growing about a merger with Tesla, I've been saying this would happen","50:28"],["That's supposed to be in a coma, apparently, for that, but we'll see. I don't see them doing that.","32:54"],["i don't think it's possible for them to muster up a super majority functionally it could happen but practically just impossible","1:48:23"],["but that they will impeach trump he's gonna get impeached it's gonna happen","1:48:27"],["and what will be left of this movement honestly I think it's gonna be Marco Rubio as the nominee I don't think it's gonna be JD Vance","23:42"],["he's got a couple years left the midterms Democrats are gonna sweep he's gonna get jammed up","23:31"],["she's calling on Congress to provide the women who have been victimized by Epstein a public hearing. And I think that she's going to get her wish next year when the Democrats take control of Congress.","19:14"],["And I think that she's going to get her wish next year when the Democrats take control of Congress.","19:22"],["So the Republicans are gonna get slaughtered in the midterms. Because barely any of their voters are gonna show up to vote.","1:39:47"],["And he's crushing Susan Collins. We're finally gonna beat Susan Collins in Maine.","29:56"],["And some of the damage that has been done in the oil and gas facilities of our allies is going to take two to five years to repair.","37:38"],["Now, parts of that 10 point plan are never going to happen like reparations to Iran from America, removing all of our bases in the Gulf.","22:23"],["Now, parts of that 10 point plan are never going to happen like reparations to Iran from America, removing all of our bases in the Gulf.","22:23"],["So now they're never going to stop enriching uranium. And we have no leverage to make them stop because we just lost the war.","36:45"],["You know what, I guarantee you they will not be released. They won't be released into this country.","31:47"],["We're in a race to get there, and the United States intends to win. We're going to beat China."],["midterm elections around the corner that are likely to deal a devastating blow"],["all I can say is good luck with your twenty twenty eight run, lady, Like if you're already this fragile and lashing out like that at very basic and obvious questions where the Democratic base at this point is overwhelmingly anti Israel, anti apac, they are going to be asking you about where you stand on these issues repeatedly, and if all you can do is immediately reach for insinuating that they're anti Semites for even asking about it, like this is just this is not going to work"],["whether it's now or a month from now, or two months from now or a year from now, we are very likely to end up with something like the Iranian ten points becoming a new reality, including a new status quo with regard to the Strait of Hormuz"],["I don't think it's going to be too long before they ask bowling to take a 60 or 90 day hiatus from his hit show at four o'clock and go in as an advisor here","20:34"],["this even having the meeting in Islamabad shows you that it's gonna be something less than a full unconditional surrender, that's just not gonna happen","34:30"],["I think it's unlikely that we'll ever get some written formal instrument of agreement between the two parties, because I think the two parties are just so far apart","35:20"],["This is like, I'm sorry that has come to this, but she's obviously not going to be able to stay in this post.","49:01"],["And I just, I think we are now within six months of getting the Brian Nohm's transitioning announcement along with separation and divorce for those two.","49:44"],["And I just, I think we are now within six months of getting the Brian Nohm's transitioning announcement along with separation and divorce for those two.","49:44"],["And you have Netanyahu and Trump saying Lebanon is not included in the ceasefire. So, okay, well, then to me, it's just a matter of time.","29:42"],["So with elections that are scheduled next week in Canada, it looks like without a doubt Prime Minister Carney is about to get the majority there.","40:59"],["We're seeing the price of oil surge once again, over $101 per barrel. And that's going to just keep on rising.","01:42"],["The fact that he will not correct it, I have no problem saying there is zero chance he will correct it.","19:31"],["The only real change we might see is a change in who controls Congress. Certainly the House of Representatives possibly the Senate.","1:53:00"],["Why would they enter some sort of economic deal with the United States, which has been dishonest, which has engaged in bad faith? Why would they do that? Why would they give up their leverage by welcoming the United States into the situation, giving them access to their only real point of leverage? I just don't buy it.","41:51"],["The only way you're gonna see an end to all the bloodshed is if you end the war, but Israel doesn't want to end the war. Netanyahu doesn't want to end the war, and he wants more land. So he's gonna keep going.","32:19"],["They weren't working on building a nuclear weapon prior to this war. They will now.","54:23"],["I don't think that we are going to really get a ceasefire here. That is my prediction.","23:25"],["I believe the economy is going to be the main issue in November and even more narrowly have the promises of lower prices been achieved or haven't they been achieved.","44:34"],["Do you believe the Epstein files will be a voting issue in November? I believe the answer is no.","44:14"],["I would err on the side of figuring that Trump's can allow Israel to rampa. It certainly seems the direction that they're leaning in right now."],["Maybe these are is really is back off Lebanon? I don't think so. I highly doubt it."],["Iran has proven that there is effectively no military operation that could take back control of the straight of hormones. There is going to be a new reality there period end of story"],["you're living in a world of about a dollar more than where you were before, and it's not going to go down anytime soon","11:56"],["I just don't see us getting to assign document. This is not going to be like Japan on the decks of the Missouri.","13:04"],["I really think like next presidential election, the issue of Israel and being controlled by donations from APAC is going to be an issue we're going to hear about on both sides as we ferret out who the proper nominee should be.","1:34:30"],["I don't get how you find 20 Republicans who want to forge ahead with this kind of agenda, which the president is not going to sign. He's not, he's not dumb.","11:44"],["And right now we're in the precipice of this fake ceasefire formally becoming non-existent.","46:09"],["So there's about to be a Prime Minister Carney majority government that's about to form, which means Carney is going to be safe basically through 2029 as a result of this.","56:25"],["there are elections happening in the next week or so that the liberal party is expected to win and Prime Minister Carney will almost certainly now be able to get his majority government","56:15"],["at some point, whether it is today or tomorrow, unlikely, whether it is in two weeks, maybe more likely or in three months from now, the bombs are going to stop. This is not going to go on forever.","15:39"],["I do believe that we may see Tucker Carlson come out and say, thank you, Mr. President, because Tucker has been particularly measured in how he's approached these things.","23:49"],["So I want to actually read you what Trump posted verbatim and I'm terrified for the Pakistanis. Be careful, the Israelis are probably going to try to kill you.","1:03:40"],["My guess is that Israel will not be happy about that deal and they'll push aggressively to make sure that it doesn't happen.","1:45:59"],["But for the moment being the APM deadline is off the table, the total annihilation off the table for now, what's going to happen in those two weeks? I guarantee you both sides start reloading."],["Because at the end of the day, America's not going to remove their bases and give into everything Iran wants.","1:46:36"],["The Iranians are not correct. They have not won the war. They are not going to get reparations.","1:23:36"],["But Iran isn't going to open up the Strait of Hormuz and Iran has already cut off talks.","1:03:10"],["President Trump is not interested in that kind of military conflict. The chances of that happening, I believe, are zero.","23:40"],["So we know Trump is asking himself, who is going to be the heir apparent here? And I think Trump is going to look elsewhere. He is not going to look to JD.","27:26"],["I think almost certainly Trump stays in power until the scheduled end of his term unless he dies or negotiates a resignation with a pardon. That's like a less likely but second possibility. I don't think we're going to see impeachment. I don't think we're going to see 25th amendment.","32:21"],["So you know, I happen to think that NATO will continue on, Our involvement in NATO will continue on. But yeah, this was a big blow to that alliance."],["But if it's what the Iranians keep saying, and their media lies all the time, but I haven't seen any refutation, President Trump is never going to get there on the points, because he's adamant about a bunch of these points.","23:13"],["Okay. President Trump is going to make a deal and move on.","17:04"],["we're going to have to bring that to the Senate to get approval like the Obama deal did. I don't think, Lady Lindsey, I don't think it's going to happen.","16:55"],["we still have and russ vote is going to go i think before the house and senate next week to talk about the budget will cover that wall to ball","43:44"],["My sources are saying he is the most likely to retire under President Trump. And I believe he's likely to do it.","57:31"],["I suspect that we are going to see that Donald Trump is right about that","28:59"],["We're going to see peace deal signed before the midterms. My guess is summertime around July 4th, we will see a bunch of Middle East peace deals signed","14:13"],["John Ossoff at 6.6. I know that's coming from an ain't going to be John Ossoff.","58:38"],["all they would have to do is open the straight of formuz and give up their nukes. That would be it. We'd be done. We'd be done. Open the straight of formuz, give up your nukes. It would be over. That's all. They won't do it.","06:26"],["You think that there's gonna be consequences for this? No chance.","1:38:59"],["How about you guys stop attacking their civilian infrastructure, but they're not going to.","12:45"],["I'm stunned by how little people in politics, media, and Wall Street know, they think that this ceasefire might happen. There is no chance that this ceasefire is going to happen.","54:30"],["So whether it's water desalinate desalinization plants, whether it's these petrochemical facilities, Iran is going to respond and retaliate in kind.","10:18"],["Gas in LA is up to $6.5, $6.5, headed to eight.","09:43"],["So, Okay, the Dignitated Dignidad Act total loser, non starter. It's got twenty Republicans, including you know what's its bucket from New York. I just okay, it's not going to happen.","45:51"],["if he drops a nuke on Iran tonight, then I will absolutely call for peachman. I will say I'm the crazy one. I'll do all the things. I don't think that's even in the realm of possibility. He's already denied it.","29:53"],["You will almost certainly see suicide drones that try to hit the pipeline.","52:50"],["It could be a precipitation of a ground operation to take Carg I don't think that that will happen"],["When you start to run out of conventional weapons, what do you do, Ryan, You have to start thinking about unconventional weapons or ground troops. And that's exactly where things are going."],["This is a time of choosing if you do not resign by the time of eight PM, and that's when the bombs are going to drop."],["But I I don't think purging civilization ends tonight But I think that when we hit the witching hour I do believe at least it looks right now that something may be done at least on a preliminary basis To kind of get their attentions.","04:46"],["We're going from the decline, defanging, degradation of their military. Now to something I've been talked about, and what even the Israelis were talking about initially, which is total state collapse. That's we're going after the infrastructure.","20:15"],["Let's take President Trump for his word. I know people working nonstop to see if this off ramp, but as of right now, as the Brits used to say in the Second World War, the party is on.","14:38"],["That's the kind of thing that will get raised at the primary debates with all of the Republican candidates. Do you stand by that? Did you think that was appropriate to President Trump?","41:54"],["And there is no way that General Kane is going to authorize strikes. On power plants like this one with a bunch of civilians, including children standing outside of it.","39:18"],["And for Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz during that two-week period, I don't think that Iran is going to do that.","32:22"],["if history is any guide, what will happen is between now and then, he will say, the Iranians have been totally reasonable, and they have come to the table ready to negotiate. And finally, we have a chance at real peace with this new, rational, much less radical leadership. I congratulate them on a very smart decision, and therefore, the eight o'clock deadline is off. He'll, he'll back down.","11:35"],["And the extension would be two weeks. So then we do this entire timeline, this loop all over again. And then April 7th becomes, you know, of what, April 21st, then the countdown goes there. And then they bring it into May, and then they bring it into July.","11:30"],["With that move right there, I don't see how. There's any way that Iran agrees to anything.","28:11"],["Iran's never agreeing to a ceasefire, nor is Iran ever going to speak with Jared Kushner and Steve Whitkoff.","09:48"],["Iran's never agreeing to a ceasefire, nor is Iran ever going to speak with Jared Kushner and Steve Whitkoff.","09:48"],["Oh, I don't disagree. I don't think it's going to happen, by the way.","25:41"],["I mean, he has embraced his 40% in a way that will make it very hard for him to rise above 40% from here on in","22:02"],["this is going to be a movie on netflix or amazon or whatever soon enough there's no doubt about that","36:14"],["my gut feeling is trump going to luke tayron tonight my gut feeling is no","23:58"],["because let's say that the regime does not go down right now which it probably will not if the regime does not go down in the next few weeks then the question becomes how does the United States achieve its goals","36:05"],["There's not going to be impeached while the Republicans control Congress. That's for sure. So why even talk about it? They can revisit things in January.","28:52"],["well, I'm confident they will","00:18"],["the Iranians have no intention actually of ever going back to the previous status quo with regard to the straight of Foremataus.","08:47"],["you very likely have a permanent new status quo in terms of the Strait of horm Moves, which is going to put some sort of permanent premium on energy and other goods that are flowing through that region."],["In the interim, what's going to happen pain, millions lose their jobs, bankruptcy, high interest rates, stagflation","24:27"],["we are well on track for a sustained gas shock that is going to at least keep us above three bucks a gallon well into the foreseeable future, and at the very least in the next few months, we're going to be hovering in this price."],["I think it's going to take something pretty dramatic by the Iranians to get President Trump's attention on this. Otherwise, I think unless they stop playing games and deal directly, I see tomorrow night being President Trump gave him 11 days, and hey, we didn't get anything put together. Here we go.","45:15"],["I continue to hear Rahm Emanuel say smart things that I find like kind of reasonable. I realize there's a whole history there, but he is the only Democrat I see that's making some sense. Like he says things that Republicans could get behind. They'll never make it through the primary process.","1:22:09"],["And meanwhile, Gavin Newsom is going to come out on the scene and try to pretend that he's like some badass, tough guy. I guarantee you he's going to be doing some of the Tim Walks camo shit because he needs to.","1:42:39"],["I know a lot of hardcore Republicans who really want e-verify across the nation. He won't do it. He's, you know, from the hotel industry and he's like agriculture and these are a lot of his donors who use illegals.","1:30:10"],["And the Supreme Court is going to rule that their anchor babies give them the, you know, the babies, the right to citizenship and that they can stay here.","1:29:34"],["Like we're never going to get those 10 million plus illegals out. Look what happened. We just tried to get one million out by having, you know, this more aggressive immigration deportation policy come to major American cities. It caused absolute chaos.","1:29:05"],["because when the war ends and it ends with a Iranian defeat and it ends with new peace deals in the Middle East and countries realizing they're not going to blow Israel off the map","20:55"],["So by every account at the moment, if Trump is going to keep his word, it sounds like tomorrow night at 8 p.m., all hell is going to break loose.","08:52"],["So Trump, the rumor is Tulsi Gabbard's going to be outed. She'll be fired.","1:33:26"],["I don't think we're gonna get to Scott Bessin, a former contributor here, his target of going from 6% to GDP to 3%. I think these deficits gonna be quite large","02:27"],["Trump and Netanyahu said that it was going to be all these protests against the regime. It would happen. They would love Trump and Netanyahu to run Iran. That ain't happening.","10:01"],["His latest order restricting mail and voting ahead of the 2026 election is already facing legal challenges and he's going to lose. He's going to lose badly on that one.","17:37"],["The fact the Supreme Court is set to rule against in favor of keeping birthright citizenship despite the fact that every argument makes sense.","1:37:49"],["But again, to my point, like this is a shift into I think Rubio's a candidate in 2028.","10:38"],["I certainly think that the Democratic nominee will probably be somebody that has a very strong view and opposition to Middle East war meddling as a result of this disaster in Iran.","53:52"],["this goes to the potential troops question, which I think you're still, I think there's been a kind of a consensus developing that troops aren't going to go in. I'm skeptical about it.","38:24"],["And when it comes to endless wars, there is absolutely no question that this is gonna last longer than what Trump is trying to sell to the American people.","1:57:00"],["The way it's really going to play out is we're just going to pay more for drugs. Hey, that's what's going to happen.","1:30:45"],["Prices at the grocery store gonna be a lot higher. Price that you pay at the pump, it's already a lot higher, it's gonna get worse, definitely gonna get worse.","59:51"],["I listened to the hearings too. I have the sense that they're not buying the arguments from Trump's lawyers, but we'll see, we'll see.","46:51"],["I do think that Democrats are going to take over at least the House after the midterms.","1:22:30"],["I think no matter who the president appoints, the Democrats will party line vote against them, with a possible exception of one or two"],["if it's any reasonable appointment, I think you'll see the Republicans line up and give the president at least fifty one votes"],["he's also being clear this is gonna last a couple of weeks, it's not gonna last months more, it's not gonna last a year or longer"],["So now it's down to the retaliation claim. And this is why I think she's doomed because that claim is a is based on the PR that she claims was unleashed against her after she complained about the sexual harassment, which again, she's now lost on the sex harassment","1:39:23"],["She ain't getting out of her deposition just because she's gone and she got fired. She's still sitting for her April 14th deposition.","1:22:52"],["probably what's making Donald Trump most upset right now is that his ballroom has been permanently blocked pending congressional authorization, which I don't think Congress is going to authorize right now","03:58"],["the Supreme Court heard oral arguments on birthright citizenship. And it sounds like they are inclined to deny Donald Trump. We're not sure exactly, but it looks like their attitude is, nah, if you're born here, you're a citizen.","02:51"],["Pretty important quote from Trump yesterday. It's I think going to be showing up in a lot of Democratic ads.","53:55"],["He also demanded that our allies build up delayed courage, go to the Strait of Hormuz and just take it. You know what will happen if they do that? The same thing that just recently happened. I think it was a Qatari oil tanker that got attacked by Iran. They're not gonna do this","1:11:27"],["We started off with this war being incredibly unpopular, and it's only going to continue getting more and more unpopular as it continues.","59:19"],["Unfortunately, a lot of them are not going to blame the right person, Donald Trump, but enough of them, I believe, are that this will be a disaster midterm for the Republican party.","48:59"],["And we have nothing to replace Obamacare with. Obamacare has now been around 16 years. I don't think they're going to replace it quite frankly.","39:35"],["even if we pull out of NATO, which I don't think is going to happen"],["And so if Trump tries to sort of unilaterally walk away, which to me is looking less and less likely all the time.","31:14"],["we're all about to tick take a huge haircut on consumer spending because of gas prices and because of inflation, which just means by definition, consumer spending is going to go down."],["with gas at four dollars a gallon for at least a few months likely"],["And the worst part is that probably just means a recession."],["I don't see any situation in the near future where they're paying the Iranian toll.","33:11"],["If you go and you pay the toll, and you make a deal with Iran, and you denominate your shipments in Chinese, you on, then the street is actually not closed at all for you if you want to go down that path, and I think that is the path that they will pursue.","02:32"],["It's four eight is the national average gas price. So every day we're taking up and up, we are going to hit all time highs. I think here very shortly.","25:43"],["Diesel six dollars a gallon looking very very likely.","10:01"],["Ever going to be over in three days? Well, guess what. That didn't happen. And now he's saying it's going to be over in two weeks. I don't think that's going to happen either.","22:59"],["And I realized people we have a huge problem with how they've kind of went back and said, well, the seven felony convictions are correct because I think that would be ultimately overturned.","04:28"],["hey folks, take your number two pencil out and write this down. You think, you wait till they take the House of Representatives. They take the House. They're already planning and plotting what they're going to do.","14:43"],["First off, cover this thing on ag blue. This is huge. It looks like you're right. I think you're seeing criminal indictments in the future.","45:55"],["it basically seems that the United States and Israel are going to continue to escalate the unlawful war in Iran or there's no sign of de-escalation","01:04"],["right now, the earliest that we can potentially even think about oil shipments returning to some pre-warly earliest is at the end of May. And my own view is that's incredibly optimistic.","24:32"],["I'm sure Donald Trump's going to have to pardon her, an issue of pardon.","56:59"],["Watch. She'll try to get out of that.","57:54"],["We think that cash Patel's probably going to get fired soon as well.","54:38"],["The UAE has been lobbying the United Nations Security Council for a resolution that would authorize such action. Now, of course, they're not going to get it. They're not going to get it. I mean, the Russians and Chinese will block it.","35:40"],["This is not going to be a long war. How many times can President Trump say it? Everyone keeps saying forever war. Again, I'm just going to point out that everyone who is now saying forever war, we are now in a couple of, we are on day 32, day 32 of this war. Day 32, okay, we're not talking about a six month war or a year war or a 10 year war or a 20 year war like Afghanistan.","59:03"],["Certainly they will challenge him in court, but I actually think he might win enough to where they can't stop him in time for November","07:02"],["Trump is not going to nationalize oil and gas. That's just not going to happen.","1:32:08"],["But more importantly guys, more importantly, the export controls aren't gonna happen if they do happen, they're not.","1:01:51"],["But even if the bombing stops today, it'll take years to rebuild the oil and gas infrastructure that has already been destroyed.","13:56"],["Like the idea that Trump is just gonna be like, all right, we're done, we're just gonna pull out of this and we're done with it. That's just not gonna happen.","21:00"],["No, this isn't going to be over in four to six weeks, obviously.","07:28"],["We still have months before the midterms. Trump could be at 31 or 30. I just doubt he'd get into the twenties because of how polarized the country is.","40:52"],["Yeah, they're gonna try and split the baby. I actually I actually agree. I think that's what Robert's going to try and do.","17:08"],["And I do believe he's going to talk about this NATO ally situation where as I think Marco said it very well, it's not simply the fact they haven't been there for us in supporting us is that they actually restricted our ability to use our own forces that happen to be stationed in Europe","42:48"],["but I don't believe that Donald Trump will have any likelihood of prevailing there, although you never know","04:03"],["Donald Trump is likely to appeal this to the Washington, D.C. Circuit Court of Appeals and take it all the way up to the Supreme Court","03:55"],["And it seems that Trump's going to lose and Trump's actually in the Supreme Court right now watching it","17:31"],["even if the war were to end right now, which it's not going to","05:44"],["I suspect that Donald Trump will hint at that tonight. And Rubio is completely right.","28:55"],["But there will be some peace deals signed before the midterms because Trump knows the pressures on to get major wins.","10:40"],["So what is the most likely scenario here? Probably major action to reopen the Strait, to grab Harga Island, to throttle the Iranian regime by cutting off its lifelines of the global economy.","32:10"],["Abdul Al Sayyad, who again is likely to be the Senate nominee in Michigan for the Democrats.","18:31"],["I hope they stop it, but they're not going to","45:32"],["There is some crypto or hedge fund douche that will pay an extraordinary amount of money to own New York Magazine.","46:40"],["he's going to split up the company and he's going to have a very focused podcast company that tries to industrialize podcasting","49:35"],["I'm not sure at this point he has any choice, but to put boots on the ground","12:45"],["I think it'll be over by midterms when they jack HEGSAT out of the place","35:36"],["The ancillary effect will be precedent will get booster packs banned as well","1:27:00"],["I believe New York and Washington are going to win. Valve is going to lose. The end result will be that loot boxes and anything comparable is gambling.","1:22:14"],["I believe the popularity of these conspiracy theories is going to create so much doubt in the public that alone is enough to get Tyler Robinson acquitted","08:20"],["that Axial's reports that changes like those could spook moderate Republican, it's not gonna spook moderate Republicans. They're all gonna fall in line like good boys and girls.","40:18"],["I don't think he's gonna pull out at the end of the day, but if there's any hint, you'll see some other egregious crime committed by the Iran.","29:15"],["I think that all signs point to Trump attempting to take Carg Island, which is incredibly economically important for the Iranians.","54:20"],["the president has amassed thousands of additional American soldiers in preparation for what I believe is going to be a ground invasion. Now there are denials that we're gonna invade Iran, but I wouldn't believe those denials.","03:25"],["it's not looking like we're done. I hope we are, but it's not looking like it.","59:54"],["there's not going to be any consequences. The only possible consequence is the project doesn't move forward.","21:09"],["I mean, it's very clear where things they're trending. The only question is what sort of what sort of things Trump's going to do to try to mess with the elections. But I have to say, at this point I'm less worried about that because it's one thing when things are marginal, you can screw with things enough that it makes a difference. It's looking increasingly like things are not going to be marginal.","45:56"],["That will actually end up in court because I'm sure this executive order mail-in ballots So go sue on this immediately.","11:38"],["He was trying to ram down the american people's throat This uh situation with amnesty for artificial intelligence it cannot happen it will not happen and it's not happening the american people have revolted against this","1:31:57"],["We're talking about that Todd Blanche from the stage at CPAC the other day, saying that he 100% agrees with the war room that we can and will send ICE agents to the polls in the fall.","01:24"],["The oil that Europe used, $118 a barrel, it's going to go a lot higher.","43:14"],["20 percent of that has been taken out for the next three to five years","42:27"],["i mean his approval dropped in the latest umass amherst ugov poll to 33 percent i mean i think it will be in the 20s soon","1:21:13"],["I think we're looking at 2022 style inflation and disaster coming forward. I'm not an economist. If you're listening to this, do you think I'm wrong? You can clip that and play it back to me at Labor Day and we'll see how things look.","30:59"],["They funded an eight week extension of all DHS, including ICE. Obviously that is not going to land anywhere in the Senate.","44:13"],["even if it does lose a little bit of its urgency for no Kings 4, which I think there will be one, that is a good sign","07:39"],["And we've already started the reconciliation process. We are going to fund ICE and CBP for the next ten years."],["That bill, unfortunately, will go nowhere.","10:06"],["in my view, I believe the Democrats will never again vote to fund ice forever for a year, for five years, for ten years."],["We are unlikely to get a new health care plan while donald trump is in office","12:59"],["there is no current situation where the horror moves straight is just going to be open within the next week, where some sort of grand peace deal is going to happen. We are no way, in no way close to a sort of deal that Donald Trump is saying right now."],["talking about the lack of NATO NATO not coming forward to really support us in the in the in the naval Endeavor in the Straits of her movies and that means they're not gonna be there for the Red Sea Which is the Suez Canal so I think very very disappointing","25:17"],["You've got this situation of the Save America where they have no, you know, and I know they have no intention of ever passing that.","21:44"],["I think that, you know, Tiger, he's probably now going to get some help. I mean, I certainly hope now he's going to get some help.","2:03:31"],["I think what's going to happen is the regime will collapse internally the way the regimes will collapse internally. You're not going to get unconditional surrender of the sort that we got where the Nazi regime literally just disintegrated once Hitler committed suicide.","58:42"],["I can guarantee you one thing. If you want one guarantee on today's program, nobody's going to be missing their vacation over this. That is not what these people, they're going to cash their checks and they are going to take their vacation.","21:28"],["So now here we are where he's appealing. Uh, he's going to argue Becky Hill mucked up the trial to the point where he gets another trial. We don't love the chances, but one never knows.","39:48"],["It has severely harmed the US for generations, probably threw us into a global recession, if not a global depression.","16:19"],["I wouldn't be surprised if this week it gets close to 125 or 130 per barrel.","07:54"],["Vance is at 37. Rubio is at 26. My bets on Rubio.","1:33:23"],["So what we're gonna show you in this segment, other than the fact that we are putting in ground troops was devastating","04:46"],["But you see, the problem is the Senate left and they ain't coming back for the next two weeks.","02:17"],["People probably won't challenge it because we want TSA agents to get their funds to get paid. Right? So no one's going to challenge it, even though we had the money.","14:18"],["Today is No Kings 3, the biggest No Kings yet.","20:44"],["I expect the turnout today to be in the range of 15 to 20 million protesters peacefully protesting across the country right now.","04:44"],["So two to four weeks will become another four weeks and eight weeks. And this thing will continue to drag on.","15:11"],["it was originally expected around 2026 and now they're saying it's not shipping before 2027 guess why it's never gonna ship","1:04:36"],["it won't be a headline item it'll be euthanized slowly it is i-o and that is the six and a half billion dollar acquisition of johnny ives company to build hardware","1:02:58"],["i think they're gonna try to steal the election i don't think it's going to be possible giving the overwhelming numbers that are going to happen","26:51"],["i think you're going to see president Trump four or five years post his presidency sitting in front of a camera in a jury pretending to be too old and he just doesn't remember him telling his buddies his friends his family members to buy buy buy","16:24"],["I think personally That's a garbage case that'll get escalated thrown out","1:05:25"],["then the algorithm changes and the only YouTube channels you get Are the ones that YouTube signs exclusive contracts with","1:05:05"],["I think the end result of what Candice is doing is going to be the end of section 230","1:03:34"],["there is no way Donald Trump is personally going to Iran before June","39:37"],["yeah, I don't think they have the votes for it. I just think it's crazy given like the scale of domestic disruption.","16:58"],["We'll see the house has got to figure this out. Maybe probably Monday.","16:08"],["Trump did announce as I joked about earlier that 10-day extension of his deadline for Iran to open the Strait of Hormuz or face the destruction of its energy plants that takes us to April 6th. That's going to move too.","37:00"],["They're gonna move out every man, woman and child from south of the Latani River, and they're gonna put in Israelis.","44:39"],["Yeah, so they're gonna take southern Lebanon exactly as we told you, and here's the confirmation. They're gonna move out every man, woman and child from south of the Latani River, and they're gonna put in Israelis.","44:35"],["Yeah, there's no way in the world that got Hymer and Muscoets are gonna vote against the war and have it stop. Zero percent chance.","31:53"],["And if I had to guess, I would guess that we're going to target anything that reopens the Strait of Hormuz.","14:39"],["But my sense of it is that they're not going to attack on Saturday, that Donald Trump says the 10 day pause thing because they're attacking tomorrow.","12:44"],["And I'm going to predict not a single Democrat is going to say even a word about the abuse of power on their side, and that double standard is troubling."],["in my view, the Democrats in the Senate will never ever vote to fund ICE again"],["But we will get it done, and I believe what will happen is we'll pass a ten year budget that pluses up both of them.","13:21"],["It will go to the House. The House will take it up and pass it.","10:19"],["We should see the chaos at the airport subside."],["But the polling is overwhelming. Democrats are set to win the house.","55:25"],["Trump's not going to serve three terms.","47:37"],["I believe there is going to be an election in 2026 and in 2028.","46:37"],["I don't see any path out of this other than ultimately Republicans and Trump relenting.","35:01"],["Trump seems convinced for whatever reason that he can hold out and maybe get the Save America Act passed in exchange for holding TSA funding hostage. I believe that that's not going to happen.","35:39"],["House Republicans, it seems like, are signaling to Senate Republicans you better get a return ticket, better come back to DC, because I don't think that they are going to fund this. I don't think they're going to pass this bill."],["And that's now at the beginning of this war, when we've just gotten started here and it's as popular as it's ever going to be."],["They're going to keep the straighter from moves. They're going to turn it into a toll.","52:07"],["so i would not be surprised if at this point tyla robinson is acquitted or at least as a mistrial","1:35:47"],["Here's the problem is that they've got a super Bowl in Nashville in like what two years, three years, So I don't think they're gonna go country next year because they're they're sort of holding that back for whatever.","58:39"],["if we're going to talk later about military recruitment and a draft. I mean, look, I don't think any of that is going to happen, but this is the path that we are now on"],["there is just no way the democrats really want to win in 2028 they are really really over the trump presidency and the trump legacy and there they are not going to nominate somebody with this level of baggage on this issue","2:05:51"],["especially on the eve of ground invasions there on car guillands that are going to be absolutely disastrous","13:53"],["The last No Kings was huge, but this No Kings is going to be even bigger.","15:43"],["At some point, Donald Trump's gonna, what, he's gonna declare a victory.","30:36"],["It seems that what's gonna really happen is Iran's gonna forever control these straight of our moves.","30:28"],["So you're gonna have to do interest rate hikes, not decreases.","32:33"],["But I think my own prediction, I'll just throw it out there. I think inflation will hit closer to 5%. Maybe more by the end, maybe five, five and a half percent.","32:36"],["It could be over before Spain kills that young girl. I somehow doubt it will be.","31:12"],["they are going to get this guy found not guilty","1:43:18"],["so in the next six years we are expected to see what's called the mortality shelf this is where two thirds of boomers are going to all die because they're all hitting life expectancy on average","1:24:53"],["it's going to be apocalyptic in November for the Republicans I think it's going to be worse than people realize if this trend continues we're not looking at Democrats just taking the house we're looking at a super majority","1:13:51"],["all the people who are choosing the donor class, choosing foreign governments and corporations above their voters, I believe are going to lose and lose badly in 2028","1:05:01"],["There is no question Israel is going to try to take southern Lebanon for itself."],["No, that means we are nowhere near the end of this war.","18:45"],["this is One i'm confident will be. FASTER i don't think this will take a decade to make. Happen"],["When this passes AND i didn't, say IF i said when we will get this, passed","24:10"],["a gallon will probably be four bucks a gallon by tomorrow.","03:46"],["all this fantasy about taxes are going away. That's his fantasy. That's President Trump's objective and goal over a long period of time, but that ain't today and it ain't going to be today for a long time.","50:03"],["You've got two Marine Expeditionary Units, one on the Tripoli, one on the USS Boxer coming from San Diego and Japan, so the Pacific Fleet. Being North Arabian Sea, I think they'll be in station by Friday.","17:28"],["This is going to lead to an avalanche of lawsuits. Of course, this is going to be highly negotiated. Congress is going to get involved. They'll probably go up to the Supreme Court.","21:32"],["there is not a chance in hell that this gets admitted by the Robinson defense and even less chance that Joe Kent gets called that a witness","44:14"],["This is not coming into evidence. It's not coming into evidence. It's just not the only way this theory about whoever I don't even know who it necessarily would be.","42:40"],["I think we should take a deep breath on the trial of Tyler Robinson, which I think will be well handled. I think he will be convicted. There is a mountain of evidence against him.","48:59"],["I'm going to predict it, actually. That's maybe that may be a little bold. I'm going to say that maybe he would drop the Democrat barce by the time he wants to run for president.","46:17"],["but that's why we had to degrade everything that they had to the point that in essence, it won't matter for a decade, right? Because the programs will be so eradicated.","11:29"],["So I don't think it's going to be regime change in like us installing a puppet or something, but there is going to be very fundamentally different leadership. There simply has to be the Persian people will not stand for it.","13:47"],["Number two, there's going to be some sort of deal where we will either have access to or American companies will be working with Iranian oil companies with some sort of new regime.","06:09"],["The military part that we are concluding now, I would say it's probably got about two weeks on it, something like that.","07:09"],["And I'm telling you, Mark, my words, we're going to do peace deals in the Middle East and a whole bunch more after this.","05:13"],["There's some tension around the Strait of Hormuz, which obviously will be resolved.","04:49"],["Gas prices did go up a little bit about 40 cents. They are going to come back down.","04:54"],["Their missile facilities have been destroyed. Their drone facilities have been destroyed. Their nuclear facilities will be destroyed before this is over.","33:35"],["More than nine months after it's announcements, Trump mobile phone still hasn't launched. It never is going to launch, by the way.","58:55"],["the world is likely going to go into some sort of fairly, either modest or maybe even a deeper session","17:02"],["based on what we're hearing in the area, it sounds like there will be additional troops being deployed for the purpose of taking Karg Island","55:44"],["I think the first candidate who doesn't groble to Israel wins each primary easily, okay? And if there's only one candidate who doesn't groble to Israel, then they win the presidency super easy.","1:07:09"],["So you're gonna be forced into the slaughter at Karg Island.","43:01"],["So as you'll see here, Netanyahu is right, Trump is wrong. There are no negotiations and the war will continue because Israel wants it to continue.","15:42"],["That is why the market keeps crashing crash 2000, 2008. It's about to crash now.","13:55"],["And we are entering or soon to enter double digits American service member debts.","39:36"],["the Save America Act doesn't have the support to pass. They don't have the votes. Republicans don't have the votes, regardless, even if there was a willingness to tie the things together, it just doesn't have the support.","47:49"],["Obviously not. Of course, that's not going to happen. And we all know it's not going to happen because we've seen this play out before. It's never investigated.","12:43"],["In the months that have followed, we know the investigation has continued. More details will come out in May when the assassin has a probable cause hearing, and we are certain there will be even more evidence submitted against Tyler Robinson by the state","20:08"],["But it's what I'm at like five percent, you're like fifty."],["Like it seems like the base case is four bucks a gallon now for over a year, which is I mean, really just devastating.","40:59"],["I find it incredibly hard to believe that the Vice President would be in Islamabad sometime this week","22:53"],["But the governor wants a promotion to president. I mean, he's definitely getting ready to run, MBD, Governor Pritzker.","55:12"],["Could you imagine what the next inflation report is going to be? I probably can't imagine. It'll be on a trajectory for 5%. That's where I think it heads.","55:20"],["which is in a few days and then weeks there will be economic reports there will be the producer price index the consumer price index all of the inflation metrics and it's going to be very bad reports really bad and then the markets are going to crater on those reports","1:10:44"],["which is in a few days and then weeks there will be economic reports there will be the producer price index the consumer price index all of the inflation metrics and it's going to be very bad reports really bad and then the markets are going to crater on those reports","1:10:44"],["it looked obviously preventable it will be called likely air traffic control error but so what happens when you've worked these people to a level that we've always known is unsustainable","1:03:35"],["we're about 10 days i think nine days from liquefied natural gas running out in the Persian Gulf Middle East region and they're one of the biggest suppliers of liquefied natural gas so when that runs out for export the only really other place where you have lng is the united states","44:14"],["Now, the top generals, admirals, and others familiar with the region have all predicted that if the United States does that, it will be a total and utter death trap. But that actually seems to be where things are moving towards.","04:13"],["there is one saying democrat he is the senator from pennsylvania john fetterman who one day i guarantee you before he's done not only will be a republican but will wear a button down shirt","1:05:34"],["So it's up about 40 cents a gallon. That is true and it is temporary and they're working on keeping the Strait of Hormuz open.","09:35"],["And for all the people that said this was going to be World War three, thermonuclear World War three, another forever war and everything else, I think like they are about most things they are going to be very, very wrong.","09:46"],["which is what I think is going to happen, mark my words in a couple weeks, if you suddenly get new peace deals in the Middle East and countries are suddenly trading with each other and commerce is going around the Middle East","15:19"],["And here is Jensen Huang talking about what the Middle East will look like after this war, which now appears to be ending probably in the next couple of weeks.","13:53"],["So do you think there's any chance that the conflict in the Middle East will ultimately result in full-scale war over the Temple Mount in Jerusalem? No, I do not think that that is a possibility.","31:37"],["What happens when the people of Iran take to the streets in the aftermath of all this damage to the Iranian regime? Because make no mistake, that is going to happen if Iranians took to the streets by the millions before all of this in the face of the IRGC and Basij killing them by the tens of thousands.","26:09"],["I think he will lean on Israel hard and probably be able to muscle enough other people in the air in the beach and to kind of accept this, you know, kind of uneasy ceasefire, which isn't really a deal, but a sort of a quasi deal and does basically reduce the violence for now","07:14"],["No, and let's say that Adirah, the odds are 70, 30 that he's going to actually tackle his way and this thing will die down. But it could start up again.","17:20"],["Chuck Schumer that everyone is very very unhappy with Chuck, and I think he will almost certainly lose his next election. I don't think he can win a Democrat primary"],["The British people are very very unhappy with Starmer. He will almost certainly lose the next election in the UK."],["They're going to have to deal with that in November with voters. And I think they're going to fail to do so. And they're going to get absolutely crushed.","52:14"],["the exit will look like Trump tucking his tail between his legs and going home the loser. And that's not going to be good politically for him. And so based on his personality, I doubt that it's something that he would do.","34:52"],["So President Trump put out a truth basically saying he's loath to make a deal any concessions with Democrats, but he's willing to give them this five billion dollar cut off of ICE funding if they'll pass the Save America Act. I think we all know that they're not going to take this.","22:46"],["Number one, I mean, just ask yourself as the straight ofform moves opening anytime, right, No, No, the Iranians are not opening. The straight ofform moonves, which is what the original threat from Trump was all about.","31:38"],["It'll probably hit four before coming down in a couple of days if the downturn continues."],["So all of those caveats I think are so so important here at the top, this is in no way over. I really don't know why the Iranians would agree to it."],["I think it's perfect training for the fall of 2026. Look what happened. They've moved everybody along. People get there quick. They vote quick. Maybe every now and again, they pull some air. Hey, yo, ID got an ID. ID don't have an ID. Can you step over here? I know the mainstream media hates it, but that's what's going to happen because you know what? We're not going to have any more elections stolen.","21:03"],["I do think the one thing that became evident, it was already evident, but I think it's pretty evident now, is that President Trump's at least his stated goal of turning it over to the Japanese and to NATO to keep it open is just not going to happen.","21:11"],["That's why it's perfect training for the fall of 2026. This is why it's such a brilliant, this is another 5D chess move for President Trump. Let's get ICE into the airports to help out to the lines. They can't work the machines. You know what they do is welcome them down. Hey, we're speaking soon. Can we check your IDs? That's what's going to happen in the fall of 26 because folks were tired of having elections stolen. So ICE is going to be there in the fall of 26 just like they're in the airports today.","47:01"],["And that's why I firmly believe Don Lemon was properly charged and is likely to be convicted.","1:55:41"],["i don't think if you were looking at this as a political strategy you would say you know i would really like 60 percent support for what i'm doing like that's what i want that's what american to american military adventurism of a certain kind usually gets from the american public that's not gonna happen trump is never gonna get that","52:20"],["and my general sense is, and this has been made very clear by Trump and particularly Marco Rubio and Pete Hegse from the Department of War, as we now call it, that we are going to decapitate this regime.","31:34"],["So I think there's going to be a figurative rewriting of the map and all sorts of peace deals after.","32:04"],["But Trump, if he has the house and the Senate and never has to run again, I think there's a chance he really goes all in on this, particularly if the Iran war ends well, which my suspicion is it will.","23:28"],["And then what was the last week he was like, the prices are already coming down. We expect the prices to be coming down soon. No, they're not.","19:03"],["And they are preparing for $175 a barrel and that it will not get back down to $100 a barrel until the end of 2027, 2027, likely 2028. Okay? That's a sober analysis from someone who asked to deal with this, the real business implications here.","10:41"],["And I'm of the opinion I think things are probably going to escalate and hopefully they don't.","02:36"],["And at the end, there'll only be one headline that she voted yes on it.","16:20"],["But if they're asking for 200, I'd be shocked if it was under 100. So over $100 billion, and maybe the entire 200, maybe even more by then, I've literally seen that happen half a dozen times, right?","22:08"],["We're definitely sending in ground troops, write it down in stone, it's over.","43:39"],["But Ken Paxton, now two polls in Texas, Ken Paxton is up 16 against Cornyn in one, 18 against Cornyn the other, as I predicted that there's just no way. The more Cornyn puts out this money for these negative ads, really trying to destroy Ken Paxton, the more the grassroots base, the MAGA base turns against him.","02:24"],["My prediction is open AI, Sora social media app will be shut down soon.","1:15:55"],["The question is, what's interesting is two of the biggest winners hands down are going to be Uber and Waymo. And I wouldn't be surprised if Uber is in fact the biggest winner because they have custody of the consumer.","1:05:57"],["And so Powell's, Powell's not going to bring rates down, by the way, especially with inflation up. So Trump has gotten the opposite of everything he wanted.","20:02"],["This is dead, in my view. And an attempt to, if you will say, no, there's still hope when they believe, and every indication here is that this thing is maybe in hospice, but be clear, it's on the green mile.","25:55"],["I would implore the Republicans to pay attention to this because if you ignore it or poo poo it, you're going to lose the midterms worse than you may already be.","48:23"],["And inflation is going to get higher and higher as we're talking about.","2:00:07"],["No brother, the Democrats will vote for today. I guarantee you it passes. And if they need Democratic votes, I guarantee you that they get exactly the number of votes they need.","1:31:35"],["So first of all, we're likely to go on to islands like Karg Island.","1:00:51"],["Meaning that, well, the inflation we're seeing at the gas stations across the country, it's gonna get worse.","04:49"],["I've said I'm worried this administration is indeed going to deport naturalized citizens.","51:00"],["We're probably already at the point where even if Trump stops all hostilities against Iran today, which he's not going to do, if he stops today, we're talking about months of this.","07:34"],["It seems increasingly like Marco Rubio, not J.D. Vance is potentially going to be the heir to the Magathrone.","30:42"],["It is just that I guess, you know, what we're in different positions here, because my relative confidence for that happening is basically zero.","18:32"],["I think they're similarly absurd that there's some significant break coming between the Trump regime and the net Yahoo regime."],["and he says that that number could move. It's not moving down. The only direction it's gonna move is up."],["if this is what the leak investigation is about, I can tell you as a lawyer, I don't, I don't think it's going anywhere","15:08"],["there are serious discussions about whether the republicans are likely to lose the senate they seem almost certain to lose the house","1:39:32"],["And within 12 hours, Iran true to its promise hit those facilities. And now they are likely damaged for the next three to five years.","01:45"],["the price per barrel of oil continues to surge. I don't think it's out of hand to expect $150 per barrel. $200 per barrel. We'll see","05:32"],["And I said it weeks ago and I'll say it again right now, I think when this thing is wrapped up, there are going to be new peace deals on the table because everyone's going to realize, boy, America's back in action.","18:38"],["I think we'll see gas prices go down and a whole bunch of other things to the backdrop of as I keep saying, July 4th, this America's 250th anniversary.","34:22"],["My suspicion is that the Iran war is going to wrap up nicely.","34:15"],["There is a strong probability that Section 230 goes a bye bye.","45:57"],["he still believes that this war is going to end in four to six weeks. I don't think so.","1:41:09"],["He wants to position, he's going to run in 2028.","1:00:09"],["That price has now gone up to 108. It will continue to go up because oil and gas infrastructure is being struck, is being targeted, Iran has already begun its retaliation.","21:10"],["The disruption to the oil supply and the problems in the Strait of Hormuz are such that this oil and gas problem is going to extend. And more than likely it's going to extend into the summer months as people do more travel and road trips.","50:32"],["This is not an environment where the Fed is going to come in and cut rates to try to bail out the stock market because we have significant and deeper problems taking place here.","12:08"],["And now where do we go next? I mean, very likely boots on the ground. I think, you know, he's reluctant to do it, but I think that's probably what's going to happen next."],["National average right now is three eighty eight. It will be four dollars a gallon probably by the end of the week.","35:48"],["They are going to burn more coal as a result of this this energy crisis than probably at any time in the last twenty years."],["I think Powell's hanging on there. I think he's dug in and he's going to grab a governorship. He's going to grab a governorship and he's going to be a nightmare over the Federal Reserve","16:31"],["People are interested in your opinions here, particularly since you're going to be the next governor of Minnesota.","53:59"],["But yes, thankfully, their nuclear program for sure will be set back years and years and years and years and years","41:00"],["Look, Trump's going to get some wins leading up to the, to the midterms. I think the war thing will end nicely.","44:03"],["So I can't say that I'm confident, but I would say, I would say I'm like 52% that they're going to get there.","44:37"],["I think that you will see the United States possibly see C's cargo island, which is that source for 90% of all Iranian oil, basically cut off the last lifelines to the regime and then foster some sort of uprising inside the country.","40:32"],["But I think that the next move in Iran is to shut down the natural gas distribution in the country, shut down the electrical grid.","40:26"],["No brother, after they take southern Lebanon, guess what they're gonna take next? Northern Lebanon.","1:23:44"],["we will end up probably with fifty to fifty one fifty two votes for the Save America Act, but we'll need sixty and so the vote will fail if nothing changes"],["if nothing changes, we will likely vote, have the final vote on Thursday of this week","35:01"],["And so Trump's not going to be able to presidential memo us out of NATO as much as he would like.","46:41"],["And because of that and because of Trump's personality and the media environment, I don't think Trump will ever quit.","38:14"],["I think Fetterman is going to vote for him at committee level as well, So I think Mark wayn mullen is going to get confirmed.","1:13:27"],["I think Fetterman is going to vote for him at committee level as well, So I think Mark wayn mullen is going to get confirmed.","1:13:27"],["I think by mid April, it'll be the longest deployment of any ship, post World War II in the history, even during Vietnam. I think it'll go over a year","53:26"],["This is going to be New York Times, not just top 10 bestseller, probably a number one bestseller.","41:13"],["They're raining down hell on you. We did that, I think it was last night. Probably do it again tonight.","45:46"],["I still feel like, Jonathan, that video will solve this case. I still, I mean, it's only in one month since that video hit. And so it's not like that's not an eternity in law enforcement.","10:08"],["I don't think it's an exaggeration that inflation will soon be going above 5 percent. And you can be like, oh, Ben, you're saying you're being hyperbolic again. Watch inflation will be above 5 percent. I think clearly by the end of this year, perhaps even higher where things are going right now.","12:15"],["This is the messaging from the White House right now during this massive escalation as oils. What it's going to hit $150 a barrel soon.","05:21"],["His resignation letter is like going to get like 100 million views on Twitter and X.","16:44"],["Now we know that Republicans are not going to get 60 votes.","43:46"],["here's Florida gubernatorial candidate likely next governor of Florida, Byron Donald's on Kent's resignation and, well, the style he went out in.","14:54"],["Well, the chances of President Trump allowing the straits remain permanently closed are zero. That is not going to happen. And leaving Iran in total control of the strait just because Iran has a few drones and the capacity to fire them from the shoreline. Well, this is, shall we say, a short-term problem.","07:02"],["It still will not have any effect on the valuation, because anything Elon does, they will invest in no matter what.","47:32"],["My fail is that the SAVE Act, the one that's trying to, it looks like it's going to be dead on arrival.","50:38"],["I think these folks, quite frankly, many of them, I think Friedzikaria starts a podcast and a newsletter and has the same reach with a lower cost of production."],["I think the question is would America use a nuke on Iran? I don't think so.","1:52:16"],["I think in the future, they are going to mandate that you have an ID.","31:23"],["Kat and Biss seem to be the two most likely to win.","1:04:04"],["so it looks like because of the filibuster is going to fail it does i can't really see any way that it's going to be rescued because it would require so many democrats to switch over","2:18:14"],["And they're supposed to be a ceasefire in Gaza, and they're supposed to give the 53% of Gaza back. Don't be ridiculous. They're never gonna give it back.","1:44:15"],["but 120 is enormously doable. Iran is threatening 200. That's that would be cataclysmic, right? But 120 is bad enough. And we're definitely on that road.","43:24"],["which is why many Americans have already witnessed the prices at the pumps increase significantly and they're only going to go up from there","11:08"],["it certainly seems as though he has every intention of running and only something changing would derail that intention. That's my sense.","45:34"],["Coach Tuverville, Senator Tuverville out of the great state of Alabama, and he's going to be leaving the Senate soon, is going to be the next governor of that state.","16:49"],["now speculation is going to arise about the future of Tulci Gabbard. I tend to not believe that she's going to resign. I think that she is a patriot who would probably make the opposite choice of Joe Kent."],["I don't think a damn is going to break.","53:28"],["They're going to try and destroy this man. I guarantee you they will try to indict him."],["Can you imagine the prospect of having to cut further cut Medicare or something like that to fund the war with Iran, which again is the very likely possibility right now."],["That's how you get a two thousand and six style blowout, and that's what we're on track for."],["This war right now is as popular as it will ever be, and the best polling I've seen for it is fifty to fifty","06:39"],["I think most of if not all, of those Democrats out aside from John Fetterman who's lost costs, but anyway, I think they will all change their tune"],["they will likely mark the record for a post Vietnam carrier deployment longest"],["they're going to show this big talk they're going to put in troops at the line at the line of control and all that it's not going to it's not going to happen","36:59"],["now we do understand that john rakliff the director the ca has been quite helpful to john and i think they're actually going to release some documents over the next couple of days","08:09"],["The punch, the punch, the punch ball, the punch ball is 125 million is their down payment. They've never seen a number like that, like the opening bid. This is going to get to 200 and more","11:04"],["this USS Gerald Ford, which has now been informed that it will now be deployed at least through May that tells you how long this war at a minimum is likely going to last","02:42"],["Like the Cuba thing is going down. There is every reason to believe that Rubio has wanted this for a long time, but that Trump is on board too","37:18"],["energy prices are going to go crazy and all these none of this is going to come to pass. That isn't to say there won't be a little bumps here and there in the market","11:32"],["And my prediction here is that everything that the media is now going to say about Iran is going to close the Strait of Hormuz and energy prices are going to go crazy and all these none of this is going to come to pass.","11:28"],["And so the next step, I believe, is coming. The United States is seizure of Harg Island, which again, if you've been listening to the show, you'll know we've been talking about for a while.","38:08"],["Now, Tommy Tuberville is running on the other side. I think that's an uphill battle.","49:06"],["So I still am 60-40 that he doesn't do that. Bob is more to 60-40 the other way, I would say.","10:44"],["We I believe are now in an environment where Iran and potentially other Gulf states are going to continue either retaliating against the United States and or deliberately messing with the global oil market, even after Trump goes, okay, okay, we're done now.","49:34"],["Who wants to guess that it will never be insured the safety of Israelis and that we just saw another expansion of the Israeli state with its borders."],["Democrats are very likely to retake the White House","1:05:21"],["at this point, Iran is not going to just back away without getting something in return to ensure that they're not going to end up in this place again"],["That puts the Houthis, and the Houthis, I think, are coming into this war. I mean, there's a bigger choke point, I'll get to Fennell's second, the bigger choke point out by the Red Sea that leads up past Akaba to the Suez Canal and really supplies Europe.","02:54"],["I don't think there's gonna be a state visit in April to China. I think that's logistic reasons or as you've recommended, call them out because they're actually giving intelligence to our enemies in Iran.","09:54"],["But I don't believe Pam Bondi would charge Tucker. I just don't I don't believe that. No. And I don't think Trump would charge Tucker.","21:57"],["where they're hiding five hundred ballistic missiles that they will fire off at israel when they when the interceptors are gone i don't think so","1:06:44"],["let's face it i mean the senate may not be a lot of houses a lost cause like we take a miracle for republicans to retain the house","1:11:05"],["However, I do believe that he is going to employ a ton of the mechanisms that Nigel points out there to try to make the election reflect his will rather than the will of the people.","10:07"],["Donald Trump is literally sending us into this great depression right now.","07:14"],["They're going to wait until the oil goes up to $200 a barrel. And we should, we should be expecting that this is going to cause global economic catastrophe.","10:35"],["because this guy is going to take us further and further into this deranged demented war and there's going to be a lot more Americans who are going to be killed as a result of this","09:54"],["Donald Trump has sent our country and sent the world essentially into a great recession, if not a depression. That seems to be where things are headed.","06:01"],["In fact, as we're all saying here, the vote was 89 to 9. But magically, it's not going to pass anyway.","1:47:50"],["The Iranians are never going to surrender to Israel.","45:44"],["So they're going to invade and occupy and ethnically cleanse this part of Lebanon, significant part of Lebanon"],["Would they also walk away? Would they say we're done? I think that seems very unlikely."],["and so that means they continue up the escalation ladder, which is why I find it incredibly likely that we are going to end up with ground forces"],["scott best and secretary treasury in paris even as we speak negotiating with the chinese over the trade deal looks like the state visitors on","32:44"],["they're going to fight to the end there that i don't think there's much surrender in the sky so you just gonna have to hunker down for it","17:41"],["I think that the next move by the Trump administration will be to secure all the areas around the Strait of Hormuz, make sure that the Strait of Hormuz can't be closed. It is pretty certain in my view that sometime in the next week, you will start seeing the United States Navy moving along with oil tankers through the Straits of Hormuz to protect those oil tankers.","10:12"],["I'm gonna say Sinners is gonna win. I think Sinners is going to win.","54:08"],["it's going to be sustainably higher. It's going to be elevated through the rest of the year. And inflation in some markets reignites.","1:07:09"],["I think oil is not going to be at $150, but it's going to be, it's going to be sustainably higher. It's going to be elevated through the rest of the year.","1:07:03"],["And inflation in some markets reignites. The Fed can't cut rates. They're trapped to inspire the economy because they're worried about inflation.","1:07:15"],["I think there's a decent chance that Pakistan and Egypt default and as well as Sri Lanka and Bangladesh dollar-denominated debt, very energy-dependent, very fragile economies.","1:07:52"],["The S&P is off 20 to 40% from its peak. Bitcoin goes to like 30,000.","1:09:06"],["by August, the narrative shifts from transitory war shock to holy shit. We may have broken the global financial system. The S&P is off 20 to 40% from its peak.","1:08:54"],["They've now forced the evacuation of a million people. So here comes ethnic cleansing or round two. They will then take that land and America, American media and politicians will pretend it was self-defense when they started the war and they had a plan to acquire that land and slaughter and ethnically cleanse the Lebanese.","1:54:59"],["So pay for Israel's endless wars. And like they said, if they knock out Iran, which it looks like they're not going to be able to. But if they could, they said they're gonna move on to Turkey next.","52:57"],["I think Chuck Schumer cannot win another election. The Democrats will primary him either AOC or Mandami will beat him in a primary. In fact, I think Schumer won't even run."],["I think Chuck Schumer cannot win another election. The Democrats will primary him either AOC or Mandami will beat him in a primary. In fact, I think Schumer won't even run."],["However, I do believe that he is going to employ a ton of the mechanisms that Nigel points out there to try to make the election reflect his will rather than the will of the people.","56:03"],["I've reported that he will attempt mechanisms to effectively circumvent the will of the people, but I don't believe he's going to cancel the election.","55:51"],["But I think Rand Paul is spot on, especially in the context of this latest war. I think they're going to get absolutely crushed.","45:17"],["So Republicans can still win the seat. If I were a betting man, I bet they do, but maybe not by as much as they expect.","21:26"],["Well and by the way, Nigel Faraj in Evans UK, they are gonna win a majority.","40:37"],["So I'm fairly convinced that we will likely end up with boots on the ground and that will be the next step up the escalation chain."],["if you actually want to accomplish your goals, which certainly at this point one of the goals has to be reopening the strait of horror moves, you are not going to be able to accomplish that through air power alone."],["I know they want a trade deal. He and Secretary Bessent, I think we get the trade deal on our terms","49:05"],["When Bill Gertz says the means are going to take place, that means the means are going to take place. I think Bill Gertz is right.","48:51"],["and now we know our great allies in Italy and France, who I'm sure are going to come out and deny it after they've been outed by the financial times","03:56"],["I feel like people like us normies look at this guy and his insanity and say, there's no way this person is going to do well in Texas. And my pal Jesse Kelly assures me he's not going to. So I'm going to go with Jesse, but the polls look bad for Republicans on this.","1:29:08"],["We saw the terrorist attack down in Austin. We're going to see more and more of this because this is how radical Muslims who are over here in America will start their retaliation.","04:20"],["You know, we're $37 trillion in debt by the time this Trump regime's over. It'll probably be closer to 60 trillion.","48:25"],["You idiot, inflation is about to surge. It already has been surging, but it's about to reach stratospheric levels as a result of this disastrous war.","10:12"],["What do you mean not waiting for the next meeting? Okay. They're not dropping interest rates. You idiot, inflation is about to surge.","10:06"],["But if you know the strato tanker, it doesn't have powder parachutes or ejection methods. And if those planes crash, you know, it is a fueling plane. And so there's very difficult for there to be survivors.","02:02"],["So this is one of the first steps, I believe, to a potential ground invasion.","02:53"],["republicans are gonna lose because they lost these prominent voices","1:22:32"],["He is now coming out saying I'm with you people because behind the scenes they put up a wall it will never pass.","53:05"],["So when I see stuff like this, it's usually because it's not going to happen.","10:37"],["they're gonna have to vote, I guess, Donald Trump just wants to name him. His secretary has sent out works and said I don't have to approve him. Presume he'll get through.","29:01"],["And while wealthier countries will likely just pay a lot more for their food, meaning us, the United States, we will likely see even more inflation when we go to the grocery store.","1:06:44"],["Right Ben, but as we all know, you're not going to get regime change in Iran by fighting a war through the air. So the airstrikes are not going to topple the regime.","1:55:55"],["Now, I say he's delusional because I don't think the Iranians are bluffing. They want to continue fighting.","14:39"],["So that's why I feel very, you know, sickeningly certain that we are likely to see some sort of a ground invasion and where things go from there, no one can say.","28:32"],["The video we're able to show you soon that Israel allowed to be released is only because they're going to use that video as a pretext for a massive ground invasion of Lebanon."],["also calling for reparations, which I don't think that are going to be a forthcoming from the US.","05:28"],["So we are in nowhere near any sort of ceasefire."],["So this is going to be, and I'd think what we're going to see is some version, I'm not saying the Senate's going to move to a talking filibuster, but there's going to be some, I believe, long, maybe multi-day debate in the United States Senate about exactly some of the issues","46:52"],["This, this IVF clinic will not be in business much longer, which again is kind of scary because if you're a parent that has embryos being stored there or you went through this clinic, you've suddenly learned a lot about them.","2:00:43"],["but as I was telling everybody, it's fraud, he's lying, the war's not ending anytime soon, the Strait of Hermose is not opening anytime soon","11:51"],["but as I was telling everybody, it's fraud, he's lying, the war's not ending anytime soon, the Strait of Hermose is not opening anytime soon","11:51"],["And by the way, the United States Energy Commission is saying that they expect $90 plus a barrel for the foreseeable future. I think by the way, it's going to be more than that.","11:45"],["So we can expect that to expand as well right now.","11:01"],["And if you wonder, you wonder, well, is Iran going to surrender? They have no interest in surrendering. They know that this is a war of attrition.","13:54"],["So I oil surging 8% or more after hours, pushing $5 diesel has more likely and $4 a gallon gasoline, likely going to see that sooner.","12:50"],["Right now, these Middle East Arab nations, they're going to make security deals with Iran. They're going to become allied even there.","35:10"],["The amount that's being released over the next 120 days when there's like 20 million barrels of oil a day, he's going to release like one million, which is going to do like literally nothing while draining our oil reserves and while the price per barrel of oil is going up dramatically","09:41"],["We know that people that produce whose money they take for taxes are fleeing the city. That means that that chasm there, right, that's going to continue to widen.","09:17"],["And I guarantee you that Jake Tapper wants the Ellison's are in charge. They won't look at that and go, how embarrassing. Doesn't get anything right lies to his audience, pretends to be objective when he's, no, they're like, perfect. They'll promote him, they'll move him up the chain into a better time slot. That's my prediction, we'll see what happens.","1:35:54"],["And I'm worried, Jank, that this goes beyond troops just merely being wounded, which is bad enough. I'm worried that more of our troops have died, but we just don't know about it yet.","41:34"],["So the minute we start taking significant casualties, which we now have reports that 150 Americans have been wounded that just dropped right before the show. That's a big number that they were hiding, let alone the seven dead, etc. And the gas prices continue to go up. This is going to go from 41 to a number we've never seen, right? So this is a disaster in the making.","20:22"],["Iran is not a raq. We're not going to see a massive troop presence on the ground. We're not going to see an extended military occupation."],["Iran is not a raq. We're not going to see a massive troop presence on the ground. We're not going to see an extended military occupation."],["So, look, there's been a short term increase in gas prices, and anytime there's a military conflict in the Middle gas prices go up because a lot of oil comes from the Middle East, and so military conflict has an effect on supply demand. I think this will be short term.","28:54"],["When Time Magazine or one of those news week when they do their image of the year, it's the image of the year. I'll call it right now","53:57"],["They'll then say, well, you know, it's not just the guys who make a million a year. How about the 750s? And then we'll throw two more years in and then it's the 600s and the 400s.","59:34"],["they need seven Democrats to come across to get 60. There is zero chance, zero.","25:43"],["However, it shakes out at the end, there will be new alliances. There are going to be new leaders in the Middle East. There are going to be new peace deals signed","11:19"],["The Iran-Israel-US conflict ends by 4% say by March 15th. That's next week. So that's probably not happening.","16:10"],["Another week or two of degrading all of the military stuff and then some meeting somewhere. Maybe it's the mullah saying, we're done.","15:23"],["But I think that the broad point that Bill was making there is right. Another week or two of degrading all of the military stuff and then some meeting somewhere.","15:19"],["I think he might win it again. I think he always manages to squeeze out of things.","45:23"],["I think that Darrio's going to get let off the hook because my prediction is in the next two to four weeks, other CEOs are going to step into the void, the vacuum of leadership here.","40:33"],["There's not going to be a draft though.","1:59:53"],["I don't think that the US is going to actually need to take Cuba.","1:23:16"],["So if you ask me today, when will Trump declare this over? It'll probably be pretty soon.","12:17"],["I actually think there is a strategic brilliance to this though. Actually, I think the President understands that the Navy has been essentially degraded to the point that it's going to take them years, if not decades, to recreate the military infrastructure.","07:24"],["It's possible Trump find some way to declare mission accomplish and that the Iranians, having been thoroughly, you know, battered in a lot of ways, are like, okay, fine, we'll walk away as well. That's possible, but it's not looking likely","29:25"],["diesel also remains, you know, way on its it remains on its way to some four or five dollars per gallon, So you all know how that that's going to work out."],["The end state of this is much more likely that Aroun is going to acquire a nuclear weapon"],["You have a referendum that's going to go and no court in Virginia is going to stop this. They're going to rubber stamp this.","05:59"],["It goes back to Lindsey Graham begging the Saudis to come in here. You're not going to get the air of states to come in here because they understand the makeup of the war changed Saturday night.","35:22"],["I still have my money on the whole thing was a murder made to look like an abduction. That's if I had to put money, people stop me on the street and I'm sure they stop you guys all the time say, what do you think happened? If I had to place a bet, I'd say somebody had a reason to get rid of her and they went in there, they grabbed her, they got rid of her and this was never a kidnapping or anything else. It was a murder and a cover-up to get rid of the body.","1:51:24"],["Inflation was surging before all of this. Now you raise the price of gas. Inflation is going to be crushing.","12:55"],["we won't have to talk about guys like him because he won't have a job much longer either, called Bear's on his way out and Kimmel obviously will be next.","56:27"],["I think Trump will largely sit it out for a while and he's going to kind of apprentice this thing","29:44"],["My guess is that there are going to be several well qualified people that will run as Republicans in 28. Obviously JD is going to run.","28:59"],["When they bring the Shah's son back, likely he will be the leader of the country.","11:35"],["It is fairly obvious that the mullahs and the radical jihadists are on their way out one way or another.","11:19"],["I think what we will see over the next couple of days, is that the initial military strike, the blitzkrieg, as it were, will basically be over in a couple of days","09:41"],["And what's happening over there is going to be over one way or another within the next few weeks.","42:32"],["And the second thing that Tucker said in that clip is that Donald Trump is moving towards using a nuclear weapon in Iran. No, he's not, Tucker as a complete utter lie, that is false. We are not going to nuw kran.","26:49"],["So Diatola number one, Skippy Junior, is not going to get to take over either, because allowing Iran to wage war and murder Americans is not consistent with US national security."],["My expectation is that will be a short term spike. I don't expect this conflict to last more than a couple of weeks, and I think you'll see gasoline prices drop back down."],["I don't expect this conflict to last more than a couple of weeks"],["And this is only going to lead oil prices higher and it's going to leave gas prices higher, which leads to everything getting more expensive because the transportation of most of the stuff we have is based on petroleum based fuels.","09:20"],["I don't think it'll be real, but he's going to claim we won.","12:52"],["My guess is that Trump will end up trying to figure out some way to back out of as much of this as he can while claiming that he won the war","12:37"],["And she has the gall to stop the legislature stop the people of Arizona from honoring him in his legacy. Shame on you, Governor Hobbs. I can't wait till Andy Biggs's our governor and we get to do it.","31:39"],["and now you're in sort of this bind where you're very likely to end up sending ground troops in and having many, many more Americans dead","39:59"],["the most noteworthy one is not ruling out boots on the ground, saying if we did do, I mean, you can see it's it's probably going to happen now at this point"],["opening the door once again, probably wider than she has to a presidential run. She's going to do it. This woman's running.","1:30:20"],["I think that obviously, Trump's at a record low when it comes to the presidency. And I think it's going to stay that way.","10:23"],["And that's also for best picture, but isn't going to win best picture","1:09:27"],["so it's almost certainly going to win best international film","1:09:27"],["It's not going to win the Oscar because sentimental value, the very beloved Norwegian movie about acting.","1:09:18"],["That's why he moved on Iran, and now it looks like he's going to move on Cuba too","37:07"],["People are going to remember that. That clip is going to be played ad nauseum before the midterms.","1:04:40"],["I'm still bullish on this. I know everybody is saying it the other way. Everybody on both sides is saying the Republicans are going to get demolished and all of this stuff. I think people see what's happening here.","40:57"],["Unconditional surrender. President Trump says that means inability to project power on their own people. Your thoughts are, do I take it, Jack, you agree with me? There's no off ramp on Tuesday.","44:35"],["here's food, energy food, airlines, transport-related insurance components in CPI and PPI are going to get hit hard, potentially pushing headline CPI. This is like the inflation, the consumer price index above 4% by April and May","20:54"],["when our markets open again, I mean, I think it's going to be, it's going to be a really bad sign","07:40"],["I'm willing to bet they will shut those servers down in like a month.","1:57:00"],["Well California is going to get a Republican governor because they're all fighting each other.","24:13"],["So for most people, I think their choices come November are going to be Republican v Republican.","08:37"],["We're gonna go to at least 10% unemployment. I would be thrilled if it was just 10% unemployment.","1:01:45"],["And guys, the most important part here is, my God, I think we're actually going to attack Cuba. That is mental.","37:35"],["Since they're dug in, there is no chance of long distance regime change.","15:48"],["But listen, here's let me just preview what's gonna happen here. They're gonna put negotiating pieces on the table at DHS to get sanctuary cities to fall in line.","1:11:58"],["I've been told very affirmatively that really the way to do this will not impact the mid terms. If you want the save ac past, you got to include it in the reconciliation bill in September, and then it won't It will be ready for the presidential election twenty eight, but it's not going to be ready before then.","1:01:45"],["Texas legislature unless they call a special session doesn't meet till next year. I do believe the going to call special session.","20:52"],["So as our editor in chief, Ron Volipkowski writes, so even if they don't surrender, Trump will call it an unconditional surrender and declare victory. And I think as gas prices continue to go up, up, up, up, up, Donald Trump's getting closer to doing that here.","16:15"],["And now you've got the United States into this, what never ending war. We've lost soldiers already. We now expect there to be many more casualties.","07:19"],["but it will get through. It probably will, you know, they've been working Europe, they've been working the government.","43:43"],["I have some knowledge, I will say, but they're definitely merging the two of them. There's no other choice for them to do that.","47:50"],["I have to say, I predict some really significant legislation around this in a way that is probably going to be too reactive.","58:46"],["Real quick, my prediction is no. And that is Dario Emote has given license and permission to CEOs to say no. And in the next 30 days, you are going to see a raft of CEOs find their testicles and start saying no to this administration.","1:04:35"],["and by the next humiliation, by the way, is going to be Pam Bondi, right? That's obvious.","07:34"],["They had planned to invade Lebanon from day one when the war started. That's why they're ready to go right now. They're saying clear out 200,000 to 300,000 people from southern Lebanon, because they're going to come in and take it all.","1:34:29"],["and so I endorsed her opponent, Harriet Hageman, who beat her and is getting ready to be the new Senator from Wyoming now"],["And John, John is very likely to win. He did not clear fifty percent, so unfortunately there's going to be a runoff, but I think he's going to prevail.","29:50"],["He won his primary decisively. He's going to be a new Republican congressman from Central Texas.","28:43"],["She won decisively the Republican primary. She is going to be, in all likelihood, the next Republican congress member from Houston.","28:30"],["So my prediction is the vote on Mark Wayne Mullen will be fifty four to forty six. That forty six Democrats will vote no.","26:09"],["Mark Wayne, I've served with him in the Senate. He's a good guy, he's someone the President trusts. I think he will be confirmed."],["the reports are that they're planning for this war to go into September. I would say that that's at this point an optimistic projection that it would only last till September.","18:38"],["They won't even the filibuster, the talking filibuster. I tell people they're never going to do that, because they don't even they won't even go on recess.","38:05"],["To me, I look at this guy and I think, I think he's failing to launch. I don't think he is taking off and he's going to be the nominee the way so many myself included thought he probably was maybe six months ago.","37:28"],["I don't know whether this guy's going to play. I don't think he will. And I think they took a real risk here. She had the name ID as well. He doesn't. I feel stronger than ever that the Republicans are looking good in that Senate race.","29:24"],["And whoever the Democrat nominee is, is going to win because it happens to be a heavily blue district, that particular seat that's up and they have their nominee.","25:48"],["A restriction almost certain to be ignored by ICE, which has already obtained illegal ruling in federal court blocking a similar mask law in California as barred under the supremacy clause, these being federal officers controlled by federal law.","12:15"],["And I think Lewandowski basically gets fired also or he's pushed out.","43:42"],["So Donald Trump's going to be doing a lot more ground invasions in the Western Hemisphere. And so it seems that that's going to be what her role is going to be there.","43:13"],["You know, they're just going to stop doing the inflation reports all together, right? Like when it gets really bad, they're just going to say, we're, we're in a war so we can't do X, Y and Z, right?","54:01"],["As I mentioned earlier, jet fuel prices going up double in the past day or two. This is going to lead to inflation surging.","16:28"],["The price of gas right now. In the future, we're approaching $3.50 or more, the largest increase kind of day over day that we've seen in recent history as well there.","16:16"],["And yet he was at the White House a week and a half ago. I suspect those invites are going to start drying up.","13:24"],["They're talking about an Iraq style invading force with hundreds of thousands of boots on the ground, American boots on the ground. President Trump isn't going to do that.","13:40"],["So the expectation is he's likely going to win especially because the Republicans are launching investigations of Tony Gonzalez.","02:21"],["this is just my speculation. I hope I am wrong about this, but I do have a gut feeling that considering all of the damage the US has sustained at our embassies at like that CIA center in Saudi Arabia, I think that the casualties on the American side likely are higher than we know.","1:02:22"],["The fact that this was thought up by Netanyahu makes me believe that it's gonna happen whether we like it or not. Whether Trump likes it or not. Remember Trump is Netanyahu's bitch. So he will be, he will do what he is told. And if Netanyahu wants the Kurds to go in, the Kurds will go in.","1:24:42"],["But ultimately he's going to fund it is, bottom line what he's saying there.","1:12:09"],["There is Congressman Thomas Massey. He's going to be one of the very few Republicans if at all, who end up voting against it.","1:08:31"],["there is no way this thing is going to be quick. We're not going to be getting out of here anytime"],["even the Susan Collins of the world, who is very likely to get her clock clean by Graham Plattner in the Fall"],["Because I'm saying, I don't see how she has this state meeting with President Trump in April.","50:36"],["I wonder if Donald Trump will even show the report. I think he'll probably say we're at war.","52:39"],["We're learning now that jet fuel has doubled in price. We know that your gas prices are going up significantly but jet fuel has doubled. So ultimately, plane tickets, travel is going to become much more expensive.","52:06"],["Inflation was already rising. I think these next inflation reports are going to be catastrophic and it's obviously going to impact the ability of the Fed to lower interest rates.","52:19"],["with Donald Trump injecting so much lies and disinformation into the market, I think the markets are probably overly optimistic that there's a resolution in sight here","13:11"],["You would think that they would want to maybe express support for freeing Iran from its evil tyranny by voting for Panahi's movie. And they're not going to because in fact, they don't care about Iran","1:08:56"],["So it's going to be Ken Paxton or John Cornyn. Either one by any account should beat this leftist whack-a-doodle.","46:57"],["We've taken out Iran's Navy. They basically are losing all their ballistic missiles. The nuclear program is going to be completely gone.","02:43"],["So if it lasts days or weeks, days or weeks, which is what it's going to last, it's not going to be a months-long thing. It certainly will not be a years-long thing.","44:46"],["I, I do think that Brandon's going to pull it out. It's just just maybe just my hope speaking, but, you know, I, I, I have full confidence here in a really good campaign.","1:31:26"],["For that matter, I really do think there's a strong probability that Trump literally orders US troops to go into Iran.","40:11"],["So I think it's very likely that Israel is going to have the bulk of the forces that go into Iran.","39:43"],["Well, I'm pretty sure I know how that's gonna go. Glenn, you've seen this movie before. They're gonna ask for a lot more money, aren't they?","54:34"],["We only have 5,000 to 8000 interceptors and they have 80 to 100,000 drones. I did the math on that. That is not good, okay? That means we're very likely going to run out.","58:18"],["But today, with with a group of seven bipartisan co sponsors, I've introduced at the federal level and we're going to get passed at the federal level."],["that is a lot of votes, and mark my words, turnout's going to be even higher for the next for the runoff","03:16"],["Now he jumped aboard a Sharia train. What a politician would do. When he submitted a law, anti Sharia law, that won't go anywhere. I don't think he had a co-sponsor.","18:24"],["suppose in the next 48 hours, we're gonna get a massive wave that's gonna make everything clear because now Arab allies that are getting attacked by the Iranians and others, I think we're gonna join together for a major assault","39:35"],["I've got to be honest. She's about five minutes away from getting a show on the weekend at MSNBC. That's clearly where life is going now.","05:08"],["And frankly, I think it's going to be Paxton. I just I feel like Texans have had enough of the Neocon Cornyn, like they're ready for something new.","26:09"],["All right so things are a change in Saudi Arabia will will likely get involved right they don't they're not just going to sit there and have drones and rockets blow up in their territory and blow up their infrastructure and kill their people they will be on the same side as the United States","21:37"],["we are now becoming that nation where we decide which companies win and lose and all that means is our PE we're about to experience multiple contraction which you cannot outrun not for long","1:09:12"],["Anyway, it seems a ridiculous overreach on the behalf of government. Probably anthropic will win.","38:59"],["And I would argue, I would bet that I believe in six months that oil prices will be lower than they are today.","24:51"],["I suspect that the US is kind of withholding some information from us, but expect this death toll to rise.","1:55:42"],["But you will see many more stories like this as the weeks and months of this war drag on.","1:54:25"],["Now everybody in Lebanon is in a panic that they're gonna turn Southern Lebanon into Gaza. And they very likely will.","2:00:51"],["When asked in a different interview, how about ground troops, he said, well, I'm not taking anything off the table. We might do ground troops. So when he says that, it usually happens.","20:08"],["But at the same time, people are gonna try to flee Iran. And then we're gonna have another refugee crisis on our hands. And then we're gonna hear from all of our allied countries that are now taking in a giant amount of refugees, Iranian refugees, that they don't like the Islamification of their country. Just wait for it, cuz it's gonna happen.","20:44"],["I don't believe that Donald Trump would try to use Middle East conflict to justify delaying or even attempting to cancel or mess with the November election.","42:06"],["We are expecting gas prices to spike another 10 to 30 cents per gallon just this week. We might see gas go up 10% in the next seven days.","22:34"],["I don't believe he will be convicted. There's not going to be a super majority in the Senate willing to convict.","18:31"],["You're going to be a great next US center from the state of Texas.","39:28"],["Akmed Talabi had more of a chance of leading Iraq than this guy does of leading Iran a democratic transition"],["Look, the Republican base is going to go along with it by and large, but the rest of the populations like, what the hell is going on here?"],["You've got an unpopular war in the Middle East. You're going to have what a w call the two thousand and six midterms a thumping","10:44"],["the Save America Act, I don't believe is really going to get a hearing in the Senate","04:17"],["Mooj-Taba Khomeini, the son of Ayatollah Khomeini, a more extreme version of the Ayatollahs. This guy's not working with Donald Trump.","38:12"],["American interest throughout the region being hit at least six. American service members killed. We expect that number to go up.","22:43"],["So if you kill the Ayatollah and you make him a martyr in the community of the 300 million Shiites in the region, they're just going to now find someone more extreme.","18:23"],["There is no plan. And American troops are going to die. And it's going to be on Trump and this regime.","35:13"],["Inflation's going to skyrocket. This is going to have a cascading effect on on everything.","32:04"],["We're shutting down the Strait of her muse gas prices are going to be skyrocketing right now.","31:53"],["But he is the vice president. And I have no, I just have simply no doubt he is going to back Trump to the ends of this.","11:50"],["Now, undoubtedly, this is going to be a longer operation. Certainly, I'd be shocked if more soldiers are not wounded or killed because that's the nature of military operations.","32:30"],["So you've got a slightly favor, Paxton, for the actual nomination.","55:41"],["I assume Paxton, Cornin, assuming Hunt doesn't surge unexpectedly, goes to a run-off.","55:31"],["And so I am confident that we will have mind sweepers go into the straits of Horm moves that may be happening now, I don't know, and examine and determine if their mind's there.","41:44"],["And I said, listen, we're not going to see troops on the ground in Iran. We're not going to see hundreds of thousands of Americans there for an extended period of time. I don't think we'll see that at all.","32:45"],["I think it is very likely this is terrorism. That that that that it is not a coincidence. I believe that he's wearing an Iranian flag while he is opening fire. That evidence has not conclusively been proven yet, but I expect that it will be."],["And so I'm sure Trump would love to cancel the midterms or delay them, especially as it looks like he's going to get crushed.","57:29"],["We probably will hear Trump claim fraud in advance. That's a classic.","57:13"],["It is becoming extraordinarily obvious to me at this point that Donald Trump is going to try something to either or both cancel and or manipulate the midterm elections that are now just eight months away.","51:27"],["I just don't think Trump would try to use Iran as a justification for why we can't have elections. I think it's extremely unlikely.","52:54"],["And then at the end of it, Trump will go, I just ended another war","25:30"],["my prediction is this will go another three to four weeks, which is what they've said","25:24"],["Okay, you think that they're gonna be the ones who have all of this control over the military and they're just gonna turn around and they're gonna say, oh, here you go, mister Prett. No, okay, they'll fight to the death.","15:36"],["listen to my words. They will not accomplish their goal here of regime change through air power alone."],["a bunch of the Republicans are basically going to go along with whatever","04:24"],["Is likely to be effectively at the peak because already things are going sideways","04:11"],["the Save America Act is not going to get passed at least now, not on Capitol Hill","38:26"],["I believe right now, you're not even gonna see a state visit in April.","02:07"],["Because if you don't think we're going to see retaliatory terror here on the homeland, you weren't paying attention for the past 20 plus years.","33:35"],["And yet, he's a teacher in Dearborn. I'm going to guess that nothing's going to happen to him because the place is run by people like him.","58:14"],["I don't think that this war is going to take very long the immediate physical nature of this war.","58:26"],["He likely is the next leader of Iran. This is the guy that by all accounts, when this war ends, will go in and he will be the leader.","41:16"],["If you think this operation is lasting two months, you're at your mind. I would be absolutely shocked if there is ongoing this type, this level of military action happening two months from now.","24:54"],["Look, we got nine months till the midterms. It feels like it's probably not going to go well, although it is hard for me to believe that people are going to think that the Democrats are the answer to all of this.","21:45"],["Visionary says, so when is Trump going to testify? Of course, never.","1:41:00"],["And that trend is unlikely to reverse itself. So what you're probably gonna see is down the other side of that going forward, where the Palestinians sympathy continues to go up, and the Israeli sympathy continues to go down.","17:22"],["If you had asked me before the Margaret Brennan breaking story, like I said, it was about 99% that we're gonna war, especially based on what Huckabee said. Now I've got it all the way down at 85%.","25:35"],["And it is highly likely in twenty twenty eight you are going to get a president who has a very different view of things and is going to take a very different approach."],["And do you think that this president is just going to walk away and take that ol? Of course he's not","14:43"],["it is highly unlikely that you're going to be able to achieve it simply with airstrikes where we can you know, fly over, drop some bombs and get out"],["This is unfortunately going to be very long. This will be a week's long campaign just in the immediate future.","42:15"],["There will be a full blown conflict, I think inside of the country, regardless of whether the United States is even able to come in or not.","18:29"],["And I think we could have a couple of runoffs unless Paxton is really running through the tape right now.","47:14"],["And what you will end up doing is opening the door to when Democrats take Congress in November as it's highly likely to happen according to the polls.","54:59"],["My one line thesis is the following. Compressed multiples and durable fee growth plus strong fundraising. And I know these companies, they're really well run. In my view, all adds up to potential relative undervaluation versus the broader market.","1:06:03"],["So when you think about where the network goes from here, I think it was the smartest move. The stock is going to soar.","25:43"],["So like, this is this is just a straight corrupt deal, like straight down the line. And the end game of it is going to be that the same people that are running CBS also running CNN.","34:02"],["I mean, they obviously want it, which is why they're manipulating Americans into supporting it, which I don't even think is going to work.","21:01"],["I think that people will watch clips like that from Ben Shapiro after we lose a lot of men. And it will be so angry that Ben will probably move to Israel.","35:53"],["And once that primary is sorted out, is it Tallarico? It's looking Tallarico.","07:32"],["So I think I think this is gonna be your year."],["So it looks like they're going in the direction of supply chain risk. I think, probably precisely for the reasons that you lay out, Ryan, that it would be legally tenuous","29:19"],["I said President Trump is going to cite foreign interference in these elections and maybe sign a really tough executive order that has emergency powers in it.","12:55"],["but it's a hotly contested Senate primary that looks right now may go to a run off","49:18"],["If spam burger and I think right now all systems looks like she's going to pull it off overwhelmingly.","43:40"],["Now we're going to have, I believe, according to Washington Post, you actually have the intelligence community. And John Solomon's been signaling this. It's one of the reasons I believe Tulsi Gabbard was down in, wait for it, Georgia, that you're going to have evidence that you had involvement of the Chinese Communist Party in the 2020 election.","42:54"],["And this is why there's going to be, I think, an executive order that's going to give the president emergency powers, if he so chooses in his judgment, that he needs to make sure this can't happen again.","43:16"],["Trust me, they're going to take him to court on that right away. The Supreme Court's going to get involved.","30:49"],["This executive order the president's talking about the emergency powers. Trust me, they're going to take him to court on that right away.","30:46"],["The Senate's not going to move. They're not going to move. He's not going to dance around this. He's looking to put together an executive order.","34:14"],["when the president's working on this executive order that would talk about foreign influence and details of that, no matter what MSNBC and other intelligence experts that downplay the Chinese Communist Party. That's going to start coming out in the next couple of weeks.","12:05"],["They're claiming that they're not going to reduce the man count, you know, man and woman count on officers, but there's no way they're going to keep 400 officers on this case. They're just, they're not. They are not.","1:11:28"],["This will go away and this person will have no punishment because they don't believe in punishing crime in New York anymore now that the communist regime has taken over.","1:47:05"],["By the way, all of these are massive violations of your ethical duties as a lawyer and 100% Tom Goldstein is going to be disbarred.","2:14:42"],["He's going to prison now. It's unbelievable to me.","1:55:36"],["The sentencing date not yet set, Goldstein is likely to appeal.","18:31"],["Yeah. It's a fact. It's confirmed.","1:05:08"],["We'll follow up on this whole debacle with anthropic and see if this executive is willing to hold true to his principles. I personally wouldn't hold my breath.","1:06:27"],["So she should use the bully pulpit to promote and pressure Democratic leadership to push for a vote on the War Powers Act. I'm not gonna hold my breath, but I would love if she surprised me on this.","18:30"],["They will be saying that I predict into year four of this administration.","53:00"],["And so I believe that Texas is in play, but it doesn't mean that it's a likely victory for Democrats coming in November.","46:06"],["That's the best you've got. You're in trouble in November. That's for sure.","54:25"],["they know this presidency is a disaster and it's bad for them and it's going to be a disaster based on what happens in November","03:44"],["traditionally, particularly the harder core Trump base does not like voting early voting. They'll probably they're going to show up on Tuesday.","50:16"],["So you're going to have a mediation issue that's going to go on for a couple of months. Is it not, sir?","25:07"],["We're about to go to a war with Iran. Iran's rejected all of Donald Trump's demands","31:03"],["And now you live here in Florida, Florida, no state income tax. We're about to get rid of property taxes.","45:17"],["The generic congressional ballot has the Democrats up at five points. In all likelihood, that means the Republicans not only lose the house, but probably the Senate falls to 50-50.","11:22"],["The generic congressional ballot has the Democrats up at five points. In all likelihood, that means the Republicans not only lose the house, but probably the Senate falls to 50-50.","11:22"],["By the way, it will be the most hilarious thing ever if Democrats run her again. It will be hysterically funny. I do not think that will happen. I think that the donors are not going to pour their money into that failed candidacy. I do not think they will do that. I don't think they're that stupid. On the other hand, are they that stupid? Maybe they might be that stupid. It's possible.","55:03"],["And so I think I might turn a little profit off of gambling.","1:06:11"],["So when the war is deeply unpopular, which is nearly guaranteed, because it's already deeply unpopular and it hasn't even started","1:34:11"],["Israel is already preparing to bomb additional countries during this war. And that has a high likelihood of spinning out of control and turning into a devastating regional war.","08:26"],["But my guess is that this is the first war where we will have significant pushback from the country that we're heading. What I mean by that is not guerrilla warfare like we had in Afghanistan and Vietnam and Iraq. No, I mean conventional weapons and drones and new weapons doing significant damage to our ships and our planes.","15:24"],["Well, I'm certainly expecting that Iran is going to get attacked because Israel has ordered it.","03:48"],["our national debt will continue to grow faster and faster. We're already spending a trillion dollars a year servicing our national debt. It's only going to get worse.","2:13:11"],["This was not that this was totally ineffective and dull and I don't think that it's going to help him at all","2:10:35"],["so in very short order, you're gonna see trillions of dollars in there"],["So that moment will be played in a million campaigns.","09:16"],["the moment that MAGA Mike Johnson realized if Republicans lose the house in 2026, which is looking more and more likely, the shield is gone","02:29"],["To now have her at that speech when you know we're all basically expecting that this is coming any day"],["So I'm very doubtful that this will actually become national policy.","17:19"],["I don't think Abigail Spamberger has any shot at national politics.","1:51:44"],["And I do think that could wind up in a few ads as we, you know, trudge forward to November.","41:47"],["Right now in the real-core politics polling average, Democrats have about a five point margin in the in the generic that would probably reflect itself in a pickup of some 20 seats, 20 to 25 seats.","41:38"],["I say that he tops last year. I think that he has it in his head that he is going to go for it.","27:05"],["Eileen or Aileen, whatever your fucking name is, you suck. And you're going to be overturned on appeal.","1:03:04"],["but I know what smart class act Netflix management is. I am sure if they haven't already, they'll put out a statement of support for Susan Rice","34:31"],["But you know who's not gonna get any money back? American consumers.","1:37:35"],["There is no amount of capitulation that will satisfy you until we hand you all of our heads on a stick. So that Israel can put a puppet in here and completely control us and leave us utterly defenseless. And they're not going to agree to that. They're never going to agree to that.","16:24"],["One of the other expectations, and in fact, we have this on our Trump state of the union bingo card, is Trump blaming Biden and Trump blaming Obama and Trump saying I inherited a mess","14:27"],["I expect that within 60 seconds of the start of the speech, Trump will tell a lie.","14:15"],["So next landmarks to keep an eye on. We are all eyes on May. So May is going to be the big month, and that is going to be the preliminary hearing where the prosecution team, which will now stay in place, is going to present the mountain of evidence that they have accumulated over the course of these months against Tyler Robinson."],["This man's gonna run for president in twenty twenty eight, and I want them to run this this moment on repeat on the ad.","14:07"],["So in effect, you'll have more or Epstein files that are released as a result of the actions in these various countries.","48:58"],["It's like Afghanistan. It just keeps going on and on and on and on, and it'll never end. It's been four years to the day. It'll just keep going.","19:38"],["This is the most worrying thing that I've seen yet. Yeah, because this means it's happening, in my opinion","29:28"],["Well, I don't want to give away the odds on Calcier. I'll give fifteen percent.","49:11"],["President Trump has announced our I think unofficially announced he is coming to Texas on Friday I believe potentially Corpus Christi but the president is coming here Friday on the Friday before of early voting ends","38:25"],["I just think President Trump is his patience will wear thin on that. He's made enough deals in his life to know you've got to be in a room and make a deal and I think he'll I just I don't even see Thursday taking place with that structure.","37:41"],["We understand it in the room itself that some of the House members, the more radical House members are going to try to shut the president down.","40:27"],["As you know, this will be the President's with a 24 or 25 million person audience minimum it looks like.","03:13"],["I think it's going to be long tonight. I think we'll go into the 10 o'clock hour","51:08"],["I think there will be a lot of heckling you watch.","01:27"],["If we have 51 votes, because I think McConnell will work against it.","49:45"],["And in the room itself, they're going to be hooting and hollering, trying to shout him down.","16:46"],["I do believe the speech is not going to be short. So let's say that. I think it'll clearly go through at least through an hour","45:16"],["So if I have to put money down on it, I'm going to say he's not going to say that.","02:50"],["Some Democrats will pull some stupid stunt that we will mock","02:00"],["Trump will attack the Supreme Court justices who are there.","01:55"],["My prediction, the Democrats will make fools of themselves not standing for things that they should.","01:48"],["But what's Trump going to do when 150 days are up? He's going to go, I invoke it again, rather than go to Congress.","48:34"],["I think, yes, we should start with the Iran war because it seems like that is happening, imminently.","12:12"],["there's a very good chance this is going to cost American taxpayers billions of dollars, maybe even tens of billions of dollars or more"],["there are so many other statutes that allow the president to impose tariffs that I think we will see essentially the same regime"],["South Carolina is moving forward with some plans to redistrict, so I would give the slight edge to Republicans right now."],["They came here, they made these fake promises to spend five thousand trillion dollars and none of it will actually come to pass.","58:17"],["President Trump will take to the lectern in the well of the US Capitol and probably say the state of our union is strong or he'll say it's amazing, unbelievable, spectacular.","1:19:52"],["In any event, this will now, I guess, get appealed to the, uh, to the 11th Circuit Court of Appeals.","17:20"],["You're on Medicaid, you get kicked off too. They timed it so it's after the midterms, but you lose your Medicaid after the midterms.","14:00"],["Guess what? We're going to pass it here in Florida. It will mark my words. It will pass here.","1:00:14"],["if you're on Medicaid, you're probably going to lose after the midterms, because that's when Donald Trump and the MAGA Republicans had the cuts to Medicaid kick in to try to trick you to make you think that they're not taking it away before the midterms.","05:50"],["And then by trying to delay this towards the end of Donald Trump's term, I believe the fixes in that there's already a deal for Donald Trump to grant her clemency, either give her a pardon or a commutation.","08:20"],["but Maga Mike, this is why you are going to lose your job. This is why the Maga Republicans are going to lose their jobs in the midterms and the voters are absolutely pissed.","05:33"],["which means that yet another American citizen has been killed by Israelis. And there will be no justice whatsoever.","1:01:12"],["And in fact, right now there is an effort, I think that it's probably going to be a fruitless one to kind of rein in the Trump administration","13:08"],["do you believe at this point that Trump is going to go quietly in the sense of the trying to stay in power part? I believe the answer is yes, but I want to hear from you.","10:58"],["And I would assume a major strike would come or be available to the President around middle of March with the end of Ramadan.","10:26"],["My belief is that the courts are basically going to leave that where it lies. I don't think that there's going to be any really great way to sort of untie that that Gordian knot. The money has already changed hands.","40:33"],["So my prediction is that a basket of stocks, Adobe, Figma, ServiceNow, Salesforce, that they're going to have great returns from here on out.","1:04:45"],["But I think it's on and I have that. If you just look, if you just track troop movements, ship movements, supply chain movements, I mean, we are moving a lot of stuff to the region and we are sort of, we are ready to go. We are at the starting line.","58:39"],["that is, I think the ultimate reciprocal tariff from different nations is going to be they're going to start banning US tax companies. They're going to use this as a valid excuse. They're going to say, you're out. We're age gating. We're banning this, or they're going to ban an entire platform.","26:13"],["No, he's not going to get arrested at all. Of course not. That's ridiculous.","1:53:39"],["No, they're not gonna give up their ballistic missiles, nor should they, to be honest with you.","07:56"],["Guys, look, I can even pinpoint for you guys when we are most likely to strike Friday night our time or Saturday.","21:45"],["It's called the Save America Act. Republicans pushed it through the House. It does add some voter ID requirements. It does add some proof of citizenship stuff. I don't think it has any shot of even making it through the Senate","11:14"],["it LOOKS i, MEAN i think it's still. Ongoing nothing's been decided, yet but more and more likely that they will be moving to Northern, indiana"],["I said these countries particularly the United Kingdom and France As two of the majors you got Netherlands and others where girth gevillars came from who came over here and helped us Kick this off with this conference, but the United Kingdom and France Are heading to civil war","10:01"],["I said these countries particularly the United Kingdom and France As two of the majors you got Netherlands and others where girth gevillars came from who came over here and helped us Kick this off with this conference, but the United Kingdom and France Are heading to civil war","10:01"],["You're not going to use the base that you house your aircraft at that's because They have a significant minority of i think 40 or 50 members British members of parliament that are muslim that's warren on the karan and all part of the labor part Virtually all part of the labor party so they're not and they're not going to allow it","39:21"],["Ross and burgers doesn't want to do that. He's going to fight a tooth and nail. Don't think he's going to just show up.","11:56"],["President Trump did have an overarching concept to return to the 19th century as far as how you finance the country, saying, I don't really agree with personal income... That was a long term view that might take in 20 or 30 years to begin with. Folks, that is done as of today.","39:42"],["And now I understand that the about getting the money back or what's going to happen. They're going to push that down to federal courts. And now we're going to be tied up on that for years.","01:33"],["The maximum penalty for misconduct in public office is life in prison, although there is zero chance of that happening here.","15:26"],["I think he'll be gone within six months.","1:09:56"],["while the united states is on the eve of going to war with iran as we have two aircraft carrier groups the jerel for carrier strike group and the abraham lincoln carrier strike group along with tons of air assets navel assets multiple other navy ships and while it appears we may be entering into a protracted war that no one is really even talking about","1:04:52"],["Iranian officials are still, again, stonewalling on their nuclear program. They're not going to kill their nuclear program. They're not going to kill their ballistic missile program. They're not going to kill their support for terrorism.","42:52"],["So here is West Moore trying to run for president in 2028. I think that is a quixotic run by West Moore. I do not think that he has it, whatever it is.","25:36"],["I don't think a deal is going to happen. I think when you put an estimated one third of your naval forces just outside their country, you're basically just ready to swing.","08:01"],["But anyway, I do think it's unlikely that Republicans will play ball with that proposal.","1:20:14"],["what would make anyone think that our government would maintain its allyship with Turkey if the Israelis want to go to war with Turkey? No, we will go to war with Turkey.","39:18"],["But the reason there's no update is because there are no checks. It was never happening. It's a ridiculous idea. We're going to take money from you in tariffs and then recycle a little bit of it back running it through a government bureaucracy. Why not just not do the tariffs in the first place? It was ridiculous from the get go. It's not going to happen.","50:23"],["My money is on Reied Hoffman. Reid Hoffman has lied repeatedly about his associations with Jeffrey Epstein.","11:28"],["it does appear that, you know, historically, yes, you could conclude that a kinetic strike would be imminent, but there does not look to be enough resources for a ground invasion or holding land or something like that","41:14"],["Well, yeah, she's basically out of the metal running Now. She's ranked number thirteen in the","37:09"],["And by the way, your tax return is going to be eleven percent higher than it was the year before on average."],["there's going to be zero appetite from the American people to suffer on behalf of this war of choice against Iraq.","13:26"],["What they want is for us to say tens of thousands of Americans will die, That's probably not going to happen.","14:04"],["I'm not saying that we're going to see hundreds of thousands of troops on the ground. I don't think that that's what this administration will ever do. Because they've learned the lesson of Iraq. This is going to be Libya, style is you decapitate, you destroy, and you basically just declare victory immediately."],["the other reason why I think it's going to happen is this amount of air real refueling","08:27"],["Yes, it's a potential and they're enriching, but there's no real program. It's years away. It's not months away, sir. They are years away from a nuclear warhead on a ballistic missile","19:32"],["I'm saying, I'm saying you're going to have ice agents around the polls to make sure you can't have illegal aliens in their voting","56:26"],["It's not going to happen. It's not going to get thrown out. I don't think this, I love Brian Friedman. He's my lawyer too, but I don't think this case is going to be resolved on summary judgment. I think they're either going to have to settle or go to trial.","1:16:29"],["To make matters worse for him, misconduct in public office like this is apparently one of the most serious offenses in British law. If one is convicted, the potential sentence could be up to life in prison. There is zero chance Andrew is going to prison for life. This is that's BS, but okay, fine. It does technically carry that possible sentence.","03:09"],["But oh boy, let's just, let's just get ready for 2028 or I should say for 2020 at the end of 2026 to 2028, Democrats are going to have, have Congress","55:19"],["But the writing does seem to be on the wall that this is where things are going. And it's pretty alarming.","50:46"],["And it's like that is going to be good enough in 2026 to win the house.","24:00"],["inevitably when she runs for president, as we get closer to election day, or as the primaries are taking place, people are gonna jump down my throat","46:28"],["we're bringing half a frickin fleet there. No, very, very likely we're going to attack.","24:01"],["He's proposing a massive tax increase on the citizens of New York that will result in rents going up.","01:51"],["So we will continue following the price level, but in 2026, it is going up.","09:33"],["in thinking of the state of the union address that just a few days away from now, I don't really expect any major meltdown where he completely loses his ability to speak during an event like that"],["we're gonna take over places like Fulton County and Maricopa County make sure this never happens again","46:12"],["we're gonna have ice outside to make sure no illegal aliens vote","46:12"],["The jury twice hung jury, the guy's going to walk and they got a whole process.","09:08"],["In fact, this is one of the reasons I don't think they have standing. They don't have the clerk because the clerk argued before she wanted to destroy them two years ago.","19:03"],["I can't imagine the president's going to want to go, will want to go two, three, four weeks of bombing Tehran, sir.","13:24"],["boomers are are about to turn 80 they're about to die like there's it's called the mortality shelf yeah so fox news is going to cease to exist there's no way you support the studio with the for the five at those salaries","1:27:39"],["It doesn't look like there's ever gonna be any prosecution.","1:00:25"],["They're not going to withdraw from southern Lebanon. They're never going to withdraw.","43:05"],["I think it's important to acknowledge the most likely outcome is that Democrats don't take the Senate. Republicans keep the Senate. Democrats take the House.","08:47"],["we have your back. We expect to see you at the State Department soon."],["Now it looks like that one has at least been stayed for a little while. They'll probably get it. What in twenty twenty eight"],["They'll probably get it. What in twenty twenty eight, but it's not going to make it in time for the midterms.","30:49"],["that's where the next congress person will be chosen. In that primer, is very unlikely that a Democrat would be able to unseat him."],["Zelensky is over there all weekend, talk about a 20 year security guarantee and in European, they got UK and France putting troops in in the line of contact contact. That's they're all going to fade. It's going to get dumped in the United States of America.","45:36"],["You hear this talk of a 20-year security guarantee, European countries like France and the UK putting troops in at the line of contact, and in implication, they're going to want American troops. I know President Trump will never agree with that","31:52"],["Because right now, none of the Save America Act is going to be voted on implement.","02:49"],["President Trump is coming out with, he says a nationwide executive boarder, I know the working on it over the White House. Obviously, that's gonna be challenging, courts right away and we are burning daylight.","02:53"],["If the April 21st referendum, which looks like they're building up momentum for it. And I don't believe the courts in Virginia going to stop it. That's what Virginia going 10 to one.","34:17"],["Now let me show you another likely presidential candidate, Governor Newsom in Munich.","59:56"],["I do not believe China will make a move on Taiwan while Trump is president"],["Andy Biggs is now has a clear primary path and that's exciting because he's going to be the next governor of the state of Arizona","02:25"],["this is it, this is all you get. We're moving on now, and if history is a guide at this point, it's not going to work because there has been so much pressure around this.","08:07"],["lay down your marker, because all evidence seems to suggest that they're not going to do anything, and they'll probably vote for it."],["he probably wants to run. Newsomp's obviously going to run."],["you're going to have a whole wave of new Democrats coming into House. Very likely you're going to have I think Democratic incumbents who lose against insurgent primary challengers."],["This is why Peter Schweitzer's book, I think it's going on to the fourth week and the best solo list.","14:13"],["we might get a deal. No, you won't. There's no chance of a deal because the Israeli terms","09:47"],["What I do want to acknowledge because it is destructive and disastrous and it's going to lead to some horrible person winning in 2028 and becoming president probably a Republican.","54:03"],["I mean President Trump, you can see by this executive order he's talking about for voter ID, he's going to nationalize with his term nationalize the election to make sure that we have good order and discipline.","29:57"],["I mean, that is just a five alarm fire. They are not going to survive.","1:55:40"],["For me, the more these things start popping up, the less and less I think this was a targeted Nancy, it Nancy Guthrie because of who Savannah is.","1:36:03"],["According to Axios, lawmakers are departing Washington as of yesterday without a deal to fund the DHS, all but ensuring a partial government shutdown at the end of day Friday. This would be the third shutdown of President Trump's second term.","15:06"],["Calchi is about, is going to be, in my opinion, the kind of IPO we're all trying to get into in Q2 of Q3 of this year.","1:04:46"],["I think there's a ton of anecdotal evidence showing that while AI may live to its potential, the market cap of the biggest players this year is about to throw up","1:02:38"],["In my opinion, they'll dramatically scale back their capital, their CAPX, and they'll end up with a much smaller, much less ambitious, amazing company that's only worth 100 or 200 billion.","1:02:13"],["Probably the most anticipated was the IPO of OpenAI in 2026 sometime this year, early 27. I don't think that's going to happen.","59:27"],["We're in the political off season two. When we start getting into the midterms and the cycle and all that stuff, Fox, CNN, MS now, they're going to see a spike in viewership as will we.","24:36"],["I think that when it's all said and done at the end of this Trump administration, we're going to find out Barron and a bunch of other bozos. We're making bank on these things.","55:07"],["And of course it'll pass because Israel buys all of our politicians or almost all of them.","43:16"],["even though we all see Pam Bondi's, I don't know, it sort of seems like she's going to have to be fired or forced to resign","47:41"],["I think right now, Jasmine Crockett could be odds on favorite to win the Senate primary.","37:32"],["Now that has to go back to the Senate. They'll probably pass in the Senate.","1:19:47"],["Now Trump will still try to veto what the House is doing, but the House started by revoking Donald Trump's tariffs against Canada.","00:47"],["But the fact is Trump hasn't made a major comment on the turning point halftime show, which was massive to 45 40 50 million people. Trump is going to see that Trump wants to be involved with his base. He wants to shout these things out to show that he's active. I think there's a high likelihood that he does address turning points halftime show.","1:55:08"],["I'm going to, I'm going to say this. I genuinely believe Trump will say bad bunny.","1:54:55"],["But one thing I know for sure is this report is likely to be revised.","1:55:10"],["it's unlikely that anything will be done about that, because Congress isn't interested","2:00:49"],["Bondi is a disgrace and she should resign. But she won't.","1:01:02"],["I think that the war is inevitable. I really do.","25:31"],["I don't believe there is any path to a 25th Amendment removal of Trump without overwhelming bipartisan buy-in and there is zero sign that Trump's cabinet in any way would be willing to remove Trump via the 25th Amendment.","41:33"],["I do not believe for all the possibilities. I do not believe anything short of death or true medical incapacity will remove Donald Trump from office.","40:48"],["it's not even really worth seriously talking about the missiles because of course Iran is not going to like disarmed completely."],["which is why I sadly see it as only a matter of time before they decide, okay, well, there's no other play left in the playbook. We have to take kinetic action. Once again."],["There will probably be a cut of the ICE budget basically to zero, if not in an explicit what is it abolishment of it."],["We will have probably a mass legalization of twenty to thirty million people in the next administration. I'm fully convinced of that."],["However, we are also crowding out now, barring in the credit markets because we're going to spend seven to $800 billion this year by corporations","50:01"],["And so in this dispute we have with Canada, six Republicans, voted the president, went against the president to vote to end the Canadian tariffs. And that's not going to go anywhere. And he would veto it anyway.","23:55"],["Of course, they're not going to have, they're not actually going on recess. It's a phony recess because to go on recess, President Trump could actually make some recess appointments. So that's not going to happen.","10:41"],["So the number one legislative priority right now for President Trump, he just said, yes, today, hey, if we get this passed, I guess we're done to election day. It looks like it's going nowhere unless somebody's got some special, special deal they're thinking about.","11:14"],["We're going to start in Arizona about Robeson dropping out of this race or at least putting her. I shouldn't say drop out putting her campaign on hold, which is Tannemod, I think, to dropping out, given how heated it is.","42:10"],["The reforms President Trump tried to do in the executive order. They're clearly not. This is my take. They're clearly not going to work.","25:09"],["And I don't believe, I just don't believe there's any way she was killed earlier in the evening because, and I mean, you guys tell me what you know, the pacemaker, the pacemaker would have shown an event.","1:33:35"],["by 2037, I think it's one out of four homes is going to be basically vacant because of all the seniors that are going to be dying","2:04:11"],["I don't think we're invading.","1:21:49"],["Dude, I need to start betting against Khomeini being out as Supreme Leader.","1:21:45"],["there is a zero percent chance the US government in any capacity will confirm the existence of aliens this year because they don't exist","1:15:21"],["There will be legal challenges, but obviously this is being seen as a major victory for the fossil fuel industry","1:52:48"],["make no mistake about it, this frustration that Americans are feeling will be taken out on Republicans during the midterms","1:02:45"],["I think Justice Kagan, Justice Kagan, the three liberals are going to vote against Trump no matter what, in any circumstance. So Kagan is a no.","23:21"],["I think Kavanaugh is going to be a likely vote to uphold the tariff authority"],["Justice Thomas's question suggests he is very likely to vote in favor of the president's tariff authority.","27:42"],["I'm going to predict we're going to lose one, I don't know which, but I think we will lose in all likelihood either Gorsuch or Barrett","29:15"],["I'm going to predict the Chief Justice Roberts votes to uphold the tariffs and I'm going to predict that he writes the majority opinion"],["I'm going to further predict really that the Supreme Court is going to uphold it by a vote of five to four. That it is going to be close","08:59"],["That being said, this legal issue is real, and I'm going to make a prediction. My prediction right now is the US Supreme Court is going to uphold President Trump's imposition of terror.","08:47"],["but actually the the building of the new what it looks like either televive or a new miami beach will not be on uh and his watch","40:47"],["they pass it by one thing in the house today in the senate's not even going to take it up they they've already said there's not enough votes here uh to uh to do a talking filibuster at 60 votes is totally dead","34:49"],["We're not gonna lose in November. And one of the reasons we've got the predicate of a strong economy that you guys have built through action.","25:18"],["And let me be blunt, the Save America Act looks like right now it's not going anywhere. I don't care if it comes out of the house, it's just gonna sit there.","33:27"],["Everybody I think right now, the consensus is it would be very difficult for any of the candidates, including Paxton, to get to 50% plus one vote. So we're going to go to a runoff","39:29"],["A pollster, this is going to be, I think, the most expensive Republican primary in history. It's a three-way horse race.","27:50"],["But I got to tell you, I'm sure they're going to negotiate. If they've got the international media right there in the Israeli media, there's no way they want to come through that very side door. You watch them.","34:55"],["the odds of some stranger criminal just happening to stumble upon Savannah Guthrie's mother seem infinitesimal. I just, I don't, I feel like this is either a family member or it's somebody that it's about Savannah. It's one of those two things in my mind.","2:29:10"],["there are many of us who are hoping and praying she's still alive, but believe she's likely not for those reasons I stated","04:33"],["And what we expect to happen today now and over the next coming days, as I think we'll see the House pass resolutions blocking Donald Trump's tariffs against Canada and Mexico and the rest of the world.","08:17"],["judge Leon has seemed to indicate that he's getting ready to issue a preliminary injunction to block further construction of the ballroom","03:27"],["and they are the favorites likely in ohio that one's pretty close","54:38"],["they are the favorites in main","54:38"],["right now if you were to sort of give odds you'd suggest that democrats are the favorites in north carolina","54:28"],["now again that that is highly unlikely the united states is not growing at 15 percent any year that i can remember i think historically it's just not really possible since we're such a gigantic economy","50:22"],["Because of course, the solution to all of this is that you need Steve Bannon to illuminate the matrix for you and guide you out of the wilderness as he launches a quick-sotic presidential run in 2028.","22:46"],["If you look at economic history as a ratio or as the ratio of tech ads being above a certain amount, it implies this year is when AI crashes.","13:57"],["So it's a comfortably blue district. So the winner of the primary is widely seen to be the winner of the general election. So that means it's very likely that Mejia is going to win that congressional seat.","1:58:20"],["I don't believe Trump is interested in a nuclear deal at all. I think what's really happening here is these nuclear talks and negotiations are all fake, it's all theater and it's all meant to buy time.","38:36"],["it's gonna end up being let's just say fifty million. Okay, let's just say it's gonna be fifty million. Might be higher, might be a little less, but it's gonna be approximately fifty million."],["Andy Biggs, who's running for governor here in the Great State of Arizona, is going to be the next governor of the Great State of Arizona","06:20"],["And look, my sources tell me they're going to continue to fight on this, but I'm not going to hold my breath."],["this is how we're going to hold the house maybe and pick up a couple of seats","25:35"],["this guy's going to spend $100 million before March 30. He's already spent 50 to 60.","08:57"],["I happen to think this thing may go, they may get a temporary CR. It takes a couple of weeks because the Senate wants to leave on Thursday and go to Munich for the Munich Security Conference. So they're not going to be able to get this done in time. That's my call.","30:09"],["The Senate race is going to be this primary may be the most expensive primary in the history of the country and the Republican side.","07:10"],["Well, it's just a matter of time before we do a news alert saying he's been caught. I just I can feel it.","3:10:28"],["All they want is to get paid, and they saw an opportunity, I believe, to steal $6 million from Savannah Guthrie in her lowest moment. That's my own belief.","09:02"],["let's face it, there's probably not a kidnapper. This is probably a murder.","06:25"],["And even though our jobs reports coming out are going to be terrible, that's fine because AI and the right-wing tech bros are making more profits right now","03:00"],["I told her, Tia, the Cuban Communist government is going to fall soon."],["I hope one day government regulators and all of them will wake up. But under this administration, this is not going to happen."],["Instead, we know he will bear no price for this, There will be no problem."],["And yet it has a very very high chance of succeeding because he has succeeded at every term in twisting and turning Trump to whatever direction that he wants to go."],["I find it very hard to imagine with all of the forces within the administration, and with net and Yahoo pushing, and with Trump having backed himself once again into a bit of a corner here with regard to his own ego, that we are just going to sort of put this all aside and pretend it never happened and move forward without any more kinetic action.","56:16"],["i think they're twenty five million now and i believe andrew's right before this things over uh... it will be forty or fifty million just incredible","13:27"],["maryland's going to go eight o","46:13"],["spamburger is on a is on a roll she's going to jam through this ten to one house situation","46:02"],["And they better do the nuclear option. I have a bad feeling they're not going to do it because while Democrats suck and blow, Republicans just suck.","1:01:31"],["And as I keep saying, Buckingham Palace will be run by jihadists in 20 years.","55:59"],["I've never seen 20% unemployment that didn't lead to absolute pulverizing economic catastrophe. So I don't know that we're going to get to 20%, although I think we are.","1:31:33"],["My sense of it is, oh my god, it's going to blow. I mean, I cannot believe it hasn't crashed yet.","1:08:05"],["because Georgia is the beating heart of this steel. It's going to spread to Arizona. It's going to spread to Pennsylvania.","48:11"],["And you're going to be governor of the state. You've already gotten rid of waltz and you're about to get rid of cloberturing and take her out of the Senate.","39:05"],["He'll settle with the IRS. He'll claim a personal physical injury under the IRS code so that he can take a personal injury settlement. He'll claim emotional trauma is my guess.","09:06"],["They're going to wipe out four Republican seats in Virginia.","12:43"],["Democrats are going to end up picking up more seats through this gerrymandering process than Trump did.","13:12"],["You are going to start to see over the course of the next 12 to 24 months, entire nations say, you know what? Maybe we don't need YouTube here. Maybe Meta should not be here.","1:06:33"],["only fans will do more revenue than the New York Times this year","55:33"],["i think we have seen the peak of open ais valuation they're supposed to raising money at 850 i think that'll be the high watermark","38:26"],["This is genius, and this will be seen as the pivotal moment for when in 12 months, anthropic is more valuable than OpenAI.","13:47"],["But who's going to buy all that stuff when AI leads to 10 to 20% unemployment? So I mean, we're not even talking about that. That spectacular crash is definitely headed in our direction.","1:42:34"],["And I know now, like the jury's in, if you try to run for president, these days actually, especially on the right wing side. And you're like, rah, rah, Israel like Ted Cruz is, you've got no chance.","23:35"],["And understand, we will get zero. We're not going to get seven. We're not going to get one. Every Democrat will follow Schumer's orders on this.","15:47"],["Forget about it, like it is going to win running it's not going to be close and double digits.","11:31"],["they were talking about he was gonna be where two hats, maybe Federal Reserve Chair and Treasury if they could work it out, looks like they couldn't. So Kevin Warsh is going to take that spot","18:13"],["And I keep saying, and so, because these guys can prove me wrong, I just don't think you're ever going to get to a trial in Utah. I think they're going to pour the same thing. They're going to pull here. They're going to try to cut some plea deal, getting off of capital murder away from a murder charge.","39:52"],["I also think we all agree that he's probably not going to give this money to charity.","39:36"],["And you know the Maga Republicans are going to say, oh, actually, we want to do a deposition in private first and they're not going to want to do it in public.","31:35"],["Democrats are actually going to net more seats, it seems, in the mid-decade redistricting","1:14:05"],["Viva, she's not going to give up that house, is she?","14:40"],["Steve Bannon, who desperately wants to run for president apparently in 2028 right now, he's playing this game where he says he wants Trump to run in 2028. He knows that's not possible. Then he will reluctantly step into the fray. Steve has no chance of becoming president, of course, but he would like to maximize his profile by doing so and saying obnoxious things on stage because that is what Steve Bannon does.","27:18"],["they want to implement certain conditions that they know the Iranians are not going to agree to. And so as a result, the peace negotiations will fall apart and that will pave the way for the United States to potentially go to war with the Iran.","03:59"],["as I've said before, it may never come for Donald Trump. I don't believe Trump will see a single day inside of a jail or prison cell, but when it comes to his family, that's a different story.","54:04"],["as I've said before, it may never come for Donald Trump. I don't believe Trump will see a single day inside of a jail or prison cell, but when it comes to his family, that's a different story.","54:04"],["When Democrats regain subpoena power, which I believe will happen in November, Baruch Hashem, if we all go out there and vote and make it happen, right? Trump and or family members are going to get hauled in under oath.","10:48"],["Stephen Miller's like dedication to that project is not going anywhere, which is why I was saying earlier. You know, he's going to continue work and use whatever angles he can to get back to you know, exactly what he was doing in Minneapolis"],["you could very easily have a significant mass deportation without any ice agents if you targeted the business community. But guess what, He's not going to do that because Iowa, Ohio, all these other red states have been all on the phone to him now for months saying that workplace raids are bad for business."],["Already there's been a negotiation allegedly behind the scenes, and some sort of full exit from Minneapolis. Does I'm not going to say it looks imminent, but it's probably on the course for a few months."],["the concept has been floated and I think it's increasingly plausible that they'll strike a deal, plea deal with Maduro in exchange for him saying, oh, yeah, we totally rigged the elections in twenty twenty for Joe Biden"],["The Supreme Court eventually will strike down tariffs. Not sure what the fuck that's gonna happen, but it eventually will.","46:22"],["I'm so sad to believe it, but I don't believe she's still with us.","1:18:34"],["Now the entire debt that our country faces right now, which is increasing under the Trump regime, it's about $38 trillion. And that number is going higher.","53:52"],["We're now with Virginia and other states Democrats look like they're going to pick up seats.","12:32"],["The one who I, my sense is if someone is going to get scalped here, it's going to be Bill Gates. I don't think it'll be Bill Clinton. I think it'll be Bill Gates","27:46"],["My guess is they're going to flip this on Trump. My guess is that they will get out there. Democrats are on these panels too. And Democrats will then ask Bill Clinton about Donald Trump's relationships with Jeffrey Epstein, which I assume is why Democrats are very excited about the Epstein files themselves.","28:53"],["I guarantee you nothing of merit is going to emerge in those hearings. Nothing. Bill Clinton is incredibly squirrely, so is Hillary. The idea they're going to get up there and suddenly start attesting to their sexual relationships with people that Epstein was trafficking to them, the chances of that are zero.","28:30"],["I think the first starters of people are going to stop them because they're going to get schlonged in the house probably in November.","22:54"],["So they're going to release the Balrog and by the way, AI is going to be a huge part of it. And then when we have 10 to 20% unemployment, they're going to be like, my God, no one could have predicted that the economy crashing would be bad for rich people too.","51:31"],["Israel took 53% of Gaza. Did they or did they not? They did? You could look it up. Are they ever gonna give it back? No, Kushner is planning to build condos on it right now","16:39"],["So first as to why the negotiations are not going to work.","09:35"],["So I think we're almost definitely going to go to war.","09:30"],["So it will take some time. At a minimum, it's several months, it could be upwards of a year."],["there is a negotiation session scheduled for Friday. I think the chances of anything positive or productive from that session are zero point zero percent"],["He will still be the president as long as he can remain alive. He's not going to be removed. He's not going to be impeached. I just don't have the numbers.","45:17"],["He will still be the president as long as he can remain alive. He's not going to be removed. He's not going to be impeached. I just don't have the numbers.","45:17"],["there's a whole game that goes on behind the scenes where the defense is trying to get the prosecution to trip up so that they can reverse the just you know, the guilty verdict that we're presuming he is going to come on appeal"],["And I will say I don't I think the amount of damage this particular democrat can do is fairly limited in the time they have and we'll take the seatback","33:54"],["we've won seven of eight since then and we're going to win this one","11:47"],["so buckingham palace likely will be islamic in 20 years from now i don't i don't think that's i don't even think that's highly controversial to say","35:07"],["And I think they are going to get her on this. An investment firm that's worth basically nothing in 23, suddenly worth around 25 million the next year.","09:25"],["before we know it, someone is going to kill an ice agent. It is obvious. It is absolutely obvious.","17:40"],["And you could make an argument that they all fit together, right? Sure, why not? Like data things moving flat. And he'll do it.","33:07"],["it's absolutely grotesque of how they're not just abusing these populations and they're about to go do that in Ohio","49:28"],["There are millions more they need to release. They said they weren't going to, but they are going to have to, I think.","09:49"],["So are we ever going to get into a court of law and find justice in either direction? No, the country's run by pedophiles.","31:26"],["And so what's gonna happen next is that, and that's right, Congress is gonna go in and they're gonna give Netanyahu a massage on top. They're gonna take you, they're gonna rob you of your money, both parties are, and they're gonna send it to Israel.","1:30:04"],["you've got nonpartisan models right now projecting a 25 to 28 seat swing towards the Democrats. Democrats only need a few seats to take the gavel. This is not a blue wave. This is a light breeze that would be required for Democrats to take the gavel. But 25, 28 seats. And by the way, that's a conservative prediction.","33:07"],["I am ready to declare that it is going to end and MAGA will die with Donald Trump's presidency ending. January 20th of 2029 or sooner if it happens to end sooner for any reason.","19:43"],["So they're voting with their feet and they're getting out and that's gonna affect the electoral college. That's gonna affect apportionments in Congress one hundred percent. You're gonna see those chickens come home to roost in twenty thirty in a big way."],["I don't think you're gonna get Susan.","21:15"],["I don't think you're gonna get Lisa.","21:13"],["I don't think you're gonna get Mitch.","21:13"],["I've checked around on this because when we booked you on the show, I wanted to see what the vibe in the Senate was. And I think we can get fifty plus one over there."],["I do think that we just need to pass totally like make it unambiguous, totally clear. I doubt it will probably happen because a lot of the politicians like these current loopholes."],["Look, I don't think they have a shot like period, even with a great candidate Beto, I think is as close as it will ever get."],["We're not going to get rid of the filibuster.","14:16"],["Let's just put you on notice again. ICE is going to be around the polls in the 2026 midterm elections","12:42"],["he's like probably about six months away from a conservatorship from the look of it","1:41:52"],["Billy Eilish will never give back her mansion to the Tongva, nor will any of these Hollywood celebrities who try to lecture us or make us do a land acknowledgement before we can hear them perform ever do such a gesture.","1:36:34"],["she's going to have to get her hands slapped again by the Supreme Court","1:28:14"],["It won't be long now before we hear from Savannah, because if there's one person involved in this case who can get the media to run a soundbite on every single television station, there is.","15:02"],["The Democrats are going to win the house barring some crazy thing happening at this point.","16:24"],["I'm going to predict right now this is not going to be the last lawsuit."],["But I think at the end of the day, you're going to see a coalition of both Republicans and Democrats in the House past this.","03:59"],["I predict by Tuesday the House will have passed that this and the President will have signed it."],["John Bolton is actually probably going to have a come up as that guy's probably going to be in jail, in prison"],["My fear right now, if you look at it, it's not a 2018 problem. I think you have a 2010 the great Tea Party revolt. We won 60, 63 seats","39:45"],["And eventually by May, at the latest, we won't have too late pal around, sir.","02:03"],["I do think that he's going to play that card, but I don't think it's going to be upheld unless there's partisanship","1:31:43"],["Earlier this month we went to the Supreme Court and heard oral arguments on keeping boys out of girls sports in schools. We're very optimistic that the country will get a win there.","53:52"],["And I think Blanche is going to become the new Attorney General or the acting Attorney General.","03:58"],["Pam Bondi, the Attorney General, is quite literally too scared to be in public right now. I think she's going to reside soon if I'm going to predict this.","03:49"],["They're there only a year or two away from having robots that can watch you do things.","1:02:59"],["But you do enough of these missions and there's going to be a cost. At some point, somebody's going to take out a plane and somebody's going to take out a ship.","1:14:16"],["So, the Trump is saying, well, if they don't give us what we want in the negotiations, we're going to bomb them. But we're not in negotiations with them. So, that means we're definitely going to bomb them."],["Now, this shutdown that will happen on January thirtieth will will likely be smaller than the previous one."],["And I think you're going to see the Democrats force a shut down.","07:29"],["So when I say this isn't going to end well and it's an ice agent is going to get killed. I mean it literally. I'm not I'm not being rhetorical.","24:06"],["They are going to have hearings on Sharia law, other aspects of this Islamic invasion, of course, other things, but they're going to call early hearings to tee up a special session of the Texas legislature to deal with this.","06:51"],["you're not going to get a guy that's going to end the fed or break up the fed or go full and jul jackson on the central bank number one he may make some reforms on the margins but he's not going to get in there and tear the place apart highly unlikely","11:30"],["Expect the survivors and the victims to sue the DOJ. They're going to file a lawsuit soon. I'll bet you for leaking their names and providing, identifying information and violation of the Epstein Transparency Act","10:52"],["So they've staved off a government shutdown for a couple of weeks here. And a full government shutdown will not happen. Now the question is going to be what happens with DHS.","38:51"],["I think you're going to see a coordinated strike against Ohio or wherever they're going to attack the Haitians who are not eating the cats and dogs. That's where I think you're going to see the next strike.","1:03:40"],["So I think you're going to see a coordinated, some sort of coordinated strike in Iran in the next seven to 14 days.","1:03:37"],["I don't really care about the ad, but they released a teaser clip and she sounds amazing. She's got incredible. Oh, it's going to be the best ad.","1:02:26"],["And then also, I think the place in Amazon is my big tech stock pick for 26.","58:20"],["People still believe in him. They're giving him money for X. I think he's going to merge into XA. Like I keep saying.","57:07"],["I think Waymo is going to be a trillion dollar company on its own.","53:26"],["To me, it feels like free money. Trump's not going to be out as president before January 20, 2029","44:22"],["And it's like, are any of them going to stand up for Don Lemon today? I'm not holding my breath.","11:25"],["But it doesn't matter if we have the information. Since Epstein is an Israeli agent, we're never going to prosecute any of those people.","1:47:12"],["There's going to be at least 10% unemployment. And you know what happens when there's 10% unemployment? Depression.","2:01:05"],["unfortunately, 11 and Graham are very likely correct about the US pursuing a regime change war in Iran, something that they've been egging on for months","1:29:44"],["And I guarantee you, you can quote me on this and you'll see it with your own eyes. Later, when the count goes up much higher because of the starvation and that mainly the people they're pulling out of the rubble, they'll say, look, before we said it was 71,000. And now they're saying it's 90,000 or 110,000. They're just inflating their numbers.","1:19:39"],["It is very unlikely that they would recede and then decide, let's go do those dumb things that made the country hate us again.","52:28"],["So for those who are worried about more people getting deported, I actually think under Tom Homan's leadership, there will be more deportations.","15:05"],["what's gonna happen next is as an important, they're gonna split it, but they're not gonna split it all the way. What they're gonna do is split the rest of the budget and just DHS.","08:52"],["On school choice, we're going to see tens of billions of dollars of scholarships for kids all over this country to be able to go to the school of their choice","01:10"],["I think we are going to see the same thing with Trump accounts, that this is going to become a standard, ubiquitous employee benefit that employers will say, we're going to match your contributions or contribute directly to the Trump accounts that your kids have."],["There are right now more than twelve trillion dollars in four oh one K accounts. It's massive, and there will be in just a couple of years trillions of dollars in Trump accounts as well."],["Starting on July fourth of this year, every kid in America is going to have a private investment account open for them.","01:29"],["So at the very least we know he's going to live out the rest of his day.","10:57"],["So this was an appeals court ruling. So you're already at sort of like a higher level. I suspect this will ultimately go to the Supreme Court","29:40"],["I think probably the you know, the assumption that they're going into Springfield next is correct","35:23"],["Weathers have been against you but we're going to pull this out.","31:12"],["Most importantly, they were going to require a warrant for every time that they have an action or every time that they see have probable cause. It's just not going to happen.","30:47"],["So I think we're going to end up sharing down the government tomorrow.","30:10"],["But they're just sitting there laughing in your face. They're not changing. It's a sanctuary city. They're not going to let the feds do anything.","13:46"],["John lot is got a lot of information about the government shutdown that's coming.","55:36"],["Look forward to hearing all about that on his live feed when he gets out on bail, which he will.","1:24:11"],["So I think I'm guessing then that Lemon's producer is yet to come. I think I have been reliably told that he was indicted. So we'll see whether that pans out.","1:13:02"],["And so I think the earliest you'll have a vote in the House is Monday, the earliest, and maybe later.","05:49"],["we're going to talk about how it appears the United States is imminently going to invade or attack Iran. Trump and the regime are calling it their big plan. And it appears that a military strike may be imminent, whether that means it's in the next 24 or 48 hours or in the next week or so. All signs are aligning that there does appear to be a military strike that's going to be taking place.","00:37"],["then we'll talk about that the United States is close to invading Iran. They're calling it the big plan. The Abraham Lincoln carrier group is in the region. And by all accounts, America is preparing. The United States is preparing a strike there.","43:26"],["but we could all predict what's going to happen. You're going to have Tulsi Gabbard and the regime. They're going to say, we look through it, turns out that there was tampering with it and now we're deeply concerned about all of what's going on here.","42:11"],["I mean, stop the whining from who though, like Trump's not going to release the Epstein files. Trump wants to protect pedophiles. It's that simple. It's very obvious.","32:08"],["Yeah, I think that's right. I mean, I think that he will escape the the claws of justice once again. Don Lemon has thwarted, thwarted the mechanisms.","49:58"],["The United States has put forward a number of demands of Iran, including denuclearization, as well as shutting down their ballistic missile program and ceasing to support terror groups across the region and the globe. Iran's not going to do any of that.","49:23"],["Democrats really, again, this is performative in the NTHS will be funded, but they want to score some points by yelling at ICE Elizabeth Warren.","33:19"],["Put aside the moral for a second, there's going to be a full legal investigation by the federal government about what agents knew when they knew it, how that shooting unfolded.","08:05"],["I think personally, I said, last night, I think that it was that the that there are going to be changes made. I think Christine Ohm's gonna end up going.","1:22:12"],["And with the redistricting, we're going to have Democrats win this year.","39:20"],["He knows he's not popular, right, he knows the midterms. He even says outright that typically the person in power like they end up losing ground. He knows it is very likely that they're going to lose the House, if not the Senate.","51:27"],["I think it's a partial taco from Trump because I am very skeptical that this is anything more than a tactical retreat that we won't see, you know, another occupation of a city that pisses him off for whatever reason, that we will see a shift in tactics"],["And you know, Steven Miller is still going to be in there. He's not going anywhere, and this is ultimately this is his baby","17:13"],["I mean, at the end of the day, rolling back ice funding is just not going to happen. You don't have control over it. You're going to have to win control of a Chamber of Congress in order to actually try and get any of that done.","12:48"],["She is the most endangered incumbent in the entire Senate, and I think it's frankly, very unlikely that she is able to hold onto that seat.","08:08"],["Great work smoking Amy Klobuchar out so they can't take the Senate now.","36:20"],["He also goes and knows he's going to be indicted, but he couldn't beat you because you'd be hammering in every day.","32:12"],["In in Minnesota in Minneapolis we're going to make sure we're going to get the voter rolls and you're not going to have illegal alien invaders vote anymore the way that keeps you in office.","13:59"],["Also Tom Holman and President Trump's strategy is say okay I'm reasonable what do you got but it's not stopping and Metro Surge is not stopping.","14:12"],["We're going to hold accountable and make criminal charges about the people that stole the 2020 election and in this case it will be in Georgia but it's going to be many other places too.","13:50"],["I think Trump may be permanently enjoined or blocked from building this thing.","09:57"],["And there now these Democrats are talking about trying to stop it like they're not going to fund ice is still going to get its funding. But they're trying to stop the latest tranche so that ice agents won't get paid.","1:10:37"],["I think this shooting will be upheld as a lawful shooting, but it's a it's it's not a good one.","25:28"],["I mean, thank God it will never pass. I mean, the Republicans control the House, the Senate and the White House right now, but it's a poison pill.","13:02"],["Where is this going to go? Because truly Minneapolis, what President Trump is basically asking Minneapolis is to reverse its sanctuary city status. They're not going to do that. They're just not.","07:18"],["So will cities like Minneapolis change their behavior? Don't bet on it.","05:16"],["As for the call for negotiations, frankly, I think that that is going to be unsuccessful. The Iranians have demonstrated time and again, they have no intention of giving up their nuclear program, which is the thing that they need to do.","45:40"],["So it's like Maga Mike wants a government shutdown, which again is going to happen on Friday. Here we are again, a Maga Mike Trump government shutdown right here, right around the horizon.","07:53"],["The Washington Post said today, oh, Trump did so good on the border and closed the border, but he bit off more. He's the author of his own problem because he said he was going to deport everybody and that's impossible. It's not impossible. It's going to happen.","12:13"],["I told her that that we got Maduro, and I told her Cuba is next, the Cuban Communist regime is going to fall next."],["People throw someone under the bus, say walls has come to the table and hope that the news cycle moves on, but I would be shocked if any of the policy changes.","29:34"],["Let me put it a different way. You will not hear from or see Bovino again. Once we get him out of Minneapolis and he will be put riding a desk or blah, blah, blah","28:04"],["And if you think Bovino is the last one, I don't think Bovino is going to be the last one.","12:44"],["So we are soon going to see the Republicans in swing states coming to him with their hat in their hand and saying, sir, please give us something. We need stop acting like a complete lunatic and stop having your goons kill nurses and mothers of three and they are going to have a political problem.","07:58"],["the people that I've spoken with in the state actually feel like Democrats have a shot there and maybe even an outside shot at an open Senate seat. That is that is you know up this time around, now, I'm not going to like put my eggs in that basket. I think it's still unlikely."],["And she's, I think, is now saying she's not going to work with ICE. My guess is she's going to lose the fight with this.","45:28"],["He's just some hack loser. He's not going to really run for president or anything else.","1:05:54"],["I mean, it seems to me, guys, he's using a lot of words and commas there to say we are going to attack.","03:48"],["Trump's not that guy. He didn't do it in his first term. He ain't doing a second term. Maybe he turns around later on, but I have a feeling Democrats are going to win. Ties hands up and he's going to be he'll be of you, Cannon.","56:34"],["Oh, yeah, he's definitely gonna run.","1:51:42"],["Then he's Trump is giving an off-ramp for these people. They're not going to take it. They're simply not going to take it. You think walls is going to be like, you know what? Actually, I thought about it and I've decided that we are going to work with Donald Trump and my law enforcement will work with ICE and we're going to send the people who are in our prisons over to ICE and to be deported. He can't.","1:01:11"],["So again, he's a congressman from Silicon Valley. 100% wants to run for president. I bet that farm on it in 2028.","40:19"],["if the Supreme Court rules against Donald Trump's tariffs against the world, which I still think they're going to do","23:42"],["That trump's level of coherence at this year's state of the union Is going to be notably diminished notably diminished From any prior state of the union address.","55:43"],["Trump's term term uh term will end january 20th 2029 no matter what","05:40"],["He cannot waive a pen and end the 2026 election","05:32"],["They are going to start killing ice agents I don't like it But ice agents are going to start getting killed","01:48"],["and apparently they made some handshake deal Larry with Maryland. Now Maryland's going to redistrict anyways.","07:41"],["So I don't know, I'm a bit skeptical of the reporting that they may actually lose their jobs."],["I do not think that she will lose her job, but that's not the same thing as losing power in the administration, and that's basically what has happened here."],["So I don't think he's going to lose his job, but perhaps he's lost a little bit of standing with regard to Trump since he has been the one like aggressively pushing this direction","10:58"],["I think there's a chance we see Congress put together an appropriations package that funds everything but DHS, that that might be that might pass.","35:27"],["Now this shutdown that will happen on January thirtieth will likely be smaller than the previous one.","31:49"],["They are going to tell the narrative, we will not fund ice under any circumstances, and we will shut the government down.","31:31"],["This is the supporter who doesn't want him to, but this is going to turn into an absolute bloodbath come the midterms. I mean, we're talking about possibly using losing Senate seats, losing the Senate and control, Republican control.","13:41"],["There should be a full investigation because I believe that it will exonerate the officers","09:14"],["So it seems like you're heading towards a shutdown. Now, even if the Senate tries to, you know, extract or remove from its bill, the Department of Homeland Security funding to try to get all the other funding through, it still has to go back to the house. And MAGA mic has shut it down. I mean, just how pathetic is dude, do your job? Just show up to the house. And now the American people are going to have to deal with another shutdown.","20:00"],["it's likely that the numbers are going to show at the end of 2026 that there are more people living in Gaza at the end of 2026 than there were living in Gaza on October 6, 2023.","1:03:46"],["They're not going to vote for it. And they're going to block the bill. And nobody is going to blame them for the shutdown.","32:10"],["When those people vote no, it's a big deal because what it means is will have at the very least a partial government shutdown.","04:01"],["That's what Lindsey Graham represents. So the no we're talking on it, it's gonna be sanctuary city legislation. How's a hundred percent correct? It'll have some sprinkled dust, fairy dust of sanctuary cities and it will have amnesty.","22:22"],["And people think that and I think that she has a real big chance of flipping this Brian Mast.","08:46"],["Yeah, so look, when we attack this time, and I think it's gonna be when, we're not sending the USS Abraham Lincoln to have a picnic there. And we'll get to all the facts as to why things are going to happen.","34:31"],["Democrats take the house in November. Trump accomplishes nothing for the following two years. And then we do away with MAGA once and for good optimistic, cautiously optimistic.","27:06"],["Now I do think that they're going to end up charging them. I think that they're going to because I think that they want that scalp. I think that they really do want to have that high profile person.","11:35"],["His he is with his father in a facility and they're going to be deported together","52:17"],["I was just at there at the supreme court. Well, we can half ago watching Your deputy out there arguing the case on whether boys Bands against boys and girls sports were appropriate and constitutional. I think it's going to go your way","33:12"],["That is a ridiculous argument. And that is one is not going to hold up in court.","18:19"],["Bottom line is my prediction is that I think we're about to see the US conduct a military strike on Iran.","52:31"],["So I don't think this is going to hold the test of any sort of legal test that their buddies over at Newscore or Sirius radio or whoever it is are going to want.","34:35"],["But instead, Wall Street Journal files a motion to dismiss. I'm sure Trump's case will be dismissed. Trump will go unfair weaponized judge, wha, wha, wha, baby. And then the case will get appealed and nobody really focus on it.","1:23:25"],["They'll file a motion to dismiss. The case will get dismissed. People cover the dismissal. Donald Trump will appeal it.","1:22:39"],["So I think you're looking at in a generic ballot somewhere in the range of 70% or more of independence going to be voting for Democrats. And I think that's going to make a big deal at the midterms.","1:16:28"],["And then of course, Nakeema is going to do a vindictive prosecution and it's going to be granted.","44:35"],["the Senate is going to be tricky. I think we're going to hold the Senate. The real question is can we hold the House.","36:03"],["We're going to deal with it because they're all going home","02:10"],["unless Trump dies, he's serving out the rest of his term. There are not going to be votes enough or people on Trump's cabinet. If we think about the 25th Amendment, it is not going to happen.","36:05"],["let me tell you right now, the United States will not be acquiring Greenland.","49:30"],["Trump has instructed Congress to codify this ban into law, which of course they're not going to do because they're corrupt and useless.","1:58:29"],["they're alleging that if needed, they'll use antitrust laws to bust those investors, coordinated vacancy and pricing strategies. I mean, that first of all, let me just get this out of the way. I don't believe them. I don't think that they're actually going to do this.","1:57:36"],["President Trump signed an executive order banning institutional investors from buying residential real estate, which is likely unconstitutional and will be overturned by the courts. That's my prediction. You can't do everything through executive order. It's going to be challenged. It'll go to the courts. It'll be overturned.","1:54:00"],["I'm going to make a prediction that baby is going to be born on July 4th, the 204th or 50th anniversary of the United States. I just have a feeling.","51:39"],["We will actually invest in it. The Golden Dome will appear there.","37:27"],["And again, we are not going to invade. What did I say on the show a week ago? We weren't going to invade Greenland. There wasn't going to be a soldier there. Nobody's going to be shot or anything else.","37:14"],["Right. Well, the IDF actually be given the ability to go and do full-scale operations in the Gaza Strip again, if in fact Hamas does not disarm because Hamas has no intention of disarming.","47:00"],["I very much doubt the president is going to do nothing in Iran.","41:39"],["Scott Bessent is also not going to be the nominee in 2028, presumably.","33:42"],["Let me tell you right now, the United States will not be acquiring Greenland","03:48"],["Rahm Emanuel, who I don't think has a prayer of actually being the Democratic presidential nominee in 2028","03:06"],["If Democrats are back in charge, even you know, I mean, they're probably going to get the House back, possibly the Senate, very likely they win the White House next time around.","22:47"],["If Democrats are back in charge, even you know, I mean, they're probably going to get the House back, possibly the Senate, very likely they win the White House next time around.","22:47"],["And so it is interesting that when it comes to the money, when it comes to Wall Street, that is where they look like they're set to draw the line and where they may actually you know, check him in a meaningful way,","07:29"],["Trump will take the nuclear option. You put it from me, he's gonna say, what are we doing here? Zero this thing out. They're gonna take us to court anyway.","13:41"],["I believe that unless Trump dies in office, he's remaining president until January 20th, 2029. I don't think there's any way around that.","58:08"],["But this is not something that Americans want at all. And I believe he's going to have to give up on it.","06:18"],["Effectively, Democrats are going to win the house, which is extremely tight as it is, not by convincing the American people, but by in their states utilizing their majority powers to eliminate Republicans from the equation.","26:30"],["I'll take the 80% chance by the time Trump leaves office. We I say we have Greenland. It's a territory It's not gonna be a state when nobody wants them to have voting rights as Americans","46:50"],["I'm sorry to tell you. I think Trump's tariff regime is going to get struck down I do not think he has any real hope of the Supreme Court upholding it I hope I'm wrong but the argument did not go well for the government and I do not think Trump's tariff power is gonna last much longer","40:27"],["And now I think there's a shot that judge angle Meyer because that Trump opened the door and invoked the court's jurisdiction to try to set up the court. That could now backfire in the Trump DOJ's face. And now I think judge angle Meyer or maybe even judge Berman in the other case may say, you know what, let's release these files. You invoked our jurisdiction. Let's go put him out there.","15:09"],["A calamity in my estimation would be, I'm the likelihood that the Democrats will take the House, given the unbelievably slim margin that Republicans hold, which is now like two seats or one seat, some crazy narrow margin, because a Republican legislator later died last month.","18:07"],["we're going to be doing oral arguments on the birthright citizenship case in front of the Supreme Court. That's going to be happening in it sounds like spring so April timeframe, and then you probably a decision in summer.","36:27"],["Well, he's not going to be out of office in a few months. He has over a year, like close to a year and a half left of his presidency.","24:17"],["If this letter does not end Trump's presidency and it won't.","20:45"],["I think Trump's up for a rude awakening in Switzerland. And I predict that he will lash out like a little kid. That's my prediction.","31:23"],["my prediction has continued to be the US is not going to control Greenland by the end of Trump's presidency","21:06"],["So Don Lemon had advanced knowledge of a potential felony conspiracy against rights, kick a clan act, and he said, I am going to go in with these people onto private property without permission to film and call it journalism. So I think he is going to face charges.","12:19"],["I think it's going to face some serious legal challenges.","1:41:20"],["They're just not going to release them. They're going to try and confuse things in the courts.","56:54"],["I think the Supreme Court has been remiss in not issuing its decision on the tariffs more, more quickly. And I assume this means that there's stuff going on there that makes it, is making it there, they're coming up with some split the baby, something that is going to be really bad.","41:06"],["There is nothing more important than mass deportation. That's what won President Trump the election, That's what I believe is going to win Republicans the election in twenty twenty eight.","29:56"],["I mean, listen, I don't think Shapiro is going to win a twenty twenty eight primary, but he's still in his head, is holding onto that hope.","18:05"],["I'm going to make a prediction. You're working with the activists and we're going to find out.","37:21"],["I hope you woke up this morning, Don Lemon, terrified in the knowledge that federal charges are likely coming for you.","07:54"],["And if he does, as with tariffs, they end up at the Supreme Court where I think the Supreme Court is likely to strike them down.","02:51"],["We could see elections in Venezuela, in Cuba and Iran, we could see leaders elected by the people who stand for freedom and who want to stand with America and be friends with America. We could see that in Venezuela, in Cuba, and Iran, Iran.","22:28"],["We could see elections in Venezuela, in Cuba and Iran, we could see leaders elected by the people who stand for freedom and who want to stand with America and be friends with America. We could see that in Venezuela, in Cuba, and Iran, Iran.","22:28"],["We could see elections in Venezuela, in Cuba and Iran, we could see leaders elected by the people who stand for freedom and who want to stand with America and be friends with America. We could see that in Venezuela, in Cuba, and Iran, Iran.","22:28"],["Look, it is entirely possible that in the next few months, in the next six months, we could see the regimes fall in Venezuela, in Cuba, and Iran.","22:16"],["Look, it is entirely possible that in the next few months, in the next six months, we could see the regimes fall in Venezuela, in Cuba, and Iran.","22:16"],["Look, it is entirely possible that in the next few months, in the next six months, we could see the regimes fall in Venezuela, in Cuba, and Iran.","22:16"],["So now in the wake of Tuesday's Supreme Court hearing, no ruling yet, but it's clear the high court is going to rule that the 27 states that have bands against boys participating in girls sports, it's going to uphold those bands.","54:15"],["So it ain't going to be Kamala Harris on the Democratic side of the aisle.","03:55"],["It's fascinating because right now, according to the polling data, it is very likely that Newsom will be the Democrats nominee in 2028.","02:54"],["The next thing that's going to preoccupy us is there's going to be most likely an activist because it's so bad, but Disney's going to be put in play.","1:09:32"],["Yeah, so we've been talking about Warner Brothers Discovery. It's about to go into boring mode where they just try and get the ciphyas and antitrust and all the lawsuits and reviews for the next 18 or 24 months.","1:09:21"],["She's now the head of the, she's now the head of the big tech pack and she will orchestrate the large bailout for tech since COVID.","1:05:14"],["I think he starts 2026. He accelerates all of this stuff. And he's going to try to continue to accelerate it. And it's Minnesota now it's the cities of Minneapolis and St. Paul. But then it goes, as we've seen, it ratchets up in all of these areas. That's what they want. And where this ultimately heads is for the midterms to shut down the midterms. That's where it's all going.","1:13:13"],["I don't believe Trump will take Greenland by force, but I don't think it's going to be because Republicans in the Senate are going to stop them.","14:33"],["At some point, we're going to lose some service members and they're going to use that to drag us more into war.","2:23:26"],["So now, okay, so I believe the war is going to start.","2:22:44"],["and it appears based on the preliminary reports that the United States is going to strike Iran.","02:11"],["And, and I do think they are going to be pulling in some sort of massive Rico case around all of this.","53:27"],["And we are not, Donald Trump is not going to get us into some farcical, crazy occupation adventure like we did with Afghanistan and Iraq and the chaos that Barack Obama did in Libya and all those things.","40:12"],["because honestly you're you're probably Months maybe 12 at the outside from potentially going to jail So enjoy your last few high-moment moments You're you genuinely might be behind bars very soon","15:47"],["And if the Democrats take back the House, which I suspect they will, you know, this could be at the top of the agenda.","57:51"],["First off, we all know that Donald Trump will never actually pay them that money. Donald Trump is a massive fraud. His whole life is defrauding people.","06:23"],["They're gonna try to shut down the government on not funding ICE. They're then gonna come around. And on February 1st, from President Trump cuts off the money, takes them off the tit in California, in Illinois, in New York.","25:18"],["Never mind if you don't have the majority in the Senate, which is more likely.","1:03:13"],["And Trump's not getting convicted in the Senate. I think what whatever you could think of, if Trump dropped a nuke on France, I believe that you would not get 14 Republicans or 15 or whatever number you would need","1:02:57"],["But first off, Trump's not going to cancel the midterms. That's not a thing. We've done this for 10 years.","25:59"],["And Donald Trump will try to veto that bill.","10:09"],["Imagine them laughing when Magma Mike Johnson will try to block that bill and Senator John Thune will try to block that bill.","09:55"],["Imagine them laughing when Magma Mike Johnson will try to block that bill and Senator John Thune will try to block that bill.","09:55"],["And now China is likely going to be buying more oil from Canada, especially if the United States intends to cut it off from Venezuela.","04:44"],["I guess what we should expect one or another Justice Alito to do based on his behavior yesterday that he will write some kind of an opinion if it's not the majority opinion that lays out this question","15:49"],["Well, I'm feeling very negative about the Supreme Court currently because I'm expecting them to come down against Trump's tariffs.","37:17"],["They understand this populist nationalist uprising cannot be beaten. We're not going to be beaten this November. Our objective now, not just a whole, but to add.","22:03"],["Of course, I believe the government's going to be shut down next week because the Democrats are going to say we're never going to prove anything. Even an interim deal that's got funding for ICE.","09:44"],["Will impeachment succeed at removing Kristi gnome? No. Republicans control the house. Republicans control the Senate, at least for now.","1:01:56"],["If, and this is a huge if, and at this point, not a particularly likely one. Uh, if indeed we see some authority decide we are going to charge the ice officer.","22:08"],["I don't expect a fulsome and complete robust investigation of the incident because federal authorities are already blocking state authorities from carrying that out.","21:50"],["I think there's a very real possibility that in the next ninety days we will see but the regime in Iran fall, and I think we could see the regime in Cuba fall.","07:36"],["I think there's a very real possibility that in the next ninety days we will see but the regime in Iran fall, and I think we could see the regime in Cuba fall.","07:36"],["So this time around, he's saying, well, we could do peace, we could do negotiations, but we probably bombed them before that, because Veevie called me and he says he's going to release the tapes, okay? Or whatever the hell he said, I don't know.","20:02"],["You know, I'm going to say yes. I'm going to say yes before the fall of 27. So that's about a year and a half from right now. My guess is yes. I think this is different. I really, really do.","1:01:19"],["We don't know, but this does feel different because Trump has a track record of doing what he says he's going to do. And it's like, do you think that we're going to suddenly send thousands of American troops there and all that stuff? Like, I just think there's no way Trump does that, but is there something we can do? And are there some things that you and I probably can't think of that Trump is talking about with Pete Haggseth and Marco and a bunch of other people right now? I'm going to guess, yes.","59:34"],["The court's going to uphold the bans. So I think the 27 states are going to be happy, and I predict, I think it's going to be 6-3, that the High Court will uphold those bans as constitutionally valid.","03:07"],["The court's going to uphold the bans. So I think the 27 states are going to be happy, and I predict, I think it's going to be 6-3, that the High Court will uphold those bans as constitutionally valid.","03:07"],["there are a lot of people out there, even people who are opposed to Trump, who kind of say this one, this is not real. Like this is just Trump being Trump and being Trump and being Trump and you must have TDS if you think he actually is gonna try to take over Greenland. And I don't think so. I think he is going to in some manner. I don't exactly know how it's gonna look but he keeps talking about it.","19:31"],["The UK government is going to collect less revenue this year, not more","1:04:45"],["We were not going to see big capital investments in the short term from, from oil companies.","45:31"],["No, I get it. I'm just saying, he's not, he's not coming off the board.","25:13"],["I think they were going to keep them the same for this particular next session.","19:41"],["Gilean Maxwell will almost certainly not get a new trial","1:10:09"],["the same way as post about cap and credit card interest at 10% just a lie there's no law it's not going to be enforced it ain't happening","1:11:50"],["Simultaneously, there is a Scotus ruling that we're eagerly awaiting, probably tomorrow, whether or not he's even lawfully legally able to do this.","23:14"],["And then we've got the Supreme Court is probably going to come down with a ruling on Wednesday, is what I'm hearing. As far as the tariff ruling, which we'll see","03:56"],["He is going to be the next congressman from Arizona's first congressional district, and that is Jay Feely.","01:16"],["My personal opinion, Maine is lost for the Republicans, but I thought that in the past as well.","1:11:13"],["Where are we really going to get sixty odd votes to cap credit card interest rates. Probably not","40:08"],["And seeing Venezuela, we snatched the bad guy and told the regime, you've got to do the following and we're going to control the oil there and maybe even Guiana.","47:00"],["So Cleopascale, there may be a strike in Iran tonight.","45:46"],["Before that on 20 January, if we head down this path, the Democratic Democrats are going to try to shut down ICE by defunding it. And so I think we're going to a government shutdown, but that's fine.","08:00"],["Because it's coming more and more aggressive and we know they're gonna shut down the government because of ICE.","09:38"],["But I think right now we're heading to a government shutdown because I think the Democrats are sitting there going to dig in and say, hey, we're not going to fund ICE.","42:16"],["is there going to be a fair process for indicting, charging, and bringing to justice in whatever way that needs to happen? I am not confident that that is going to happen.","40:50"],["It is a very real possibility we will see the Iranian Ayatola, the Mullahs, see that regime fall, see them collapse. That could happen this month, It could happen this week, It could happen in the next twenty four hours.","00:30"],["An Ice Agent is going to get killed. He or she is going to get killed thanks to the atmosphere, all of these people, Democrat politicians, and left wing lunes like that man are creating.","49:03"],["A bottom line, however, is that all of this is adding fuel to the fire for all of the anti-ice protesters, which of course will lead to more confrontations with ice, which will lead to more violence because you cannot have more confrontation with the cops without it eventually leading to some violence.","42:10"],["We want all twenty million or whatever the number is out. That is the deal. That's the bargain. That's what we voted for, and none of this worst of the worst stuff. We're going to talk about this with Tom Homan. Yeah, we're gonna focus on them first, the pedophiles and the child rapists, but we're getting them all out.","17:03"],["people don't realize how expensive a petition drive of that magnitude is it's about seven million bucks so far. It's probably gonna cost them close to about nine when they're all said and done, just to get that very popular measure on the ballot in November twenty twenty six","26:23"],["he's probably gonna win that that race. He's gonna be one of the few Republicans on a nationwide basis out of the out of California that remain after Prop fifty.","26:10"],["A better way to win the 2026 midterms than to have a massive turnout on 3 March. I don't know, 60, 70, 80% approval of banning Sharia law in the state of Texas.","31:08"],["They want security guarantees in Gaza. I don't think that's going to happen either.","17:01"],["They want American security guarantees, which I don't think are going to happen, but they want American security guarantees.","16:57"],["we're learning that there were at least 490. It could be as many as 500. That number is going to get higher. Protesters have been killed by the Iranian security forces.","14:15"],["And then in a few more months or right after the midterms, this is how you timed it, there's going to be tens of millions of Americans who get kicked off of Medicaid.","04:20"],["We saw Congress somewhat asserting itself Republicans joining on a war powers resolution, affordable care act, subsidies, extension. Trump will block all of that though. So I doubt it actually gets implemented.","11:27"],["We saw Congress somewhat asserting itself Republicans joining on a war powers resolution, affordable care act, subsidies, extension. Trump will block all of that though. So I doubt it actually gets implemented.","11:27"],["that will be a subject of litigation. It would not surprise me to see that question go all the way to the US Supreme Court.","20:08"],["I agree with you, I think they will bring charges, they have to. And I believe Trump will try to shield this guy from those charges in prosecution.","1:03:31"],["here's, here's my prediction. Jacob Frey and Waltz or anyone else, the DA, they're going to say, they're going to do a press conference where they say, we are not here to assert that this man is guilty of any crimes. We are here to say that there was an officer involved shooting that requires an investigation. And based on the analysis of that investigation, a grand jury will choose to indict. They'll likely say a grand jury has returned an indictment for which now he can stand before a jury of his peers.","1:00:33"],["Yeah, those suspects will face no justice at all. They'll be released. The courts in the occupied territories when the Israelis do crimes have a 1% conviction rate","2:26:27"],["the 17 Republicans cross over in the House. Doesn't matter, it goes to the Senate. They need 60 votes. They're never gonna get 60 votes in the Senate.","1:41:22"],["Trump will not let President be said that anyone loyal to him can be held accountable. And that's why the guy in Minnesota is not gonna be prosecuted. I totally agree.","1:34:18"],["Donald Trump also making social media posts with promises that he's unable to fulfill a K a typical Trump fraud, which he's been doing his entire life.","00:58"],["I'm worried we are not going to get a proper investigation and that we are not going to see even the potential, the potential for accountability here","38:16"],["I believe we're going to have a 2026 election. I think we're going to have it. It's 10 months away.","1:04:25"],["the reason why even if Democrats take the Senate, there is not going to be an ability to get a conviction on impeachment of Donald Trump, it's because it requires a two-thirds vote in the Senate","57:55"],["He really is an intellectual smurf and is going to be, I believe completely unable to properly articulate why anybody should vote for him. So I increasingly think he is unlikely to successfully be a presidential candidate.","33:55"],["Trump doesn't support it at all. So likely this is just a marketing trick to pretend to be populist. But again, if he passes it, I'll give him all the credit in the world.","2:05:11"],["So now we're not going to know where $750 billion is. They're never going to pass an audit.","1:00:55"],["Ice is going to find that he was not only not guilty, but he was a hero and they might even give him a medal.","27:50"],["Ice is going to find that he was not only not guilty, but he was a hero and they might even give him a medal.","27:50"],["I think that if you follow Israeli news, it doesn't seem like they're done. I think the BB told Donald Trump that it was a one and done, but I don't think that's how Israel sees it.","1:09:07"],["But I don't think you're going to get the huge ballroom. I don't think he's going to get what he wants. And I think the gold leaf is going to come down and that and they will have it. They will have a decent, better side to it. And that's okay. But the big one isn't going to happen.","1:10:17"],["It's expected that this will be blocked in the Senate or vetoed by Donald Trump if it passes in the Senate, but we don't expect it to pass in the Senate.","1:17:17"],["this will never go before a jury","58:35"],["So she's going to seize property from white families.","09:41"],["We also are probably going to get a Supreme Court decision on tariffs today","57:55"],["You're going to have more provocations. You're going to have more violence.","19:52"],["There's no need to kick the can down the road. There's no compromise here. They're all going to go.","08:30"],["Right now, this huge fight that's going to happen about Ukraine, about security guarantees, with the French and the British lying to people and saying they're going to put troops and they're going to put military hubs up near the line of contact with the Russians. When we know they're never going to fulfill that, why there's dead broke.","06:28"],["Even with a Republican House of Representatives, I don't know that Republicans are willing to do a 60% increase on the military budget. And I would hope that there is going to be less.","32:46"],["I don't believe we are going to pay down the debt. Donald Trump promised before his first term, we are going to have such a surplus. We will eliminate the national debt. In reality, the deficit went up and the debt grew even faster. And we are seeing the exact same thing right now","28:50"],["Trump may push right up to the edge because he thinks it gives him leverage, but then it may actually be pulling back that serves him better than crossing that edge. It makes it a very volatile moment. I'm cautiously optimistic that it won't get to that point.","26:36"],["There was going to be a shutdown at the end of January the whole time","1:15:56"],["So while I welcome this and I hope it happens, I am suspicious toward Trump. I don't think he's actually going to do it.","1:33:34"],["They're going to get an ICE agent killed. That's what's going to happen. They're not going to be happy until an ICE agent is dead.","01:56"],["People will get killed and it will be ICE officers and it will be people who attempt to impede ICE officers in their function of the law and try to hurt them.","41:49"],["Now, from a federal standpoint, a lot of this is not particularly relevant because, again, the Trump Justice Department is not going to prosecute this officer","10:01"],["The department, the Trump Department of Justice would have to pursue the indictment of this officer, which clearly it will not do.","50:14"],["Trump is obviously not going to fire her.","33:59"],["I'm more skeptical of this one just because, first of all, there's no way in hell Congress would pass something like that. Nonag defense industry has Congress unlock and number two.","35:49"],["if this officer is not indicted, which I think a very good shot of either in state and or in federal, especially federal and even in state, I would give it at least a fifty to fifty chance of no indictment, let alone going to trial.","1:04:49"],["they'll always tell you, we're hoping for a red wave, we're expecting a red wave. If that's the case, they're going to be sorely disappointed. They may retain control barely","58:06"],["I don't think Trump is going to try to run in 2028. He has sort of joked one way and the other, but I just, I don't think he's going to do it.","27:28"],["Now, I am not saying Trump is going to cancel the 2026 election. I don't think he will. I don't think he can, especially since they're really run by the States.","27:20"],["I'm so sorry, but I don't think there's anything Trump could do. I believe even if Trump murdered someone in cold blood, you don't get 12 Republican senators to say I vote to convict.","10:00"],["the reality is that if Democrats win the Senate, which is not the most likely outcome at this point in time","09:02"],["and this, you know, she is someone intimately involved in the corruption in the drug trafficking. Uh and and that's why she's been arrested. It's why she she is indicted and and and it's why I believe both she and her husband will be convicted.","09:08"],["I look at all this stuff right now and I'm like, it's intentional, it's coordinated. The Democrats are going to win in the midterms. Trump will be impeached and then who knows if JD Vance will win because gripers don't want him.","24:53"],["Oh no, no, Yvonne, I appreciate you, but there's no way that Congress is gonna get rid of him. So, and before the midterms, zero percent chance.","1:23:17"],["And one other concerning and possibly foreshadowing element to this story is what President Donald Trump posted on Truth Social, saying that if Iran shoots and violently kills peaceful protesters, like Trump would like to be able to do here in the United States, which is their custom, the United States of America will come to their rescue. We are locked and loaded and ready to go. Thank you for your attention to this matter. So, Jake, I just, I think that at this point, I don't know how imminent it is, but knowing how much influence Israel has over our country, our government, knowing how persistent they are, and knowing how empty-headed Trump is when it comes to pretty much everything, but especially foreign policy these days, I think this is gonna happen under his watch.","06:35"],["My guess here is that we are going to come to some agreement with Denmark over Greenland. We are probably going to buy it. We are probably going to offer Denmark some other security assurances or cash or energy or something like that.","06:25"],["I am fairly certain you can quote me on this internet that we are not going to invade Greenland with soldiers and sectarian warfare and jihadism and installing a new leader and a hunta and all of that stuff is going to happen. I'm pretty sure that's not what's going to happen.","06:06"],["But it is interesting to me when you think about 2028 Mark because, okay, well, well, Marco says if JD wants it, it's JD's. There's going to be a fight within the party because the more neo-Kani right prefers Marco Rubio, who's I wouldn't call him a neo-Kani, but he's certainly more neo-Kani friendly. And JD Vance is not. And I think, you know, the more isolationist, what are you non-interventionalists right is definitely going to prefer JD. And I've already seen some of my more neo-Kani friends online say, hold on, hold on, hold you slow your role. It's not going to be a coronation of JD Vance.","48:00"],["So they're, they're scrambling. They're desperate for viewers. They're not going to get them. The era of the evening news anchor is over.","21:04"],["The most compelling part of the pitch for me is particularly when it's focused on the oversight responsibilities, presuming that the Democrats get back in charge next year. They will.","11:36"],["But apparently, they don't want to join. Okay, are we even we're not going to go grab Greenland, but President Trump enjoys talking about it. I will say this about Greenland. We need Greenland from a national security situation. It's so strategic. Right now, Greenland is covered with Russian and Chinese ships all over the place. We need Greenland from the standpoint of national security. And Denmark is not going to be able to do it. I can tell you. Okay, so, you know, again, this idea that we're going to grab Greenland, I don't think so.","56:24"],["which is what Republicans should have been pursuing when they had a much larger majority in Congress during Trump's first term. Well, since they didn't fix it then, they're not going to fix it now.","26:12"],["he's getting ready, in my opinion, to throw out her legal license if her answers are not sufficient. And I don't see how her answers are going to be sufficient.","04:49"],["by the way, demanding that these ICE agents be removed from a city, which is not gonna happen by the way and you hear Tom home and saying we're gonna double down. We're coming for California, We're coming for Illinois. We're coming from New York next so look out.","47:29"],["Walls are going to be swept up in it.","46:19"],["Flanagan's going to be swept up in it because she was oversight a couple of years ago.","46:14"],["Ellison's going to be swept up in it.","46:14"],["the truth is gas prices have remained in that low $3 a gallon range for a long time. And it's not that likely that they're going to go much lower.","04:29"],["Trump is unlikely to put her in charge because she got something that Trump believes he rightfully deserves the Nobel Peace Prize.","1:00:40"],["He's not going to be doing it very long. So there will be an operation by the US.","1:03:58"],["So then we're gonna have to do a second military attack. But this time the Venezuelans will know for sure we're coming and be very well prepared for whatever good that does them.","14:48"],["By August, there will likely be a different regime in place in Colombia.","17:19"],["I'm with the Peruvian shamans on this one.","56:53"],["You know, in a different year, Kate Hudson would win an Oscar in a different year. It would be nominated for Best Picture. I don't think either of those things is going to happen.","1:04:27"],["You know, in a different year, Kate Hudson would win an Oscar in a different year. It would be nominated for Best Picture. I don't think either of those things is going to happen.","1:04:27"],["But I mean, I don't think that's really on the table for him at this point because his image has been so tarnished.","17:52"],["She's probably going to run for governor.","05:45"],["They're going to run, they're going to run Klobuchar.","32:50"],["then we're gonna put you on trial then you're gonna be failing guilty then you're gonna go to leavenworth","36:44"],["it's pretty evident to me that they're going to recall kelly to active duty busting first recall into active duty and court marchelling","31:10"],["The Trump administration is unlikely to stop with Venezuela. Trump and the people around him seem to be quickly spiraling into the next invasion.","58:21"],["It would not surprise me to see that question go all the way to the US Supreme Court.","47:07"],["I will say also that there is a second issue that will be litigated, which is what's called head of state immunity.","45:41"],["Then you're going to have overriding the V Trump's vetoes.","08:54"],["Civil care act subsidies will likely be extended. And is Donald Trump going to veto that? I think the house will pass it. What's the Senate going to do when the house overwhelmingly passes it? Is it going to be like the Epstein discharge petition where there will be a voice vote of unanimous consent or will somebody object to it in the Senate? We'll see what happens there. But that's going to pass in the house.","08:30"],["Also there will be a government shutdown that is set to take place on January 30th.","05:36"],["a policeman is forced to take his unholstered gun and shoot at somebody because that person is trying to kill somebody else and there's a controversy over it because there may be a racial component to it","1:01:16"],["a kid you know three-year-old kid dies of abuse who has been in the uh children's services system and has and there is a social worker who works for the city who ignored the signs of abuse","1:01:00"],["Gonna be the next governor of the great State of Arizona.","22:26"],["you are dominating in the primary polls, which is going to continue.","15:47"],["I sort of have doubts in the ability of them to proffer enough evidence to actually fully convict him, at least on all of the charges that they've asserted.","48:24"],["I think it's part of the play in Venezuela. They're not getting any more oil. The President Trump says, we're gonna max this. I think that's getting cut off.","23:46"],["And they're going to turf him out here as quickly as possible as a governor, because he's going to be having to spend time on his criminal defense.","03:12"],["And I think we're going to get the recommendation to recall Mark Kelly to active duty and then to court Marshall him.","17:23"],["The same United Nations is going to condemn the United States for ousting a brutal communist dictator.","12:08"],["I think they're gonna take the House almost for sure. I'm not positive about the Senate yet, but Republicans are on a lot of trouble. They haven't fixed their economy, they haven't done anything. All they've done is tax cuts for the rich, subsidies to their corporate donors, and massive giveaways to Israel. That's it, period. And the country hates the direction we're going in. They're gonna get punished. A lot of their voters are not going to show up. They're not gonna come out to vote for this pile of garbage, this dumpster fire. So they're probably gonna get their clock cleaned in the house. Let's see what happens with the Senate.","1:31:08"],["Will the US sweep them? No, we're not going to sweep them. We're world superpower. We do rake in most of the medals, but a clean sweep, it's impossible. It's impossible.","12:44"],["There's going to be something. There's going to be something. What would be the obvious one is that it's going to come down to ICE because if ICE continues the raids, which they damn well better, they're going to be up against it in New York where they're going to actively—it's not just that they're not going to work with ICE, but he's making it clear the city is going to use its resources against ICE and gin up the people against ICE. So yeah, a clash is a common there.","12:07"],["Will Trump's tariffs be shut down by the Supreme Court? Ah, that's an interesting one. I don't think so. But it seems like some of it will get fought in the Supreme Court, but I don't think so. I think they would ultimately, especially the more conservative members of the Supreme Court, would view that as that would be a pretty big bridge to have to say that the judiciary branch is allowed to stop the economic branch as it comes to trade deals and economic policy. So I don't think so.","10:53"],["Will Jasmine Crockett win her Senate race? I can't see Texas doing it. I'm probably going to be wrong about this one, right? Like that's just they got Mondami in New York, but like, will they do it in Texas? I hope not. You know, she's a Houston area person. It's a very specific thing. Her attitude, the dumb commentary, like, no, I don't think so.","09:28"],["Our goal was we wanted to hit 3 mil on YouTube by the time I went off the grid. End of July of last year, which we hit that 4 million. So another 800,000 this year. Yeah. Yeah. This is the year of sanity. This is the year of normal people. And that's where I shined.","09:07"],["I think there's going to be a continued decentralization of the internet. One of the things I'm very excited about this year is rumble has rumble wallet now, so you'll be able to pay creators using various cryptocurrencies and exchange them all within the wallet, which is super cool.","08:41"],["Will the Tesla Roadster, well, this is very Elon related. Will the Tesla Roadster come out in 26? I don't know what the roadmap is on that thing. I know there's a new Model X right now. Yeah, let's I'm bullish on Elon. The Roadster will come out.","07:24"],["Yes. Elon 2026 Ruben report it will finally happen.","07:20"],["So will anyone get fired this year? Well, look, what do we know? We know that Banjino just left. He hasn't fired anyone yet, right? It feels like for a little bit of drama, that sort of thing. All right. All right. I'm going to say Trump will fire somebody. I don't know who it's going to be, but it will be somebody.","06:39"],["Will Tesla's Optimus Robot be available for purchase? I think Elon said, well, didn't he originally say end of 25 if I'm not mistaken? Now they're probably looking at end of 2060. Yeah, I'm going to say yes. I feel like he's got something big come in this year.","05:53"],["Will the Fed cut rates in 2026? Yes. I think the Fed will cut rates in 2026. Again, I think the economy is going to start turning. I think Trump realizes the severity of the hour that if he doesn't do major, major stuff before the midterms, that the bloodbath will be a common. So yes, I do think that the Fed will somehow get involved in this.","05:23"],["Again, I'm just getting no love for Florida here. Sorry, dolphins. I'm going to say the Seattle Seahawks haven't watched the game all year, you know, is, yeah.","05:03"],["No, I think the Obama thing has to continue and they have to keep going with that. So no, the Obamas will remain married because otherwise you'd have to split up all that Netflix money and nobody wants to lose their half of that.","04:43"],["I will predict this at something that I said towards the latter half of 25, which is that Trump is going to need major wins before the midterms. I think there's going to be a bunch of economic wins, but I think doing something on the Russia Ukraine thing before the midterms will bode really, really well. I'm thinking like summer of 26, June, July of 26, that's what I would look at. I think yes, it will mostly be wrapped up. Maybe not like the perfect piece. You know, it may end up sort of like an Israel Hamas thing. It's not like peace, peace, but at least the temporary stoppage of the killing. Yes. I will say that.","03:52"],["I'm going to pick, you know, and the heat we're not on that list even. I was going to try to pull for my own Miami. I'm going to say the San Antonio Spurs because they've got the tall guy, Wim Booco, who doesn't have to dribble and can dunk from the three-point line.","03:29"],["That seems very early to me and with the midterms coming he won't do it before then and then that really only leaves the rest of November and December. I am going to say no. Gavin Newsom will not announce a presidential run in 2026.","02:58"],["Look, James Colmer, who leads the House Oversight Committee and Jim Jordan, the House Judiciary and some of these other leaders, they're too cowardly. They're going to block this at every step. But Democratic leader, Hakeem Jeffries is calling for it.","03:43"],["And now he's saying there's CT scans and Donald Trump's overall declining physical and mental condition and whether or not Donald Trump's capable really even to function as the executive and whether the 25th amendment should be invoked. Obviously, Trump's cabinet is too cowardly to ever do that.","03:13"],["But I don't think you can stand here and say that my saying that at some point in the next two months, he might go in and try to decapitate the Iranian regime is like a crazy person talking.","24:36"],["If I were Denmark, I would start figuring out how to price Greenland and sell it, because he's going to take it. I don't see why not. He wants it, and he's going to take it based on that doctrine.","22:16"],["I think that the Democratic Party will be somewhat split, and the leaders of the party, Keem Jeffreys and Chuck Schumer in particular, will be somewhat supportive.","21:18"],["He was extradited and I think already indicted in the Southern District hasn't been arraigned. Our understanding is he is headed to New York with the wife to be arraigned in the Southern District. I think that may take take place actually today.","21:47"],["I've made it very clear. Unless Trump is physically incapacitated, he's serving the rest of this term. It doesn't matter what's in the Epstein files.","45:18"],["So his endorsement of JD Vance, which seems inevitable, but maybe won't be.","04:38"],["And he is going to get dragged before an immigration judge. And he is going to get deported. He's not an American citizen. He has no right to stay here. He's never been given permission to stay here. So he is going away soon.","08:15"],["You can walk up, I believe in September, they're going to open up the pilgrimage road that goes down from the civil law and pool all the way up to the temple and to the celestial wall area.","06:07"],["It was actually going to be closer to 10 million records when all is said and done. And I still remain confident that that will be the number.","00:26"],["And they're not going to negotiate drug prices.","2:02:05"],["maybe even trillions to the big pharma.","2:01:58"],["hundreds of billions to the defense contractors","2:01:58"],["tens of billions to the oil companies","2:01:53"],["They're going to keep funneling tens of billions to Israel","2:01:53"],["Hopefully we'll you know, fade away because you know we're going to be having to defeat AOC nominee or Jazzmine Crockett.","25:42"]]}